German Energy Policy – Views from the Outside                                        Dr. Carsten Rolle                    ...
Who we are - World Energy Council(WEC)    Largest impartial global energy network    Founded in 1923, based in London    M...
German Energy Policy– Views from Outside      German „Energiewende“ – a blueprint for the world?      What are the current...
German „Energiewende“ - Targets23. October 2012    German Norwegian Energy Forum   4
”Energiewende” – Global Survey   Survey among WEC-network   Feedback from 21 Countries   14 within Europe    7 outside of ...
”Energiewende” – Global Survey    No expert believes that GER will reach all its objectives of the    energy concept in ti...
GER energy policy - blueprint for the world?  GER shouldn’t be a blueprint              Potential elements to copy        ...
Structure of electricity generationcapacities in Germany                                           The installed capacity ...
Major challenge: integration of renewableenergies into the power supply system                                            ...
Major challenge: integration of renewableenergies into the power supply system Installed capacity of renewable energy, in ...
Yearly surpluses in Germany 60000    M                                                                      2012          ...
Potential solutions for the integration ofrenewables: storage facilities23. October 2012        German Norwegian Energy Fo...
Different energy storage systems fordifferent applications                                                International   ...
Facing the challanges - Regional interconnection tobalance demand and supplyCan international hydroelectric storages contr...
German Energy Policy– Views from the OutsideThank you!Dr. Carsten RolleExecutive DirectorWorld Energy Council - GermanGert...
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German energy policy views from outside - Carsten Rolle

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German Norwegian Energy Forum
Conference 2012 in Berlin

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German energy policy views from outside - Carsten Rolle

  1. 1. German Energy Policy – Views from the Outside Dr. Carsten Rolle Executive Director German Norwegian Energy Forum Berlin, 23 October 2012
  2. 2. Who we are - World Energy Council(WEC) Largest impartial global energy network Founded in 1923, based in London More than 90 Member Countries Representing the entire energy spectrum Hosting high-level events / publishing authoritative studies / facilitating the worlds energy policy dialogue Mission Statement since 1924: "To promote the sustainable supply and use of energy for the greatest benefit of all people"23. October 2012 2
  3. 3. German Energy Policy– Views from Outside German „Energiewende“ – a blueprint for the world? What are the current challenges for the German energy transition? What are the potential solutions?23 October 2012 3
  4. 4. German „Energiewende“ - Targets23. October 2012 German Norwegian Energy Forum 4
  5. 5. ”Energiewende” – Global Survey Survey among WEC-network Feedback from 21 Countries 14 within Europe 7 outside of Europe 10 questions in the following areas 1) How feasible are the objectives of the “Energiewende”? 2) Which national/international consequences are expected? 3) Could the GER approach serve as a blueprint for the world?23 October 2012 5
  6. 6. ”Energiewende” – Global Survey No expert believes that GER will reach all its objectives of the energy concept in time. But: 67 % of the experts believe that GER, will generally reach its objectives partly or with delay. Short-/medium-term a weakening of GER’s economic power is expected by 76 %. But: Long-term 33 % expect a strengthening. 71 % expect in the midterm a significant additional increase of electricity prices in their own national markets. 62 % expect increased threats for Europe’s security of supply.23 October 2012 6
  7. 7. GER energy policy - blueprint for the world? GER shouldn’t be a blueprint Potential elements to copy for the world RES-goals No element worth being copied CO2-goals other elements, partly not specified81 % reject that the GER energy 62 % of the experts agree that somepolicy approach should be a elements of the GER approach could beblueprint for the world replicated in their countries23 October 2012 7
  8. 8. Structure of electricity generationcapacities in Germany The installed capacity of renewable energies will nearly triple until 2030. A big part accounts for wind power and photovoltaic systems. The installed capacity of coal power plants will decrease prospectively. Power plants under construction will still be realized. But a further expansion would no longer be cost- effective. Despite new construction projects, capacities of lignite power plants will also decline in the following years. Prognos 201123. October 2012 German Norwegian Energy Forum 8
  9. 9. Major challenge: integration of renewableenergies into the power supply system DRL Leitstudie 201123. October 2012 German Norwegian Energy Forum 9
  10. 10. Major challenge: integration of renewableenergies into the power supply system Installed capacity of renewable energy, in GW Annual maximum load Annual minimum load DRL Leitstudie 201123. October 2012 German Norwegian Energy Forum 10
  11. 11. Yearly surpluses in Germany 60000 M 2012 2020 40000 2030 Surplus due to fluctuating inflow 2040 2050 20000 0 Essential dispatchable power generation -20000 -40000 -60000 1 1001 2001 3001 4001 5001 6001 7001 800123. October 2012 German Norwegian Energy Forum 11
  12. 12. Potential solutions for the integration ofrenewables: storage facilities23. October 2012 German Norwegian Energy Forum 12
  13. 13. Different energy storage systems fordifferent applications International hydropower storage23. October 2012 German Norwegian Energy Forum 13
  14. 14. Facing the challanges - Regional interconnection tobalance demand and supplyCan international hydroelectric storages contributeto the German energy transformation? Realistic assessment of the challanges by the transformation the storage potentials available in Germany, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland and Austria how these potentials can be utilized National and international partners involved to verify the assessments23 October 2012 14
  15. 15. German Energy Policy– Views from the OutsideThank you!Dr. Carsten RolleExecutive DirectorWorld Energy Council - GermanGertraudenstrasse 20D-10178 BerlinGermanyTel: +49-30-2061-6750Fax: +49-30-2028-2595Mail: rolle@weltenergierat.dewww.weltenergierat.de23 October 2012 15

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