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Socio-economic impact of FTTH in Sweden    crister. mattsson@acreo.se 2011-11-08            Crister Mattsson Acreo     08/...
44 per cent of all households and businesses in             Sweden have access to at least 100 Mbps             broadband ...
Business ModelsRSP        RSP               RSP                                   RSP                                     ...
Urban Networks with competition                           90                                                              ...
08/11/2011   #5   Part of Swedish ICT
08/11/2011   #6   Part of Swedish ICT
Investment decisions                                      Un-                                    captured                 ...
increased use                                                                FTTH deploymentof ICT services             Ve...
Is it possible to calculate the return for society ?Cost for Ftth deploymentEffects of the Investment 08/11/2011          ...
More fiber homes passed             gives more employment             and improved population             development08/11...
• FTTH cost:   o fast-deployment scenario (investment during four years)   o Investment to connect all households not yet ...
o increased GDP due to increased employment                         means of multivariate regression analysis o added valu...
18000      16000      14000      12000      10000                                                                      AVK...
18000    16000    14000    12000    10000                                                      "IND. AVK."     8000       ...
"ACK. AVKASTNING"      70000                                                    "ACK. INVESTERING"      60000      50000  ...
The City of Stockholm reduced the cost of  telecommunication with 30 % = 4,5 mill Eu /yThe regions of Norrbotten and Sthlm...
Sthlm 15 M Eu - 30 %~ nationell = 50 M. EuRegion 50 %~ nationell level = 27 M.EuThe total cost for connecting the the rest...
Installation cost for fiber lan in MDU av are 275 Eu / apartm.275/20 y = 13,75 /yInstallation gives higher rent with 4,7 E...
In Suburban Stockholm, the municipal   Sundbyberg have 83 % fiberArvidsjaur ( small municipal.) in remote north of  Sweden...
Conclusions      Increased fiber penetration gives significant      impact on severel indicators as population and      em...
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Crister Mattsson - Socio-economic impact of broadband: testimonial from Scandinavian city networks

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Presentation at the Workshop on Municipal Fiber Networks, October 24th 2011 in Ghent, Belgium. The workshop was organised by Ghent University - IBCN / IBBT. More information about this event can be found at http://http://events.ibbt.be/en/workshop-municipal-fiber-networks.

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Transcript of "Crister Mattsson - Socio-economic impact of broadband: testimonial from Scandinavian city networks"

  1. 1. Socio-economic impact of FTTH in Sweden crister. mattsson@acreo.se 2011-11-08 Crister Mattsson Acreo 08/11/2011 #1 Part of Swedish ICT
  2. 2. 44 per cent of all households and businesses in Sweden have access to at least 100 Mbps broadband 34 % of the homes have possibility to connect to fiber Fiber coverage 0- 83 % 40 municipal. have less than 1 %.08/11/2011 #2 Part of Swedish ICT
  3. 3. Business ModelsRSP RSP RSP RSP RSP RSP RSP RSP RSP Single OPCO OPCO OPCO Operator OPCO OPCO NetCo Netco Netco Traditionel 08/11/2011 #3 Part of Swedish ICT
  4. 4. Urban Networks with competition 90 85 80 74 70 63 60 Procent Percent 50 45 40 30 20 10 2004 2006 2008 2010 Year År 08/11/2011 #4 Part of Swedish ICT
  5. 5. 08/11/2011 #5 Part of Swedish ICT
  6. 6. 08/11/2011 #6 Part of Swedish ICT
  7. 7. Investment decisions Un- captured values Roll Telco Roll out roi out cost cost Telco return yes No, but should be yes08/11/2011 #7 Part of Swedish ICT
  8. 8. increased use FTTH deploymentof ICT services Very high access speed New infrastructure Direct economic activity lower prices for services Sensor Competition New/better networks Increased services reduced traffic market value between SPs congestion new business lower entry Power grid model possible barriers True cloud efficiency reduced computing Video low upfront surveillance ènvironment Functional investment learning impact separation for NP and SP curves Videoconf Telepresence Distance working Virtual labour HD and 3D TV mobility Profitability VoD higher of NP and SP employment Network Profitability gaming Perceived Of PIP quality lower publ spending RoW E-health of life higher tax revenue revenues e-learning E- government efficiency lower burden Education quality and cost in PA of bureaucracy Logistics, prod, reduced forced management transparency migration in PA corruption discouraged GDP Democracy Ease to do strengthened business productivity New ICT and Dev. of new ICT competence traditional technologies HR pool companies ICT Maturity: Customers for entrepreneurship 08/11/2011 digital natives new services #8 Part of Swedish ICT
  9. 9. Is it possible to calculate the return for society ?Cost for Ftth deploymentEffects of the Investment 08/11/2011 #9 Part of Swedish ICT
  10. 10. More fiber homes passed gives more employment and improved population development08/11/2011 # 10 Part of Swedish ICT
  11. 11. • FTTH cost: o fast-deployment scenario (investment during four years) o Investment to connect all households not yet connected source: companies active in FTTH installation in Sweden• Return on investment calculated year by year, 1–5 years: o economic activity directly related to construction input-output multiplier approach o savings in the municipal and regional-government costs for data and telecommunications extrapolation 08/11/2011 # 11 Part of Swedish ICT
  12. 12. o increased GDP due to increased employment means of multivariate regression analysis o added value for end users extrapolation of rates o Enhanced population growth is also quantified, but is not translated in terms of economic returns. o Longer-term induced effects harder to measure as of today o Causality was taken care of by introducing a time delay between fibre deployment and observed effects08/11/2011 # 12 Part of Swedish ICT
  13. 13. 18000 16000 14000 12000 10000 AVKASTNING 8000 INVESTERING 6000 4000 2000 0 år 1 år 2 år 3 år 4 år508/11/2011 # 13 Part of Swedish ICT
  14. 14. 18000 16000 14000 12000 10000 "IND. AVK." 8000 "DIREKT AVK." 6000 4000 2000 0 år 1 år 2 år 3 år 4 år508/11/2011 # 14 Part of Swedish ICT
  15. 15. "ACK. AVKASTNING" 70000 "ACK. INVESTERING" 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 år 1 år 2 år 3 år 4 år508/11/2011 # 15 Part of Swedish ICT
  16. 16. The City of Stockholm reduced the cost of telecommunication with 30 % = 4,5 mill Eu /yThe regions of Norrbotten and Sthlm reduced the cost of tele-communication with 50 %.08/11/2011 # 16 Part of Swedish ICT
  17. 17. Sthlm 15 M Eu - 30 %~ nationell = 50 M. EuRegion 50 %~ nationell level = 27 M.EuThe total cost for connecting the the rest of Swedens total homes with fiber is ~ 4 Bill.Eu 08/11/2011 # 17 Part of Swedish ICT
  18. 18. Installation cost for fiber lan in MDU av are 275 Eu / apartm.275/20 y = 13,75 /yInstallation gives higher rent with 4,7 EU per m= 56,4 Eu/y 08/11/2011 # 18 Part of Swedish ICT
  19. 19. In Suburban Stockholm, the municipal Sundbyberg have 83 % fiberArvidsjaur ( small municipal.) in remote north of Sweden have 67 %.08/11/2011 # 19 Part of Swedish ICT
  20. 20. Conclusions Increased fiber penetration gives significant impact on severel indicators as population and employment Municipalities and regions can lower the costs of communications Fiberinstallation are profitable for MDU08/11/2011 # 20 Part of Swedish ICT
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