A keynote talk on the World in 2025 for EFMD in Rome and the 2015 EFMD MBA Conference. The event is themes 'Redesigning the MBA' and is aimed at MBA Directors and business school staff involved in part-time, full-time and executive MBA programmes. This talk draws on insights from both the first Future Agenda programme in 2010 and futureagenda2.0 now underway and shares some key shifts people see taking place in the world over the next decade.
Future Agenda - The World in 2025 - EFMD - Rome 09 03 15
1. EFMD
|
Rome
|
9
March
2015
Future
Agenda
2.0
|
The
World
in
2025
2. Looking
Forwards
OrganisaAons
increasingly
want
to
idenAfy
and
understand
both
the
anAcipated
and
unexpected
changes
so
that
they
can
be
beHer
prepared
for
the
future.
3. Future
Agenda
The
Future
Agenda
is
the
world’s
largest
open
foresight
program
that
accesses
mulAple
views
of
the
next
decade
so
all
can
be
beHer
informed
and
sAmulate
innovaAon.
4. FA
1.0
Top
Insights
for
2020
From
the
2010
program,
52
key
insights
on
the
next
decade
were
shared
widely
via
books,
cards
and
online
and
have
been
extensively
used
by
organisaAons
around
the
world.
5. Dynamic
Pricing
Pervasive
smart
meters
and
ubiquitous
tracking
services
create
plaOorms
for
the
dynamic
pricing
of
resources,
access
and
travel
to
manage
demand.
6. Global
Pandemics
We
are
likely
to
see
2
to
3
major
pandemics
start
in
regions
with
limited
public
healthcare
and
rapidly
spread
globally
and
so
demand
fast
response.
7. Cocktail
IdenDDes
The
need
to
differenAate
between
real
and
virtual
disappears
-‐
who
you
are
ceases
to
use
a
singular
idenAty
as
we
manage
mulAple
idenAty
porOolios.
8. Intelligent
Highways
Mesh
networks
and
ubiquitous
mobile
connecAons
deliver
automated
highways
to
improve
safety,
increase
capacity
and
reduce
congesAon.
9. Water
Management
Advanced
water
purificaAon,
irrigaAon
and
desalinaAon
technologies
are
used
to
help
communiAes
to
manage
the
rising
supply
/
demand
imbalance.
10. Mega
City
States
Increasing
compeAAon
between
ciAes
over-‐rides
naAonal
prioriAes
as
mayors
lead
bold
iniAaAves
to
place
their
ciAes
at
the
forefront
of
the
global
stage.
11. Future
Agenda
2.0
Topics
The
second
version
of
the
Future
Agenda
program
is
taking
place
during
2015
and
will
address
20+
topics
via
100
events
in
50
countries
with
around
20
to
25
core
hosts.
Ageing
CiDes
Company
ConnecDvity
Data
EducaDon
Energy
Food
Government
Health
Learning
Loyalty
Payments
Privacy
Resources
Transport
Travel
Water
Wealth
Work
12. The
Process
20
iniAal
perspecAves
on
the
future
kicked
off
the
Future
Agenda
discussions
taking
place
across
5
conAnents
from
Feb
to
July
2015.
These
are
iniAal
views
to
be
shared,
challenged
and
enhanced.
IniAal
PerspecAves
Q4
2014
Global
Discussions
Q1/2
2015
Insight
Synthesis
Q3
2015
Sharing
Output
Q4
2015
13. Working
Longer
For
those
who
have
inadequate
reArement
savings,
the
most
obvious
soluAon
is
to
work
longer.
One
major
potenAal
barrier,
however,
is
that
employers
remain
ambivalent
about
older
workers.
14. FloaDng
CiDes?
Climate
change
poses
a
worrying
challenge
for
ciAes.
50%
of
ciAes
are
dealing
with
its
effects,
and
nearly
all
are
at
risk.
Over
90%
of
all
urban
areas
are
coastal,
pu_ng
most
ciAes
on
earth
at
risk
of
flooding.
15. Less
Carbon
-‐
More
Energy
The
climate
change
debate
is
serious
but
needs
to
be
broader;
focused
not
solely
on
reducing
CO2
emissions,
but
on
developing
a
low
carbon,
high-‐energy
future
to
ensure
prosperity
for
all.
16. Reducing
Food
Waste
Postharvest
losses
of
plant
foods
can
be
substanAal
in
developing
countries
and
amount
to
30-‐50%
of
producAon.
In
developed
countries
we
throw
away
a
similar
proporAon.
The
combined
loss
would
feed
about
3
billion
people.
17. Wider
Impact
of
Frugal
InnovaDon
The
approach
to
healthcare
challenges
developed
in
India
has
delivered
proven
design
soluAons
for
low-‐income
populaAons.
Applying
the
principles
to
higher
income
economies
has
the
potenAal
to
deliver
even
greater
efficiency
benefits.
18. Value
of
Data
There
is
undoubtedly
a
huge
economic
incenAve
to
generate
and
collect
data
from
whatever
sources
it
becomes
available.
As
more
data
from
more
things
becomes
available,
we
can
expect
to
see
a
data
“land
grab”
by
organisaAons.
19. Transport
and
Society
Transport
systems
need
to
contribute
to
supporAng
and
improving
society
rather
than
only
serving
it
and
risking
unintended,
unanAcipated
and
unwelcome
consequences.
20. Real
Cost
of
Water
Users
are
likely
to
have
to
pay
for
the
real
cost
of
infrastructure.
One
short-‐
term
opAon
is
the
financial
recycling
of
assets
and
capital.
However,
in
the
longer-‐term
we
will
have
to
pay
the
true
value
for
key
resources.
21. Self-‐Organised
Learning
By
removing
adult
restricAons
on
educaAon
and
providing
children
with
Internet
access
and
on-‐line
support
and
encouragement,
children
are
able
to
self-‐organise
and
learn.
22. Post
Modern
Workplaces
We
are
on
the
cusp
of
a
transiAon
to
a
world
where
half
the
populaAons
of
Europe
and
the
United
States
subscribe
to
post-‐modern
values
of
autonomy
and
diversity.
The
workplace
will
not
escape
this
trend.
23. Inequality
On
The
Agenda
Inequality
has
become
a
concern
not
just
for
developing
countries
but
also
for
those
in
the
US
and
the
Euro
Zone:
56%
of
people
living
in
rich
countries
believe
the
most
pressing
problem
of
the
economy
is
inequality.
24. Get
Involved
Join
in
the
global
discussion:
ParAcipate
in
/
host
workshops
and
share
your
views
online.
Add
alternaAve
perspecAves
into
the
mix
to
create
a
deeper,
richer
and
global
view
of
the
World
in
2025