Biofuels in Australia: Issues and Prospects Scientists in Schools 26 October 2007 Presented by Deborah O’Connell Contributing authors: Brian Keating, Michael Dunlop, Michael O’Connor, Barrie May, John Raison, Tom Beer, David Batten, Tim Grant, Graham Turner, Franzi Poldy, David Lamb, Mick Poole, Andrew Braid, Victoria Haritos, Cameron Begley, Peter Campbell, Damien Farine

Biofuels – hype vs reality

Outline of talk What (global and local) forces will shape our transport energy futures? What are the options for our transport future? What is a biofuel? What is the current status of the industry? 5. What will be the role for biofuels in Australia’s transport? Could they, should they, will they? At the margins ? 2-5% of transport fuels In the main game? 10-20% of transport fuels As the end game? > 60% of transport fuels 6. So what?

What (global and local) forces will shape our transport energy futures?

What are the options for our transport future?

What is a biofuel?

What is the current status of the industry?

5. What will be the role for biofuels in Australia’s transport?

Could they, should they, will they?

At the margins ?

2-5% of transport fuels

In the main game?

10-20% of transport fuels

As the end game?

> 60% of transport fuels

6. So what?

1. What forces will shape our transport energy futures? Global Greenhouse gas emissions and climate change Energy security Energy costs Local Health Opportunities for rural and regional Australia

Global

Greenhouse gas emissions and climate change

Energy security

Energy costs

Local

Health

Opportunities for rural and regional Australia

2. What options for Australia’s transport energy future? Extend fossil reserves New fossil fuel discoveries Cheaper extraction and processing Sequester the Carbon Geo – hope it stays down! Bio - algae to biodiesel or agrichar Diversify types of transport fuels LPG, CNG, biogas, (renewable) electricity New liquid fuel options Gas to liquids Coal to liquids Biomass to liquids (ie biofuels) Reduce demand Efficient engines – hybrid, electric, smaller eco-efficient urban design And in the longer term ….. Hydrogen economy from coal, nuclear or renewable electricity Source: http://www.toyota.com/prius/index.html?s_van=GM_TN_HYBRID_PRIUS

Extend fossil reserves

New fossil fuel discoveries

Cheaper extraction and processing

Sequester the Carbon

Geo – hope it stays down!

Bio - algae to biodiesel or agrichar

Diversify types of transport fuels

LPG, CNG, biogas, (renewable) electricity

New liquid fuel options

Gas to liquids

Coal to liquids

Biomass to liquids (ie biofuels)

Reduce demand

Efficient engines – hybrid, electric, smaller

eco-efficient urban design

And in the longer term …..

Hydrogen economy

from coal, nuclear or renewable electricity

3. What are biofuels? 1 st and 2 nd generation conversion technologies Source: Hamelinck and Faaij (2006) Outlook for advanced biofuels. Energy Policy 34 : 3268-3283. Hydrogen (H 2 ) Methanol (CH 3 OH) DME (CH 3 OCH 3 ) FT Diesel (C x H y ) SNG (CH 4 ) Biodiesel (C x H y ) Ethanol (CH 3 CH 2 OH) Biodiesel (alkyl esters) Bio oil (vegetable oil) Water gas shift + separation Catalysed synthesis Purification Hydro treating and refining Fermentation Esterification Vegetable oil Sugar Bio oil Biogas Syngas Gasification Anaerobic digestion Flash pyrolysis Hydrothermal liquefaction Hydrolysis Milling and hydrolysis Pressing or extraction Lignocellulosic biomass Sugar/starch crops Oil plants

4. What is the current status of the industry? Ethanol Biodiesel Diesel 15 1.5 0.076 Biodiesel Petrol 20 1 0.084 Ethanol 2004/5 fuel usage (GL/yr) Proposed 2010 capacity (GL/yr) 2006/7 prdn (GL/yr) Australia 2007

5. What will be the role for biofuels in Australia’s transport future? Could they? Should they? Will they have a role? Will that role be At the margins ? 2-5% of transport fuels In the main game? 10-20% of transport fuels As the end game? > 60% of transport fuels

Could they?

Should they?

Will they have a role?

Will that role be

At the margins ?

2-5% of transport fuels

In the main game?

10-20% of transport fuels

As the end game?

> 60% of transport fuels

Prospects… Could they? 1 st generation biofuels in Australia From O’Connell et al 2007. Biofuels in Australia: Issues and Prospects. RIRDC Pub No 07/071 Coarse

Prospects…Could they? 1st generation - key messages 1 st generation - currently available feedstocks / conversion technologies Limited by High cost of production (high quality land and high inputs) Low net energy yield May present useful regional opportunities May be useful first step in transitional fuels Can we move beyond this?

1 st generation - currently available feedstocks / conversion technologies

Limited by

High cost of production (high quality land and high inputs)

Low net energy yield

May present useful regional opportunities

May be useful first step in transitional fuels

Can we move beyond this?

Prospects…Could they? 2nd generation technologies Lignocellulosic conversion technologies - $/l? Lower costs of production (less productive land, lower inputs) Broader range of fuels with higher energy yield Feedstocks – new production systems

Lignocellulosic conversion technologies - $/l?

Lower costs of production (less productive land, lower inputs)

Broader range of fuels with higher energy yield

Feedstocks – new production systems

Prospects – could they? Replacing oil … Crude Oil Oil Refinery US Department of Energy 2005, American Institute of Chemistry; in New Scientist, 7 th July 2007 US$385bn ~US$375bn

Prospects –could they? With 3 rd generation bioproducts and energy… Liquid Biofuel Electricity / Heat Paint Distillers Grain Organic Waste Other Adhesives Biomass Biorefinery

Prospects…Could they? 1 st , 2 nd , 3 rd generation - key messages 1 st generation – limited to margins 2 nd generation – moving beyond the limits… Expand or intensify agricultural production Optimise farming systems for energy Change feedstocks and technologies 3 rd generation – intriguing prospects for the bioeconomy… Biorefineries for high value products AND energy

1 st generation – limited to margins

2 nd generation – moving beyond the limits…

Expand or intensify agricultural production

Optimise farming systems for energy

Change feedstocks and technologies

3 rd generation – intriguing prospects for the bioeconomy…

Biorefineries for high value products AND energy

Prospects… Should they? Sustainability Different things to different people Embraces concepts of Triple Bottom Line (economic, social and environmental components) Intergenerational equity – options for future generations Balance between natural capital, manufactured capital and human capital From O’Connell Keating Glover Sustainability Guidelines for Bioenergy 2005

Different things to different people

Embraces concepts of

Triple Bottom Line (economic, social and environmental components)

Intergenerational equity – options for future generations

Balance between natural capital, manufactured capital and human capital

Prospects… Should they? Sustainability Land and water resources increasingly contested Human food Animal feed Fibre Water yield Energy production Environmental services eg biodiversity, carbon sequestration Biofuels - full life cycle, range of criteria Greenhouse Gas, air quality, land and water impacts, biodiversity, Energy Production Ratio, financial viability, community and regional impacts

Land and water resources increasingly contested

Human food

Animal feed

Fibre

Water yield

Energy production

Environmental services eg biodiversity, carbon sequestration

Biofuels - full life cycle, range of criteria

Greenhouse Gas, air quality, land and water impacts, biodiversity, Energy Production Ratio, financial viability, community and regional impacts

If only it was this simple ! Prospects … should they?

Prospects - Should they ? Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions Biofuels have lower emissions than fossils Ethanol from grain and sugar - 20-50% Biodiesel from oilseeds - 50-70% Ethanol from lignocellulose - 80-90% BUT ≠ ‘zero carbon’ emissions Depends on particular biofuel production system, and method

Biofuels have lower emissions than fossils

Ethanol from grain and sugar - 20-50%

Biodiesel from oilseeds - 50-70%

Ethanol from lignocellulose - 80-90%

BUT ≠ ‘zero carbon’ emissions

Depends on particular biofuel production system, and method

Prospects … should they? Biodiversity – eg palm oil for biodiesel Biodiversity loss Peat land fires, carbon loss

Prospects … should they? Land and water impacts Impacts largely through production of crops and biomass Impacts could be positive or negative Will depend on scale of industry where feedstock produced what type of feedstock O’Connell et al 2007. Biofuels in Australia: Issues and Prospects. RIRDC Pub No 07/071

Impacts largely through production of crops and biomass

Impacts could be positive or negative

Will depend on

scale of industry

where feedstock produced

what type of feedstock

Prospects … should they? Community ‘licence to operate’…. Big crowd expected to protest against charcoal plant … ABC News 20 September 2002 http://www.acr.net.au/~coastwatchers/charcoalition/abc200902a.html http://www.acr.net.au/~coastwatchers/charcoalition/abc200902a.html

Prospects … should they? Does the current land use meet community expectation on sustainability? Is there a potential biomass source? Is energy the highest order use for it? Greenhouse gas abatement ? Air quality maintained or improved? ? Land and water quality maintained or improved ? Biodiversity maintained or improved ? Positive social outcomes ? Financial viability ? Community consultation System design From O’Connell Keating Glover Sustainability Guidelines for Bioenergy 2005 The Sustainability Ladder Costs Benefits Costs Benefits Bioenergy not sustainable Bioenergy sustainable Costs Benefits Costs Benefits Bioenergy not sustainable Bioenergy sustainable Yes Conditional Yes Conditions Yes Conditional Yes Conditions Yes Yes Yes (existing) Yes (new) Yes (existing) Yes (new) Bioenergy not sustainable Bioenergy not sustainable No

Prospects…Should they? Key messages summary Sustainability issues are crucial Replace an unsustainable system with another unsustainable one? True sustainability hard to achieve Content and process Community ‘licence to operate’ Track and trace certification http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.filmaust.com.au/wilderness/images/photogallery Jenni Maree Bock ? Sustainability protests Biogas bus to destination ‘special’ Photo: Tom Beer

Sustainability issues are crucial

Replace an unsustainable system with another unsustainable one?

True sustainability hard to achieve

Content and process

Community ‘licence to operate’

Track and trace certification

Prospects…Will they? Volatile international and domestic commodity markets and oil price Policy settings Broader energy management Use or sequester target gases Diversify (renewable electricity, GTL, CTL) Carbon markets Energy efficient vehicles Eco efficient urban design Interactions with other resources eg water REDUCE overall demand

Volatile international and domestic commodity markets and oil price

Policy settings

Broader energy management

Use or sequester target gases

Diversify (renewable electricity, GTL, CTL)

Carbon markets

Energy efficient vehicles

Eco efficient urban design

Interactions with other resources eg water

REDUCE overall demand

6. So what?? We need fuel security lower greenhouse gas emissions carbon sequestration Can biofuels help? Depends on how its done 1 st gen – margins 2 nd gen - ‘main game’ - step change 3 rd gen - biofuels and bioproducts - intriguing prospects Sustainability is the key!

We need

fuel security

lower greenhouse gas emissions

carbon sequestration

Can biofuels help?

Depends on how its done

1 st gen – margins

2 nd gen - ‘main game’ - step change

3 rd gen - biofuels and bioproducts - intriguing prospects

Thanks folks! Contact Deborah.O’Connell@csiro.au This work is funded through the CSIRO Energy Transformed Flagship, with funding partners including RIRDC and GRDC

Prospects… Could they? Sustainable biomass production O’Connell et al 2007. Biofuels in Australia: Issues and Prospects. RIRDC Pub No 07/071 ? ? ? ? 3 rd generation - high value products including energy Expansion of forestry, farm forestry, grasses Expansion new crops, GM Algae Expand current base GM crops New tree crops eg Pongamia, Jatropha Future prodn base Crop residues (sugar, cereal) Grasses Farm forestry Plantation forestry – thinnings, residues Native forest residues and Waste streams Sugar and starch crops Oilseed crops Current prodn base 2 nd generation fuels / 1 st generation bioelectricity (lignocellulosics) 1 st generation fuels (ethanol and biodiesel)

3 rd generation - high value products including energy

Expansion of forestry, farm forestry, grasses

Expansion new crops, GM

Algae

Expand current base

GM crops

New tree crops eg Pongamia, Jatropha

Crop residues (sugar, cereal)

Grasses

Farm forestry

Plantation forestry – thinnings, residues

Native forest residues and

Waste streams

Sugar and starch crops

Oilseed crops