Future of Technology


Published on

This presentation discusses what technology is, in a very genral sense what are the key information technologies for the future, what is technology management and guidelines for thriving.

Published in: Business, Technology
  • Be the first to comment

No Downloads
Total views
On SlideShare
From Embeds
Number of Embeds
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide
  • Technology has, is and will affect your life and the enterprises you depend upon. My Grandfather, on my mother’s side, lived in Galveston, Texas. In his youth, after the great storm of 1900, built water cisterns. It was a highly skilled and specialized trade essential to residents of the island as a central water system did not exist. Wells couldn't be dug on the island. When wells were established on the mainland and a pipeline laid to the island, the need for his skill went away, as did his business. He went into railroads and became an engineer for the Santa Fe. It was a thriving business that enabled him to work productively throughout his life. My father also went into the railroad business. He worked for the Pullman Company. They made and maintained sleeper cars for the passenger trains. To ride on a Pullman was to go first class. Quality and service was the best. And, travel via Pullman cars was most expensive and comfortable. When air travel flourished, the need for sleeping cars was the first casualty in the railroad business. He got laid off at midlife and never really fully recovered from the loss. I was determined not to have the same fate. I went to college and graduate school, studied solid state physics. From there I went to work for IBM in the fledgling semiconductor business. I was fortunate enough to ride the technology/business cycle through most of my career, but then in midlife, found IBM unable to change with the shifting sands of technology.
  • Future of Technology

    1. 1. The Future of Technology Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    2. 2. Outline <ul><li>Technology </li></ul><ul><li>Key Technologies for the Future </li></ul><ul><li>Technology Management </li></ul><ul><li>Guidelines for Thriving </li></ul>Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    3. 3. Technology <ul><li>Technology is the practical application of knowledge. </li></ul><ul><li>Types </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Direct </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Supportive </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Enabling </li></ul></ul>Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    4. 4. Types of Technology Glocal Vantage, Inc. Technologies embodied in a product Technologies used in the development, manufacture, distribution, marketing, etc. of a product Technologies used to enhance the effectiveness or efficiency of supportive or direct technologies Enabling Supportive Direct
    5. 5. Product Technology Clusters Glocal Vantage, Inc. Enabling Supportive Direct
    6. 6. Economic Driving Force Glocal Vantage, Inc. 50’s 60’s 70’s 80’s 90’s 00’s Enabling Supportive Direct
    7. 7. Information Technologies Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    8. 8. Characteristics of the New Economy <ul><li>Creativity </li></ul><ul><li>Informatization </li></ul><ul><li>Knowledge management </li></ul><ul><li>Continuous, integrated education </li></ul><ul><li>Innovation </li></ul><ul><li>Digitization </li></ul><ul><li>Mass customization </li></ul><ul><li>Virtualization </li></ul><ul><li>Interactive integration </li></ul><ul><li>Disintermediation </li></ul><ul><li>Immediacy </li></ul><ul><li>Glocalization </li></ul>Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    9. 9. Information and Creativity Glocal Vantage, Inc. Creativity Creativity Creativity Noise Data Knowledge Wisdom
    10. 10. Key Information Technologies <ul><li>Computer </li></ul><ul><li>Internet </li></ul><ul><li>Telecommunications </li></ul><ul><li>Image </li></ul><ul><li>Software systems </li></ul>Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    11. 11. Technology Actualization <ul><li>Research </li></ul><ul><li>Management </li></ul><ul><li>Development </li></ul><ul><li>Embodiment </li></ul>Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    12. 12. Technology Actualization Process Glocal Vantage, Inc. Research Management Development Embodiment Definition Open Closed Strategic Tactical Emphasis
    13. 13. Tasks <ul><li>Identify and understand the driving forces for change </li></ul><ul><li>Delineate customer needs </li></ul><ul><li>Understand competitive strategies </li></ul><ul><li>Forecast technological capability </li></ul>Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    14. 14. Technology Forecasting <ul><li>Surveillance </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Scanning </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Monitoring </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Tracking </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Trend Analysis </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Precursor developments </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Trend extrapolation </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Pearle curve </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Learning curve </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Substitution analysis </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Expert Opinion </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Interviews </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Survey </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Group techniques </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Integrative </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Scenarios </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Cross impact </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Mathematical models </li></ul></ul>Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    15. 15. Guidelines for Thriving <ul><li>Gain a broader perspective </li></ul><ul><li>Look for what’s changing </li></ul><ul><li>Find the squeak of the pigs </li></ul><ul><li>Focus on the space between </li></ul><ul><li>Search for synergy </li></ul><ul><li>Expect beauty </li></ul><ul><li>Exploit the potential of information technologies </li></ul>Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    16. 16. Market Opportunity & Threat Glocal Vantage, Inc. Customers Competitors Technologies Social Political Economic Demographic Scientific Opportunity Threat
    17. 17. The Glocal Vantage Glocal Vantage, Inc. Market Stakeholders Organization Capability Organization Capacity Strategy
    18. 18. Potential of Information Technologies Glocal Vantage, Inc. Effective Individuals High Performance Teams Integrated Enterprises Extended Enterprises Internetworked Business Source: Digital Economy , Dan Tapscott
    19. 19. Glocal Vantage, Inc. <ul><li>PO Box 161475 </li></ul><ul><li>Austin, TX 78716 </li></ul><ul><li>(512) 632-6586 </li></ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul><ul><li>www.glocalvantage.com </li></ul><ul><li>http://incollaboration.com </li></ul><ul><li>Twitter: innovant2003 </li></ul>Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    20. 20. Paul Schumann <ul><li>Futurist and innovation consultant </li></ul><ul><li>Application of web 2.0 to market & strategic intelligence systems </li></ul><ul><li>Web 2.0 tools & technologies </li></ul><ul><li>Application of web 2.0 to democratic processes </li></ul><ul><li>Broad perspectives on the future </li></ul><ul><li>Services </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Strategic market research & technology forecasting </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Intelligence systems consulting </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Seminars, webinars & presentations </li></ul></ul>Glocal Vantage, Inc.
    21. 21. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution license. You may distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon this work, even commercially, as long as you credit me for the original creation as Paul Schumann, Glocal Vantage Inc, www.glocalvantage.com.