Your SlideShare is downloading. ×
HOW TO DO AI IN 2013                           SPEAKER:   Dr. Joseph Turian                                      President...
how to do “AI” in                         2013   Joseph Turian, Ph.D.                           MetaOptimize, GigaOm Pro  ...
the ghosts of                               work                           past, future, and                              ...
Past who makes                  computer, n., 1613: A person                            calculations.Thursday, November 8,...
PresentThursday, November 8, 12
FutureThursday, November 8, 12
The Turing Test (1950)                                                    7Thursday, November 8, 12
The Golden Years of AI (1956-1974)                  1965, H.A. Simon: “machines will be capable,                          ...
The AI winterThursday, November 8, 12
A new dawn for AI?Thursday, November 8, 12
Deep Machine Learning                            the Google “cat faces” paper                                             ...
a trick to do “AI”Thursday, November 8, 12
a trick to do “AI”Thursday, November 8, 12
Thursday, November 8, 12
Thursday, November 8, 12
Thursday, November 8, 12
Crowd                           LaborThursday, November 8, 12
Thursday, November 8, 12
Crowd-Labor                           applicationsThursday, November 8, 12
Common applications                                 Data entry                               Categorization               ...
Case study: Data entry                             Workplace safety company                                               ...
In-house approach                                                 Costly training, high                  Complicated,     ...
Crowd-Labor approach                   Virtual assembly line      Small microtasks with no                   Multiple eyes...
courtesy of CloudFactoryThursday, November 8, 12
Thursday, November 8, 12
Data Entry                                                    Crowd-labor with auto                           Temp workers...
Sentiment Analysis                           Automatic                                          Crowd-Labor               ...
“Did they think that my product is                                         cool?”                   “Did they write that m...
Input            Crowd-Labor                                               Business                                       ...
Input            Crowd-Labor                                               Business                                       ...
courtesy of CrowdSourceThursday, November 8, 12
Input                               medium/low                      high     confidence                   confidence        ...
Input                                    training                                      data                               ...
Input                                    training                                      data     AI Virtuous               ...
Better grammar = $$$Thursday, November 8, 12
“We noticed that       demand for a hotel increases if the reviews on       TripAdvisor and Travelocity are well-written, ...
“we’ll just implement a grammar checker to do it”Thursday, November 8, 12
“we’ll hire interns and outsourcers to do it”Thursday, November 8, 12
“let’s hire the crowd to                            do it”Thursday, November 8, 12
Thursday, November 8, 12
Revenue lift > $1MThursday, November 8, 12
what we want                               vs.                           what we haveThursday, November 8, 12
intelligent applications we want                           vs.   intelligent applications we haveThursday, November 8, 12
intelligent applications we want      ApplicationsThursday, November 8, 12
intelligent applications we have commoditized               Enterprise Crowd-Labor               Crowd-Labor    Apps      ...
Cloud-computing                                 vs.                            Crowd-LaborThursday, November 8, 12
Cloud-Computing                      vs Crowd-                                                          OCR,              ...
Crowd-Labor stack                            Application      Chirpsy, CastingWords, uTest, ...                           ...
the Crowd-Labor stack we want                           vs.                the Crowd-Labor stack we                       ...
the Cloud-computing stack we                            Application      Abundant                             Platform    ...
the Crowd-Labor stack we want                            Application      Abundant                             Platform   ...
the Crowd-Labor stack we have            Commoditized                           Enterprise                           Few  ...
Crowd-Labor applications in                            Application        Chirpsy,                                        ...
robust Crowd-Labor                               platforms?Thursday, November 8, 12
robust Crowd-Labor                               platforms?                      curation vs. technologyThursday, November...
robust Crowd-Labor platforms?                           curation      technology                           Application    ...
robust Crowd-Labor platforms?                           curation         technology                            Application...
Crowd-Labor                           enabling new                            applicationsThursday, November 8, 12
Thursday, November 8, 12
0:23 male and female                            companions inspect                                  socksThursday, Novembe...
“What % of shoppers spend                            over 30 sec in my store?                             Where do they br...
what Crowd-Labor applications  can you imagine?Thursday, November 8, 12
Thursday, November 8, 12
Crowd-Labor             1. game-changing “AI” applications                 2. enterprise-ready in 2012                    ...
Thursday, November 8, 12
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×

HOW TO DO AI IN 2013 from Roadmap 2012

471

Published on

Dr. Joseph Turian, MetaOptimize and GigaOM Pro
#roadmapconf
More at http://event.gigaom.com/roadmap/

Published in: Design
0 Comments
1 Like
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

No Downloads
Views
Total Views
471
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
0
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
0
Comments
0
Likes
1
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Transcript of "HOW TO DO AI IN 2013 from Roadmap 2012"

  1. 1. HOW TO DO AI IN 2013 SPEAKER: Dr. Joseph Turian President, MetaOptimize Analyst, GigaOM ProThursday, November 8, 12
  2. 2. how to do “AI” in 2013 Joseph Turian, Ph.D. MetaOptimize, GigaOm Pro @turianThursday, November 8, 12
  3. 3. the ghosts of work past, future, and presentThursday, November 8, 12
  4. 4. Past who makes computer, n., 1613: A person calculations.Thursday, November 8, 12
  5. 5. PresentThursday, November 8, 12
  6. 6. FutureThursday, November 8, 12
  7. 7. The Turing Test (1950) 7Thursday, November 8, 12
  8. 8. The Golden Years of AI (1956-1974) 1965, H.A. Simon: “machines will be capable, within 20 years, of doing any work a man can do.” 1970, Minsky: “In from 3-8 years we will have a machine with the general intelligence of an average human being.” 8Thursday, November 8, 12
  9. 9. The AI winterThursday, November 8, 12
  10. 10. A new dawn for AI?Thursday, November 8, 12
  11. 11. Deep Machine Learning the Google “cat faces” paper 11Thursday, November 8, 12
  12. 12. a trick to do “AI”Thursday, November 8, 12
  13. 13. a trick to do “AI”Thursday, November 8, 12
  14. 14. Thursday, November 8, 12
  15. 15. Thursday, November 8, 12
  16. 16. Thursday, November 8, 12
  17. 17. Crowd LaborThursday, November 8, 12
  18. 18. Thursday, November 8, 12
  19. 19. Crowd-Labor applicationsThursday, November 8, 12
  20. 20. Common applications Data entry Categorization Content generation ...Thursday, November 8, 12
  21. 21. Case study: Data entry Workplace safety company courtesy of CloudFactoryThursday, November 8, 12
  22. 22. In-house approach Costly training, high Complicated, turnover undocumented business process Can’t scale to meet Unreliable results demandThursday, November 8, 12
  23. 23. Crowd-Labor approach Virtual assembly line Small microtasks with no Multiple eyes per task training required Reliable results Scales to meet demandThursday, November 8, 12
  24. 24. courtesy of CloudFactoryThursday, November 8, 12
  25. 25. Thursday, November 8, 12
  26. 26. Data Entry Crowd-labor with auto Temp workers QA 86% accuracy 98% accuracy source: Humanoid (acquired by CloudFactory)Thursday, November 8, 12
  27. 27. Sentiment Analysis Automatic Crowd-Labor Error-prone Accurate Coarse-grained (pos or Fine-grained neg)Thursday, November 8, 12
  28. 28. “Did they think that my product is cool?” “Did they write that my car is fast?” https://crowdflower.com/sentiThursday, November 8, 12
  29. 29. Input Crowd-Labor Business Process for Sentiment medium/low high confidence confidence OutputThursday, November 8, 12
  30. 30. Input Crowd-Labor Business Process for Sentiment medium/low high confidence confidence ??? OutputThursday, November 8, 12
  31. 31. courtesy of CrowdSourceThursday, November 8, 12
  32. 32. Input medium/low high confidence confidence OutputThursday, November 8, 12
  33. 33. Input training data medium/low high confidence confidence OutputThursday, November 8, 12
  34. 34. Input training data AI Virtuous Cycle medium/low high confidence confidence OutputThursday, November 8, 12
  35. 35. Better grammar = $$$Thursday, November 8, 12
  36. 36. “We noticed that demand for a hotel increases if the reviews on TripAdvisor and Travelocity are well-written, without spelling errors; this holds no matter if the review is positive or negative.” Source: Panos IpeirotisThursday, November 8, 12
  37. 37. “we’ll just implement a grammar checker to do it”Thursday, November 8, 12
  38. 38. “we’ll hire interns and outsourcers to do it”Thursday, November 8, 12
  39. 39. “let’s hire the crowd to do it”Thursday, November 8, 12
  40. 40. Thursday, November 8, 12
  41. 41. Revenue lift > $1MThursday, November 8, 12
  42. 42. what we want vs. what we haveThursday, November 8, 12
  43. 43. intelligent applications we want vs. intelligent applications we haveThursday, November 8, 12
  44. 44. intelligent applications we want ApplicationsThursday, November 8, 12
  45. 45. intelligent applications we have commoditized Enterprise Crowd-Labor Crowd-Labor Apps AppsThursday, November 8, 12
  46. 46. Cloud-computing vs. Crowd-LaborThursday, November 8, 12
  47. 47. Cloud-Computing vs Crowd- OCR, Web apps, APIs Application sentiment, ... Dispatch work, Deploy app Platform ensure quality reliably results Provision Provision processing, Infrastructure workers storage, ... from the crowdThursday, November 8, 12
  48. 48. Crowd-Labor stack Application Chirpsy, CastingWords, uTest, ... Platform CrowdFlower, MobileWorks, CCS, ... Infrastructure Mechanical Turk, Elance, ...Thursday, November 8, 12
  49. 49. the Crowd-Labor stack we want vs. the Crowd-Labor stack we haveThursday, November 8, 12
  50. 50. the Cloud-computing stack we Application Abundant Platform Robust Infrastructure Unreliable hardwareThursday, November 8, 12
  51. 51. the Crowd-Labor stack we want Application Abundant Platform Robust Infrastructure Unreliable workersThursday, November 8, 12
  52. 52. the Crowd-Labor stack we have Commoditized Enterprise Few Application Some Immature Platform Not generic Unreliable Infrastructure UnreliableThursday, November 8, 12
  53. 53. Crowd-Labor applications in Application Chirpsy, CastingWords, uTest, Senti, Platform Expensify, etc. InfrastructureThursday, November 8, 12
  54. 54. robust Crowd-Labor platforms?Thursday, November 8, 12
  55. 55. robust Crowd-Labor platforms? curation vs. technologyThursday, November 8, 12
  56. 56. robust Crowd-Labor platforms? curation technology Application Application Platform Platform auto-QA reliabl e unrelia worker Infrastructure Infrastructure ble s workersThursday, November 8, 12
  57. 57. robust Crowd-Labor platforms? curation technology Application Application Platform Platform Infrastructure InfrastructureThursday, November 8, 12
  58. 58. Crowd-Labor enabling new applicationsThursday, November 8, 12
  59. 59. Thursday, November 8, 12
  60. 60. 0:23 male and female companions inspect socksThursday, November 8, 12
  61. 61. “What % of shoppers spend over 30 sec in my store? Where do they browse? What do they buy?”Thursday, November 8, 12
  62. 62. what Crowd-Labor applications can you imagine?Thursday, November 8, 12
  63. 63. Thursday, November 8, 12
  64. 64. Crowd-Labor 1. game-changing “AI” applications 2. enterprise-ready in 2012 3. ubiquitous soon... Joseph Turian, Ph.D. @turianThursday, November 8, 12
  65. 65. Thursday, November 8, 12

×