Time Series Foundation Models - current state and future directions
Towards An Improvement Community Platform for Service Innovation
1. Towards An Improvement Community Platform for Service Innovation
A Brief Opportunities Sketch
ISSIP Conference Call
10 September, 2014
Jack Park
Software in the service of improvement communities is a component of Douglas Engelbart’s Dynamic Knowledge Repository architecture
2. Outline
•A scenario to illustrate stigmergy and discovery
•Fast and Slow Thinking
•A multi-space model where services abound
•Resources
Discovery consists of seeing what everybody has seen and thinking what nobody has thought.
–Albert Szent-Györgyi
Stigmergy* is a mechanism of indirect coordination between agents or actions, a form of self-organization.
* http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stigmergy
4. Immune Response
Bacterial Infection
Macrophage
Free Radical
Reactive Oxygen
macrophages use free radicals to kill bacteria
Bookmark page with these tags
Annotate page with this idea
A Scenario—1
Joe is a med student doing research:
He annotates and tags a web document
5. Antioxidant
Free Radical
Bookmark page with these tags
antioxidants kill free radicals
Annotate page with this idea
A Scenario—2
Sarah lives a healthy lifestyle: She is researching cancer prevention; she annotates and tags a web document
6. Ben makes a discovery
What’s this all about?
Ben, a cancer patient, becomes curious about free radicals—a new concept to him
A Scenario—3
Free Radical
macrophages use
free radicals to
kill bacteria
antioxidants
kill
free radicals
The Free Radical tag formed a trail that connects these annotations, stigmergy in action
7. antioxidants
kill
free radicals
macrophages use free radicals to kill bacteria
Ben adds a new Connection between the two ideas
Must Avoid
A Scenario—4
Ben makes a decision
Sounds like I should not take any more antioxidant pills!
8. Create a new set of representations by connecting the two core concepts and explaining the connection
antioxidants
kill
free radicals
Contraindicates
macrophages use
free radicals to
kill bacteria
Bacterial Infection
Antioxidants
Because
A Scenario—5
Olivia, a Medical Doctor, begins to create new information to better explain what Ben said.
10. “Compromised host” as a new concept to be represented in the knowledge base
A Scenario—7
Structured conversation responds to the question, an instance of a Bohmian Dialogue*
* http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bohm_Dialogue
11. antioxidants kill free radicals
Contraindicates
macrophages use
free radicals to
kill bacteria
Bacterial Infection
Antioxidants
Because
Appropriate For
Compromised Host
A Scenario—8
Co-created resource in the knowledge base
12. Fast and Slow Thinking
•Fast thinking
–Frontal-cortex chatter
•Ideas floating around
–Face2Face
–Chat rooms
–Twitter
•Slower thinking
–Working memory
•Ideas that stick
–Blogs
–Wikis
–Conference papers
•Slow thinking
–Long-term memory
•Ideas that need to be
»Remembered,
»Organized
»Processed in the background
–Topic maps
Daniel Kahneman (2011) Thinking Fast and Slow
13. Multi-space Framework
•Just for me
–Personal topic map
•Just for us
–Slow Thinking
•Digital Library
–Topic Map
•Public memory
•Just in case
–Fast thinking
–Slower thinking
http://knowledgegardens.wordpress.com/augmenting-cognition-a-multi-space-model/
14. Knowledge Mapping Tools
•Mindmaps
–Very simple
–Unlabeled arcs as Relations
•Concept Maps
–Simple
–Labeled arcs for Relations
•Topic Maps
–Less simple
–Topics as Relations
•Can model a relation’s biography
•Can use relation as argument in other relations
•Mindmap
–[A] _ [B]
•Concept Map
–[A] “cause” [B]
•Topic Map
–[A] [cause] B
•Where [cause] really means:
–[A cause B]
•Which can be an argument:
–[X] [refutes] [A cause B]
Note: the term mindmap is frequently used when concept map is meant, and vice versa. “mindmap” is the most common term for knowledge maps.