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WEO-2013 special analysis on “Energy and Global Competitiveness
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WEO-2013 special analysis on “Energy and Global Competitiveness



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  • 1. © OECD/IEA 2013 WEO-2013 special analysis on “Energy and Global Competitiveness” Dr. Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist Paris, 4 June 2013
  • 2. © OECD/IEA 2013 Overview of WEO-2013 & related analysis  A full update of energy projections  By country, fuel & sector, through 2035, with a stopover in 2020  Fuel focus: Oil  Country focus: Brazil  Other features:  Unconventional gas developments & the uptake of IEA “Golden Rules”  What the changing energy map means for global competiveness  Special Reports in the WEO series  Redrawing the Energy-Climate map – 10 June (London)  Southeast Asia Energy Outlook – late September (East Asian Summit, Bali)
  • 3. © OECD/IEA 2013 What the changing energy map means for global competiveness  Analysis led by the Directorate of Global Energy Economics, in close cooperation with industry, governments & other stakeholders  A special chapter in WEO-2013 with some 30 pages of analysis  Timeline:  Analysis & preparation of draft ongoing  Today’s discussions will help seek expert views & advice  Draft chapter sent for peer review: 2 August  Launch to international press: 12 November, London  IEA Ministerial meeting: 19-20 November, Paris
  • 4. © OECD/IEA 2013 Approach and topics  Foundations of global energy system shifting:  Resurgence in oil & gas production in some countries  Retreat from nuclear in some others  Signs of increasing policy focus on energy efficiency  Key areas for analysis:  How big a concern energy competitiveness is in reality  What persistent energy-price disparities mean for future economic balances  Which industry sectors are likely to be most affected and why  What industry & policy makers could do to improve energy competitiveness
  • 5. © OECD/IEA 2013 This session  Now three interventions by:  Dr. Peter Westerheide, Chief Economist, BASF  Mr. Joe Mastrangelo, CEO Power Conversion, General Electric  Mr. Graham Weale, Chief Economist, RWE  Then open discussion till 17h30  Informal meeting, so Chatham House rule applies  Objective is to seek your expert views on how best to shape the WEO-2013 special analysis on “Energy & Global Competitiveness”