Forecasting Technological Change Session 1. Introduction & Surveillance Techniques Paul A. Schumann, Jr. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 06/07/09

Sessions Introduction Trend Analysis Techniques Expert Opinion Techniques Integrative Techniques Closing 06/07/09

Introduction

Trend Analysis Techniques

Expert Opinion Techniques

Integrative Techniques

Closing

Sessions Introduction Trend Analysis Techniques Expert Opinion Techniques Integrative Techniques Closing 06/07/09

Introduction

Trend Analysis Techniques

Expert Opinion Techniques

Integrative Techniques

Closing

1. Introduction Description of Course What is Technology? Summary of Technology Forecasting Applications of Technology Forecasting Surveillance Techniques 06/07/09

Description of Course

What is Technology?

Summary of Technology Forecasting

Applications of Technology Forecasting

Surveillance Techniques

1. Introduction Description of Course What is Technology? Summary of Technology Forecasting Applications of Technology Forecasting Surveillance Techniques 06/07/09

Description of Course

What is Technology?

Summary of Technology Forecasting

Applications of Technology Forecasting

Surveillance Techniques

Description of Course Four different types of technology forecasting methods More than 16 different technology forecasting methods Plan and implement a technology forecast Competitive advantage Increased innovation Increased profitability Creation of new markets Cost reduction Market expansion Career development 06/07/09

Four different types of technology forecasting methods

More than 16 different technology forecasting methods

Plan and implement a technology forecast

Competitive advantage

Increased innovation

Increased profitability

Creation of new markets

Cost reduction

Market expansion

Career development

What is Technology? “ Technology is systemized knowledge applied to alter, control or order elements of our physical or social environment” - Porter “ Technology is the systematic application of organized knowledge to practical activities, especially productive ones.” - Vanston “ Technology is the practical application of knowledge. It manifests itself in the form of methods, materials and systems.” - Prestwood & Schumann Advances in technology or society always affect themselves and each other 06/07/09

“ Technology is systemized knowledge applied to alter, control or order elements of our physical or social environment” - Porter

“ Technology is the systematic application of organized knowledge to practical activities, especially productive ones.” - Vanston

“ Technology is the practical application of knowledge. It manifests itself in the form of methods, materials and systems.” - Prestwood & Schumann

Advances in technology or society always affect themselves and each other

1. Introduction Description of Course What is Technology? Summary of Technology Forecasting Applications of Technology Forecasting Surveillance Techniques 06/07/09

Description of Course

What is Technology?

Summary of Technology Forecasting

Applications of Technology Forecasting

Surveillance Techniques

Technology Forecasting “ Forecasting is anticipating, projecting or estimating some future event, series of events or conditions which is outside of the direct control of the organization.” - Waddell & Sohal “ Technology forecasting is the determination of the possible evolution of the technical dimensions of a certain material, product, process or service.” - Martino “ a quantified prediction of the timing and of the character of the degree of change in a technical parameter.” - Bright 06/07/09

“ Forecasting is anticipating, projecting or estimating some future event, series of events or conditions which is outside of the direct control of the organization.” - Waddell & Sohal

“ Technology forecasting is the determination of the possible evolution of the technical dimensions of a certain material, product, process or service.” - Martino

“ a quantified prediction of the timing and of the character of the degree of change in a technical parameter.” - Bright

TF (cont.) “ to provide the means whereby a systematic approach can be applied to obtain a better view of the future, one that is sufficiently sound to give an adequate foundation for decision making.” - Twiss “ Technology forecasting is the process of using logical, reproducible methods to predict in quantifiable terms, the direction, character, rate, implications and impacts of technical advance.” - Vanston 06/07/09

“ to provide the means whereby a systematic approach can be applied to obtain a better view of the future, one that is sufficiently sound to give an adequate foundation for decision making.” - Twiss

“ Technology forecasting is the process of using logical, reproducible methods to predict in quantifiable terms, the direction, character, rate, implications and impacts of technical advance.” - Vanston

TF (cont.) “ Technology forecasting is the process of discovering and communicating probable future technical capabilities in order to make better decisions today and prevent surprises tomorrow.” - Prestwood & Schumann 06/07/09

“ Technology forecasting is the process of discovering and communicating probable future technical capabilities in order to make better decisions today and prevent surprises tomorrow.” - Prestwood & Schumann

Technology Forecasting Focused on the future Systematic, disciplined approach Sufficiently sound to provide a foundation for decision making Integrate intuition and rationality Not for its own sake but to answer a question or make a decision Must recognize the context 06/07/09

Focused on the future

Systematic, disciplined approach

Sufficiently sound to provide a foundation for decision making

Integrate intuition and rationality

Not for its own sake but to answer a question or make a decision

Must recognize the context

TF (cont.) Can be described and explained Teachable Provides a procedure that can be followed by others Can be checked by others to see if mistakes have been made If conditions change, forecast can be redone and plans altered 06/07/09

Can be described and explained

Teachable

Provides a procedure that can be followed by others

Can be checked by others to see if mistakes have been made

If conditions change, forecast can be redone and plans altered

Telecommunications 06/07/09 Source: Porter

Management “ Regardless of what is being managed, management implies concern for the future. Even ignoring the future involves the implicit assumption that tomorrow will not differ in any important way from today. All managers must make decisions today that will affect the organization’s future.” - Porter 06/07/09

“ Regardless of what is being managed, management implies concern for the future. Even ignoring the future involves the implicit assumption that tomorrow will not differ in any important way from today. All managers must make decisions today that will affect the organization’s future.” - Porter

Management (cont.) When we make a technical decision today, it is essential to ensure that it will lead to a result which is appropriate to the circumstances, some time in the future. As the future is not predestined, it is unknown. The future will be shaped by today’s decisions. Today’s decisions must be based on extensions of today’s knowledge and that involves uncertainty. 06/07/09

When we make a technical decision today, it is essential to ensure that it will lead to a result which is appropriate to the circumstances, some time in the future.

As the future is not predestined, it is unknown.

The future will be shaped by today’s decisions.

Today’s decisions must be based on extensions of today’s knowledge and that involves uncertainty.

Management (cont.) Organizations must develop planning tools that can deal with uncertainty and convert unstructured data and insights into intelligence that can be used to make decisions. Technology forecasting can reduce uncertainty and the possibility of financial loss resulting from a poor decision. 06/07/09

Organizations must develop planning tools that can deal with uncertainty and convert unstructured data and insights into intelligence that can be used to make decisions.

Technology forecasting can reduce uncertainty and the possibility of financial loss resulting from a poor decision.

TF Process 06/07/09 Inputs Techniques Output Decision/Question Qualitative Quantitative Time Probability Planning Implementation Assumptions Data Insight Judgement Projective Normative

Types of Forecasts 06/07/09 What are possible futures? Can we find a path to get to those futures? What is the trend? What may affect the trend? What are the potential futures? Future 1 Future 2 Today Normative Projective

Rationale for TF Technologies usually grow in an orderly manner over time and through practice There is a consistency or pattern of technological change and abrupt deviations are not common All innovations go through a process Technology casts its shadow far ahead Technological change is the response to various forces 06/07/09

Technologies usually grow in an orderly manner over time and through practice

There is a consistency or pattern of technological change and abrupt deviations are not common

All innovations go through a process

Technology casts its shadow far ahead

Technological change is the response to various forces

TF Applications Projections of rates at which new technologies will replace older ones Assistance in the management of R&D Evaluation of the present value of new technology Identification and evaluation of new products/processes that present opportunities or threats Analysis of new technologies that may change the strategies or operations 06/07/09

Projections of rates at which new technologies will replace older ones

Assistance in the management of R&D

Evaluation of the present value of new technology

Identification and evaluation of new products/processes that present opportunities or threats

Analysis of new technologies that may change the strategies or operations

Technology Life Cycle 06/07/09 Time (Effort, Experience) Utility Function S-Curve

Innovation Life Cycle Stage 1. Scientific findings; determination of opportunity or need Stage 2. Demonstration of laboratory feasibility Stage 3. Prototype or field trial Stage 4. Commercial introduction or operational use Stage 5. Widespread adoption Stage 6. Diffusion Stage7. Social or economic impact 06/07/09

Stage 1. Scientific findings; determination of opportunity or need

Stage 2. Demonstration of laboratory feasibility

Stage 3. Prototype or field trial

Stage 4. Commercial introduction or operational use

Stage 5. Widespread adoption

Stage 6. Diffusion

Stage7. Social or economic impact

Stages of Innovation 06/07/09 Source: Martino

Internet 06/07/09 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Stage 5 Stage 6 Stage 7

Internet History 1985: First registered domain name 1988: Internet Relay Chat (IRC) 1990: First commercial ISP 1990: Hypertext protocol 1991: World Wide Web 1992: Search tool 1993: Browser 1994: Banner ads 2000: DotCom’s 1958: Advanced Research Projects Agency (ARPA ) 1968: Packet switching network 1969: First four nodes on ARPAnet 1971: E-mail 1978: Usenet established 1983: Name server 1984: Domain Name System (DNS) 06/07/09

1985: First registered domain name

1988: Internet Relay Chat (IRC)

1990: First commercial ISP

1990: Hypertext protocol

1991: World Wide Web

1992: Search tool

1993: Browser

1994: Banner ads

2000: DotCom’s

1958: Advanced Research Projects Agency (ARPA )

1968: Packet switching network

1969: First four nodes on ARPAnet

1971: E-mail

1978: Usenet established

1983: Name server

1984: Domain Name System (DNS)

Observations The full process of technological innovation takes a long time Many factors influence the progress and direction of the technology Government actions can impact technological innovation Technological capabilities grow in an exponential manner 06/07/09

The full process of technological innovation takes a long time

Many factors influence the progress and direction of the technology

Government actions can impact technological innovation

Technological capabilities grow in an exponential manner

Observations (cont.) Rates of technological improvement do not equate with revenue/profit Accelerated progress happens when technologies interact Mode of marketing and financing usage is significant Strong present practices and values slow acceptance 06/07/09

Rates of technological improvement do not equate with revenue/profit

Accelerated progress happens when technologies interact

Mode of marketing and financing usage is significant

Strong present practices and values slow acceptance

Observations (cont.) Innovation is delayed if substantial capital must be displaced Exogenous events may alter progress significantly Pull is stronger than push 06/07/09

Innovation is delayed if substantial capital must be displaced

Exogenous events may alter progress significantly

Pull is stronger than push

Four Causes of Reality Material Formal Productive Final 06/07/09

Material

Formal

Productive

Final

Four Causes of Reality Material Formal Productive Final Surveillance techniques Scanning Monitoring Tracking 06/07/09

Material

Formal

Productive

Final

Surveillance techniques

Scanning

Monitoring

Tracking

Four Causes of Reality Material Formal Productive Final Trend analysis Analogy Precursor developments Trend extrapolation Limit curve Substitution analysis Multiple substitution analysis 06/07/09

Material

Formal

Productive

Final

Trend analysis

Analogy

Precursor developments

Trend extrapolation

Limit curve

Substitution analysis

Multiple substitution analysis

Four Causes of Reality Material Formal Productive Final Expert opinion techniques Interviews Surveys Groups 06/07/09

Material

Formal

Productive

Final

Expert opinion techniques

Interviews

Surveys

Groups

Four Causes of Reality Material Formal Productive Final Integrative techniques Scenarios SWOT Opportunity/Threat analysis Cross Impact Analysis Innovation map Mathematical models Road Map 06/07/09

Material

Formal

Productive

Final

Integrative techniques

Scenarios

SWOT

Opportunity/Threat analysis

Cross Impact Analysis

Innovation map

Mathematical models

Road Map

A Market 06/07/09 Customers Technology Competition Demographic Sociopolitical Scientific Economic Embedded Supportive Enabling Present Potential Possible Direct Indirect Structural

1. Introduction Description of Course What is Technology? Summary of Technology Forecasting Applications of Technology Forecasting Surveillance Techniques 06/07/09

Description of Course

What is Technology?

Summary of Technology Forecasting

Applications of Technology Forecasting

Surveillance Techniques

Surveillance Exploratory Frame questions Structure TF research Increase awareness Provide data for a TF Identify emerging technologies, markets or players 06/07/09

Exploratory

Frame questions

Structure TF research

Increase awareness

Provide data for a TF

Identify emerging technologies, markets or players

Surveillance Techniques Scanning Monitoring Tracking 06/07/09 Not moving, getting larger Not moving, getting smaller Moving away Moving tangentially Moving towards

Scanning

Monitoring

Tracking

Surveillance 06/07/09 Boundaries Model Information

From Noise to Wisdom 06/07/09 Creativity Diversity Methodology Conversation Facts History Dynamics/Structures Environment Wisdom Knowledge Data/Insight Noise

Surveillance Articles - news, journals, magazines Books Reports Internet Bibliographic Data/text mining Patents 06/07/09 Intelligence is a prime requirement for successful technology management. Alan Porter

Articles - news, journals, magazines

Books

Reports

Internet

Bibliographic

Data/text mining

Patents

Surveillance Articles - news, journals, magazines Books Reports Internet Bibliographic Data/text mining Patents 06/07/09

Articles - news, journals, magazines

Books

Reports

Internet

Bibliographic

Data/text mining

Patents

Scanning One time Continuous 06/07/09

One time

Continuous

Scanning Examples Nanotechnology/MEMS Internet security 06/07/09

Nanotechnology/MEMS

Internet security

Scanning Examples Nanotechnology/MEMS Internet security 06/07/09

Nanotechnology/MEMS

Internet security

Nanotechnology 06/07/09 Source: Sandia 50  m

Scanning With a Search Engine 06/07/09 www.kartoo.com

Search Engine Example 06/07/09

Search Engine Example 06/07/09

Search Engine Example 06/07/09

Search Engine Example 06/07/09

The World of Nanotechnology 06/07/09 Genomics Semiconductors MEMS Electronic Systems Mechanical Systems Electrical Systems Material Systems Molecular Construction

MEMS Micro Electro-mechanical Systems Optical switching Biomedics Tire sensors Cell phone Consumer electronics 19% to 65% CGR Other Applications Micro sensors Micro positioning systems Digital theater projectors Home digital video Data storage devices Optical tuners, attenuators Bio chip, medical products Under skin drug dispensing Other automotive 06/07/09

Micro Electro-mechanical Systems

Optical switching

Biomedics

Tire sensors

Cell phone

Consumer electronics

19% to 65% CGR

Other Applications

Micro sensors

Micro positioning systems

Digital theater projectors

Home digital video

Data storage devices

Optical tuners, attenuators

Bio chip, medical products

Under skin drug dispensing

Other automotive

MEMS (cont.) 06/07/09

MEMS (cont.) Basically a Silicon technology No universal building block Scalability is different (similar to analog and mixed signal electronics) Merging of mechanical and VLSI design Enabling technology Covers nearly every aspect of the economies of developed countries Combination of sensors/actuators/communication Microsystems capable of performing tasks not otherwise possible 06/07/09

Basically a Silicon technology

No universal building block

Scalability is different (similar to analog and mixed signal electronics)

Merging of mechanical and VLSI design

Enabling technology

Covers nearly every aspect of the economies of developed countries

Combination of sensors/actuators/communication

Microsystems capable of performing tasks not otherwise possible

MEMS (cont.) Pivotal application - tire pressure sensors Moving from sensors to actuators with controlled microscopic movements In US growing from 1.6 MEMS per person in 2002 to 5 in 2004 Three distinct processing technologies Surface micromachining Bulk micromachining LIGA (lithographie - lithography, galvanoformung - electroplating, abformung - molding) 06/07/09

Pivotal application - tire pressure sensors

Moving from sensors to actuators with controlled microscopic movements

In US growing from 1.6 MEMS per person in 2002 to 5 in 2004

Three distinct processing technologies

Surface micromachining

Bulk micromachining

LIGA (lithographie - lithography, galvanoformung - electroplating, abformung - molding)

MEMS (cont.) MEMS industry has proven to be an enabling technology in several key economic sectors such as telecommunications and healthcare. The explosion in MEMS-related research expenditures has led to the creation of a new industry containing such infrastructure components as companies specializing in providing design software, design services, specialty fabrication equipment, and fabrication facilities. The range of applications for MEMS covers nearly every aspect of the economies of the developed countries. The most basic advantages derived from size reduction are less power consumption, lower cost, and increased reliability. However, the most significant benefit is the ability of MEMS devices to communicate easily with semiconductor chips. This attribute has given rise to the development of microsystems capable of performing tasks that would be otherwise impossible. 06/07/09

MEMS industry has proven to be an enabling technology in several key economic sectors such as telecommunications and healthcare. The explosion in MEMS-related research expenditures has led to the creation of a new industry containing such infrastructure components as companies specializing in providing design software, design services, specialty fabrication equipment, and fabrication facilities. The range of applications for MEMS covers nearly every aspect of the economies of the developed countries. The most basic advantages derived from size reduction are less power consumption, lower cost, and increased reliability. However, the most significant benefit is the ability of MEMS devices to communicate easily with semiconductor chips. This attribute has given rise to the development of microsystems capable of performing tasks that would be otherwise impossible.

MEMS (cont.) Development of the MEMS piece of the wireless pie has required significant innovation at the engineering level, while the electronics that provide the wireless portion, by and large, are already well established. It is the pairing of the two that is opening the doors to markets and applications that have been waiting for such a breakthrough. The field will change from today's sensor-based technology to an actuator technology, with very controlled microscopic movements. The primary driver for the rapid expansion of MEMS remains the automotive industry, where manufacturers, especially automotive companies pushing to comply with new regulations for tire sensors, are deploying a wide range of MEMS products. Sales of wireless MEMS sensors are forecast to reach about $700 million in 2006, largely based on the use of sensors in tire pressure monitoring systems. However, this application is not yet a done deal a pending government decision could either completely eliminate this segment beyond 2006, or provide for exponentially higher revenues. 06/07/09

Development of the MEMS piece of the wireless pie has required significant innovation at the engineering level, while the electronics that provide the wireless portion, by and large, are already well established. It is the pairing of the two that is opening the doors to markets and applications that have been waiting for such a breakthrough.

The field will change from today's sensor-based technology to an actuator technology, with very controlled microscopic movements.

The primary driver for the rapid expansion of MEMS remains the automotive industry, where manufacturers, especially automotive companies pushing to comply with new regulations for tire sensors, are deploying a wide range of MEMS products.

Sales of wireless MEMS sensors are forecast to reach about $700 million in 2006, largely based on the use of sensors in tire pressure monitoring systems. However, this application is not yet a done deal a pending government decision could either completely eliminate this segment beyond 2006, or provide for exponentially higher revenues.

MEMS (cont.) Roadmaps NEXUS - 2000 MIG (MEMS Industry Group) - 2001 MANCEF (Micro and Nanotechnology Commercialization Education Foundation) - 2003 06/07/09

Roadmaps

NEXUS - 2000

MIG (MEMS Industry Group) - 2001

MANCEF (Micro and Nanotechnology Commercialization Education Foundation) - 2003

MEMS Questions Wide range of market size? Wide range of market growth rates? Definition of market? Resolution of process issues? Tracking of tire pressure sensor application? Other wireless applications? 06/07/09

Wide range of market size?

Wide range of market growth rates?

Definition of market?

Resolution of process issues?

Tracking of tire pressure sensor application? Other wireless applications?

Scanning Examples Nanotechnology/MEMS Internet security 06/07/09

Nanotechnology/MEMS

Internet security

Internet Security The Internet is the fastest growing communication media of all time. The number of Internet users is growing at 97% per year and will reach between 500 million and 800 million people in 2000. The number of Web pages is growing at 122% per year and will reach 2 billion pages in 2000. The number of E-mail accounts exceeded 450 million in 1999. 06/07/09

The Internet is the fastest growing communication media of all time.

The number of Internet users is growing at 97% per year and will reach between 500 million and 800 million people in 2000.

The number of Web pages is growing at 122% per year and will reach 2 billion pages in 2000.

The number of E-mail accounts exceeded 450 million in 1999.

Internet Security (cont.) Wireless Internet devices and telecommuting increases the vulnerabilities of the system. A significant portion of the growth of the Internet will take place outside of the US, increasing its vulnerability. The primary concern is authenticity and integrity of messages and content. As a result of all the growth taking place on the Internet, threat to the authenticity and integrity of the Internet is increasing. 06/07/09

Wireless Internet devices and telecommuting increases the vulnerabilities of the system.

A significant portion of the growth of the Internet will take place outside of the US, increasing its vulnerability.

The primary concern is authenticity and integrity of messages and content.

As a result of all the growth taking place on the Internet, threat to the authenticity and integrity of the Internet is increasing.

Internet Users Internet users are growing at 97% per year & reached between 500M and 800M in 2000 Continued growth at this rate, the number of Internet users would equal the present world population in 2004 Definition of users? 60% of the US adult population can now be reached by the Internet vs. 80% by telephone The Internet is the fastest growing communication medium of all time In the US there are more women online than men Teenage girls are fastest growing age group “ We are probably the most vulnerable country in the world because we are the most dependent on computers and the Internet” - Gen. David Baker (Ret.), the Washington Research Group 06/07/09

Internet users are growing at 97% per year & reached between 500M and 800M in 2000

Continued growth at this rate, the number of Internet users would equal the present world population in 2004

Definition of users?

60% of the US adult population can now be reached by the Internet vs. 80% by telephone

The Internet is the fastest growing communication medium of all time

In the US there are more women online than men

Teenage girls are fastest growing age group

“ We are probably the most vulnerable country in the world because we are the most dependent on computers and the Internet” - Gen. David Baker (Ret.), the Washington Research Group

Web Pages The number of web pages on the Internet is growing at 122% per year If this growth rate continues, the number of pages will reach 100 trillion in 2005 It is becoming more global Web sites will have to provide pages in multiple languages with culturally significant content “ The Internet is going to change fast during the next five years and change faster than it has during the last five years.” - Michael Erbschloe, Computer Economics “ Data storage growth driven by the use of web paged applications, multimedia data and data warehousing implementations, is increasing the demand for better backup and recovery tools.” - Carolyn DiCenzo, Data Quest 06/07/09

The number of web pages on the Internet is growing at 122% per year

If this growth rate continues, the number of pages will reach 100 trillion in 2005

It is becoming more global

Web sites will have to provide pages in multiple languages with culturally significant content

“ The Internet is going to change fast during the next five years and change faster than it has during the last five years.” - Michael Erbschloe, Computer Economics

“ Data storage growth driven by the use of web paged applications, multimedia data and data warehousing implementations, is increasing the demand for better backup and recovery tools.” - Carolyn DiCenzo, Data Quest

Internet Security Results Scan (111 pages) Market forecast Business & patent strategy Business plan 06/07/09

Scan (111 pages)

Market forecast

Business & patent strategy

Business plan

Surveillance Articles - news, journals, magazines Books Reports Internet Bibliographic Data/text mining Patents 06/07/09

Articles - news, journals, magazines

Books

Reports

Internet

Bibliographic

Data/text mining

Patents

Data Analysis Methods Bibliographic methods - counts of publications and other bibliographic items can help track scientific and technological developments Content analysis - elicits patterns of term usage to infer emphasis Data mining - seeks to extract useful information form any form of data 06/07/09 Source: Alan Porter

Bibliographic methods - counts of publications and other bibliographic items can help track scientific and technological developments

Content analysis - elicits patterns of term usage to infer emphasis

Data mining - seeks to extract useful information form any form of data

Bibliometrics 06/07/09 Area of interest: Metric Fundamental R&D: Number of items in databases - Science Citation Index Applied R&D: Number of items in databases - Engineering Index Development: Number of items in databases - U.S. Patents Application: Number of items in databases - Newspaper Abstracts Growth rate: Daily Trends over time in number of items Maturity: Topics receiving attention Source: Roger Hough

Data Mining (Anthrax) 06/07/09 Source: Oklahoma State University Technology Forecasting & Data Mining Team http://techforecast.okstate.edu

Patent Analysis 06/07/09 Source: Roger Hough

Surveillance Summary Surveillance has value at the individual, project/team, organizational and national level An organized surveillance project is a very valuable contribution to future success It is the foundation of a good TF program 06/07/09

Surveillance has value at the individual, project/team, organizational and national level

An organized surveillance project is a very valuable contribution to future success

It is the foundation of a good TF program

Surveillance Scanning Monitoring Tracking 06/07/09 Data, Insight Material Surveillance

Scanning

Monitoring

Tracking

Glocal Vantage, Inc. PO Box 161475 Austin, TX 78716 (512) 632-6586 [email_address] www.glocalvantage.com http://incollaboration.com Twitter: innovant2003 Glocal Vantage, Inc.

PO Box 161475

Austin, TX 78716

(512) 632-6586

[email_address]

www.glocalvantage.com

http://incollaboration.com

Twitter: innovant2003

Paul Schumann Futurist and innovation consultant Application of web 2.0 to market & strategic intelligence systems Web 2.0 tools & technologies Application of web 2.0 to democratic processes Broad perspectives on the future Services Strategic market research & technology forecasting Intelligence systems consulting Seminars, webinars & presentations Glocal Vantage, Inc.

Futurist and innovation consultant

Application of web 2.0 to market & strategic intelligence systems

Web 2.0 tools & technologies

Application of web 2.0 to democratic processes

Broad perspectives on the future

Services

Strategic market research & technology forecasting

Intelligence systems consulting

Seminars, webinars & presentations

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution license. You may distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon this work, even commercially, as long as you credit me for the original creation as Paul Schumann, Glocal Vantage Inc, www.glocalvantage.com.