The Future of Things

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Keynote presentation given at Homewood Public Library Staff Day, Homewood, IL on September 21, 2012.

Keynote presentation given at Homewood Public Library Staff Day, Homewood, IL on September 21, 2012.

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  • 1. The Future of Things how everywhere changes everything Jason GriffeyHead of Library Information TechnologyUniversity of Tennessee at Chattanooga Homewood Public Library September 21, 2012
  • 2. Talking Points
  • 3. Talking Points• numbers
  • 4. Talking Points• numbers• a post-pc world
  • 5. Talking Points• numbers• a post-pc world• the futurist’s dilemma
  • 6. Talking Points• numbers• a post-pc world• the futurist’s dilemma• example hardware
  • 7. Talking Points• numbers• a post-pc world• the futurist’s dilemma• example hardware• conclusions
  • 8. everything is amazing...
  • 9. numbers
  • 10. Chart 2 0.24% Type of Device on 2.89% Campus Network 18.25%39.31% 2011 39.32% Macintosh OSes Windows OSes Mobile Devices Game Consoles Other (Mostly Linux)
  • 11. Chart 2 0.24% Type of Device on 2.89% Campus Network 18.25%39.31% 2011 39.32% Macintosh OSes Windows OSes Mobile Devices Game Consoles Other (Mostly Linux)
  • 12. Chart 2 0.24% Type of Device on 2.89% Campus Network 18.25%39.31% 2011 39.32% Macintosh OSes Windows OSes Mobile Devices Game Consoles Other (Mostly Linux)
  • 13. Chart 2 0.24% Type of Device on 2.89% Campus Network 18.25%39.31% 2011 39.32% Macintosh OSes Windows OSes Mobile Devices Game Consoles Other (Mostly Linux)
  • 14. Chart 2 0.24% Type of Device on 2.89% Campus Network 18.25%39.31% 2011 39.32% Macintosh OSes Windows OSes Mobile Devices Game Consoles Other (Mostly Linux)
  • 15. Chart 2 0.24% Type of Device on 2.89% Campus Network 18.25%39.31% 2011 39.32% Macintosh OSes Windows OSes Mobile Devices Game Consoles Other (Mostly Linux)
  • 16. Chart 2 0.39% Type of Device on 2.17% Campus Network 18.26%42.59% 2012 36.58% Macintosh OSes Windows OSes Mobile Devices Game Consoles Other (Mostly Linux)
  • 17. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 KindleFire Blackberry No type Android Droid iPod iPad iPhone 2011 2012
  • 18. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 KindleFire Blackberry No type Android Droid iPod iPad iPhone 2011 2012
  • 19. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 69 KindleFire 150 Blackberry No type Android Droid iPod iPad iPhone 2011 2012
  • 20. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 69 KindleFire 150 Blackberry No type Android Droid iPod iPad iPhone 2011 2012
  • 21. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 69 KindleFire 150 71 Blackberry 41 No type Android Droid iPod iPad iPhone 2011 2012
  • 22. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 69 KindleFire 150 71 Blackberry 41 No type Android Droid iPod iPad iPhone 2011 2012
  • 23. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 69 KindleFire 150 Android 2011: 1183 71 Blackberry 41 Android 2012: 1303 No type Android Droid iPod iPad iPhone 2011 2012
  • 24. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 69 KindleFire 150 Android 2011: 1183 71 Blackberry 41 Android 2012: 1303 No type Android iPod 2011: 707 Droid iPod 2012: 587 iPod iPad iPhone 2011 2012
  • 25. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 69 KindleFire 150 Android 2011: 1183 71 Blackberry 41 Android 2012: 1303 No type Android iPod 2011: 707 Droid iPod 2012: 587 iPod iPad 839 1339 iPhone 2011 2012
  • 26. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 69 KindleFire 150 Android 2011: 1183 71 Blackberry 41 Android 2012: 1303 No type Android iPod 2011: 707 Droid iPod 2012: 587 iPod iPad 839 1339 iPhone 2011 2012
  • 27. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 69 KindleFire 150 Android 2011: 1183 71 Blackberry 41 Android 2012: 1303 No type Android iPod 2011: 707 Droid iPod 2012: 587 iPod 839 1339 iPad 2173 iPhone 3166 2011 2012
  • 28. 0 1000 2000 3000ChromeOS Zune NookwindowsCE Generic Palm HPWebOS Windows7 41 Kindle 26 69 KindleFire 150 Android 2011: 1183 71 Blackberry 41 Android 2012: 1303 No type Android iPod 2011: 707 Droid iPod 2012: 587 iPod 839 1339 iPad 2173 iPhone 3166 2011 2012
  • 29. What does a Post-PC worldlook like?
  • 30. “When we were anagrarian nation, all cars were trucks. But as people moved more towards urbancenters, people started to get into cars.”
  • 31. 84 million iPads sold
  • 32. interactions
  • 33. touch
  • 34. gesture
  • 35. The Futurist’s Dilemma
  • 36. Predictions are hard...
  • 37. Predictions are hard......especially when they areabout the future. -- Yogi Bera
  • 38. Arthur C. Clarke
  • 39. What is the future of hardware?
  • 40. CharlieStross
  • 41. How Low (Power) Can You Go?http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2012/08/how-low- power-can-you-go.html
  • 42. Moore’s Law
  • 43. Koomey’s Law
  • 44. Stross’ Extrapolation
  • 45. Mike Abrash
  • 46. Valve: How I Got Here,What It’s Like, and What I’m Doing http://blogs.valvesoftware.com/abrash/valve-how-i-got- here-what-its-like-and-what-im-doing-2/
  • 47. By “wearable computing” I mean mobilecomputing where both computer-generatedgraphics and the real world are seamlesslyoverlaid in your view; there is no separatedisplay that you hold in your hands (thinkTerminator vision). The underlying trend aswe’ve gone from desktops through laptopsand notebooks to tablets is one of havingcomputing available in more places, more ofthe time.
  • 48. By “wearable computing” I mean mobilecomputing where both computer-generatedgraphics and the real world are seamlesslyoverlaid in your view; there is no separatedisplay that you hold in your hands (thinkTerminator vision). The underlying trend aswe’ve gone from desktops through laptopsand notebooks to tablets is one of havingcomputing available in more places, more ofthe time.
  • 49. The logical endpoint is computingeverywhere, all the time – that is, wearablecomputing – and I have no doubt that 20years from now that will be standard,probably through glasses or contacts, but forall I know through some kind of more directneural connection.
  • 50. The logical endpoint is computingeverywhere, all the time – that is, wearablecomputing – and I have no doubt that 20years from now that will be standard,probably through glasses or contacts, but forall I know through some kind of more directneural connection.
  • 51. And I’m pretty confident that platform shiftwill happen a lot sooner than 20 years –almost certainly within 10, but quite likely aslittle as 3-5 because the key areas – input, 3-5,processing/power/size, and output – that needto evolve to enable wearable computing areshaping up nicely, although there’s a lot still tobe figured out.
  • 52. And I’m pretty confident that platform shiftwill happen a lot sooner than 20 years –almost certainly within 10, but quite likely aslittle as 3-5 because the key areas – input, 3-5,processing/power/size, and output – that needto evolve to enable wearable computing areshaping up nicely, although there’s a lot still tobe figured out.
  • 53. Photo by Engadget: http://www.engadget.com/2012/01/11/lumus-see-through-wearable- display-hands-on/
  • 54. Photo by The Pug Father - http://flic.kr/p/biH9j2
  • 55. LibraryBox Project http://librarybox.us
  • 56. conclusions
  • 57. strategies
  • 58. look outside ourselves
  • 59. prepare for the data flood
  • 60. insert inspirational quotes here
  • 61. Douglas Adams said...
  • 62. Douglas Adams said...1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works.
  • 63. Douglas Adams said...1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works.2. Anything that’s invented between when you’re fifteen and thirty-five is new and exciting and revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it.
  • 64. Douglas Adams said...1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works.2. Anything that’s invented between when you’re fifteen and thirty-five is new and exciting and revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it.3. Anything invented after you’re thirty-five is against the natural order of things.
  • 65. If Id asked themwhat they wanted,theyd have said afaster horse. -- Henry Ford
  • 66. It isn’t theconsumer’s job toknow what theywant. - Steve Jobs
  • 67. The best way topredict the future is to create it. -Peter Drucker
  • 68. Warren Ellis
  • 69. How to See the Futurehttp://www.warrenellis.com/?p=14314
  • 70. Thank You