Climate change and renewables in Wales

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18 April 2012 evening presentation to CIWEM

18 April 2012 evening presentation to CIWEM

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  • http://www.sciencemag.org/content/308/5727/1431.abstract – is it 0.85 +-0.15?Or 0.6 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fWInyaMWBY8?
  • 24 exajoules = 24 x 10(18)
  • 88TJ in fat man
  • 24 EJ/88TJ = 24,000,000/88 = 272,727 fat mans per day
  • 272,727/(6,000,000,000/3,000,000) = 272,727/2000 = 136 for populationFor share of emissions = 272,727/697 = 391 for share3,000,000/391 = one Fat Man for every 7,692 people in WalesWhich means towns like Brecon and Dinas Powys are responsible for one apieceAnd Cardiff? 38.#
  • Caernarfon, Brecon, Mold, Dinas Powys, Ferndale, Denbigh, Pembroke, MonmouthI grew up in a hamlet of 100. Equivalentof 5 fat men per year.

Transcript

  • 1. Jkl;ajkl;a
  • 2. there is animbalance -2 0.6 Wm
  • 3. 24 EJ
  • 4. hj hjklj kljhg hgjh jh
  • 5. “If we do not have an international agreement… put in place by 2017then the door to holding temperatures to 2oC of warmingwill be closed forever”Fatih Birol, Chief Economist International Energy Agency November 2011“I travel a lot and I see climate change sliding down politicians’ agendasvery rapidly”Fatih Birol March 2012
  • 6. That was themoral imperative
  • 7. decarbonisation
  • 8. Peak oil Round about nowPeak gas Between 2020 and 2030Peak coal Between 2030 and 2100Peak unconventional gas Difficult to say
  • 9. That was thephysical imperative
  • 10. a100%renewable future
  • 11. It’s going to be a whole lot easier
  • 12. Image creditsSlide 5 http://www.atomicarchive.com/History/mp/p5s12.shtmlSlide 6 http://www.flickr.com/photos/7860803@N06/463098676/Slide 7 http://openclipart.org/detail/64003/map-cymru-by-garethclubbSlide 7 http://openclipart.org/detail/20424/bomb-by-rg1024Slide 8 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:BreconCentre.jpgSlides 10 and 11 http://flood.firetree.net/Slide 13 http://inoveryourhead.net/the-complete-guide-to-snapping-the-f-k-out-of-it/Slide 17 http://www.flickr.com/photos/primed_minister/2306496568/Slide 19 http://www.flickr.com/photos/nzpix/4547286525/
  • 13. Jkl;ajkl;a