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Adrian Kemp, NERA - Western Australian Electricity Market Trends – Implications for Market and Regulatory Reform
 

Adrian Kemp, NERA - Western Australian Electricity Market Trends – Implications for Market and Regulatory Reform

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Adrian Kemp, Director, NERA Economic Consulting delivered this presentation at the 8th Annual WA Power & Gas Conference 2014. ...

Adrian Kemp, Director, NERA Economic Consulting delivered this presentation at the 8th Annual WA Power & Gas Conference 2014.

The conference represents a timely meeting for the industry to hear about the current changes affecting the WA energy and electricity market.

For more information, visit http://www.informa.com.au/wapowerconf14

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    Adrian Kemp, NERA - Western Australian Electricity Market Trends – Implications for Market and Regulatory Reform Adrian Kemp, NERA - Western Australian Electricity Market Trends – Implications for Market and Regulatory Reform Presentation Transcript

    • WA Electricity Market Trends Implications for Market and Regulatory Reform Perth 12 March 2014 Adrian Kemp Director
    • 1 Electricity costs in WA have increased significantly
    • 2 Similar electricity cost increases have occurred in other states New South Wales South Australia
    • 3 Forecasting demand in the SWIS has been challenging MW Maximum Demand – 50% POE
    • 4 Total consumption has increased in the SWIS MWh
    • 5 The rapid growth in Solar PV is unprecedented
    • 6 The way we generate and consume electricity is changing 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 NEM commenced operation Today Air-con 1.8 million households Air-con 5.4 million households PV 2.8 GW PV 0.1 GW ? ? ?
    • 7 Demand is also difficult to forecast in the NEM MW Maximum Demand NSW – 50% POE
    • 8 SWIS demand by month
    • 9 NEM demand by month
    • 10 Reserve capacity requirement has outpaced actual demand MW WA Reserve Capacity Requirement
    • 11 Capacity and maximum demand has become disconnected - New South Wales
    • 12 Capacity and maximum demand has become disconnected – South Australia
    • 13 Thermal generators are exiting and wind farms are entering
    • 14 Capacity has entered to meet the reserve capacity requirement MW
    • 15 Different wholesale price outcomes in WA and SA Western Australia South Australia
    • 16 PVs can change the load profile – South Australia 2010 41 MW 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 MW 2010
    • 17 PVs can change the load profile – South Australia 2010 to 2011 41 MW 172 MW 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 MW 2010 2011
    • 18 PVs can change the load profile – South Australia 2010 to 2012 41 MW 172 MW 319 MW 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 MW 2010 2011 2012
    • 19 PVs can change the load profile – South Australia 2010 to 2013 41 MW 172 MW 319 MW 435 MW 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 MW 2010 2011 2012 2013
    • Contact Us © Copyright 2013 NERA Australia Pty Ltd All rights reserved. Adrian Kemp Director NERA—Sydney 0406 753 352 adrian.kemp@nera.com