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Bob White - State of the Market by the Numbers
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Bob White - State of the Market by the Numbers Bob White - State of the Market by the Numbers Presentation Transcript

  • Beyond Distress State of the MarketPresentation by the Numbers Robert M. White, Jr., CRE, FRIC September 22, 2011
  • Strong Q2 and H1 Transaction VolumesRCAnalytics.com
  • Broad Rebound in Sales Across Property Types H1’11 Sales Across Property Types H1 ‘11 Year-Over-Year H1 ‘11 Volume Change in Volume Office $25.9 Seniors & Care 412% Apartment $23.1 Hotel 154% Retail $21.8 Apartment 102% Seniors & Care $16.2 Office 88% Industrial $11.0 Retail 63% Centro Hotel $8.7 Industrial 59% BillionsRCAnalytics.com
  • Broad Rebound in Sales Across MarketsRCAnalytics.com
  • But, US Investment Markets May be Stumbling… JulyRCAnalytics.com
  • CMBS Market Turbulent; Conduits Pulling Back Quarterly CMBS Issuance $80 $70 $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 $- 3 4 2 4 3 4 2 4 3 4 2 3 4 3 4 2 3 3 4 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 4 2 4 1 01 1 03 1 05 1 07 1 09 1 11 1 02 1 04 1 06 1 08 1 10RCAnalytics.com
  • Forecast: $200 Billion in Property Sales in 2011 450 2007 2006 400 $billion 2005 350 300 250 200 2011e 2008 150 2010 100 2009 50 - J F M A M J J A S O N DRCAnalytics.com
  • Distressed Situation Improving Slowly…
  • Additions to Distress Down, But Still Significant
  • Sales of Distressed Properties RisingRCAnalytics.com
  • An End to Extend & Pretend?RCAnalytics.com
  • Distress by Property Type H1’11 Summary * Recovery Rate before fees and costs
  • Distress by Lender Type H1’11 Summary * Recovery Rate before fees and costs
  • Certain Markets Clearing Distress RapidlyRCAnalytics.com
  • Thank You rwhite@rcanalytics.comRCAnalytics.com