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WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS Building a Bigger Majority

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS Hillary has won far more competitive House districts than Sen. Obama. Hillary is the strongest candidate to top the Democratic ticket in tough districts in November.

In 2006, the Democrats retook Congress by picking up 31 new seats. WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS 20 of those freshman Democrats are in Republican-leaning districts that voted for President Bush in 2004. These freshmen need a nominee who can compete in their tough districts.

Of those 20 districts, Hillary has now won 16, most by large margins. WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS District Member AZ-5 Mitchell AZ-8 Giffords CA-11 McNerney FL-16 Mahoney IN-2 Donnelly IN-8 Ellsworth IN-9 Hill KS-2 Boyda MN-1 Walz NC-11 Shuler District Member NH-1 Shea-Porter NY-19 Hall NY-20 Gillibrand NY-24 Arcuri OH-18 Space PA-10 Carney PA-4 Altmire TX-22 Lampson TX-23 Rodriguez WI-8 Kagen

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS Nationally, Hillary has won seniors by 24 points (58-34). 13 of these 20 districts have more than the national average of seniors (65+). In Indiana, she won by 44 points. (72-28). District Member %65+ AZ-8 Giffords 16.8% FL-16 Mahoney 25.5% IN-2 Donnelly 13.3% IN-8 Ellsworth 14.4% KS-2 Boyda 13.5% MN-1 Walz 15.1% NC-11 Shuler 17.8% District Member %65+ NY-20 Gillibrand 13.7% NY-24 Arcuri 15.1% OH-18 Space 13.7% PA-10 Carney 16.6% PA-4 Altmire 17.3% WI-8 Kagen 13.5%

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS Nationally, Hillary has won rural voters by 8 points (50-42). These districts are heavily rural. Half of them are more than 40% rural. In Indiana, she won by 40 points (70-30). District Member % Rural IN-8 Ellsworth 41.9% IN-9 Hill 47.7% KS-2 Boyda 40.2% MN-1 Walz 43.5% NC-11 Shuler 56.1% NY-20 Gillibrand 55.1% NY-24 Arcuri 49.5% OH-18 Space 56.7% PA-10 Carney 55.4% WI-8 Kagen 44.0%

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS Nationally, Hillary has won Hispanic voters by 30 points (64-34). Hispanics make up more than 10% of the voters in 6 of the districts In Texas, she won by 34 points (66-32). District Member % Hispanic AZ-5 Mitchell 13.3% AZ-8 Giffords 18.2% CA-11 McNerney 19.7% FL-16 Mahoney 10.1% TX-22 Lampson 20.3% TX-23 Rodriguez 65.1%

Excluding caucus victories, where turn out is significantly lower than in primaries or general elections, Sen. Obama has won only 23. Hillary has also won 10 of the 15 districts rated “toss up” for 2008 by the Cook Political Report. Sen. Obama has won only 4. WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS Of Cook’s 80 “competitive” districts, Hillary has won 40 to Sen. Obama’s 31. District Member AL-05 Cramer OR-05 Hooley PA-10 Carney TX-22 Lampson AZ-01 Renzi MN-03 Ramstad MS-01 Wicker NJ-03 Saxton District Member NJ-07 Ferguson NM-01 Wilson NY-25 Walsh NY-26 Reynolds OH-15 Pryce OH-16 Regula VA-11 Davis

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS Hillary is the candidate who will win in tough districts. Paid for by Hillary Clinton for President

HRC PowerPoint

by Gerd Tarand on May 15, 2008

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