ELECTRICITY SUPPLY INDUSTRY INBOTSWANA, POWER SUPPLY AND DEMANDIN SOUTHERN AFRICADate 17th April 2013Presented by: Nchena ...
PRESENTATION OVERVIEW1. BOTSWANA ELECTRICITY SUPPLY INDUSTRY OVERVIEW2. ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION AND DEMAND FORECAST IN BOT...
BOTSWANA ESI OVERVIEW
BOTSWANA ESI OVERVIEWBPC GenerationIPP GenerationBPC TransmissionSAPP Import/ ExportBPC CustomerServices & SupplyElectrici...
 Legislation for private sector Generation investmentsIndependent Power Producer (IPP) framework - 2007.Establishment of ...
No. ITEM UNIT 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13(unaudited)1 Installed Capacity (BaseLoad)MW 132 132 132 1322 Installed Capac...
ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION AND DEMANDFORECAST IN BOTSWANA
Botswana’s Historic Electricity Demand Trend1. Electricity Demand has been increasing significantly over the years.(Energy...
Historic Electricity Market SegmentationDomestic Market Share has grownfrom 19% to 28% in last 10 Years.The Commercial s...
Botswana’s Long Term Demand Forecast-2004006008001,0001,2001,4002006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 201...
Botswana’s Long Term Energy Forecast-1,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0002006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 ...
CURRENT ELECTRICITY SUPPLY AND DEMANDSITUATION IN BOTSWANA
Meeting Demand in the Short to Medium TermSource Capacity RemarksMorupule A 0 MW  27 year old plant experiencing availabi...
Meeting Demand (Short Term – Power Imports)Source Capacity RemarksEskom(South Africa)300MW  100MW Non Firm(2013 – 2015)• ...
THE MORUPULE B PROJECT (UPDATE)Activity Unit 1 Unit 2 Unit 3 Unit 4Construction 100% 100% 100% 98%Commissioning 100% 100% ...
Supply – Demand Balance Outlook 2013Jan Feb Mar Apri May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecOrapa 90MW 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 ...
Jan Feb Mar Apri May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecOrapa 90MW 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90APR Rental Plant 70 70 70 70...
BOTSWANA POWER GENERATION PLANS
Generation Projects PlanCapacity(MW)Timing Remarks132 2015 Refurbishment plan in progress Tenders closed in March 201360...
RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTSCapacity(MW)Timing Remarks100 2017/18 Bankable Feasibility completed in March 2013100MW CSTP; Cen...
• Central Receiver with Molten Salt as the heat transfer and storage medium.• 100 MWe with 4hrs Thermal Energy Storage• Th...
BOTSWANA’S SUPPLY – DEMAND BALANCEOUTLOOK
Botswana’s Supply – Demand Balance Outlook2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Orapa 90MW 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 9...
Demand Side Management InitiativesNo Strategy Capacity(MW)Remarks1 Compact FluorescentLamps (CFL – Project)30 820 000 CFLs...
BOTSWANA TRANSMISSION GRIDDEVELOPMENT PLAN
Transmission Grid ConstrainsGABORONEFrancistownMaunSelebi-PhikweS O U T HAF R I C AZ I M B A B W ENA M I B I AMatimbaP/SDe...
System Peak Demand (26 June 2012)GABORONEFrancistownMaunSelebi-PhikweS O U T HAF R I C AZ I M B A B W EN AM I B I AMatimba...
Transmission Grid Expansion PlanGABORONEFrancistownMaunSelebi-PhikweS O U T HAF R I C AZ I M B A B W EN A M I B I AMatimba...
Gaborone EastS O U T HA F R I C AGaborone CentralInnovation HubPhakalane220kV Line132kV LineTlokwengFree ZoneISANGGovernme...
ZIZABONA PROJECTTo Maun
PROJECT TIMING BENEFITNorth West Grid Extension(400/220/132kV)2013 - 2017 New Customers(Mining)ZIZABONA 2013 - 2016 Region...
THE SOUTHERN AFRICAN REGION POWERSUPPLY OUTLOOK
Dem Rep of CongoCongoGabonLuandaWindhoekLusakaHarareLilongweNairobiDar es SalaamGaboronePretoriaJohannesburgCape TownMaput...
Non - Operating MembersOperating MembersKEYTotal Declared 48,762MWPeak Demand 50,636MWDeficit 1874MWSAPP – REGIONAL SUPPLY...
No. Country UtilityInstalledCapacity[MW] As atJan 2013AvailableCapacity[MW]Jan 2013SuppressedDemand &ForecastDemandCapacit...
COMMITTED GENERATION PROJECTS (NEW &REHAB)No Country2013 2014 2015 2016 TOTAL1 Angola 0 645 550 2415 3,6102 Botswana 600 -...
01000020000300004000050000600007000080000900002012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018MWPlanned Capacity vs Forecast , MWAll SAP...
SAPP NEW GENERATION TECHNOLOGIES(2013 -2018)52.7%27.3%0.5%17.0% 2.5%MW Installed Capacity by TechnologyCoal Hydro Solar Ga...
THANK YOUContact Details: motheben@bpc.bw+2673603000
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Electricity supply industry in Botswana, power supply and demand in Southern Africa

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Nchena Mothebe, Director Transmission, from Botswana Power Corporation has presented at the Botswana Coal and Energy Conference. If you would like more information about the conference, please visit the website: http://bit.ly/13MkVsy

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Electricity supply industry in Botswana, power supply and demand in Southern Africa

  1. 1. ELECTRICITY SUPPLY INDUSTRY INBOTSWANA, POWER SUPPLY AND DEMANDIN SOUTHERN AFRICADate 17th April 2013Presented by: Nchena Z Mothebe
  2. 2. PRESENTATION OVERVIEW1. BOTSWANA ELECTRICITY SUPPLY INDUSTRY OVERVIEW2. ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION AND DEMAND FORECAST IN BOTSWANA3. CURRENT ELECTRICITY SUPPLY AND DEMAND SITUATION IN BOTSWANA4. BOTSWANA POWER GENERATION PLANS5. BOTSWANA’S SUPPLY – DEMAND BALANCE OUTLOOK6. BOTSWANA TRANSMISSION GRID DEVELOPMENT PLAN7. THE SOUTHERN AFRICAN REGION POWER SUPPLY OUTLOOK
  3. 3. BOTSWANA ESI OVERVIEW
  4. 4. BOTSWANA ESI OVERVIEWBPC GenerationIPP GenerationBPC TransmissionSAPP Import/ ExportBPC CustomerServices & SupplyElectricityEnd UsersDomesticCommercialGovernmentMiningBotswana Power Corporation (BPC)(Wholly Owned by GoB: Single Buyer Model)RegulatorBeing EstablishedPower Sector Reforms• Electricity Supply Act (2007) Amended– IPPs• Establishment of an Energy &Water Regulator (BEWRA)CB32
  5. 5.  Legislation for private sector Generation investmentsIndependent Power Producer (IPP) framework - 2007.Establishment of an Energy & Water Regulator in progressMinistry deals with regulatory issues Single Buyer Model envisaged for the foreseeable futurePower Purchase Agreement with the National Power UtilityTransmission Use of System (TUOS) AgreementPPA Key Issues (Project Tariff, Project Risk Allocation, ProjectTermination Provisions, Guarantees, Concessions, Permits /Licenses & Currency)BOTSWANA ESI OVERVIEW
  6. 6. No. ITEM UNIT 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13(unaudited)1 Installed Capacity (BaseLoad)MW 132 132 132 1322 Installed Capacity(Peaking)MW 160 160 1603 System Max. Demand MW 553 553 542 5784 Max Demand Growth % 9.9% 0% -2% 7%5 Energy Sales GWh 3,109 3,118 3,198 3,3946 Sales Growth % 8% 0.3% 3% 6%7 Internal Generation GWh 457 372 202 538 Total Imports GWh 2,985 3,180 3,591 2,8139 Number of Customers No. 214,170 251,773 291,338 318,23610 Number of Employees No. 1,841 2,188 2,047 2,04711 Average ElectricitySelling Pricet/kWh 36 48 57 59KEY BPC (UTILITY) INFORMATION
  7. 7. ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION AND DEMANDFORECAST IN BOTSWANA
  8. 8. Botswana’s Historic Electricity Demand Trend1. Electricity Demand has been increasing significantly over the years.(Energy – 6% & Capacity - 8% annually in the last 5 years)2. Botswana’s reliance on power imports increased from 51% in 2000 to94% in 2012.3. The continuing electricity demand growth at the backdrop of a Regionalpower supply deficit necessitated construction of a 600MW coal firedpower station to avert a power crisis in Botswana6%94%2012Local(GWh)Import(GWh)050010001500200025003000350040002000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Historic Energy Supply (GWh)Local (GWh) Import (GWh)
  9. 9. Historic Electricity Market SegmentationDomestic Market Share has grownfrom 19% to 28% in last 10 Years.The Commercial sector has grown from24% to 28% in the same period.350 out of 494 villages electrified. 28 tobe electrified this year. ~70% access.2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Government 138.80 147.30 186.60 196.20 227.10 216.90 226.60 262.00 273.50 290.40 307.50 308.00 323.15Domestic 280.40 333.60 370.50 419.70 489.40 539.30 584.40 681.70 745.10 768.70 829.10 873.00 878.76Commercial 491.80 462.30 478.10 533.10 527.80 613.10 631.10 634.00 683.90 734.60 830.70 820.00 910.10Mining 759.70 899.40 919.60 1001.10 1077.10 1046.60 1184.30 1199.00 1186.20 1123.20 1149.30 1117.00 1086.000.00500.001000.001500.002000.002500.003000.003500.00Historic Energy Consuption per Sector (GWh)47%24%19%10%200234%28%28%10%2012
  10. 10. Botswana’s Long Term Demand Forecast-2004006008001,0001,2001,4002006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031PowerDemand(MW)Botswana Electricity Demand Forecast (MW) (2011 – 2031)High Low LikelyYr. 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025Likely(MW)571 580 644 681 711 744 773 854 877 902 924 941 959 1003 1017
  11. 11. Botswana’s Long Term Energy Forecast-1,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0002006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031EnergyGWh/annumBotswana Electrical Energy Forecast (GWh / Annum) 2011 -2031High Low LikelyYr. 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025Likely(GWh) 3,229 3,420 3,804 3,982 4,129 4,294 4,428 4,909 5,009 5,134 5,241 5,319 5,391 5,656 5,720
  12. 12. CURRENT ELECTRICITY SUPPLY AND DEMANDSITUATION IN BOTSWANA
  13. 13. Meeting Demand in the Short to Medium TermSource Capacity RemarksMorupule A 0 MW  27 year old plant experiencing availabilitychallenges; Refurbishment Plan in progress (Restore116MW) by 2015 Tenders closed in March 2013EmergencyPower Facilities160 MW(Diesel) 70MW – Rented Diesel Generation (To Dec 2013) 90MW – OCGT , Dual Fuel (CBM & Diesel)Morupule B 528 MW Coal Fired Plant - Commissioning in progress. Initial Commercial Operation by end of 2012 Revised Commercial Operation by Mid 2013Morupule A 120MW P/S Orapa 90MW OCGT 70MW Diesel Rental Morupule B 600MW
  14. 14. Meeting Demand (Short Term – Power Imports)Source Capacity RemarksEskom(South Africa)300MW  100MW Non Firm(2013 – 2015)• 200MW Non Firm(Jan – July 2013)EDM(Mozambique)Up to 50 MW  Non FirmNamPower(Namibia)Up to100MW Non FirmCHALLENGES• Regional Power Supply Deficit which renders the Supply Non Firm.• No new Firm Contracts can be secured till Surplus Capacity forBilateral Contracts is restored.
  15. 15. THE MORUPULE B PROJECT (UPDATE)Activity Unit 1 Unit 2 Unit 3 Unit 4Construction 100% 100% 100% 98%Commissioning 100% 100% 100% 90%Reliability Run 100% 100% 100% 0%Performance Tests 100% 100% 100% 0%Unit Status1.Unit 1: Out of service since 15th January 2013 to carry our repair works on Primaryand Secondary Air Ducts which have exhibited cracks. The Unit is expected back inservice by end of April 2013.2.Unit 2: Out of service since 16th January 2013 to carry out Cleaning and repair workson FBHE Tubes. The unit is expected to be back in service sometime in May/June2013..3.Unit 3: Unit is in service at a loading of 110MW (Net). Unit is also exhibiting Primaryand Secondary Air Duct cracks which require attention once other units are in service.4.Unit 4: Unit in final stage of construction after which it needs to go through ReliabilityRun &Performance Tests. No firm time lines are available but the Unit IS expected to bein commercial operation by end of June 2013.
  16. 16. Supply – Demand Balance Outlook 2013Jan Feb Mar Apri May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecOrapa 90MW 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90APR Rental Plant 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70Eskom (Imports) 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 100 100 100 100 100Morupule B 132 0 132 132 264 264 264 264 264 396 396 396Morupule A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Peak Demand 500 520 530 530 550 580 580 570 560 550 540 5000100200300400500600700800Capacity(MW)Monthly Capacity (MW) 2013Total Supply 592 460 592 592 724 724 724 524 524 656 656 656Peak Demand 500 520 530 530 550 580 580 570 560 550 540 500Capacity Balance 92 -60 62 62 174 144 144 -46 -36 106 116 156Assumptions:•Units available at Morupule B: 1 in Q1; 2 in Q2 and Q3; and 3 in Q4•300 MW Imports from Eskom available
  17. 17. Jan Feb Mar Apri May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecOrapa 90MW 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90APR Rental Plant 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70Eskom (Imports) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100Morupule B 132 132 132 132 264 264 264 264 264 396 396 396Morupule A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Peak Demand 500 520 530 530 550 580 580 570 560 550 540 5000100200300400500600700Capacity(MW)Monthly Capacity Balance 2013Total Supply392 392 392 392 524 524 524 524 524 656 656 656Peak Demand 500 520 530 530 550 580 580 570 560 550 540 500Capacity Balance-108 -128 -138 -138 -26 -56 -56 -46 -36 106 116 156Supply – Demand Balance Outlook - 2013Assumptions:•Units available at Morupule B: 1 in Q1; 2 in Q2 and Q3; and 3 in Q4•200 MW Imports from Eskom NOT available
  18. 18. BOTSWANA POWER GENERATION PLANS
  19. 19. Generation Projects PlanCapacity(MW)Timing Remarks132 2015 Refurbishment plan in progress Tenders closed in March 2013600 2013Commissioning in progress.300 2016/17Feasibility study done – Morupule B Phase 2 Units 5 & 6Published in government gazette on 12th April 2013.Tenders (IPP) expected by April/May 2013.Procurement of Financial, Technical and Legal Advisors inprogress.300 2016/17 Tenders (IPP) expected by April/May 2013.Procurement of Financial, Technical and Legal Advisors inprogress.90 TBAConversion to 24hr operation on CBM.Timing of Commercial Availability of CBM in sufficientquality and quantity to operate a gas fired power stationremains unknown.SourcesMorupule AIPP Brown FieldIPP Green FieldCoal Bed MethaneMorupule B
  20. 20. RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTSCapacity(MW)Timing Remarks100 2017/18 Bankable Feasibility completed in March 2013100MW CSTP; Central Tower with 4hrs TES at Jwaneng75MW TBAREFIT Tariff study completed in 2011Capacity:5kW to 5MW (Solar, Biomass, Biogas)Awaiting Cabinet Approval1.3MW 2012 PV Pilot Project on-grid in operation since August 2012(Japanese Grant Funding)Located at Phakalane, GaboroneSourcesSolar ThermalDraft Energy Policy requires that 15% and 25% of the ElectricityDemand be met from Renewable Energy Resources by 2016 and2030 respectively.
  21. 21. • Central Receiver with Molten Salt as the heat transfer and storage medium.• 100 MWe with 4hrs Thermal Energy Storage• The plant will be dry cooled or hybrid cooled designed to optimise water usage.• All auxiliary power will be sourced from the National grid• Life of plant will be a minimum of 25 years.• Located at Jwaneng• COD: 2017/18• Project Structure: IPP or PPP?CSTP PLANT - JWANENGGemasola - Spain
  22. 22. BOTSWANA’S SUPPLY – DEMAND BALANCEOUTLOOK
  23. 23. Botswana’s Supply – Demand Balance Outlook2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Orapa 90MW 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90APR Rental Plant 70 70 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Eskom (Imports) 350 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0IPP Green Field 0 0 0 0 132 264 264 264 264Morupule B (5 & 6) 0 0 0 0 132 264 264 264 264Morupule B 0 264 528 528 528 528 528 528 528Morupule A 0 0 60 60 120 120 120 120 120Peak Demand 580 644 681 711 744 773 854 877 9020200400600800100012001400Capacity(MW)Capacity Balance (2013 - 2020)Total Supply 510 524 778 778 1002 1266 1266 1266 1266Peak Demand 580 644 681 711 744 773 854 877 902Capacity Balance -70 -120 97 67 258 493 412 389 364An export market will be required by 2016 if all projects are realised in orderdeal with surplus capacity
  24. 24. Demand Side Management InitiativesNo Strategy Capacity(MW)Remarks1 Compact FluorescentLamps (CFL – Project)30 820 000 CFLs Installed with positiveimpact on Peak Demand Reduction(Done)2 Load Shifting(Water HeatingControl)30 Smart Metering Project in progress.Commercial Operation by May 2013.(Work In Progress)TOTAL DSM CAPACITY 60MW Virtual Peaking Power PlantOther DSM Measures:Tariff Restructuring (Time of Use; MVA Charges )Incentives for Energy Conservation & Energy Efficiency)
  25. 25. BOTSWANA TRANSMISSION GRIDDEVELOPMENT PLAN
  26. 26. Transmission Grid ConstrainsGABORONEFrancistownMaunSelebi-PhikweS O U T HAF R I C AZ I M B A B W ENA M I B I AMatimbaP/SDeltaThamaga2x215km47km51kmTsabong52kmMorupule A220kV400kV132kVPhokojeAK 6OrapaIsangTati30kmMorupule BKatimaLobatseKasaneBulawayoSpitzkopJwaneng66kVSowaMowanaPandamatengaHwangeVictoriaZAMBIAGantsi25kmKanyeHVDC WestcorLivingstonProposed ExistingMolepololeDMLHeuningvleiOmaereOrapa– 90MWHanaShakaweBK113Main Challenges to be addressed1. Lack of Grid Access in theNorthwest Region2. Demand Growth OutstrippingGrid Capacity in the South3. Inadequate Transmissioncapacity to support newgeneration investments (IPPsand Public Sector)Impact of Challenges1. Suppression of Economicdevelopment (mining)2. Suppression of Coal Beneficiation3. Unreliable Power Supply in theSouth
  27. 27. System Peak Demand (26 June 2012)GABORONEFrancistownMaunSelebi-PhikweS O U T HAF R I C AZ I M B A B W EN AM I B I AMatimba P/SDeltaThamaga2x215km47km51kmTsabong52kmMorupule A220kV400kV132kVPhokojeOrapaIsangTati30kmMorupule BKatimaLobatseKasaneBulawayoSpitzkopJwaneng66kVSowaMowanaHwangeVictoriaZAMBIAGantsiKanyeHVDC W estcorLivingstonExistingMolepololeHeuningvleiOmaereOrapa – 90MWShakawe301MW49MW14MW7MW42MW54MW78MW3MW1MWTotal System Load578MW (593MW)Morupule A - 29MWMorupule B - 130MWImports - 365 MWEmergency – 54MW
  28. 28. Transmission Grid Expansion PlanGABORONEFrancistownMaunSelebi-PhikweS O U T HAF R I C AZ I M B A B W EN A M I B I AMatimba P/SDeltaThamaga2x215km47km51kmTsabong52kmMorupule A220kV400kV132kVPhokojeAK6OrapaIsangTati30kmMorupule BKatimaLobatseKasaneBulawayoSpitzkopJwaneng66kVSowaMowanaPandamatengaHwangeVictoriaZAMBIAGantsi25kmKanyeHVDC WestcorLivingstonProposed ExistingMolepololeDMLHeuningvleiOmaereOrapa – 90MWHanaShakaweBK113ZIZABONASOUTHERNSYSTEMNORTH WEST
  29. 29. Gaborone EastS O U T HA F R I C AGaborone CentralInnovation HubPhakalane220kV Line132kV LineTlokwengFree ZoneISANGGovernment EnclaveGaborone SouthSpitzkopAirport RoadRakolaKEYSOUTHERN SYSTEM REINFORCEMENT & EXPANSION PLANThamagaSegoditshaneProposed ExistingMolepololeMogoditshaneDwaalboomRamotswaMochudiBroadhurstWoodhallKgale ViewSubstationMmakgodumoKanyeLobatseSubstationJwanengFrom Morupule400kV Line
  30. 30. ZIZABONA PROJECTTo Maun
  31. 31. PROJECT TIMING BENEFITNorth West Grid Extension(400/220/132kV)2013 - 2017 New Customers(Mining)ZIZABONA 2013 - 2016 Regional AccessRakola 220/132kV S/S & Lines 2013 - 2015 Secure and PowerSupply QualityRamotswa 132/11kV S/S & lines 2014 - 2015 Secure and PowerSupply QualityMochudi 132/33kV S/S & lines 2014 - 2015 Secure and PowerSupply QualityTlokweng 132/11kV S/S & lines 2014 - 2015 Secure and PowerSupply QualityGovt. Enclave 132/11kV S/S andcables2017 -2018 Secure and PowerSupply QualityBOTSWANA TRANSMISSION PROJECTS FOR FINANCING
  32. 32. THE SOUTHERN AFRICAN REGION POWERSUPPLY OUTLOOK
  33. 33. Dem Rep of CongoCongoGabonLuandaWindhoekLusakaHarareLilongweNairobiDar es SalaamGaboronePretoriaJohannesburgCape TownMaputoMbabaneKinshasaBrazzavilleAngolaTanzaniaKenyaMozambiqueSouth AfricaSwazilandLesothoNamibiaZambiaBotswanaZimbabweMalawiRwandaBurundiHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHPHHTTTTTT TTTTTTT TTTHHHTHPNHHHPTHydro stationPumped storage schemeThermal StationExistingPlanned1. 12 MemberCountries9 Operating3 Non Operating2. IPPs & ITCMembership3. Bilateral Contracts &Day Ahead Market4. IGMOU, IUMOU &ABOMTHE SAPP INTERCONNECTION
  34. 34. Non - Operating MembersOperating MembersKEYTotal Declared 48,762MWPeak Demand 50,636MWDeficit 1874MWSAPP – REGIONAL SUPPLY SITUATION
  35. 35. No. Country UtilityInstalledCapacity[MW] As atJan 2013AvailableCapacity[MW]Jan 2013SuppressedDemand &ForecastDemandCapacityShortfallincludingreserves,MWCalculatedReserveMargin, %1 Angola ENE 1,793 1,480 13412 Botswana BPC 352 292 6043 DRC SNEL 2,442 1,170 13984 Lesotho LEC 72 72 1385 Malawi ESCOM 287 287 4126 Mozambique EDM /HCB 2308 2,279 6367 Namibia NamPower 393 360 6358 South Africa Eskom 44,170 41,074 424169 Swaziland SEC 70 70 25510 Tanzania TANESCO 1380 1,143 144411 Zambia ZESCO / CEC/LHPC 1,870 1,845 228712 Zimbabwe ZESA 2,045 1,600 226757,182 51,672 53,833 (7,742) -4.2%53,722 48,762 50,636 (7,111) -3.8%TOTAL SAPPTotal Interconnected SAPPDEMAND AND SUPPLY SITUATION
  36. 36. COMMITTED GENERATION PROJECTS (NEW &REHAB)No Country2013 2014 2015 2016 TOTAL1 Angola 0 645 550 2415 3,6102 Botswana 600 - 132 300 10323 DRC 55 - 580 - 6354 Lesotho - 25 300 - 3255 Malawi 64 - - - 646 Mozambique - 150 300 300 7507 Namibia 60 - - - 608 RSA 923 3,105 2,543 1,322 7,8939 Swaziland - - - - -10 Tanzania 60 160 500 1,110 1,83011 Zambia 230 315 600 164 1,30912 Zimbabwe - 300 690 900 1,8901,992 4,700 6,063 6,511 19,398TOTALNEW GENERATION CAPACITY, MW
  37. 37. 01000020000300004000050000600007000080000900002012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018MWPlanned Capacity vs Forecast , MWAll SAPP MembersForecast Capacity Planned01000020000300004000050000600007000080000900002012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018MWPlanned Capacity vs Forecast , MWSAPP Operating Members OnlyForecast Capacity Planned2016CriticalForCapacity2017CriticalForEnergySAPP PLANNED & REQUIRED CAPACITY
  38. 38. SAPP NEW GENERATION TECHNOLOGIES(2013 -2018)52.7%27.3%0.5%17.0% 2.5%MW Installed Capacity by TechnologyCoal Hydro Solar Gas WindIntroduction of Renewable Energy(3% from renewable energy in 5 year period)
  39. 39. THANK YOUContact Details: motheben@bpc.bw+2673603000
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