Nade Oslo

Learning in 2020 George Siemens November 17, 2009 Oslo, Norway

https://tekri.athabascau.ca/
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It’s getting crazy out there.

Universities transitioning to an information era
Freedman, G. (2008). Unlocking the global education imperative: Core challenges & critical response

But our current system has a dim future

India calls for 27,000 HE institutions
http://www.sindhtoday.net/news/1/68995.htm

Funding reductions in public education
http://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/article/19562

Tremendous growth of online education
http://www.sloan-c.org/publications/survey/staying_course

Growth of for-profit education
http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2009/10/28/phoenix

What will 2020 look like?

Population growth (extra 1 B+)

Globalized, integrated world (legal) Pelton, Toward a Global Rule of Law: A Practical Step Toward World Peace. WFS

West to east money/power transfer

Climate change

Resource scarcity

Women as agents of geopolitical change
DCDC, National Intelligence Council

Technologies of transformation

Traceable & recordable everything
Gene Stephens, “Cybercrime in the Year 2025,” July-Aug 2008, p. 34 World Future Society

Cognitive augmentation (technological, biological)

Identity/presence tools

(with accompanying privacy /security/ethics concerns)

Physical/virtual integration

Aggregation at point of search/use

Prominence of indirect internet access (i.e. apps)

Rise of Things
Internet of things
Robot in every home
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2006/09/060906-robots.html

Global, complex future requires a connected, educated populace

Why is change so hard in education??

Trailing ideologies

Ideologies of an era are embedded into its systems

Eras change. Systems stay.

Anomalies of a transition period

The Dynamo

How will we learn in 2020?

Institutions

Learners

Course design
Adaptive
Contextual
Aggregation-driven

Learning is elimination

Technology is about addition

Trend of information is abundance
Do you really need a citation? Look at your inbox.

Abundance “ will challenge decision-support processes which are based on ‘ordered’ knowledge”
DCDC Global Strategic Trends

How do we handle it?
Technology
Social networks

Wayfinding through social systems

Human/machine learning and sensemaking

Matching systems to society’s needs

Farmer

Greeks

Religious

Schools & Institutions

Networks

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Nade Oslo

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