The Big Picture: Future of Education UAF CDE: iDesign George Siemens April 23, 2008

“ ...forward-thinking approaches in education as “woefully under-developed”” Former SwedishEducation Minister Ylva Johansson

“ ...forward-thinking approaches in education as “woefully under-developed””

Former SwedishEducation Minister Ylva Johansson

Why the lack of development? Possibly because: The system works – it serves many stakeholders well Change pressures are not system-wide Lack of vision Lack of understanding of trends

Possibly because:

The system works – it serves many stakeholders well

Change pressures are not system-wide

Lack of vision

Lack of understanding of trends

Reality: Pace and Growth Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners Where are We Now? The Need for Change? Models of Change Moving Forward Innovation

Reality: Pace and Growth

Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners

Where are We Now?

The Need for Change?

Models of Change

Moving Forward

Innovation

Growth of information and tools to create/access information

“ Information is the new black” Fncll

“ Information is the new black”

Fncll

“ ...in the 21st century, the education and skills of the workforce will end up being the dominant competitive weapon” Lester Thurow

“ ...in the 21st century, the education and skills of the workforce will end up being the dominant competitive weapon”

Lester Thurow

% of population (25+) with 4 or more years of college Signal Hill 2007 Post Secondary Fact Book

By 2015: 70+% of all new jobs will require PSE Canadian Council for Learning, 2007

Canadian Council for Learning, 2007

“ The United States must find ways to nurture a broader and more diverse talent pool to be successful in the knowledge-based economy” Council of Graduate Schools Report. Graduate Education: The Backbone of American Competitiveness and Innovation

“ The United States must find ways to nurture a broader and more diverse talent pool to be successful in the knowledge-based economy”

Council of Graduate Schools Report.

Graduate Education: The Backbone of American Competitiveness and Innovation

Trends in Online Education 2/3 plus of all HE institutions offer online learning 3.5 million students taking online course (in fall 2006) 20%+ percent annual growth rate since 2003 Online Nation (Allen & Seaman, 2007)

2/3 plus of all HE institutions offer online learning

3.5 million students taking online course (in fall 2006)

20%+ percent annual growth rate since 2003

Online Nation (Allen & Seaman, 2007)

Online Nation (Allen & Seaman, 2007)

Online Nation (Allen & Seaman, 2007)

ECAR, 2007 Undergraduate Students and IT

ECAR, 2007 Undergraduate Students and IT

ECAR, 2007 Undergraduate Students and IT Most Valuable Benefit from IT in Courses

ECAR, 2007 Undergraduate Students and IT

The stepchild is welcomed into the family?

Reality: Pace and Growth Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners Where are We Now? The Need for Change? Models of Change Moving Forward Innovation

Reality: Pace and Growth

Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners

Where are We Now?

The Need for Change?

Models of Change

Moving Forward

Innovation

Millennial Learners? Oblinger (2005), Dede (2005)

Do different experiences impact our neural structure? Richard Davidson, 2002 Kelly, Grinband, Hirsch, 2007

The rise of everyone

Information

Interaction

Community/Network

A word of caution

ECAR, 2007 Undergraduate Students and IT Preference for IT Use in Courses

ECAR, 2007 Undergraduate Students and IT

Oxford Internet Institute: Internet in Britain 2007

Reality: Pace and Growth Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners Where are We Now? The Need for Change? Models of Change Moving Forward Innovation

Reality: Pace and Growth

Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners

Where are We Now?

The Need for Change?

Models of Change

Moving Forward

Innovation

Signal Hill 2007 Post Secondary Fact Book

Market shift “ Life long” (had to say that) Non-sequential learners Learners with non-degree needs Learners with flexible degree needs

“ Life long” (had to say that)

Non-sequential learners

Learners with non-degree needs

Learners with flexible degree needs

Oxford Internet Institute: Internet in Britain 2007

Oxford Internet Institute: Internet in Britain 2007

3.3 Billion Mobile accounts Informa, 2007

3.3 Billion Mobile accounts

Oxford Internet Institute: Internet in Britain 2007

Oxford Internet Institute: Internet in Britain 2007

“ Prototypical US industry in 10 years, if all goes well” National Center on Education and the Economy: Tough Choices or Tough Times

Reality: Pace and Growth Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners Where are We Now? The Need for Change? Models of Change Moving Forward Innovation

Reality: Pace and Growth

Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners

Where are We Now?

The Need for Change?

Models of Change

Moving Forward

Innovation

“ ...we have to change ourselves in changing environments, and we have to empower ourselves to change these environments as well” Theo Hug

“ ...we have to change ourselves in changing environments, and we have to empower ourselves to change these environments as well”

Theo Hug

New skills ALA: information literacy (2000) Jenkins: New media skills (2006, p. 5) 21 st Century Skills Digital Literacy Gilster 1997, Jones-Kavalier & Flannigan, 2006

ALA: information literacy (2000)

Jenkins: New media skills (2006, p. 5)

21 st Century Skills

Digital Literacy

Gilster 1997, Jones-Kavalier & Flannigan, 2006

Harvard (2007): Core Curriculum Civic Engagement Students to understand themselves as products of—and participants in—traditions of art, ideas, and values Respond critically and constructively to change Students’ understanding of ethical dimensions of what they say and do

Civic Engagement

Students to understand themselves as products of—and participants in—traditions of art, ideas, and values

Respond critically and constructively to change

Students’ understanding of ethical dimensions of what they say and do

New Skills Knowledge of Human Cultures and the Physical and Natural World Intellectual and Practical Skills Personal and Social Responsibility Integrative Learning AAC&U, 2007: College Learning for the New Global Century

Knowledge of Human Cultures and the Physical and Natural World

Intellectual and Practical Skills

Personal and Social Responsibility

Integrative Learning

AAC&U, 2007: College Learning for the New Global Century

New views of education? Process? Content? Chris Lott’s Information Fluency: Knowledge/discipline...Participation... Metacognition/critical thinking

Process?

Content?

Chris Lott’s Information Fluency: Knowledge/discipline...Participation... Metacognition/critical thinking

Chris Lott, 2007

Literacy with identity

Our structures of presenting information and fostering knowledge development cannot keep pace with growth!

Reality: Pace and Growth Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners Where are We Now? The Need for Change? Models of Change Moving Forward Innovation

Reality: Pace and Growth

Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners

Where are We Now?

The Need for Change?

Models of Change

Moving Forward

Innovation

Cook, Holley & Andrew British Journal of Educational Technology 38 (5), 784-794.

Reality: Pace and Growth Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners Where are We Now? The Need for Change? Models of Change Moving Forward Innovation

Reality: Pace and Growth

Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners

Where are We Now?

The Need for Change?

Models of Change

Moving Forward

Innovation

What will education look like?

OECD: Schooling for tomorrow Bureaucratic Re-schooling Focused learning organizations Core social centres De-schooling Extended market Learning in networks Crisis

Bureaucratic

Re-schooling

Focused learning organizations

Core social centres

De-schooling

Extended market

Learning in networks

Crisis

Mixed signals in times of transition

Threats For-profit providers Global schools Relationship to University Funding Re-skilling faculty

For-profit providers

Global schools

Relationship to University

Funding

Re-skilling faculty

Opportunities Global market Partnerships with other institutions Collaboration with global partners Adopt combined resource-models Innovate method and structure

Global market

Partnerships with other institutions

Collaboration with global partners

Adopt combined resource-models

Innovate method and structure

Reality: Pace and Growth Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners Where are We Now? The Need for Change? Models of Change Moving Forward Innovation

Reality: Pace and Growth

Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners

Where are We Now?

The Need for Change?

Models of Change

Moving Forward

Innovation

http://dltj.org/2006/12/disruptive-innovation-card

Innovating Education Distance Education and Extension departments uniquely suited to the task

Distance Education and Extension departments uniquely suited to the task

What are core tasks in DE/Extension? Administration Management, policy Technological Infrastructure, security Research New markets, future opportunities On act and process of teaching Marketing Teaching and Learning

Administration

Management, policy

Technological

Infrastructure, security

Research

New markets, future opportunities

On act and process of teaching

Marketing

Teaching and Learning

Teaching and Learning Reconsider full spectrum of activity

Reconsider full spectrum of activity

Courses

Classrooms

Teacher/educator

Books

IP/Copyright

How do we begin to innovate?

small steps many directions

small steps

many directions

Seed Select Amplify (Meyer & Davis, 2003)

Seed

Select

Amplify

(Meyer & Davis, 2003)

Exploration/Conceptualization Experimentation Implementation

Exploration/Conceptualization

Experimentation

Implementation

Websites and Newsletters www.elearnspace.org www.knowingknowledge.com www.connectivism.ca http://ltc.umanitoba.ca/wordpress/

www.elearnspace.org

www.knowingknowledge.com

www.connectivism.ca

http://ltc.umanitoba.ca/wordpress/