Meeting the challenge of change

Meeting the challenge of change:Historical models of transformation and lessons for higher education George Siemens, PhD July 18, 2012 Campus Technology Boston, MA

“…incessantly destroying the oldone, incessantly creating a new one…theperennial gale of creative destruction” (Schumpeter, 1942)

Perez, 2010

Technical EconomicCloud/SaaS Reduced state supportSocial media Increased tuition costsMobiles GlobalizationMulti-media (better Internationalizationbandwidth)End-user control CommercializationOnline learning For-profit growthConstant connectivity Greater competition

ViabilityWheels Steam MotionTransportation need Scientific progressEntrepreneurship Metal workers: cylinders

Regime transition thesis.. (Freeman, Perez, 1988)

Education systems track thearchitecture of information of an era

To understand what tomorrow’s education system will look like, wehave to understand the architecture of information today: how is it created how is it shared how is it iterated how is it controlled?

Our education system faces information that is:OpenAccessibleDistributedScalableSocialNetworkedSelf-organizedAdaptiveGlobalMultimedia-based

Understanding the attributes of your core productsThe infrastructure and supporting systemneeded for developing and shipping CDs andrecords is very different from what is needed fordigital music

LegacyContexts can change quickly,the physical instantiation of ideas take longer tochange

Why do we wear pants?What was the cost of not adopting pants? Turchin, 2012

Where are the hats??

Why?Who

Robert Krulwich/NPR

Electrification of America

A network & ecosystem model of change

“a thousand threads that lead from thelocomotive to the very beginning of the modernworld” Rosen, 2010

The power of an ecosystem

October, 2001 Courtesy of Apple

April, 2003

October, 2005TV shows, music videos(September, 2006, full length movies)

January, 2007 Courtesy of Apple

Network theory of changeThe integration of services provides the valuefor end users

What does this mean to education?

Fragmentation of integrated whole

When systems are distributed, alternativemodes of integration are needed Stasser-Titus (1985)

Challenge then is to create a new integrated whole

Creating integrated ecosystems:Content,Delivery,Assessment(The integrator rules)

Tightly integrated systems are difficult to sustainComplexity and specialized requires greateropenness

Look at today’s MOOCs as stage one in the formation of an ecosystem

New economic value points in education

Jill: university student

Courtesy: Carol Yeager, CMC11

Paul: employed, upgrading

JulianneSelf-regulated, motivated learner

http://dilbert.com/strips/comic/2012-05-19/

http://edfuture.net/ October 8-November 16, 2012

gsiemens @ gmail Twitter Skype FB Whereverwww.elearnspace.orgwww.connectivism.cawww.learninganalytics.net

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Meeting the challenge of change

by gsiemens on Jul 18, 2012

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