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OUTLINE
CAPACITY                  DEMAND
• Total No. of Seats in   • Total No. of seats
  an Aircraft               booked
• No. of Tables in the    • No. of tables
  dining hall               occupied
• No. of rooms in a       • No. of rooms
  hotel                     occupied
MANAGING
C
               D
A
               E
P
               M
A
               A
C
               N
I
               D
T
Y
SERVICE
CAPACITY
           10


EXCESS
CAPACITY

           5




                                 DEMAND
                5           10
                                   FOR
                      EXCESS
                    DEMAND FOR
                                 SERVICE
                      SERVICE
DEMAND                                              SUPPLY
           STRATEGIES                                         STRATEGIES


                    Partitioning                                       Increasing
                     demand                                             customer
  Developing                                                          participation
                                                  Sharing
complementary
                                                  capacity
   services
                    Establishing
                                                                      Scheduling
                       price
 Developing                                        Cross-             work shifts
                     incentives
 reservation                                      training
  systems                                        employees
                        Promoting                                       Creating
                         off-peak                                      adjustable
                                                   Using
                         demand                                         capacity
                                                  part-time
                                                 employees

                                       Yield
                                    management
1- Segmenting Demand at a Health Clinic

Smoothing Demand by Appointment
Scheduling

Day              Walk-In Appointments

Monday           60-70            84
Tuesday          55-65            89
Wednesday       25-30             124
Thursday        15-25             129
Friday          30-40             114
Smoothing Demand
                                                                      through segmenting
                                                                      140                                        • 13.4 % increase in no. of   patients;
                                                                                  Before
P e rc en t ag e o f av e ra g e d ai ly




                                                                      130
                                                                                  smoothing
                                                                      120                                        • 5% increase in time physician
                                           p h ys ic ia n v is it s




                                                                      110                                        spent with patients because of
                                                                      100                                        increased appointments;
                                                                       90
                                                                                After
                                                                       80       smoothing                        • Average waiting time for patients
                                                                       70
                                                                                                                 remained the same;
                                                                       60
                                                                            1      2          3          4   5

                                                                                       Day o f w e e k
                                                                                                                 •Increased morale of physician
2- Offering Price Incentives

  Demand can be segmented by offering price
  incentives: Price discrimination
  Price discrimination: Sale of output units at different
  prices.
  Objective: Maximization of profit (different customers
  are willing to pay different prices) by smoothing
  demand.
Hotel X with 50 rooms @ Rs.5000
   per day.
Peak Season
- Rs. 5000* 50 = Rs. 2,50,000per day

(Average)
Off Season
- Rs. 5000 * 10= Rs. 50,000 per day.

- Rs. 3500* 35= Rs. 1,22,500 per day
3- Promoting Off Peak Demand
   Seeking different sources of demand for
       creative use of “off-peak capacity”
 Use of hotel resort as retreat location for
 business or professional groups.
 Lower rates to encourage long distance dialing
 at night or on weekends, when switching
 equipments are underutilized.
Natural way to expand market and helpful in achieving uniform
                      aggregate demand.
• Taking reservations presells the potential
  service.
• And additional demand is deflected to other
  time slots at the same facility or to other
  facilities within the same organization.
• Benefit consumers by reducing waiting and
  guaranteeing service availability.
Problem                          Measures
• Customers may not take the        • Nonrefundable tickets
  reserved service (“no-shows”)       (airlines)
• Service expires: Not storable     • Cancellation deadlines, e.g., 6
• No turnover, but high fixed         pm (hotel)
  costs for company                 • Overbooking of capacity
   E.g., hotel room stays empty
  without      a    guest,    but
  employees are paid
• Company needs to know some
  time in advance if reservation
  is cancelled: Empty seats
  otherwise
Problems Of Overbooking      Strategies for overbooking
• Customers with reservation • Minimization of
  must be turned away           opportunity costs of empty
                                capacity
• Angry customers: Might     • Minimization of costs of
  switch to competitor          passengers with
• Damaged image of              reservation being turned
  company                       away
• Costs of overbooking:      • Training of employees
  Reimbursement of denied       dealing with passengers
  customers                     being turned away
1- Work shift Scheduling
By scheduling work shifts carefully during the day/week, the
profile of service supply can be made to approximate
demand.
An important staffing problem for many service organization
facing cyclical demand, such as telephone companies,
hospitals, banks, and police departments.

                                   Convert to Service
     Forecast Demand             staffing Requirement



         Assign Service
                                    Schedule Shifts
       Personnel to Shifts
2- Increasing Customer Participation
                     For Faster & less-expensive Meals




           • Customer
                                       2          • Clears table
             acts as a co-    • Places order        after meals.
             producer           directly from
                                limited menu
                     1                                     3


Capacity directly varies      Requirement           Saves cost of the
with the demand.              for lesser staff.     service provider.
Customer as co-
producer provide labor,
the moment required.
3- Creating Adjustable Capacity
4- Sharing Capacity
A service delivery system often requires a
large investment in equipment and facilities.
During periods of underutilization, it may be
possible to find other uses for this capacity.

Example: Airlines Sharing Baggage handling
equipments, ground staff etc on small
airports.
5- Using Part Time
 Employees when
peaks of activities
are persistent and
    predictable.
 A new approach to
 revenue maximization.
 A comprehensive system
 incorporating all strategies
 relating to demand for &
 supply of services.
Service firms with following features:
• Relatively fixed capacity. Ex: Airlines and hotels.
• Ability to segment market into different service
  classes
• Perishable inventory. Ex: revenue from an
  unsold seat is lost forever
• Product sold in advance through reservations
• Fluctuating demand
Queuing System
  Queue: Line of waiting customers who
require service from one or more servers.

A queue is formed when current demand
 exceeds the existing capacity to serve.

         Inevitability of Waiting
• 1- Customer perception must exceed
  customer expectation beacause a happy
  customer enables positive trickle-down effect.

• 2- First impression influence the rest of the
  service expectation. Make waiting period
  pleasant experience.
• The Old Empty Feeling: Empty or
  unoccupied time feels awful.
  Service organization require to
  make waiting times productive as
  well as pleasurable.

• A foot In The Door: Diversions fill
  time so that the waiting doesn’t
  seems long. Convey that the
  service has began & thus can
  tolerate longer waiting time.
• The Light At The End Of The
  Tunnel: Recognize anxieties
  (Did you get my order? Will I
  ever get served?) & develop
  strategies to alleviate them.
  Ex-telling customer how
  long will they need to wait..
• Excuse me, But I Was
  Next: Anxieties created
  when a customer sees a
  later arrival being served
  first. Resolved by Single
  queue or take a token
  number        arrangement
  facility to ensure first
  come first serve policy..
For Awaited        Economic cost of     For firm, Awaited
external           waiting : two way        employee
customer              perspective            ( internal
                                            customer)

   Foregone
alternative use                          Unproductive
  of that time                           Wages

Boredom, anxiety
& other                So Make waiting productive or
psychological          profitable
distresses
Renege

                                     Queue
                                                           Departure
Calling                Queue        discipline   Service
population          configuration                process
             Balk                                                 No future
                                                                  need for
                                                                   service
1. Subpopulation ( Walk-in
   patients, patients with
   appointments and
   emergency patients)
   with different waiting
   expectations.

2. Homogeneous Groups
Arrival Process
                                  Arrival
                                  process


             Static                                 Dynamic


   Random        Random arrival                               Customer-
                                      Facility-               exercised
 arrivals with    rate varying
                                     controlled                control
constant rate       with time


Accept/Reject         Price        Appointments   Reneging     Balking
Classification of Queue
     Configuration

                             Take a
                            number

           Queue
                          Single queue
        Configuration

                            Multiple
                            Queue
Queue
                            discipline



         Static
                                                Dynamic
      (FCFS rule)


        selection                            Selection based
     based on status                          on individual
        of queue                                customer
                                                attributes


Number of                                                      Processing time
customers     Round robin         Priority     Preemptive       of customers
 waiting                                                          (SPT rule)
CAPACITY PLANNING




QUEUING MODELS
Capacity Planning
• Decision involves a                                Combined
                                                     Costs
  trade off between
  the cost of providing                              Cost of
                                                     service
  a service(              Cost
  determined by no.
  of servers on duty)
  and the cost or                                    Cost of
  inconvenience of                                   waiting
  customer
  waiting(measured in            Capacity to serve
  terms of waiting
  time)
Queuing System Cost Tradeoff
Let: Cw = Cost of one customer waiting in
  queue for an hour
       Lq = mean number of customers
       Cs = Hourly cost per server
       C = Number of servers
Total Cost/hour = Hourly Service Cost +
       Hourly Customer Waiting Cost
Total Cost/hour = Cs C + Cw Lq
• Using long range capacity as a preemptive strike where
  market is too small for two competitors (e.g. building a luxury
  hotel in a mid-sized city)

• Lack of short-term capacity planning can generate customers
  for competition (e.g. restaurant staffing)

• Capacity decisions balance costs of lost sales if capacity is
  inadequate against operating losses if demand does not reach
  expectations.

• Strategy of building ahead of demand is often taken to avoid
  losing customers.
Queuing
                                               Model



                   Standard
                                                                  Finite
                       Infinite                                   Queue
                       Queue


                                                             Exponential
    Exponential                     General Service            Service
      Service                           Times                   Times
       Times


                                  Single        Self     Single            Multiple
Single      Multiple              Server       Service   Server             server
Server      Server
• Excessive waiting lines by customer must result in
  some reneging and, thus, in some reduction of
  demand

• Excessive waiting if known or observed by potential
  customers, will cause them to reconsider their need
  for service and, thus reduces demand;

• Under the pressure of waiting lines, server may speed
  up;

• Sustained pressure to hurry may result in eliminating
  time- consuming features and performing the bare
  minimum and, thus, service capacity is increased.
Reference
• Capacity Planning: A Tactical Decision with
  Strategic Impact by Manager, Business
  Solutions, INSIGHT
• Service Management, James A. Fitzsimmons &
  Mona J. Fitzsimmons
• Google.com

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Maximizing Capacity and Managing Demand in Service Operations

  • 1.
  • 3. CAPACITY DEMAND • Total No. of Seats in • Total No. of seats an Aircraft booked • No. of Tables in the • No. of tables dining hall occupied • No. of rooms in a • No. of rooms hotel occupied
  • 4. MANAGING C D A E P M A A C N I D T Y
  • 5. SERVICE CAPACITY 10 EXCESS CAPACITY 5 DEMAND 5 10 FOR EXCESS DEMAND FOR SERVICE SERVICE
  • 6. DEMAND SUPPLY STRATEGIES STRATEGIES Partitioning Increasing demand customer Developing participation Sharing complementary capacity services Establishing Scheduling price Developing Cross- work shifts incentives reservation training systems employees Promoting Creating off-peak adjustable Using demand capacity part-time employees Yield management
  • 7. 1- Segmenting Demand at a Health Clinic Smoothing Demand by Appointment Scheduling Day Walk-In Appointments Monday 60-70 84 Tuesday 55-65 89 Wednesday 25-30 124 Thursday 15-25 129 Friday 30-40 114
  • 8. Smoothing Demand through segmenting 140 • 13.4 % increase in no. of patients; Before P e rc en t ag e o f av e ra g e d ai ly 130 smoothing 120 • 5% increase in time physician p h ys ic ia n v is it s 110 spent with patients because of 100 increased appointments; 90 After 80 smoothing • Average waiting time for patients 70 remained the same; 60 1 2 3 4 5 Day o f w e e k •Increased morale of physician
  • 9. 2- Offering Price Incentives Demand can be segmented by offering price incentives: Price discrimination Price discrimination: Sale of output units at different prices. Objective: Maximization of profit (different customers are willing to pay different prices) by smoothing demand.
  • 10. Hotel X with 50 rooms @ Rs.5000 per day. Peak Season - Rs. 5000* 50 = Rs. 2,50,000per day (Average) Off Season - Rs. 5000 * 10= Rs. 50,000 per day. - Rs. 3500* 35= Rs. 1,22,500 per day
  • 11. 3- Promoting Off Peak Demand Seeking different sources of demand for creative use of “off-peak capacity”  Use of hotel resort as retreat location for business or professional groups.  Lower rates to encourage long distance dialing at night or on weekends, when switching equipments are underutilized.
  • 12. Natural way to expand market and helpful in achieving uniform aggregate demand.
  • 13. • Taking reservations presells the potential service. • And additional demand is deflected to other time slots at the same facility or to other facilities within the same organization. • Benefit consumers by reducing waiting and guaranteeing service availability.
  • 14. Problem Measures • Customers may not take the • Nonrefundable tickets reserved service (“no-shows”) (airlines) • Service expires: Not storable • Cancellation deadlines, e.g., 6 • No turnover, but high fixed pm (hotel) costs for company • Overbooking of capacity E.g., hotel room stays empty without a guest, but employees are paid • Company needs to know some time in advance if reservation is cancelled: Empty seats otherwise
  • 15. Problems Of Overbooking Strategies for overbooking • Customers with reservation • Minimization of must be turned away opportunity costs of empty capacity • Angry customers: Might • Minimization of costs of switch to competitor passengers with • Damaged image of reservation being turned company away • Costs of overbooking: • Training of employees Reimbursement of denied dealing with passengers customers being turned away
  • 16.
  • 17. 1- Work shift Scheduling By scheduling work shifts carefully during the day/week, the profile of service supply can be made to approximate demand. An important staffing problem for many service organization facing cyclical demand, such as telephone companies, hospitals, banks, and police departments. Convert to Service Forecast Demand staffing Requirement Assign Service Schedule Shifts Personnel to Shifts
  • 18. 2- Increasing Customer Participation For Faster & less-expensive Meals • Customer 2 • Clears table acts as a co- • Places order after meals. producer directly from limited menu 1 3 Capacity directly varies Requirement Saves cost of the with the demand. for lesser staff. service provider. Customer as co- producer provide labor, the moment required.
  • 20. 4- Sharing Capacity A service delivery system often requires a large investment in equipment and facilities. During periods of underutilization, it may be possible to find other uses for this capacity. Example: Airlines Sharing Baggage handling equipments, ground staff etc on small airports.
  • 21. 5- Using Part Time Employees when peaks of activities are persistent and predictable.
  • 22.  A new approach to revenue maximization.  A comprehensive system incorporating all strategies relating to demand for & supply of services.
  • 23. Service firms with following features: • Relatively fixed capacity. Ex: Airlines and hotels. • Ability to segment market into different service classes • Perishable inventory. Ex: revenue from an unsold seat is lost forever • Product sold in advance through reservations • Fluctuating demand
  • 24.
  • 25. Queuing System Queue: Line of waiting customers who require service from one or more servers. A queue is formed when current demand exceeds the existing capacity to serve. Inevitability of Waiting
  • 26. • 1- Customer perception must exceed customer expectation beacause a happy customer enables positive trickle-down effect. • 2- First impression influence the rest of the service expectation. Make waiting period pleasant experience.
  • 27. • The Old Empty Feeling: Empty or unoccupied time feels awful. Service organization require to make waiting times productive as well as pleasurable. • A foot In The Door: Diversions fill time so that the waiting doesn’t seems long. Convey that the service has began & thus can tolerate longer waiting time.
  • 28. • The Light At The End Of The Tunnel: Recognize anxieties (Did you get my order? Will I ever get served?) & develop strategies to alleviate them. Ex-telling customer how long will they need to wait..
  • 29. • Excuse me, But I Was Next: Anxieties created when a customer sees a later arrival being served first. Resolved by Single queue or take a token number arrangement facility to ensure first come first serve policy..
  • 30. For Awaited Economic cost of For firm, Awaited external waiting : two way employee customer perspective ( internal customer) Foregone alternative use Unproductive of that time Wages Boredom, anxiety & other So Make waiting productive or psychological profitable distresses
  • 31. Renege Queue Departure Calling Queue discipline Service population configuration process Balk No future need for service
  • 32. 1. Subpopulation ( Walk-in patients, patients with appointments and emergency patients) with different waiting expectations. 2. Homogeneous Groups
  • 33. Arrival Process Arrival process Static Dynamic Random Random arrival Customer- Facility- exercised arrivals with rate varying controlled control constant rate with time Accept/Reject Price Appointments Reneging Balking
  • 34. Classification of Queue Configuration Take a number Queue Single queue Configuration Multiple Queue
  • 35. Queue discipline Static Dynamic (FCFS rule) selection Selection based based on status on individual of queue customer attributes Number of Processing time customers Round robin Priority Preemptive of customers waiting (SPT rule)
  • 37. Capacity Planning • Decision involves a Combined Costs trade off between the cost of providing Cost of service a service( Cost determined by no. of servers on duty) and the cost or Cost of inconvenience of waiting customer waiting(measured in Capacity to serve terms of waiting time)
  • 38. Queuing System Cost Tradeoff Let: Cw = Cost of one customer waiting in queue for an hour Lq = mean number of customers Cs = Hourly cost per server C = Number of servers Total Cost/hour = Hourly Service Cost + Hourly Customer Waiting Cost Total Cost/hour = Cs C + Cw Lq
  • 39. • Using long range capacity as a preemptive strike where market is too small for two competitors (e.g. building a luxury hotel in a mid-sized city) • Lack of short-term capacity planning can generate customers for competition (e.g. restaurant staffing) • Capacity decisions balance costs of lost sales if capacity is inadequate against operating losses if demand does not reach expectations. • Strategy of building ahead of demand is often taken to avoid losing customers.
  • 40. Queuing Model Standard Finite Infinite Queue Queue Exponential Exponential General Service Service Service Times Times Times Single Self Single Multiple Single Multiple Server Service Server server Server Server
  • 41. • Excessive waiting lines by customer must result in some reneging and, thus, in some reduction of demand • Excessive waiting if known or observed by potential customers, will cause them to reconsider their need for service and, thus reduces demand; • Under the pressure of waiting lines, server may speed up; • Sustained pressure to hurry may result in eliminating time- consuming features and performing the bare minimum and, thus, service capacity is increased.
  • 42. Reference • Capacity Planning: A Tactical Decision with Strategic Impact by Manager, Business Solutions, INSIGHT • Service Management, James A. Fitzsimmons & Mona J. Fitzsimmons • Google.com

Editor's Notes

  1. Wats Capacity?Wats Demand?Managing these two is what we are concerned about..
  2. Matching supply and demand in services by capacity management has a direct influence on the ability of the service delivery system to achieve service quality and resource productivity targets. Coping is necessary for all organizations at some time. if the capacity is not great enough to meet peak demand periods, customer demand will go unfilled. But capacity is a difficult concept to quantify.  Demand is forever changing so as the capacity.
  3. Deciding upon what service capacity should be maintained to meet the service demand, is a herculine task but equally important. A service is produced and consumed simultaneously. Whenever demand for a service falls short of the capacity to serve, the results are idle servers and facilities. And when capacity to serve fall short of the demand, it results in waiting customers and sometimes unserved customers. Friends, our culture and habits contribute to these fluctuations to a great extent. For example, most of us eat our meals at the same hours and take our vacations in July and August, and studies of hospitals indicate low utilization in the sum­mer and fall months. Busy banks on Monday & Saturday.. Examples which are more friendly with us..Payment of fee and taxes, on the last date. Even submitting forms for admission etc on the last date. These are the natural variations in service demand.
  4. Weekends & night rates for long distance calls.Off season hotel rates at resort locationLower prices for morning & matinee shows in movie theatre.
  5. Hotel chains with national reservation systems regularly book customers in nearby hotels owned by their chain when the customer's first choice is not available.
  6. Problems do arise, however, when customers fail to honor their reservations. These customers are referred to as no-shows.
  7. The objective of strategic capacity planning is to determine the appropriate level of service capacity by specifying the proper mix of facilities, equipments and labor that is required to meet anticipated demand.
  8. It is evident that various queuing model exists. This is digramatic representation of classification of queuing model.
  9. Queuing theory indicates that in the long run capacity to serve must exceed the demand. If this criterion is not met, one of the following adjustments must occur.