Jason Walsh | Solar Jobs Census Briefing
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Jason Walsh | Solar Jobs Census Briefing

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Jason Walsh, Senior Advisor for the Department of Energy’s Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, shares research and program updates from the Department of Energy. ...

Jason Walsh, Senior Advisor for the Department of Energy’s Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, shares research and program updates from the Department of Energy.

Materials generously provided by the U.S. Department of Energy and the Environmental and Energy Study Institute.

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Jason Walsh | Solar Jobs Census Briefing Jason Walsh | Solar Jobs Census Briefing Presentation Transcript

  • 2013 Solar Industry Job Census Briefing 2226 Rayburn House Office Building Jason Walsh, Senior Advisor February 11, 2014
  • Impact of EERE Investments in Solar R&D Actual vs. Counterfactual Cost Curves Counterfactual Actual V. Counterfactual Reliability Curves Actual Actual Counterfactua l • EERE’s $3.7B investment in solar photovoltaic R&D from 1975 to 2008 resulted in a net economic benefit of $15B (2008 dollars) due to module efficiency and reliability improvements. • EERE R&D accelerated solar industry by 12 years 3
  • First Solar: Driving Innovation in Ohio’s Factories • 1990s: DOE’s NREL funding led to boom in start-up thin-film PV companies. • Led to First Solar LLC, now a leading worldwide PV manufacturer based in Ohio. • 2012: First Solar installed its 10 millionth PV module in the 550 MW Desert Sunlight Solar Farm project in Riverside County, California • 4 By 2015, Desert Sunlight Solar will be one of the two largest solar PV projects in the world A First Solar associate handles photovoltaic materials at the company's Ohio manufacturing plant Courtesy of First Solar
  • DOE LPO Launched Utility-Scale PV Market in the U.S. U.S. Projects Over 100MW 1705 Program Ends Five LPO Projects  1510 MW  $4.6 Billion in Loans CA CA NV NV NM NM AZ AZ Zero Projects 2010 5 Ten Privately Financed Projects  2488 MW 2011 2012 2013 5
  • Concentrating Solar Power Became a Reality in the U.S. Solana Arizona Ivanpah California • Completed in 2014 • 390 MW Concentrated Solar Project • $1.6 billion loan guarantee 6 • Completed in 2013 (250 MW) • ‘Nighttime Solar’ - 6 Hours of Thermal Energy Storage • $1.45 billion loan guarantee Tonopah Nevada • 2014 - Expected Completion (110 MW) • ‘Nighttime Solar’ - 10 Hours of Thermal Energy Storage • $737 million loan guarantee 6
  • SunShot Utility Scale Progress by Q4 2012 $4.00 Installed System Price ($/WDC) $3.50 $0.29 $3.00 $2.50 $1.56 $0.13 $0.13 Power Electronics Balance of Systems Module $1.27 $0.06 $2.27/W $2.00 $1.03 $1.50 $1.00 $1.00/W $0.18 $1.95 $0.10 $0.40 $0.50 $0.00 7 $3.80/W Reduction Opportunities 2010 Modeled System Reductions by 2013 Power Electronics Balance of Systems Module $0.50 SunShot Goal
  • Largest Cost Reduction Opportunity: Soft Costs Installed System Price ($/WDC) LBNL and NREL analyses show balance of system costs, or “soft costs”, such as permitting, installation and inspection costs $4.00 $3.50 $3.00 $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $0.00 $0.29 $1.56 $0.13 $0.13 Power Electronics Balance of Systems $1.27 $0.06 Module $1.03 $1.00/W $1.95 $0.18 $0.10 $0.40 $0.50 Source: LBNL, http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/germanus-pv-price-ppt.pdf; NREL http://www.nrel.gov/news/press/2012/2038.html 8
  • Soft Costs Dominating Overall Costs Balance of system costs account for up to 50% 64% of the cost of a solar installation  Not decreasing as quickly as equipment costs 9 Source: Second Annual Benchmarking…”, Friedman et al., in preparation.
  • Rooftop Solar Challenge (2011-2013) • 22 teams, 50 million people • Best practices developed, shared, and harmonized • Easier, cheaper, and one week faster to go solar on average 10
  • One week per installation adds up . . . PV Installed in RSC locales: Residential: 225 MW 37,960 Residential Systems Commercial: 357 MW = Which means the RSC saved Americans from… Average Business Days Saved Per Install = 5.1 3,148 Commercial Systems Average Business Days Saved Per Install = 4.1 OVERYEARS OF RED TAPE ~800 10 LIFETIMES SAVED 11
  • SunShot 2030 Vision: Rapid Solar Deployment 12