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Observing Paradigm Change in China through 10 years
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Observing Paradigm Change in China through 10 years

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  • 1.
      Observe paradigm changes in China through10 years
      @isaac China Development Forum LSE
  • 2. 敬请注意: 以下内容包含有大量景德镇产敏感瓷 可能会引起观看者心理不适
  • 3. Prequel trilogy
    • The Internet first came to China in 1987; college campusappeared at Tsinghua University in 1991. The first international connection, between the BeijingElectro-Spectrometer and Stanford University’s Linear Accelerator, came in 1994.10
    • 4. Through much of 1995 the government was still barely noticing the Internet, but in January 1996 found itto be a “problem” and ordered that people register with Public Security
    • 5. During1997 college students online by 2001; a considerable amount of commerce—which the government did not want to discourage—was happening on the Internet as well.
    Prof. Xiao Qiang Prof. Perry Link
  • 6. 10 Years 2009
  • 7.
      A fairy story
       
    l 1999: donews
      2005:isaacmao.com
      2007: @isaac
      2002: Cesblog.blogspot.com
  • 8. Collective (in)Action Problem in Authoritarian States
    • Censorship: makes it easier to isolate, crush
      • Noises(especially in China, Wumao)
    • Restrict means of organization
    • 9. High cost of dissent individual: torture/jail
    • 10. Minimize protest/cascade potential;isolate,crush(whack-a-protest)
    Zeynep Tufekci Assistant professor at the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill
  • 11. Censors in 10 years
    • 2002, falungong,tiananmen
    • 12. 2003, RFA, VOA, BBC, etc.
    • 13. 2004, typepad.com,blogspot.com
    • 14. 2005, PirateBay, Technorati.com
    • 15. 2006, Wikileaks, flickr.com (party)
    • 16. 2007, Wikia, Wikipedia.com(partly)
    • 17. 2008, youtube.com
    • 18. 2009, twitter.com, facebook.com
    • 19. 2010, Nobleprize.org, google.com and services
    • 20. 2011, dropbox.com
    Rebecca Mackinnon Bernard L. Schwartz Senior Fellow at the New America Foundation, “Consent of the Networked” Self-censorship Business compromise Technology Political
  • 21.
      Great Firewall and River Crab
       
    墙国
  • 22.
      Paradigm change
       
  • 23. Back To Real World
  • 24. Some“Facts”
  • 25. Social God Calculates 2.2×10^8 × 0.66 × k ×(1 - μ) == 3 × 10^ 6 ; k as frequency from active users Let's say 0.5 posts/day ; μ rate of censorship , we get μ = 95.9% http://passbyer.blog125.fc2.com/blog-entry-10.html
  • 26. From Taboo to Tattoo
  • 27.
      Social Art
       
  • 28. Net Meme Evolution 2003 2010
  • 29. Cute Cat Model Ethan Zuckman Director of the Center for Civic Media, MIT
  • 30.
      Fold : Invisible truth
       
  • 31. Time elapsed Level of meme The Torrent of Meme:@amoiist 2009/7/16 4:50am 2009/7/31 @amoiist released @amoiist SOS @blogtd rt @isaac: 郭宝峰你妈妈喊你回家吃饭 @wenyunchao rt @mranti action @wenyunchao 寄送明信片 @freemoren rt
  • 32. More Metaphors ouroboros
  • 33. How Intelligence Shift
  • 34. A Long Bet
  • 35.
      Future: My Predictions
    • Back to basic values (10 yrs)
    • 36. Collapse of Censorship (3 yrs)
    • 37. Credibility building (20 yrs)
    • 38. Sharism and Cloud Intelligence (50 yrs)
  • 39. Thanks @isaac