Different records give different curves: comparing deep sea and land-based           palaeobiodiversityGraeme T. Lloyd, An...
Macrostratigraphic record                          Raw palaeodiversity                              Sampling              ...
Macrostratigraphic record                          Raw palaeodiversity                              Sampling              ...
Macrostratigraphic record                          Raw palaeodiversity                              Sampling              ...
Macrostratigraphic record                  Raw palaeodiversity Which pathway drives the fossil record?Problem so far is th...
coccolithophorids     To understand which pathway drives the                  fossil record       We need to look how the ...
coccolithophorids                         Predictions      Common cause - correlation between sampled                   di...
DatabasesDeep sea                      Land  205 sites, 14405 samples,    462 sections, 5563+ samples,  46538 occurrence r...
Rock recordsDeep sea                              Land   Rock record   Number of cores recovering            Number of loc...
Species diversity in fossil recordsDeep sea                                Land  Raw species diversity  Number of species ...
Species diversity versus rock record (1): raw dataDeep sea                                LandLog (Nsites)                ...
Species diversity versus rock record (1): first differencesDeep sea                                LandLog (Nsites)       ...
Estimating True DiversityDeep sea                            Land     Two diversity curves - so which (if either) is corre...
Estimating True Diversity: 1, RarefactionDeep sea                                  Land 109 samples per bin               ...
Estimating True Diversity: 2, ModelingDeep sea                                                   Land     Diversity modele...
Estimating True Diversity: 2, ModelingDeep sea                            Land Residuals from modeled diversity           ...
Estimating True Diversity: 3, Alpha DiversityDeep sea                            Land   Mean number of species   recorded ...
Estimating True Diversity: 4, Shareholder QuorumDeep sea                      Land   Shareholder quorum   richness at q = ...
SummaryDeep sea                                Land    • The recorded history of coccolithophorid diversity over last 150 ...
coccolithophorids                         Predictions      Common cause - little or no correlation between                ...
Macrostratigraphic record                              Palaeodiversity                                Sampling            ...
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Different records give different curves: comparing deep sea and land-based palaeobiodiversity

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Different records give different curves: comparing deep sea and land-based palaeobiodiversity

  1. 1. Different records give different curves: comparing deep sea and land-based palaeobiodiversityGraeme T. Lloyd, Andrew B. Smith and Jeremy R. Young Department of Palaeontology,The Natural History Museum, London, UK
  2. 2. Macrostratigraphic record Raw palaeodiversity Sampling opportunity Sedimentary Habitat record availability Rock record Biological driver driver Geotectonic history
  3. 3. Macrostratigraphic record Raw palaeodiversity Sampling opportunity Rock bias hypothesis Sedimentary Habitat record availability Rock record Biological driver driver Geotectonic history
  4. 4. Macrostratigraphic record Raw palaeodiversity Sampling opportunity Common cause hypothesis Sedimentary Habitat record availability Rock record Biological driver driver Geotectonic history
  5. 5. Macrostratigraphic record Raw palaeodiversity Which pathway drives the fossil record?Problem so far is that we have been looking at how different taxonomic groups are affected in the same rock record -where both rock and fossil records are created by the same set of drivers
  6. 6. coccolithophorids To understand which pathway drives the fossil record We need to look how the evolutionary history of a single widespread marine group (coccolithophorids) is recorded by 2 contrasting rock records (deep sea v. land based)Deep sea Land
  7. 7. coccolithophorids Predictions Common cause - correlation between sampled diversity and rock record in only one of the environments (land) Rock record bias - both environments will show strong link between sampled diversity and rock recordDeep sea Land
  8. 8. DatabasesDeep sea Land 205 sites, 14405 samples, 462 sections, 5563+ samples, 46538 occurrence records 22745 occurrence records
  9. 9. Rock recordsDeep sea Land Rock record Number of cores recovering Number of localities with rock of given age published nannofossil taxonomic lists Time (Ma) Time (Ma)
  10. 10. Species diversity in fossil recordsDeep sea Land Raw species diversity Number of species Number of species Time (Ma) Time (Ma)
  11. 11. Species diversity versus rock record (1): raw dataDeep sea LandLog (Nsites) Log (Nsites) Log (species richness) Log (species richness)
  12. 12. Species diversity versus rock record (1): first differencesDeep sea LandLog (Nsites) Log (Nsites) Log (species richness) Log (species richness)
  13. 13. Estimating True DiversityDeep sea Land Two diversity curves - so which (if either) is correct?Use 4 techniques to try to find the true underlying diversity:• Rarefaction• Modeling• Alpha diversity estimates• Shareholder quorum With two rock records can cross-validate methods!
  14. 14. Estimating True Diversity: 1, RarefactionDeep sea Land 109 samples per bin 106 samples per bin Species diversity (max) Species diversity (max) Time (Ma) Time (Ma) Blue = empirical pattern Black = diversity at equal subsampling
  15. 15. Estimating True Diversity: 2, ModelingDeep sea Land Diversity modeled as invariant Species diversity Species diversity Time (Ma) Time (Ma) Blue = empirical pattern Red = model prediction assuming diversity is invariant and shaped by rock abundance
  16. 16. Estimating True Diversity: 2, ModelingDeep sea Land Residuals from modeled diversity Time (Ma) Time (Ma)
  17. 17. Estimating True Diversity: 3, Alpha DiversityDeep sea Land Mean number of species recorded per site Species Species Time (Ma) Time (Ma) Time (Ma)
  18. 18. Estimating True Diversity: 4, Shareholder QuorumDeep sea Land Shareholder quorum richness at q = .40 Species Species Time (Ma) Time (Ma)
  19. 19. SummaryDeep sea Land • The recorded history of coccolithophorid diversity over last 150 Ma changes dramatically according to whether data is drawn from land-based or deep-sea rock records • Coccolithophorid diversity correlates strongly to the shape of the rock record it is recovered from • Subsampling, modeling and estimates of mean alpha diversity all point to a third, much more uniform, diversity over time irrespective of which record is used
  20. 20. coccolithophorids Predictions Common cause - little or no correlation between diversity and rock record in the deep sea Rock record bias - both environments will show strong link between diversity and rock recordDeep sea Land
  21. 21. Macrostratigraphic record Palaeodiversity Sampling opportunity Rock bias dominates Sedimentary Habitat record availability Rock record Biological driver driver Geotectonic history

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