Xiang DING Presented by Aixia DOU Institute of Earthquake Science China Earthquake Administration Friday, July 29,2011 IGARSS 2011, July 25-29, Vancouver, Canada
The Design Object of the System The Basic Model for Earthquake Risk Assessment Earthquake Risk Assessment The Main Functions of CERES
Conclusion and Acknowledgement
The Catastrophe Earthquake Risk Estimation System ( CERES for Windows) is a professional software system developed specifically for the risk assessment of catastrophe earthquakes in the next ten years in Asia.
Earthquake risk assessment
Earthquake risk mapping of Asia
Visual Studio VB.NET 2005
MS Windows XP or upper version
Conventional models of ER (Wang et al, 2007) R - the estimated seismic risk value L - the life or economic losses P ( Y ) - the probability of occurrence of seismic ground motion Y (Seismic hazard probability)
V ( Y ) - the vulnerability of social wealth (life, building or economic index such as GDP) in Y
A new ER model developed by Wang et al (2009) R - the estimated seismic risk value L - the life or economic losses P ( Y ) - the probability of occurrence of seismic ground motion Y (Seismic hazard probability) A - the ability of disaster reduction
V ( Y | A ) - the vulnerability under the condition of A
The basic process of risk assessment for catastrophe earthquake
The system function frame chart
The Input of Earthquake Parameters
Interface of Control Params for Risk Assessment
Example of Risk Assessment Interface of Control Params for Risk Assessment
Estimated Seismic Intensity Distribution of 2010 Ms7.0 Yushu Earthquake, Qinghai Province, China Interface of Control Params for Fast Loss Assessment
Death toll of Ms7.1Yushu earthquake
The Catastrophe Earthquake Risk Estimation System (CERES) has been showing the potential ability in practical research of risk assessment in Asia while the results have not been presented here for a limited extent of paper.
The research was supported by Ministry of Science & Technology of China (NO. 2008BAC44B02).
Thank you! Ding xiang [email_address] +86-10-88015736