GIS ACG Firm Profile Global Power Energy Transport Emissions Environment Strategy Global InfraSys Asia Consulting Group

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    GIS ACG Firm Profile Global Power Energy Transport Emissions Environment Strategy Global InfraSys Asia Consulting Group - Presentation Transcript

    1. GLOBAL INFRASYS (P) LTD. & ASIA CONSULTING GROUP (P) LTD. FIRM OVERVIEW & GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES POWER & ENERGY Vision To be the World's Leading Global Strategic Advisor to the Power, Energy & Infrastructure Industries. Mission To Empower Clients with the Ultimate Competitive Advantage & Investment Decision Analysis through Superior Strategic Planning, Forecasting, Risk Evaluation Services and Information Technology Solutions. query.gis.acg@gmail.com www.globalinfrasys.com Version www.acg-asia.com 112009 © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 1 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    2. GLOBAL INFRASYS (P) LTD. & ASIA CONSULTING GROUP (P) LTD. FIRM OVERVIEW & GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES POWER & ENERGY FIRM OVERVIEW GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES STRATEGIC SYSTEMS & SIMULATORS COUNTRY & ASSET STUDIES KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS VISION & MANAGEMENT © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 2 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    3. Global InfraSys & Asia Consulting Group GIS-ACG has established a reputation for consulting excellence and meeting the strategy challenge in the complex and rapidly evolving Asian and Global infrastructure markets. GIS-ACG professionals have experience in over 300 projects in Infrastructure including Power, Energy (Oil & Gas), Transport and Emissions. GIS-ACG integrates advanced technical, market, and industry knowledge with sophisticated business strategy skills and ITES (IT Enabled Systems) to provide superior consulting services in global infrastructure markets & projects. • Asia Consulting Group (ACG) was founded in 1994 by a group of Asian expatriate & American consultants working with top consulting firms in the United States & Europe under the Chairmanship of Mr. S.C. Ho, who was also the Chairman of CIDC (China Investment Development Corporation). It has assessed the Power & Energy markets of 45 countries in Asia. Its' clients include global Power & Energy companies & financial institutions including the World Bank. • Global InfraSys (GIS) was launched in 2002 under the Chairmanship of Mr. Nasser Munjee, who is also the Chairman of DCB (Development Credit Bank) & the former MD of IDFC (Infrastructure Development Finance Co.) The GIS vision is to advise clients on global infrastructure strategies across 195 countries and nearly 70 territories. • The combined firm is referred to as Global InfraSys or GIS-ACG. The firm has its primary offices in New Delhi & Gurgaon, India. Mr. Vishvjeet Kanwarpal has been the CEO & MD of both firms since their incorporation. • GIS-ACG possesses expertise in a wide range of infrastructure sectors including Power & Energy, Transportation, Environment & Emissions, Telecommunication & Technology Transfer. The academic background of ACG partners is in business, engineering, finance, and law from MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), Harvard & London School of Economics. • GIS-ACG plans to grow to over 250 Professionals worldwide in the near to medium term. This includes Project Managers, Consultants, Analysts, Strategic Systems Managers, Knowledge Managers and Advisors. © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 3 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    4. Clients: Global Power & Energy Leaders GIS-ACG clients include top Global Corporations in Power & Energy. GIS-ACG has allied with leading industry & strategy consulting players on key projects. Its participation in International Conferences & the Press is unparalleled. Multi-Client Studies Clients (RFP Qualified) Industry Press Articles/Quotes Conference Presentations South Asia Power & Energy Study AES Reuters PG Power Gen Asia '95 PG Power Gen Americas '95 Asia Power 2000 Study Boston Pacific Dow Jones Newswire PG Power Gen Asia '96 IBF Independent E. NY '96 Asia Power Risk Workshop EPON AP (Associated Press) CII National Conference '96 CBI In. Fin. NY Jan'97 South Asia Gas Study Fluor Daniel Petroleum Argus AIC Asia Power Feb'97 CBI IPP India DC Mar'97 India KG Gas Study GEC Alsthom COOSP Cogen Onsite Power PGA - Power Sing Sept97 IBC - MEGas Dubai Oct97 India Hydrocarbon Vision 2025 Gujarat Ambuja World Cogeneration AIC - Proj. Risk Sing Dec97 AIC Asia Power Sing Feb '98 Asian Energy Infrastructure Gujarat Torrent Power Engineering Int. IBC - LNG Risk WS KLApr '98 PG Asia Delhi '98 IL & FS Asian Energy IBC MEGAS Abu Dhabi Oct'98 IBC MEGAS '98 Clients (Power - Gas - LNG) Jubilant Enpro Asian Power AIC Singapore 1999 MEGAS '99 Lebanon 1999 British Gas Panda Energy The Observer PGA'99 Present FF Ver 1999 PGI 99 New Orleans 1999 Caltex PowerGen Independent Energy TERI - IDFC Delhi 1999 ABF Power in Asia Mar 2000 Chevron Reliance Powerline AIC Singapore 2000 IBC MEGAS Qatar 2000 ElectroGen Repsol Business India TERI Conference 2000 PL Fut Indian Power 4 Apr00 Escorts Skoda Business Standard ABF Asia Power Sing Nov 01 FICCI LNG 27 June 01 GAIL Solar Turbines TeleNet IBC MEGAS Qatar 01 NTPC 7 May 01 GDF Gaz de France Zeigler Coal Al-Khaleej NTPC 4 Jun 01 PGA Malaysia 2001 GMR Group Gulf Times PL Gas New Delhi Nov 01 Project Based Alliances Winrock New Delhi 2001 Hitachi Terrapin Sing Asia Power 01 Asia Power 2002 Feb 4-7 IDFC EDF NTPC Power Feb 11 ABF Malaysia Pwr Apr 15-16 IRG Bechtel IBC MEGAS Oman Apr 21-22 ABF China Power May 20-21 J-Power EPDC CERA NTPC PMI July 24, 2002 PowerGen Asia Oct 2-4 Marathon Oil D&T ASEAN E. Thailand 21-22 Oct ABF Malaysia 30-31 Oct Mobil Cooperation: Winrock Cogen 24-26 Oct MEGAS Iran 29-30 Oct 02 PSEG AT Kearney NTPC Noida Jan 6 03 IBCO&GP Amst Feb 27-28 03 Shell Goldman Sachs Mumbai IBC Mar 24-25 03 ABF Shanghai Apr 14-16 03 Singapore Power Morgan Stanley FICCI India Oil Scenario IBC Qatar Sep 03 Tata Group Sumitomo Bank Power Gen Asia Sep 03 Terrapin Korea Sep 03 Tenaga Nasional Pro Bono Studies BCCI Mumbai Sep 03 Asia Power Malaysia Oct 03 Unocal FICCI Asia Gas Buyers 2-3Feb04 FICCI Seminar Environment USAID CII IPPAI Power Trade 27 Apr04 10th Megas Dubai 27-30Nov04 Winrock Assocham Iran Gas India 15-16 Dec 04 CGES London 28-29 June 05 World Bank US Embassy PG Asia 2005 Singapore Iran Gas India Sep 05 Qatar 19-21 Feb 06 Power Ministry © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 4 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    5. Expertise: Infrastructure Sectors GIS-ACG expertise includes Power, Oil, Gas, Transport & Emissions. These are dynamically linked Infrastructure Sectors. Distribution Power Transmission Power Emissions & Carbon Trading Convergence Shipping Oil Energy & Gas E&P Pipelines Refineries & Product LNG Automotive Transport Coal & Lignite Railways Emissions Oil Telecom Wireless Wires Gas Power Water Transport Water Pipelines Economic & Political-Policy © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 5 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    6. GIS-ACG Strategic Services GIS-ACG provides the entire range of Corporate Strategy, Business Development & Project Evaluation Services. Orientation Workshops Corporate Strategy Regulatory & Policy Impact • Executive Briefing • Vision Development • Dynamics of • Market Dynamics • Business Models Regulatory Development • Industry Structure Shifts • Scenario Simulation • Role of Government • Fundamental Analysis • Sector Portfolio • Policy Issues • Forecasts & Trends Optimization • Policy Levers • Future Outlooks - Power • Subsidy & Impact - Energy Business Plans Competitor Benchmarking Opportunity Benchmarking • Investment Plans • Key Players & Profiles • Economic Modeling • Investment Timelines • Comprehensive Parameters • Project Databases • RoI Assessment • Analytical Frameworks - Tracking • Opportunity Criteria: • Technology Evolution - Rating - Country • Cost & Price Dynamics - Ranking - State • SWOT Analysis - Project Market Studies & Strategy Portfolio Strategy Valuation: Risk & Returns • Strategy Development: • Options • Segments: - Regional • Risk Mitigation - Company - Country • Portfolio Optimization - Portfolio - State - Asset • Risk Mitigation Strategies • Feasibility & Risk • Commercial Due-Diligence • Financial Closure Support Scenario Simulation & War Gaming Across all Segments © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 6 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    7. GIS-ACG Strategic Services Value Proposal GIS-ACG provides Clients an Unrivalled Integrated Strategic Services to realize their Business Vision & Objectives. Industry Insight Stock Value Compliance • To Empower Client • To Position Clients with a • To Provide Clients with Strategy Executives with Vision & Business Models in-depth Comprehension of Comprehensive Knowledge, that will Maximize Client Regulatory & Policy Understanding & an Stock Value through: Dynamics to enable Clients • Executive Briefing • Market Dynamics Integrated Perspective of • Vision Development • Business Models Superior: • Dynamics of Regulatory Development to accurately Assess & • Industry Structure Shifts • Fundamental Analysis Industry Dynamics though: • Scenario Simulation • Sector Portfolio Corporate Strategy • Role of Government • Policy Issues Incorporate: • Forecasts & Trends • Future Outlooks Orientation Workshops Optimization - Power • Policy Levers • Subsidy & Impact Regulatory & Policy Impact - Energy Profitability Leadership Advantage • To Assist Clients in • To Provide critical SWOT • To Leverage the GIS-ACG Maximizing Return on analysis of Client & Key Advanced Project Tracking Investment though Players to empower clients to RDBMS System to enable sophisticated Strategic Tools capture and maintain a Lead in-depth assessments of • Investment Plans • Investment Timelines & Analysis to produce a • Key Players & Profiles Role in Industry via • Economic Modeling Asset & • Comprehensive Parameters • Project Databases • RoI Assessment • Opportunity Criteria: powerful: • Analytical Frameworks high-value: - Tracking Opportunity Benchmarking • Technology Evolution - Rating - Country - State Business Plan • Cost & Price Dynamics Competitor Benchmarking - Ranking • SWOT Analysis - Project Strategic Superiority Value Maximization Risk Minimization • To Develop Fact-Based • To Optimize the Value of • To Ensure the Safety of Implementable Global, Client Investment & Assets Client Investment by Regional, Country & State through a S.M.A.R.T. and conducting Rigorous and Market Studies & Strategy Balanced Market Fundamentals based • Strategy Development: - Regional • Options • Risk Mitigation Portfolio Strategy • Segments: - Company Valuation: Risk & Returns - Country • Portfolio Optimization - Portfolio - State - Asset • Risk Mitigation Strategies • Feasibility & Risk • Commercial Due-Diligence • Financial Closure Support Scenario Simulation & War Gaming Across all Segments © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 7 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    8. GLOBAL INFRASYS (P) LTD. & ASIA CONSULTING GROUP (P) LTD. FIRM OVERVIEW & GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES POWER & ENERGY FIRM OVERVIEW GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES STRATEGIC SYSTEMS & SIMULATORS COUNTRY & ASSET STUDIES KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS VISION & MANAGEMENT © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 8 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    9. GIS-ACG Strategic Service: Global Scope GIS-ACG conducts Market Studies & develops Business Plans on Country, Region & Global levels. These include 5-Year Business Plans, Annual Strategic Reviews & Strategic Update across 195 Countries & 7 Continents †. * In June 2008 GIS-ACG completed its 11 Years of Power & Energy R&D across 195 Countries. North America Europe CIS & Eastern Europe 7 Continents Asia & Oceania 195 Countries 70 Territories South America Africa Middle East † Each continent is further segmented into * GIS-ACG Global Power & Energy R&D Regions based on Regional, Economic, South Asia - 1995-1996 - (2 Years) Geographic or Historical Association. Rest of Asia - 1997-2000 - (4 Years) Rest of World - 2003-2008 - (5 Years) 3000 Km Total R&D - 11 Years 3000 M © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 9 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    10. Investment Advisory: Country & State Rating GIS-ACG evaluates & screens potential investment countries & states via a rigorous multi-parameter rating and ranking System. The methodology is customized to client strategic & investment criteria. It systematically assesses the relative attractiveness of potential investment geographies and ranks target investment markets. Weight Allocation To Major Categories Weight Allocation To Sub-Parameters % Category Sub-Parameter Utility Restructuring Utility Reform Initiative 100 10% 25% 90 80 70 Regulatory Factors 60 20% 50 40 30 Country Parameters Utility Financials 20 20% 25% 10 0 Sub-Parameters Details Installation of Transformers, substations Penalties Operating Cost To Total Cost Fiscal Deficit To SDP Tariff Rationalization: Industrial Upgradation of T&D Utility Buyback Days Payable Policy Stability Tariff Pronouncement Extent of Metering for Industry RoR Without Subsidy Interest Coverage Ratio Reform Status TOD Tariff Extent of Metering for Households Revenue Realization To Total Cost Interest rate on Market Borrowings Reform Time Frame Metering Extent of Metering for Agriculture Collection Efficiency Days Receivable Political Stability Residential Wheeling Current Ratio State guarantees to State Budge % Industrial growth Status Third Party Sales Debt-Service Coverage Ratio Power Subsidy To Agriculture to State Budget (%) GDP Growth Rate Time Frame Banking RoR To Sales Revenue Political Interference in Tariff Rationalization Per Capita Income Distribution Privatization Time Frame Subsidy To Sales Revenue No. of opposition events to of reform initiatives Agriculture Growth Rate Unbundling Status Billing Efficiency % of government loans written-off Political interference to SERC functioning Cross-subsidy To Sales Revenue Asset Sales: R&M/O&M IT Infrastructure Debt-Equity Ratio Share of Power Sector in Total Outlay Tariff Rationalization : Agriculture Studies Completed © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 10 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    11. Regulatory Studies & Impact Assessment GIS-ACG conducts Global Regulatory Reform Studies to benchmark the pace of country reform and provide strategic support to Regulators in identifying best-practices and their incorporation into a country's Regulatory Framework. GIS-ACG also evaluates the net impact of Regulatory developments on Power & Energy opportunities. © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 11 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    12. 7 Levels of Country & Asset Due-Diligence GIS-ACG conducts 7 Levels of Standardized Country Market Assessment & Project Asset Due-Diligence across all the 195 Countries on the planet. Systems Studies Market Strategic Systems 7 Levels of Country & Asset Assessment =∑ Merchant Project Simulators =∑ National Master Plans =∑ © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 12 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    13. 7 Levels: Sequence & Strategic Value The 7 Levels of Country Market Assessment & Project Asset Due-Diligence are Sequential. They are in increasing order of Resolution, Complexity & Strategic Value. They provide clients the maximum flexibility in mandating assignments. Level Title Detail Man-Days † Sequential Buildup 1 Country Market Assessment - Economic & Industry 30 (Standardized across 195 Countries) - Power - Energy 2 Independent Demand Forecasts - Power 30 (Capacity, Generation, Base-Peak Load) - Energy-Mix (Primary & By Sector) - Energy Price & Power Input Cost 3 Supply Project Profiling & Rating - Profiling 30 Power & Energy Projects - Tracking - Rating 4 Merit Order Dispatch (MoD) - Synthesis of 30 (System Dispatch Risk) Level 2 & 3 Assessments 5 Merit Order Payment (MoP) - Off-taker Financial Modeling 30 - Project Financial Risk - 50 6 Gas-Power Assessment & Strategy - Spark-Spread 30 - Gas Market Aggregation - Gas-Power Asset Optimization 7 Power Asset Valuation - Contract vs. Merchant Cash Flow & IRR 30 Energy Asset Valuation - Valuation: Development / Buy-In - - Positioning: Dilution / Exit 50 210-250 † Range: +/- 10 Days † Exceptions: USA, India, China, Australia (Selected Large Multi-State/Region Nations) Synthesis, Modeling & Simulation © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 13 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    14. GLOBAL INFRASYS (P) LTD. & ASIA CONSULTING GROUP (P) LTD. FIRM OVERVIEW & GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES POWER & ENERGY FIRM OVERVIEW GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES STRATEGIC SYSTEMS & SIMULATORS COUNTRY & ASSET STUDIES KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS VISION & MANAGEMENT © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 14 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    15. Strategic Services & Systems: A Paradigm Shift GIS-ACG provides clients the highest value by migrating from Strategic Studies to 3 Strategic Systems. GIS-ACG Global Strategic Services & Systems are based on 5 Proprietary Global Models, 195 base National Master Plans, 3 Strategic Systems & 7 Levels of Country & Asset Assessment. These are powered by 11 Years of Comprehensive R&D. 5 Global Models 11 Years of R&D * Emissions* Carbon Trading Oil Gas Power Transport Economic & Political-Policy =∑ = 7 Levels of ∑ Country & Asset Assessment The 5 Global Models are based on the aggregation of 195 base 3 Strategic Systems National Master Plans. 195 National Master Plans Market Strategic Systems Merchant Project Simulators =∑ =∑ © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 15 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    16. National Master Plans GIS-ACG’s proprietary National Power, Energy, Transport & Emissions Models (N-PETE-Ms) drive long range forecasting (50 Years) & scenario simulation. An N-PETE-M's primary application is in the development of client market & project strategy as well as government policy planning & design. An N-PETE-M typically micro-models and integrates over 90%+ of the physical infrastructure sectors and macro-models almost 80%+ of the economy. National N-PETE-M Blueprint National Dynamic Development: Modularly built & seamlessly integrated, A Sterling Forecasting Supply Forecast Demand Forecast N-PETE-Ms are continuously refined, expanded, and updated... Track Record Iron & Steel (Based on 100% To eliminate the standard modeling GIS-ACG contrarian forecasts IPPs Industrial hazard - GIGO - the N-PETE-Ms Tracking & Rating GIGO are powered by the constantly based on N-PETE-Ms have Captive PPPs Agriculture 30 Industries updated GIS-ACG Power Track of Projects) (Including (∑ 100 Databases) consistently proved highly Cogeneration Commercial Small Scale) GIS-ACG N-PETE-Ms surpass the accurate across: integrated methodology of the U.S. Captive Supply Government Utilities Residential Sub-Models National Energy Modeling System of • Electricity Demand Energy Information Administration • Energy Demand Forecast Installed Base R&M Forex Limits Office of Integrated Analysis and Traction Forecasting U.S. Department of • LNG Potential Load & Energy (DoE) • IPP & Energy Risk Standby Power Supply Demand Public Lighting Impact IPP PPA Forex • Captive Power Sustainability Revenue Forecast Sectoral Growth • Mega Projects Forecast Electricity Tariff Projections (+) (+) Trade Balance of Payments • T&D Loss Arrears, Charges, & Losses Power Policy Power PPA Obligations ∑ Utility Economy Scope Investment Energy Investment Plans (-) (National) (-) Infrastructure Transport • Historical (1950-Present) Telecom Budgetary Support Network • Forecast Infrastructure Power Subsidies (Present-2050) T&D Distribution Projects Development Policy Forecast Tariff Policy Load Transmission Ratio Policy IPP Incentives Scenario Energy Transport Simulation Fuel Policy Grid Technical Loss Change of Law Demand Demand Projects Non-Technical Loss N-PETE-M India Economic & Industrial Policy Supply Supply Evacuation T&D Ambient Key Features Gas Power Limits Forecasts Systems • Policy Power Transport & Impact • Political • Time to build: 2.5 years Domestic Coal Rail Industry Limits Forecast • Legal • Size: 100 MB+ Industry & Impact • Power Liquid Fuel Road Other • Equations: 5,000 + Transport • Exploration • Energy • Variables: 4500 + Renewable Fuel Import • Transport Agriculture • Reserves Shipping & Ports & Price • Support Files: 375+ • Production Hydro Potential Forecast • Emissions & Carbon Trading • Full Printout: 7,500 pages Domestic Pipelines & Terminals • Integrated Demand & Supply Forecasting • Feed Data: 5 Million + • Project Merchant Modeling & Simulation (Datapoints) Standby Power • Mines • Oil Fields • Refineries Imports • Advanced Network Systems & Sophisticated IT Solutions Other • Washeries • Gas Fields • PetroChem • Comprehensive Research & Total Knowledge Base © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 16 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    17. Market Strategic Systems GIS-ACG Market Strategic Systems (MASS) empower Client Management with a formidable competitive advantage. They herald a quantum leap in strategic planning, business development and investment decision making. While a MASS is customized to client requirements it can be linked to an N-PETE-M to enable automatic updates. • GIS-ACG Market ... power these by ... and connect all client ... to create a ... & a quantum Strategic Systems the most sophisticated locations by leveraging "One-Touch competitive integrate 10 critical information, intelligence, Internet Technology ... Solution" ... advantage ... corporate strategic knowledge systems ... functions ... Strategic Modules Asset Reporting 10 Monitor • Project Initiatives • Business Development 9 Implement • Contact Management 8 Develop • Performance Valuation • Resource Allocation • Technologies Process Value Proposition • Engagement Coordination • Techniques Strategy Design Strategic: Planning • Dynamic Models • Business Strategy Planning • Investment Decisions • Database Systems • Strategic Objectives 7 Project • Business Development System • Benchmarking • Internet Solutions • Client System Review • Strategy Performance Measurement 6 Portfolio • Simulations • Intranet & ESP • IT System Evaluation • S: Strengths • Video Conferencing • Solution Workshop Project: 5 Market • W: Weaknesses • Email Query Develop • Project Opportunity Tracking • O: Opportunity • Project Feasibility Assessment • Concept Development • T: Threat • Financial Model Links • System Development Knowledge Base • Initiative Cost-Benefit Analysis Assessment • Custom Solutions • ACG Tracking Systems • Graphical Interface • Dedicated Surveys Intelligence: 4 Planning • Competitor Benchmarking • Client Information Deploy 3 Analysis • Models • Knowledge Management System • Newsletters • Training Workshop • Databases • Magazines • Operationalization • Optimal Information Management 2 Synthesis • Reports • Internet • Executive Reporting • Enterprise-wide Transparency • Journals • Other • Update-Interface • Customer Contact Management 1 Research • Directories • Conferences • Workshops Important Note: The following terms are used interchangeably & denote the same concept • Strategic Systems • ESP (Enterprise Strategic Planning) • The System • The Package © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 17 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    18. Merchant Project Simulators GIS-ACG Merchant Project Simulators (MPS) are integrated models of Merchant Feasibility of Power & Energy Assets & can be dynamically linked to GIS-ACG MASS & N-PETE-Ms to factor in all market, policy, and project developments. V Project Model Integrated 'Road-Show Ready' • A merchant feasible project accrues considerable advantages viz.: Investment Criteria Met: • Promoter Merchant IRR Key Agencies: Coordination of Interests • Confidence in Project Returns • Equity Partner • Investors • Lenders • Financing Terms & Expedience • Lenders 5 • Developers • Equity Participants • ACG develops robust project models which integrate all key facets: • EPC Contractors • Equipment Suppliers • Financial • Contractual • Operations • Market Project Valuation • Fuel Suppliers & Managers Possible ? • IRR • NPV • Policy • Political • Legal Probable ? • O&M Contractors Potential ? 4 • Banks & Rating Agencies • Insurance Agencies IV Project Workshop Feasibility, Risks, Returns & Strategy What if? • Provincial Electric Utilities • Central & Provincial Agencies • Provincial Government Key issues addressed: Scenario Generation • Market Validation • Economic Viability Project Evaluation • Departments • Revised PPA/FSA • Do market based projections deviate from contract based projections? • Change of Law/Factors • Identify-Quantify Risk • Performance Review • Ministries • Government • Contingency Plans • Market & Returns Analysis • Revenue • Costs • IRR • Risk Mitigation Measures • What is the rationale, reliability & implications of these deviations? • Competitive Positioning • Strategic Learning • Near • Medium • Long Term Client Models • Strategy Development Client Models • What is the probability, nature & impact of contract renegotiation? • Developer • EPC • Exit Conditions • Financial • O&M Project • Schedule • Revenue • Costs • What are the ambient system risks? •PPA • FSA • Competition • Policy • Political • Legal • Have all the risks & opportunities been addressed? 3 Execution of Critique of Standard GIS-ACG Approach • Identified • Quantified • Evaluated • Incorporated • Is the project fundamentally commercially viable? Due Diligence Market Validation via 2 • Are the projected returns resilient & strategy sound? Review Contract Based IRR Merchant Feasibility & Invalid Contractual III Project Simulator 1 Market Risk Mitigation Risks Market Competition & Merit Order Despatch • Project Simulators are dynamic models designed to capture variations in: • Project • Passthrough & Escalations Legend • Guaranteed PLFs & Incentives • Contract based IRR Dynamics • Fixed & Passthrough Liabilities Competitive • Market based IRR • Ambient • Change of Law Protection Clauses Market Based • General Political Risk Assessment Systems • Arbitration & Enforceability Fixed II Ambient Systems • Interim • Tariff Rationalization Presumed • No Competition • Ambient Systems (regulatory, Agency • Guarantees & Escrow Mechanisms †1: Project Tariff policy, political & legal) are • Power-Energy • Official Demand Figures (Infinite) †2: Fuel & O&M regarded as highly responsive System • Supply Presumed Limited †3: Consumer Tariff Terms Market • Transmission Presumed Guaranteed to public & market pressures • IRR: Internal Rate of Return Integrated and a project cannot be • Market • Official Demand Forecast Methods • O&M: Operations & Maintenance • Static Systemic Interactions • PLF: Plant Load Factor insulated against them contractually. Fundamentals • No Customer Response • EPC: Engineering Procurement & Construction I Market Model Project Dynamics GIS-ACG Link the Client Asset Model to the MASS & the • Revenues †1 Market Insulated Country Specific N-PETE-Ms • Costs †2 • Tariff © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 18 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    19. GLOBAL INFRASYS (P) LTD. & ASIA CONSULTING GROUP (P) LTD. FIRM OVERVIEW & GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES POWER & ENERGY FIRM OVERVIEW GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES STRATEGIC SYSTEMS & SIMULATORS COUNTRY & ASSET STUDIES KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS VISION & MANAGEMENT © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 19 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    20. Power & Energy: Integrated Practice & Services GIS-ACG's comprehensive Power & Energy strategic practice integrates the dynamic impact of Power & Energy Markets, Competition, and Regulatory Developments. These include Merit-Order-Despatch, Merchant Power & Energy Trading. 3 Net Impact of Dynamics Lower Tariffs Impact on Energy Projects Competition Price • Guaranteed: Gas - Tariff - Offtake LNG IRR • Change of Law Liquid Fuels Demand Supply Protection Competitive Dispatch 2 Key Forces of Change in the Power Sector Multilateral Agencies Government Market Gencos Political Public Transcos Policy Regulatory Discos Legal Incumbent 2000+ 1 Key Stages in Asian Power Sector Evolution ‘97-’99 Merchant Power Illustrative ‘95-’96 Renegotiations Competition ‘90-’94 Demand Revisions Reviews Privatization IPP Entry Negotiations Economic Crisis Deregulation Liberalization Learning Currency Shock Investment Crunch Coal Clearances Monopolies Renewables © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 20 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    21. Level 1: Country Market Assessment (Part 1) GIS-ACG provides clients a standardized strategic assessment across all 195 countries & 70 territories in the world. Country Overview • History & Politics • Economy • Power & Energy Overview • Media, Telecommunication & Transport Overview Country Investment Climate • Government initiatives to encouraging investment • Economic Stability • Financial Environment • Political Environment Power & Energy Overview • Power Generation Mix by Fuel • Primary Energy Mix • Electricity Installed Capacity by Type • Sector-wise consumption of Power and Energy Organizational and Market Structures • Power and Energy market structure • Regulatory Framework & Structure • Organizational Structure of the Electricity Supply Industry Production and Consumption • Electricity Generation and Consumption • Electricity Installed Capacity • Production and Consumption of energy resources Geographical Power & Energy Review • Reserves/potential of energy resources • Tariff structures • Capacity addition projects © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 21 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    22. Level 1: Country Market Assessment (Part 2) Power Overview Energy Overview Generation, Transmission & Distribution • Electricity Installed Capacity Production, Transmission & Distribution • Electricity Generation mix • Reserves/potential, production and consumption of • Electricity Consumer mix conventional and non-conventional energy resources • Transmission Infrastructure & Access rules • Key Issues related to the production, transmission • Transmission bottlenecks & and distribution • Transmission pricing • Distribution sector Sector Reforms Sector Reforms • Key features of market design • Key features of market design • Stage along reform path • Degree of Unbundling • Government end vision and time table • Stage along reform path • Steps taken by the government • Government end vision and time table • Steps taken by the government • Government's commitment towards Regulation & Pricing gas fired power plants • Key regulatory entities & Ownership (Public or Independent) Regulation & Pricing • Key regulatory policies • Key regulatory entities & Ownership • Energy prices (such as Oil and Gas prices) (Public or Independent) • Key regulatory policies Market Fundamentals & Risk • Investment required to setup & generate power • Private companies operating in the • Wholesale electricity prices energy sector • Retail electricity prices • Private companies as percentage of Market Fundamentals & Risk total energy market • Type of IPP contracts • Public/Private energy offtakers • IPPs as percentage of total generation (present & potential) • Public/Private power offtakers (present & potential) Opportunity Assessment Opportunity Assessment • Future Projects in the energy sector • Future Projects in power sector • Potential areas of investment • Potential areas of investment in power sector in the energy sector © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 22 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    23. Level 2: Independent Demand Forecasts GIS-ACG conducts independent Demand Forecasts in Power & Energy. As Official Data & Forecasts are often suspect or wanting from the perspective of Strategic or Asset Planning - these are systematically reviewed & rectified. Optimistic Demand Forecasts can heavily impact Power & Energy system planning & client Power & Energy investments. GIS-ACG utilizes multiple methodologies to develop its forecasts including: • Review of all Official Forecasts & Vision - System Dynamics Modeling Documents - Econometric Modeling • Reverse Engineering of Official Models - Regression Analysis • Analysis of Errors Detected & Official Data Implications. For ALL Consumption Categories: • Review of Category wise Electricity & Energy consumption & official Forecasts. • Analysis of Errors Detected & Official Data Implications. • Growth Rate Analysis • GIS-ACG Forecast by Category • Integration of Forecasts by all Categories of Electricity & Energy Consumption. • Trend & Implication Assessment • GIS-ACG Baseline Demand = Average of Category wise Summation & Trendline Forecast • Shortage Adjusted Forecast (Add Actual Recorded Shortages To Baseline Demand) Electricity • Grid Demand Forecast (Subtract New Captive Power Forecast From Shortage Adjusted Demand) © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 23 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    24. Level 3: Supply Project Profiling & Rating GIS-ACG develops the most advanced & sophisticated databases to Track, Profile & Rate Power & Energy Projects for opportunity Assessment as well as Feeder Data Streams to the Merit Order Dispatch (MoD) Assessment. Information Overload GIS-ACG Project Tracking Systems are complex Relational Data Base Management Systems (RDBMS) which comprehensively tracks the status of ALL the Power & Energy projects in a target country. Key Challenge: How does one synthesize and triangulate the vast amounts of information gathered from hundreds of diverse sources to arrive at a comprehensive assessment of project status, success Evaluation of Despatch Risk potential, commissioning etc? for Client's projects Project Knowledge Management The Internet: Advantage or Chaos: The Internet is an ocean of • Project Success Potential unverified and often unreliable information. The collation & • Expected Commissioning Dates synthesis of this information is a substantial challenge. The veracity • Project Cost & Proposed Tariffs of the information is a critical issue. • Regulator Tariff Orders • Position in MOD stack Information & Data Conflict Resolution: Various sources often Project Status provide a conflicting perspective in critical areas including key • PPA • Tariff project related issues like project tariff, project capacity, project • FSA • Finances commissioning schedule etc. • Clearances • Escrow © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 24 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    25. Level 4: Merit Order Dispatch (MoD) Sophisticated Project Due-Diligence based on Fundamentals is critical to both Equity & Debt participants in a Power Project. A comprehensive MoD & Scenario Simulation enables the identification & mitigation of Risk factors. It also optimizes Project Positioning & Parameters to take advantage of the ambient Competitive & Regulatory environment. An MoD Study is also a critical foundation for Energy Demand Aggregation & Energy Offtake Risk Assessment. GWhr Official Demand GIS-ACG GIS-ACG Forecast (Baseline) Supply - Generation Demand Forecast High Medium Low Project Based (GWhr) Official Demand Client Project Dispatch Risk Forecast (Optimistic) New Capacity Requirement Project Dispatch Risk Historical Energy Shortage 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Captive Power Forecast to be Subtracted from Grid Demand Scenario 1: Total Tariff Reference Year 2010 Year © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 25 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    26. Level 5: Merit Order Payment (MoP) An MoP & Scenario Simulation renders the Payment Risk on Power & Energy projects transparent and exposes elements an Offtaker may be unwilling to highlight. Conservative Cost Models & Optimistic Revenue Models pose a high risk. Utility Cost Forecast Fuel Power Purchase (Project Summary) O&M Administration Depreciation Interest Miscellaneous Utility Payment Risk Profile Revenue < Operations Cost Revenue > Operations Cost Utility Revenue Forecast Total Revenue Expenditure (Incl: Interest & Depreciation) Fuel+O&M+Administration+Power Purchase Fuel+O&M+Administration Power Purchase Cost 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 26 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    27. Level 6: Energy-Power Assessment & Strategy GIS-ACG conducts multi-parameter Energy-Power assessments to establish the Relative Attractiveness of Countries or States from an Energy Market & Value Maximization Perspective. This includes all key aspects such as Gas-Power Assessment, Spark-Spread Assessment, Gas Market Aggregation and Gas-Power Asset Optimization. Relative Weights of Primary Parameters (Illustrative) A1% A% C1% C% - + B1% B% % Weight X Y Z Power Utility Gas Power Sum & Scale (Weighted) (Weighted) Matrix Rating Agencies (Weighted) Selected Parameters A B C D E F G H Power X% Private/IPP Y% Gas Power Gas Supply Gas Gas Price Spark Naphtha Power Power Gas -Power Z% MW Transmission Band Spread Supply Trading Transmission Implementation of Targets Set Regulatory Frame Implementation of Regulatory Frame Relative Weights of Sub-Parameters Track Record on Subsidy Payments GNL Power GNL Cogen Captive (Illustrative) Structural Adjustment Support Provided to Utilities Weight @ % Weight @ % 10% 10% Implementation of Anti-Theft Legislation Measures A1% A% E1% E% Timeliness of Tariff Order X1 X2 + - Implementation of Tariff Order + Nature & Scope of Tariff Order D1% D% Energy Audit (11 kV) Existing X% - Aggregate Technical & Commercial Losses (ATC) in % High Y% Medium Z% GNL C1% C% Gearing Level (Total Debt/ Adjusted Networth) B1% B% (Revenues Sale of Power - Subsidy)/Operating Costs + I Gas, Naphtha, Liquid Fuels (Product) Actual Track Record of Debt Servicing Trends in Levels of Receivables (Days of Sales) Legend of Weights Applied Power Purchase & Fuel Creditors Funding of Pension & Gratuity Liabilities Built in Projection Existing X% Existing A% Existing M% Average Revenue Realization - Average Cost of Supply High Y% New B% New N% Trends in Financials with Base Year & Simulation Medium Z% Negative Score for -ve impact on Commercial Viability © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 27 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    28. Level 7A: Energy Asset Valuation (LNG-Gas) GIS-ACG conducts LNG & Gas Project feasibility by leveraging its proprietary comprehensive framework. Primary Offtaker Currency Risk LNG/Gas Project Forex Controls • Cash Flow • IRR Project Merit Order Despatch Gas Demand • Net Back $/MMBtu Project Size & Location Power Gas Field Cost of Generation Fuel Regulatory Frame Liquifaction Payment Risk Fertilizer Power Projects Load Curve Pipelines Shipping Residential Gas & LNG Tariffs Procedure Regassification Government Industrial Liquid Fuels Losses Utility Coal IPP Escrow Project Success Other Fuel Competition Financials Captive Inter-State Liquid Fuels Power Demand Installed Fuel Switch Dynamics New Domestic Gas Electrical System Industrial Naphtha Project Technology Agriculture Coal Power Regulatory Frame Gas Turbine Other Residential •Policy •Political Regulators Internal Combustion Commercial •Legal Assessment Scope Gencos Steam Turbine Other Standard GIS-ACG Economy Hydro Turbine Transcos Due Diligence Additional Analysis Other Payment Assumption Analysis Scope Discos Load Centers © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 28 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    29. Level 7B: Power Asset Valuation GIS-ACG deploys a comprehensive 10 step proprietary methodology to conduct Project Despatch Risk (MOD: Merit Order Despatch) & Project Payment Risk (MOP: Merit Order Payment) Market Model Power Sector Risk Module Project Simulator • Supply Projection 5 Utility Revenue Forecasters 6 Merit Order Despatch Stack ACG Projection (in order of events): • Payment Default • Surplus • Official Demand • Surplus Power Projection Projected By Merit • Tariff Renegotiation Merit Order Motivation Additional Order • ACG Demand • Merit Order Despatch Capacity Despatch Projection Project 20 Year Utility Financial Projections 1 Gas • Official Supply Projections 10 Finance Terms IRR Forecasts & Payment Liability Coal Excess Revenue Z MW • Default • Official Power Simulations Revenue Shortfall ~ • Deficit Market Projection Despatch Gas Fuel Risk (142,000 MW Switched Additional) Policy • Wheeling • Captive Power Liquid Financial Forecaster Options Fuel Projected 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Regulatory & Additional Revenue & Cost Impact Planning Demand Coal Response Impact Liquid Fuel Captive @ 60% Success 7 Utility Risk Module 9 Project Financial Projections 2 Feedback Loops R&M Revenue 95 00 05 10 15 20 Illustrative Time Plot IPP Entry 3 Tariff Simulator 4 Price & Cost Model • Fuel • Electricity Escrow Cover Risk Cost Utility Revenues 2000 1998 Default Risk Tariff by Customer Category Cost of Generation 1996 2.5 (Rs/KWhr) Commercial Tariff 2002+ 95 00 05 10 15 20 Domestic Naphtha 2.66 Tariff (Rs/KWhr) Domestic FO 2.48 Rs/KWhr HT Imported LNG 2.21 • Tariff Rationalization Options $3/MMBtu Imported Naphtha 2.19 Common Legend LT > 10 BHP Imported HSFO 2.17 • Captive Power Growth Imported Coal 2.16 LT < 10 BHP Domestic Coal 2.09 Contract Market Residential Imported Gas 2.08 • Unbundling Terms Terms Agriculture Response 3 $2.3/MMBtu Domestic Gas 1.90 (Liability Disintegration) 2.0 Consumer Tariff = fn (Utility Obligations / Losses) Captive Power = fn (Consumer Tariff) 95 00 05 10 15 20 Utility Revenue = fn 1/(Captive Power) N W SE SW E 4 Region Contract Renegotiation Model Ambient Systems 1 Demand Model 2 Supply Model Project Contract Evaluation PPA FSA O&M Forecast by Consumer Sector Price/Tariff Rs/KWhr Rs/Ton Rs/Mo Comprehensive List Projects Development • National • Policy Pressure Quantity GWhr Tonnes Rs & Rating of Projects by Fuel • State • Political • Public Others Not 8 Demand (GWhr) Captive Correction Industry Finalized • Interim • Legal • Group Guarantees LCs Escrow Agriculture POL Specs --- --- --- Coal Commercial MW Gas • Returns • Guarantees • Formulas Amount --- --- --- Residential • Industry Structure • Competition Others Total = x MW • Tariff • Subsidy • Duty • Taxes 95 00 05 10 15 20 • Prices • Legal Framework • Plans © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 29 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    30. Power Project Due-Diligence Framework Strategic Planning & Sophisticated Due-Diligence based on Fundamentals are critical as an entirely new set of factors are impacting Power Projects which are beyond the control of the Project Promoter & Contractual Risk Mitigation. ACG's assertion at Powergen Asia '96 that Asian IPPs are Merchant Plants was 10 years ahead of its time and yet true throughout the 10 years. Regulatory & Power Reform Risk Intra & Inter-State Power Trade Utility ARR Filings PTC India Due Diligence SERC Tariff Orders PGCIL Due-Diligence State Energy Plans Open SEB Transmission Plans Access ABT Tariff Power Traders • IEGC • CTU Indian Electricity Grid Code Central Transmission Utility • OA Project Competitiveness • RLDCs Open Access Guidelines Regional Load Dispatch Centers • CERC • STUs Central Electricity Fatal Flaws in Current State Transmission Utility Regulatory Commission Electricity Act 2003 UI Index Based Trading Power Trading Mechanics Wheeling Charge Mechanics © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 30 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    31. GLOBAL INFRASYS (P) LTD. & ASIA CONSULTING GROUP (P) LTD. FIRM OVERVIEW & GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES POWER & ENERGY FIRM OVERVIEW GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES STRATEGIC SYSTEMS & SIMULATORS COUNTRY & ASSET STUDIES KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS VISION & MANAGEMENT © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 31 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    32. Knowledge Systems & Architecture GIS-ACG leverages its Ten Categories of Proprietary Knowledge Systems & Streams to enable the development of the most advanced Strategic Systems & Simulators. The GIS-ACG Knowledge Base comprises nearly a Million Files. Knowledge, Information & News Streams A B C D E Policy & Economic Project & Utility & Project Industry & Political Bidding Competitors Finance Systems Frames & 1 Government Policy Projections & Market Structure Models 2 Forecasts (Demand) Databases 3 Projects (Supply) Simulators 4 • Merit Order Despatch (Load Flow & Trading) • Gas-Power Assessment Financial 5 • Merit Order Payment Models (Commercial Risk & Asset Returns) • Power & Energy Asset Valuation Infrastructure Knowledge Base Search Purity GIS-ACG Internal: > 95% Google: < 5 % © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 32 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    33. GIS-ACG Global Project Track: Overview GIS-ACG's Global Project Track (GPT) is a complex Relational Data Base Management System (RDBMS) designed to comprehensively track all power generation projects in the World. It currently tracks over 25,000+ Power Assets in Asia. Developed and perfected over a span of 14 years, it comprises over 50 Related Databases and is updated on a daily basis. Power Merit Order Dispatch (MOD) Generation Offtake Risk by Project Fuel Consumption (MOD Validated) Fuel Forecast (MoD Validated) Primary Control Interface Major GUI Interfaces Global Industry Track: GPT Overview 75,000 Logs 7,000 Fields / Project • News • Information • Data 50 Layouts Asia, India, China, Europe, CIS, 100 Million Data Points North America, South America, Africa & The Middle East Key Driver Databases Critical Extractor Databases © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 33 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    34. Strategic MIS Solutions: RDBMS & GIS GIS-ACG Strategic Systems provide clients the maximum Strategic Insight & Value by incorporating advanced RDBMS (Relational Data Base Management Systems) seamlessly integrated with GIS (Geographic Information Systems). ACG Strategic Systems Value Proposition: • Market Opportunity Development • System Planning • Asset Optimization • Risk Assessment • Power & Energy Market Aggregation Strategic & Tactical Value • Power & Energy Trading Information & Knowledge System Sophistication & Power RDBMS: Relational Data Base Management 1 2 3 4 90 100 Log System (ACG systems are based on FileMaker Pro) Scale GIS: Geographic Information System is a Graphical Natural Limit Representation Tool used for analyzing & mapping data from the Strategic Systems & Simulators. The system enables instant conversion of market data into graphical Infrastructure Maps of the State or Excel Region. PPT RDBMS GIS MS Access & Oracle as platforms are NOT Word recommended as they are: Print - Sub-Optimal to Develop & Update & - Severely constrain Dbase Query © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 34 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    35. GIS-ACG Knowledge Base: Overview GIS-ACG has designed & developed a proprietary Knowledge Base of over 400 on-line RDBMS Resources since 1995. • Models (150+) • 100 GB+ • 1,000,000+ Files • Methodologies (200+) Demand By Technology & Fuel Supply By Fuel & Mode • R&D Studies (200+) • Tracking Systems (100+) • Coal / Lignite • Gas / LNG • Liquid Fuels: Diesel, FO/LSHS, Naphtha, LPG, SKO • Hydro • Renewables • Databases (Main) (300+) Power T&D Industry & Sectors Transport Energy (Fuels) • Industry • Commercial • Crude Availability Models • National Power Model - Iron & Steel - Office • POL Production • Electricity Pricing Model • Load Flow - Aluminium - Shops • System • Capacity • Oil Bill & Forex Reserves • Utility Models - Textile - Hotels / Restaurants & • Production • Escrow Models Planning - Sugar - Cinema Halls - Fertilizer - Hospitals Growth - Lignite - Cement - Educational - Open Cast - Chemical - Others - Underground - Mineral Oil • Domestic - Petroleum - Households • Liquid Fuel Supply • Shipping R&D Studies - Paper - Income Analysis • LNG Terminals • Supply Projections • State Grid - Non Ferrous • Ports • Appliances: • Oil &Gas • Auto-Rating • Inter-State - Light Engineering • Railways • Coal - Jute - Production • Aviation • Auto-Analysis • Grid - - Automobile - Purchase • Washeries • Auto-Location Restrictions - Electrical Engineering - Intensity Analysis (ACs, TVs, Bulbs, • Railways • Coal - Heavy Engineering Freight & Reserves - Rubber Tubes, Fans & • Crude Production - Collieries Refrigerators etc.) Lines • Gas APT Suite - Food Products Analysis Fields • Agriculture Overview • National Project Track - Plastic - Production • Ports • Pipelines Linkage • T&D • Historical Log Project - Mining & Quarrying - Pumpsets Database • Oil & Gas • Connection - Beverages & Tobacco - Irrigation Patterns • Aviation Track - Cotton • LNG Terminals • Communicator • Traction & Airline • Primary Research - Wool & Silk - Rail Length & Traffic • Fuel Price & News Track - Miscellaneous • Coal Seams Other Key Databases • Ports • Mines Asia: 25,000 Projects Micro-View • - Major • Refineries Databases • IPPs National (i) Asia - Global - Minor • LNG Terminals Lines, • Government • Primary Research Track • Asia Projects Track by • Pipelines • Captive / Cogeneration Sub - Stations, • Power Policy Track • Global Gas Turbines - Capacity • Gas Fields (All) (Installed & Proposed) • State Databases • World Oil & Gas - Commodity • Oil Fields (All) Reactors • ACG Contact Database (x Installed + y Proposed) National (ii) Multi-Media / Graphics • 250 Fields / Project for • 6,500+ Fields / Project • 100+ • Consumption by Industry • ACG Digital Maps Coal and Oil & Gas Specifications • 2 GB Database Fields / • Market Demographics • ACG GIS System Databases • 75,000 Information Logs Project • Business Journals (95-2009) • State Grid Maps • 200 Fields / Project for • Census Surveys & Data • ACG Line Art LNG Terminals Track & National Pipelines Track Research & Information © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 35 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    36. GLOBAL INFRASYS (P) LTD. & ASIA CONSULTING GROUP (P) LTD. FIRM OVERVIEW & GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES POWER & ENERGY FIRM OVERVIEW GLOBAL STRATEGY SERVICES STRATEGIC SYSTEMS & SIMULATORS COUNTRY & ASSET STUDIES KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS VISION & MANAGEMENT © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 36 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    37. Vision & Achievements The Vision to be a World Leader in Global Strategic Advisory in Infrastructure has powered GIS-ACG efforts for 15 years. Trading: Power, Energy (Oil & Gas) & Carbon National Master 5 Plans Global Models Asia-Wide Global Power Retainers Retainers Oil-Gas State Transport Simulator Merchant Project Emissions Simulators Asia Power 2000 25 Countries in Asia Market Strategic Systems • ACG Client Client Client China Assignments Assignments Assignments Office National Project Asia Project ME-Latin-Africa Global Project • ACG Track Track Project Track Track Taiwan Office National Power & Energy Model GIS Launched India ACG US Office Launched Established 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 37 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    38. GIS-ACG Expansion Vision With a Vision to provide superior Strategic Services spanning 195 countries & 70 territories, GIS-ACG plans to grow to 200 professionals in the near to medium term. Squads of Six Number of Team Scaling Concept Mission: Professionals Completion of Consultant/Analysts 5 Not (NOT including: Strategic Systems Managers Global Models - Advisors to Knowledge Managers Estimated Saturation Point (for 195 - Retainer Consultants Scale - Support Staff Country & 70 Territory Analysis) 200 150 100 Strategic Investors / Alliances 75 • Global Leaders in Strategy 50 Estimated Paperless Advanced Saturation Point (for Knowledge Systems Training Systems 45 Country & 25 Talent Screening System Territory Asia Analysis) 10 India Model Asia Power Middle-East Asia & Middle East 195 Countries Power Energy 25 Countries 10 Countries 55 Countries 70 Territories 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 38 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    39. GIS-ACG Chairman Brief Background Mr. Nasser Munjee is the Chairman of Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. (GIS) & a Senior Advisor at Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. His vision for both companies has been the cornerstone of the companies' growth. Prior to joining Development Credit Bank (DCB) as its Chairman, Mr. Munjee was with the Infrastructure Development Finance Company Limited, India (IDFC) as its Managing Director and CEO. IDFC is one of India's leading infrastructure project finance and infrastructure policy advisory institutions. Mr. Munjee's journey in creating financial institutions began with the Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited (HDFC), which he has been assisting since its inception in February 1978. In March 1993 he joined the Board of HDFC as Executive Director with primary responsibility for resource mobilization, research, publications, training, communication and managing the Center for Housing Finance. He continues to be on the Board of HDFC along with fourteen other companies and several other institutions as Chairman, Member of the Board or as a Trustee. Mr. Munjee has a deep interest in infrastructure projects, rural development, housing finance, urban issues, specially the development of modern cities and humanitarian causes. Mr. Munjee is a Technical Advisor on the World Bank - Public Private Partnership Infrastructure Advisory Fund, Member of the Board of Emerging Markets of South Asia Fund (EMSAF), Trustee on HSBC Asset Management Trust and an Advisor to Primary (Quantum) Real Estate Fund. Mr. Munjee is a Member of the Goa Planning Board, Government of Goa, Special Invitee to the Managing Committee of the Goa Chamber of Commerce & Industry, Member of the Managing Committee of the Bombay Chamber of Commerce & Industry and also of CII, Western Region. He is a Trustee of Welham Boys School, Dehradun, Member of the Academic Council of Goa University, on the Board of Governors of the Narsee Monjee Institute of Management Studies (NMIMS), Member and an Honorary Distinguished Professor at IIT, Kanpur. Mr. Nasser Munjee holds a Bachelor’s degree from the University of Chicago (USA) and a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics, U.K. © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 39 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy
    40. GIS-ACG CEO & MD Brief Background Mr. Vishvjeet Kanwarpal is the CEO & Managing Director of Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. (ACG) & Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. (GIS) Mr. Kanwarpal directs the Infrastructure Strategy practice at ACG & GIS including: Power, Energy, Transport, Emissions, Environment & Telecommunication. He has conducted over 200 client assignments in Infrastructure & over 100 in High- Technology sectors. He has been a Speaker & Workshop Leader at over 80 international Power & Energy conferences. His areas of expertise include market and project strategy, feasibility, business simulation, risk evaluation and risk mitigation techniques in emerging Asia and globally. Pioneered the development (design and implementation) of advanced merchant concepts, dynamic models and analytical tools for Asian & global markets. His experience in the power sector includes coal, liquid fuel and gas based projects, hydro power, cogeneration and renewable sources. Experience in the energy sector includes the entire range of fuels (including LNG & Pipeline Gas) for power, fertilizer, industry, residential and transport sectors. Expertise in the transportation sectors includes airports & aviation, railways, roadways, ports & shipping and advanced multi- modal systems. Conducted continental feasibility studies pertaining to electric/hybrid vehicles including review of advanced emerging technologies. Project Manager for major GIS-ACG projects spanning over 100 man-months each: o Global InfraSys R&D 2006-2008 - Global Models in Power, Energy (Oil & Gas), Transportation & Emissions Country Strategic Studies across 195 Countries & 70 Territories across the globe o Pan-Asian Power & Energy Study 2006 (Multi-Client Project for a Global Energy Consulting Company) Market Assessments & Forecasts in Power, Energy & Transport covering 45 Countries & Territories in Asia o Asia Power 2000 & Beyond (ACG's Multi-Client Study) - Updated 2002 Asia Consulting Group's strategic Power & Energy Strategic Study spanning 25 countries in Asia o India Power 2001 A Study of the State of Power Sector Reform Programs & Benchmarking across 25 states in India o National Power & Energy Model of India 1995-1996 (ACG's Long Range Forecasting Model) Design, Development and Deployment of ACG's NPEM covering all Infrastructure Sectors in India Mr. Kanwarpal was formerly a consultant with JSA/EDS Management Consulting in Boston, USA and has traveled widely to over 40 countries in Asia, North America, Europe, Middle East and CIS. Mr. Kanwarpal is a graduate of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), USA and has completed graduate courses at Harvard and Sloan School of Management, MIT. He received his International Baccalaureate from the United World College of the Atlantic (UK) and is also an alumnus of St. Stephen’s College (India) and The Lawrence School, Sanawar (India). © Global InfraSys (P) Ltd. & Asia Consulting Group (P) Ltd. Page 40 GIS-ACG Global Strategy Services: Power & Energy

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