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Risk Evaluation Determines the relative seriousness of hazard risks   as they   affect the local community
“ [The] public [is] willing to accept voluntary risks approximately 1,000 times greater than involuntary risks” Keith Smit...
3 Methods Used to Evaluate Risk <ul><li>Creating a risk matrix   </li></ul><ul><li>Comparing hazard risks against levels o...
FEMA Risk Matrix Values <ul><li>Class A : High-risk condition with highest priority for mitigation and contingency plannin...
Risk Matrix Example Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency. 1997.  MultiHazard: Identification and Risk Assessment . ...
Risk Register <ul><li>Name of the Risk  </li></ul><ul><li>Qualitative likelihood value  </li></ul><ul><li>Qualitative cons...
Risk Evaluation Criteria <ul><li>Loss of life and harm to people’s health   </li></ul><ul><li>Economic loss   </li></ul><u...
Hazards Risk Management  Analysis Context <ul><li>Legal requirements   </li></ul><ul><li>Cost and equity   </li></ul><ul><...
SMAUG Prioritization Process From  Lunn, John. 2003. “Community Consultation: The Foundation of Effective Risk Management....
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Session 20 Power Point

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Transcript of "Session 20 Power Point"

  1. 1. Risk Evaluation Determines the relative seriousness of hazard risks as they affect the local community
  2. 2. “ [The] public [is] willing to accept voluntary risks approximately 1,000 times greater than involuntary risks” Keith Smith, in Environmental Hazards: Assessing and Reducing Disaster
  3. 3. 3 Methods Used to Evaluate Risk <ul><li>Creating a risk matrix </li></ul><ul><li>Comparing hazard risks against levels of risk estimated during the analysis process with previously established risk evaluation criteria </li></ul><ul><li>Evaluating risks according the SMAUG methodology </li></ul>
  4. 4. FEMA Risk Matrix Values <ul><li>Class A : High-risk condition with highest priority for mitigation and contingency planning (immediate action) </li></ul><ul><li>Class B : Moderate-to-high-risk condition with risk addressed by mitigation and contingency planning (prompt action) </li></ul><ul><li>Class C : Risk condition sufficiently high to give consideration for further mitigation and planning (planned action) </li></ul><ul><li>Class D : Low-risk condition with additional mitigation contingency planning (advisory in nature) </li></ul>
  5. 5. Risk Matrix Example Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency. 1997. MultiHazard: Identification and Risk Assessment . FEMA. Washington, DC. P.315
  6. 6. Risk Register <ul><li>Name of the Risk </li></ul><ul><li>Qualitative likelihood value </li></ul><ul><li>Qualitative consequences value </li></ul><ul><li>Level of risk as determined by evaluation on the risk matrix </li></ul><ul><li>Priority rating </li></ul><ul><li>Additional information </li></ul>
  7. 7. Risk Evaluation Criteria <ul><li>Loss of life and harm to people’s health </li></ul><ul><li>Economic loss </li></ul><ul><li>Environmental harm </li></ul><ul><li>Lifeline damage </li></ul><ul><li>Social infrastructure damage </li></ul><ul><li>Loss of heritage </li></ul>
  8. 8. Hazards Risk Management Analysis Context <ul><li>Legal requirements </li></ul><ul><li>Cost and equity </li></ul><ul><li>Risks that are clearly unacceptable </li></ul><ul><li>Risks that should be kept as low as reasonably practicable </li></ul>
  9. 9. SMAUG Prioritization Process From Lunn, John. 2003. “Community Consultation: The Foundation of Effective Risk Management.” Journal of Emergency Management. V.1, No.1, Spring. Pp. 39-48. High Priority Low Priority The risk will increase quickly The risk will remain static G – Growth High Priority Low Priority The risk urgently needs to be fixed It could be fixed next year U – Urgency High Priority Low Priority The risk is the least acceptable in terms of the political, social, or economic impact It will have little political, social, or economic impact A – Acceptability High Priority Low Priority The risk could be most affected by intervention We can do little to affect the risk. M - Manageability High Priority Low Priority The risk will affect the most people and/or will cost the most money It will affect the least number of people or cost the least dollars. S – Seriousness Priority Rating Description Factor The SMAUG Prioritization Process
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