Economic characteristics of road and rail freight transport infrastructure
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Dr Ric Simes, Director, Deloitte Access Economics delivered this presentation at the 2012 Ausintermodal conference. For more information on the annual event, please visit the website ...

Dr Ric Simes, Director, Deloitte Access Economics delivered this presentation at the 2012 Ausintermodal conference. For more information on the annual event, please visit the website http://bit.ly/18MD4XM

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Economic characteristics of road and rail freight transport infrastructure Presentation Transcript

  • 1. Freight Software and hardware AusIntermodal Conference 31 October 2012
  • 2. 2 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd Introduction • Economic megatrends will affect transport • How we organise our cities should be seen as an area of microeconomic reform • Transport is fundamental to cities’ economies • Transport policy: – Software – Hardware
  • 3. 3 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd An example of software and hardware • Competition reform in energy – A change to software • Allowed large productivity gains • These took us through 20 years – Now moving into a time of hardware investment
  • 4. 4 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd Transport software and hardware • Important transport decisions • Largely controlled by Cabinets • Software improvements could be beneficial • Long term need to focus on transport strategy
  • 5. 5 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd Megatrends and transport Continued growth of Asia ICT Climate change Population pressures
  • 6. 6 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd The size of our cities 16 227 7 111 Population (m) GDP ($bn) 8 major cities Other
  • 7. 7 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd The shape of our cities Sydney Brisbane 1991 2011 Source: chartingtransport.com
  • 8. 8 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd The challenge of cities 0 2 4 6 8 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Congestion cost ($/trip) Population (m)
  • 9. Policy responses software and hardware
  • 10. 10 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd Road & Rail – Metropolitan Sydney -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.7m 1.4m 2.2m 3.9m 7.0m Cost differential ($)/TEU Port throughput (TEU) Rail volumes grow 25% faster Base Case + Externality differential Forecast  Historical Estimated road and rail cost differential, Sydney RailcheaperRoadcheaper
  • 11. 11 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd Software – PBLIS in Sydney 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2010-11 2009-10 2008-09 2007-08 2006-07 2005-06 2004-05 2003-04 2002-03 2001-02 2000-01 1999-00 1998-99 1997-98 Rail RoadTEU Mode share at Port Botany
  • 12. 12 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd Software – PBLIS in Sydney Volumes through Port Botany 0 50 100 150 0.0000.0050.0100.0150.0200.025 Distribution of TTT TTT (minutes) Density PBLIS Trial Average PBLIS Average Trial
  • 13. 13 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd Software – technology Optimisation of truck routes Improving traffic signals Congestion cost saving of $244m a year in NSW Cost saving of $730m a year in Australia GDP: $7.3bn in period to 2021 (NPV)
  • 14. 14 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd Road & Rail – around Australia 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0 1750 3500 Rail Road Mode share Haul (km) North-south East-west Source: BITRE report 120
  • 15. 15 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd Hardware – a freight line • Inland rail is not economically feasible (for now) • The Sydney problem • Improving Sydney could help the city and the east coast freight network S B M Road only Road and rail
  • 16. 16 Freight: hardware and software © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd Summary • Economic megatrends will affect transport • How we organise our cities should be seen as an area of microeconomic reform • Transport is fundamental to cities’ economies • Transport policy: – Software – Hardware
  • 17. General information only This presentation contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or their related entities (collectively the “Deloitte Network”) is, by means of this presentation , rendering professional advice or services. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No entity in the Deloitte Network shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this presentation. About Deloitte Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/au/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms. Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of member firms in more than 150 countries, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering the insights they need to address their most complex business challenges. Deloitte's approximately 195,000 professionals are committed to becoming the standard of excellence. About Deloitte Australia In Australia, the member firm is the Australian partnership of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu. As one of Australia’s leading professional services firms. Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu and its affiliates provide audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services through approximately 6,000 people across the country. Focused on the creation of value and growth, and known as an employer of choice for innovative human resources programs, we are dedicated to helping our clients and our people excel. For more information, please visit our web site at www.deloitte.com.au. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation. Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited © 2012 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd