US Pulses & Crop markets
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Pulses market in USA, production data, usage, import, export and trading insights. Presented by Jeff Van Pevenage at Global Pulses Conclave (GPC) 2012 organized by India Pulses & Grains Association ...

Pulses market in USA, production data, usage, import, export and trading insights. Presented by Jeff Van Pevenage at Global Pulses Conclave (GPC) 2012 organized by India Pulses & Grains Association (IPGA)

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US Pulses & Crop markets US Pulses & Crop markets Presentation Transcript

  • Seeding Situation 2011 • North Dakota – Winter 2010-11 • Record snow/Moisture • Below Normal Cold Temperature • Montana – High Snowpack/record Moisture – Below Normal Cold Temperature • Washington / Idaho – Also wet but not to the extent of Midwest • Prevented Plant Acres in North Dakota
  • Total Seeded Pea Acres Years 2006 Acres 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 946,000 916,000 844,000 840,000 761,000 380,000 Acres Total Seeded Pea Acres North Dakota 1,000,000 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011 Washington/Idaho Montana
  • Midwest Seeded Pea Acres Years Acres 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 840,000 820,000 760,000 712,000 659,000 275,000 M ontana/North Dakota Seeded Pea Acres 900,000 800,000 Acres 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • Pacific Northwest Seeded Pea Acres   2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Acres 104,000 94,000 82,000 122,000 97,000 91,000 Pacific Northwest Seeded Pea Acreage 130,000 Acres 110,000 90,000 70,000 50,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • Total Seeded Lentil Acres   2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Acres 439,000 345,000 265,000 406,000 632,000 448,000 Total Seeded Lentil Acres 700,000 Acres 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • Lentil Size Distribution   Medium 2011 Small 296,000 93,940 Red Large 41,70 0 16,50 0 2011 Seed Lentil Acreage 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 Medium Small Red Large
  • Total Seeded Chickpea Acreage   2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Acres 120,000 122,000 81,000 94,000 133,000 124,000 Acres Total Seeded Chickpea Acreage 145,000 135,000 125,000 115,000 105,000 95,000 85,000 75,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • Total Pea Production   2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Metric Tons 757,000 514,000 852,000 643,000 250,000 Metric Tons Total Pea Production 975,000 875,000 775,000 675,000 575,000 475,000 375,000 275,000 175,000 75,000 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • Total Green Pea Production   2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Metric Tons 270,000 206,000 396,000 269,000 112,000 Total Green Pea Production 425,000 Metric Tons 375,000 325,000 275,000 225,000 175,000 125,000 75,000 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • Total Yellow Pea Production   2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Metric Tons 486,000 308,000 457,000 374,000 138,000 Total Yellow Pea Production Metric Tons 575,000 475,000 375,000 275,000 175,000 75,000 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • Total Lentil Production   2007 Metric Tons 2008 2009 2010 2011 181,00 0 124,00 0 251,00 0 396,00 0 224,00 0 Total Lentil Production 425,000 Metric Tons 375,000 325,000 275,000 225,000 175,000 125,000 75,000 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • Small Lentil Production   2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Metric Tons 51,000 36,000 69,000 69,000 42,000 Small Lentil Production Metric Tons 75,000 65,000 55,000 45,000 35,000 25,000 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • Medium Lentil Production   2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Metric Tons 109,000 64,000 137,000 254,000 157,000 Medium Lentil Production Metric Tons 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • Large Lentil Production   2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Metric Tons 21,000 12,000 20,000 18,000 3,000 Large Lentil Production Metric Tons 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • Red Lentil Production   2008 2009 2010 2011 Metric Tons 12,000 25,000 55,000 22,000 Red Lentil Production 60,000 Metric Tons 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2008 2009 2010 Year 2011
  • Total Chickpea Production   2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Metric Tons 59,000 48,000 52,000 78,000 83,000 Total Chickpea Production Metric Tons 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011
  • 2011 USA PULSE QUALITY REPORT • PACIFIC NORTHWEST FAIR AVERAGE QUALITY US NO. 1 – WHOLE GREEN PEAS – SMALL SIEVE GREEN PEAS – YELLOW PEAS – ALL LENTILS – CHICKPEAS
  • MONTANA/NORTH DAKOTA FAIR AVERAGE QUALITY • • • • US SMOOTH GREEN PEAS US WHOLE YELLOW PEAS LENTILS CHICKPEAS US NO. 2 US NO. 3 US NO. 2 US NO. 2 – AVERAGE SEED COUNT 63 OVER 22/64TH
  • Source: USDA/FAS
  • Source: USDA/FAS
  • Source: USDA/FAS
  • Source: USDA/FAS
  • DECEMBER 1 STOCKS ON HAND REPORTS (1000 CWT) 2010 2011 % CHANGE DRY PEAS 8444 3959 -53% LENTILS 4424 3944 -11% CHICKPEAS 1053 1061 +1% Source: USDA/FAS
  • U.S. Lentil Supply and Demand
  • U.S. Pea Supply and Demand
  • AVERAGE PRICES TRADING CY US PORTS • WHOLE YELLOW PEAS – US #2 $490.00/MT – *** LOW PRODUCTION/USDA TENDERS • WHOLE GREEN PEAS – BRANDED #1 $550.00/MT – BULK #2 THRESHER $405/MT – BULK #2 PROCESSED $435/MT • LENTILS – US #1 RICHLEAS $700/MT – US #2 RICHLEAS BULK $630/MT – PARDINA $900.00/MT • CHICKPEAS – 9MM US NO.1 BRANDED $1400/MT – ** STOCKS SOLD OUT/DOMESTIC MARKET FIRM
  • 2012 SPRING US PULSE SEEDING INFORMATION • SEEDING SEASON IS APRIL 1 – MAY 15 • PNW WEATHER HAS SEEN GOOD MOISTURE • MONTANA/NORTH DAKOTA WINTER HAS BEEN VERY MILD • MONTANA GROWING REGIONS ARE VERY DRY • NORTH DAKOTA PREVENTED PLANT ACRES WILL AFFECT PULSES • FARMERS HAVE MANY GOOD OPTIONS TO PLANT
  • Source: North Dakota State University
  • 2012 US PULSE SEEDING PROJECTIONS • CHICKPEA ACRES TO INCREASE – LARGE SIZE UP 7 % (7000 ACRES) – SMALL SIZE UP 40% (10,000 ACRES) • YELLOW PEAS ACRES TO INCREASE – PRODUCERS WILL SWITCH FROM GREEN TO YELLOW – NORTH DAKOTA WILL GROW MORE PEAS • GREEN PEAS WILL INCREASE BUT…… – PNW ACRES (HIGHER QUALITY) WILL DECREASE – MONTANA ACRES WILL HOLD STEADY TO LOWER – NORTH DAKOTA WILL INCREASE BUT GENERALLY LOWER QUALITY (#2/#3) • LENTILS ACRES WILL INCREASE AND… – MONTANA ACRES WILL BE HIGHER WITH MORE REDS/ESTON AND LAIRDS LESS RICHLEA • NORTH DAKOTA WILL INCREASE DUE TO BETTER WEATHER