Exploring the Future of Science and Technology - Presentation Transcript
Exploring the Future of Science and Technology Paul Schumann Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Topics
The Future
Types of Futures
Insight Into the Future
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Topics
The Future
Types of Futures
Insight Into the Future
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Types of Futuring Glocal Vantage, Inc. Future 1 Future 2 Today Normative Projective What are possible futures? Can we find a path to get to those futures? What is the trend? What may affect the trend? What are the potential futures?
Topics
The Future
Types of Futures
Insight Into the Future
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
The Four Futures
Simple
Cyclical
Chaotic
Complex
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
The Four Futures
Simple
Cyclical
Chaotic
Complex
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
The Four Futures
Simple
Cyclical
Chaotic
Complex
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
The Four Futures
Simple
Cyclical
Chaotic
Complex
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
The Four Futures
Simple
Cyclical
Chaotic
Complex
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
The Four Futures
Simple
Cyclical
Chaotic
Complex
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
First Industrial Revolution (1760 - 1860)
Second Industrial Revolution (1860 - 1950)
Third Industrial Revolution (1950 - 2020)
The Four Futures
Simple
Cyclical
Chaotic
Complex
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
The Four Futures
Simple
Cyclical
Chaotic
Complex
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
The Four Futures
Simple
Cyclical
Chaotic
Complex
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
The Four Futures
Simple
Cyclical
Chaotic
Complex
Glocal Vantage, Inc. Earthquakes
Topics
The Future
Types of Futures
Insight Into the Future
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Driving Forces
Demographic
Sociopolitical
Technological
Economic
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Driving Forces
Demographic
Sociopolitical
Technological
Economic
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Technology Life Cycle
Nonproductive (25 years)
Counter Productive (25 years)
Hyperproductive and Transformational (25 years)
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Transformation Glocal Vantage, Inc. 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Transistor Computer Integrated Circuit Modem Time Sharing ARPANET Microprocessor PC WWW Open Source Internet Non Productive Counter Productive Hyper Productive
The Real Costs of Information Technology Glocal Vantage, Inc. * Schumann & Prestwood, Leadership in the Interactive Age, 1995
Technological
Infocom Technologies
Internet
Personal Devices
Wireless Digital
Location Sensors
Embedded Infocom Devices
New Software Applications
Genomics
Nanomaterials
Nanomachines
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Technological
Infocom Technologies
Internet
Personal Devices
Wireless Digital
Location Sensors
Embedded Infocom Devices
New Software Applications
Genomics
Nanomaterials
Nanomachines
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
New Software Applications
Blogs
Survey/Poll Tools
Wikis
Podcasting/Audio Blogs
Vlogs (video blogs)/Videocasting
Streaming
Collaborative Spaces
Webinars
Affinity Systems
Games/Simulations
Integrated Systems
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Technological
Infocom Technologies
Internet
Personal Devices
Wireless Digital
Location Sensors
Embedded Infocom Devices
New Software Applications
Genomics
Nanomaterials
Nanomachines
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Surveillance Techniques
Scanning
Monitoring
Tracking
Glocal Vantage, Inc. Not moving, getting larger Not moving, getting smaller Moving away Moving tangentially Moving towards
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
PO Box 161475
Austin, TX 78716
(512) 632-6586
[email_address]
www.glocalvantage.com
http://incollaboration.com
Twitter: innovant2003
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
Paul Schumann
Futurist and innovation consultant
Application of web 2.0 to market & strategic intelligence systems
Web 2.0 tools & technologies
Application of web 2.0 to democratic processes
Broad perspectives on the future
Services
Strategic market research & technology forecasting
Intelligence systems consulting
Seminars, webinars & presentations
Glocal Vantage, Inc.
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution license. You may distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon this work, even commercially, as long as you credit me for the original creation as Paul Schumann, Glocal Vantage Inc, www.glocalvantage.com.
0 comments
Post a comment