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  • Paper 2966: THE DEVELOPMENT OF CATASTROPHE EARTHQUAKE RISK ESTIMATION SYSTEM BASED ON GIS Session: FR3.T09.5 - GIS Techniques IV Presentation Type: Oral Session Location: Ballroom C Session Time: Friday, July 29, 13:20 - 15:00 Paper Presentation Time: Friday, July 29, 14:40 - 15:00 Session Chairs: Anita Simic, asimic.canada@gmail.com and Meixia Deng, mdeng@gmu.edu

Transcript

  • 1. Xiang DING Presented by Aixia DOU Institute of Earthquake Science China Earthquake Administration Friday, July 29,2011 IGARSS 2011, July 25-29, Vancouver, Canada
  • 2.
    • Introduction
    • The Design Object of the System
    • The Basic Model for Earthquake Risk Assessment
    • Earthquake Risk Assessment
    • The Main Functions of CERES
    • Conclusion and Acknowledgement
  • 3.
    • The Catastrophe Earthquake Risk Estimation System ( CERES for Windows) is a professional software system developed specifically for the risk assessment of catastrophe earthquakes in the next ten years in Asia.
  • 4.
    • Earthquake risk assessment
    • Information service
    • Earthquake risk mapping of Asia
  • 5.
      • Development Tools
        • ArcEngine 9.2
        • Visual Studio VB.NET 2005
      • DataBase
        • Micros oft Access
        • Oracle
      • Runing Environment
        • MS Windows XP or upper version
  • 6.
    • Conventional models of ER (Wang et al, 2007)
    • or
    • R - the estimated seismic risk value
    • L - the life or economic losses
    • P ( Y ) - the probability of occurrence of seismic ground motion Y (Seismic hazard probability)
    • V ( Y ) - the vulnerability of social wealth (life, building or economic index such as GDP) in Y
    • W - Social wealth
  • 7.
    • A new ER model developed by Wang et al (2009)
    • OR
    • R - the estimated seismic risk value
    • L - the life or economic losses
    • P ( Y ) - the probability of occurrence of seismic ground motion Y (Seismic hazard probability)
    • A - the ability of disaster reduction
    • V ( Y | A ) - the vulnerability under the condition of A
    • W - Social wealth
  • 8.
    • The basic process of risk assessment for catastrophe earthquake
  • 9.
    • The system function frame chart
  • 10.
    • System
    • Menus
    • of
    • CERES
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
    The Input of Earthquake Parameters
    • Database maintain
      • Add/Batch Add
      • Delete/Batch Delete
      • Update
      • Cancel
      • Find
      • Auxiliary input list
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
    Interface of Control Params for Risk Assessment
  • 21.
    Example of Risk Assessment Interface of Control Params for Risk Assessment
  • 22.
    • Death toll of Ms7.1Yushu earthquake
      • Actual: 2698
      • Miss: 270
      • Fast Estimated : 1423
    Estimated Seismic Intensity Distribution of 2010 Ms7.0 Yushu Earthquake, Qinghai Province, China Interface of Control Params for Fast Loss Assessment
  • 23.
    • The Catastrophe Earthquake Risk Estimation System (CERES) has been showing the potential ability in practical research of risk assessment in Asia while the results have not been presented here for a limited extent of paper.
    • The research was supported by Ministry of Science & Technology of China (NO. 2008BAC44B02).
  • 24. Thank you! Ding xiang [email_address] +86-10-88015736