Personal Ingenuity and Emerging Technologies

Leadership in the Interactive Age Personal Ingenuity and Emerging Technologies Part 2 Paul Schumann

Introductions

Series Overview

Purpose and Objectives

Content and Format

Summary

Program Description

Objectives

Topics

Topics

Technology and Change

Technology and Work

Types of Technology

The Emerging Technologies of the Interactive Age

Technology and Ingenuity

Technology and Change

Technology As the Facilitator of Change

Technology As the Driver of Change

Technology As the Result of Change

The Interaction of Technology and Change Forces Needs Response Technology Change Change Change Change

Change and the Measurement of Time

Passage of Time and Its Measurement Important to Man

Some of the Earliest Writing of Man is Concerned With Time

Time Measurement Used For

Agriculture

Religion

Business

Personal

Change and The Technology of Time 1000 BC 0 1000 AD 2000AD Vertical Staff Sundial Latitude Correction Horizontal Sundial Clepsydra Dial Water Clock Hourglass Mechanical Clocks Pendulum Clock Dead Beat Escapement Tuning Fork IC Watch ?

The Information Evolution 0 4 8 12 16 Virus Bacteria Algae Protozoa Man Amphibians Reptiles Mammals Humans Word Letter Pictograph Book Photograph CD TV Show Library Controller 64K Computer 1 M Byte All Computers Genetic Brain Extrasomatic Computers Bits in Powers of 10

Technology and Work

Raw Materials

Time and Place

Function

Purpose

Work and The Technology of Time 9 7 5 3 1 -1 -3 -5 -7 Time Measurement (seconds - powers of 10) Cyclical Calendar(12 yrs) Agriculture(season) Religion(day) Call to Work, Worship, Market(hr) White Collar Work(5 min) Blue Collar Work(<1 min) Computers Moon Sun Mechanism Quartz Oscillator Electronic Oscillator

US Worker Population Distribution Year Source: Future Forces

US Work Force Distribution Source: Future Forces

Types of Technology

Definition: The Application of Ingenuity

Pursuit of Understanding

Discernment of Our Purpose

Expansion of Our Ability to Create

Types

Direct

Supportive

Enabling

Types of Technology (cont.)

Levels

Materials

Component

System

The Structure of Technology Direct Supportive Enabling Knowing Being Creating Material Component System

Critical Technologies

Lead Technologies for Long Term Economic and Defense Superiority

New Materials

Advanced Semiconductor Devices

High Performance Computing Systems

Consensus Choice

Japan’s Ministry of International Trade (MITI)

U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC)

U.S. Department of Defense (DOD)

Critical Technologies (cont.)

DOC Forecasts by the Year 2000

$325 billion in U.S. Sales

$700 billion World Wide

DOC Concludes U.S. Research Lags Japan in These Technologies

Other Emerging Technologies DOC DOD MITI ICC Machine Intelligence Robotics Photonics Supercon- ductivity Aerospace Energy Quantum Engineering Biotechnology IVHS Flat Panel Display Medical Diagnostic & Imaging Surgical Robots Blood Treatment Superconductive Wire Semiconductors & Chips Bio-tech High Density Data Storage Flexible Computer- Integrated Manufacturing Sensors

The Emerging Technologies of the Interactive Age