Informed Cities Forum 2011 Urban Future Nicholas You

Our Urban Future Key issues and challenges for sustainability Nicholas.You@Citistates.com Naples, October 20111

Getting There The The Challenges Barriers Overcoming Them2

The Challenges Mega-trends of the 21st century @ Urbanisation Globalisation Climate Change3

The Challenges Mega-trend: Urbanisation World is now 50% urban and urbanising rapidly Percentage of Rural and Urban Population @ 70 60 World Population: Urban Population: 50 2000 - 6.1 billion 2000 - 2.9 billion Percentage 40 Urban Population Rural Population 30 2015 - 7.2 billion 2015 - 3.8 billion 20 2030 - 8.1 billion 2030 - 5.0 billion 10 0 2000 2015 2030 Years4

The Challenges Mega-trend: Globalisation Economic growth but: • Urbanisation of poverty & social exclusion • 30% to 60% urban population living in slums @ • Rising perceptions of injustice leading to crime & violence5

The Challenges Mega-trend: Climate Change • Urbanisation = irreversible changes in the way we use land, water & energy • Cities generate 80% of all waste & 70% of GHG emissions @ • Cities are both the cause and the victims of climate change6

The Challenges Mega-trend: Governance Inability to predict and contain: • Energy crisis • Food crisis • Financial crisis @ • Political crisis7

Smart Infrastructure @ Smart Communities Top 5 : 5.68 kg/yr (C$ 2.74) Bottom 5: 328 kg/yr (C$ 158) [Δ = >57]8

Looking Forward Integrated vs Sectoral9

Getting There Sustainable urban development policies @ new business models10

Getting There PPP @ Creating Value locally & globally11

The Barriers Social/Cultural & Political & Institutional12

Overcoming the barriers Alternative Policy Options & Education @ Greater Region Agreements & Planning13

Informed Cities Forum 2011 Urban Future Nicholas You

by ICLEI Sustainability Management & Urban Governance

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