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Session 20   Power Point
Session 20   Power Point
Session 20   Power Point
Session 20   Power Point
Session 20   Power Point
Session 20   Power Point
Session 20   Power Point
Session 20   Power Point
Session 20   Power Point
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Session 20 Power Point

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  • 1. Risk Evaluation Determines the relative seriousness of hazard risks as they affect the local community
  • 2. “ [The] public [is] willing to accept voluntary risks approximately 1,000 times greater than involuntary risks” Keith Smith, in Environmental Hazards: Assessing and Reducing Disaster
  • 3. 3 Methods Used to Evaluate Risk <ul><li>Creating a risk matrix </li></ul><ul><li>Comparing hazard risks against levels of risk estimated during the analysis process with previously established risk evaluation criteria </li></ul><ul><li>Evaluating risks according the SMAUG methodology </li></ul>
  • 4. FEMA Risk Matrix Values <ul><li>Class A : High-risk condition with highest priority for mitigation and contingency planning (immediate action) </li></ul><ul><li>Class B : Moderate-to-high-risk condition with risk addressed by mitigation and contingency planning (prompt action) </li></ul><ul><li>Class C : Risk condition sufficiently high to give consideration for further mitigation and planning (planned action) </li></ul><ul><li>Class D : Low-risk condition with additional mitigation contingency planning (advisory in nature) </li></ul>
  • 5. Risk Matrix Example Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency. 1997. MultiHazard: Identification and Risk Assessment . FEMA. Washington, DC. P.315
  • 6. Risk Register <ul><li>Name of the Risk </li></ul><ul><li>Qualitative likelihood value </li></ul><ul><li>Qualitative consequences value </li></ul><ul><li>Level of risk as determined by evaluation on the risk matrix </li></ul><ul><li>Priority rating </li></ul><ul><li>Additional information </li></ul>
  • 7. Risk Evaluation Criteria <ul><li>Loss of life and harm to people’s health </li></ul><ul><li>Economic loss </li></ul><ul><li>Environmental harm </li></ul><ul><li>Lifeline damage </li></ul><ul><li>Social infrastructure damage </li></ul><ul><li>Loss of heritage </li></ul>
  • 8. Hazards Risk Management Analysis Context <ul><li>Legal requirements </li></ul><ul><li>Cost and equity </li></ul><ul><li>Risks that are clearly unacceptable </li></ul><ul><li>Risks that should be kept as low as reasonably practicable </li></ul>
  • 9. SMAUG Prioritization Process From Lunn, John. 2003. “Community Consultation: The Foundation of Effective Risk Management.” Journal of Emergency Management. V.1, No.1, Spring. Pp. 39-48. High Priority Low Priority The risk will increase quickly The risk will remain static G – Growth High Priority Low Priority The risk urgently needs to be fixed It could be fixed next year U – Urgency High Priority Low Priority The risk is the least acceptable in terms of the political, social, or economic impact It will have little political, social, or economic impact A – Acceptability High Priority Low Priority The risk could be most affected by intervention We can do little to affect the risk. M - Manageability High Priority Low Priority The risk will affect the most people and/or will cost the most money It will affect the least number of people or cost the least dollars. S – Seriousness Priority Rating Description Factor The SMAUG Prioritization Process

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