Gates to Google  to Who Knows  Where Else
Need to Change Mindsets <ul><li>“ What can be more palpably absurd than the prospect held out of  locomotives traveling tw...
Mindsets cont’d. <ul><li>“ The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty, a fad, a passing fancy.” </li><...
Mindsets, cont’d. <ul><li>“ There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable.  It would m...
Exponential Trends <ul><li>Trend 1:  Moore’s Law </li></ul><ul><li>Suggests that the processing power and speed of any ele...
Example of Moore’s Law ? $900 $3,900 $5,000 Cost ? 1600 10 2 Speed (mhz) ? 60g 400k 128k Hard Drive ? 256m 128k 16k RAM 20...
Moore’s Law cont’d. <ul><li>“Twice the power for half the price” </li></ul><ul><li>2016 </li></ul>
Moore’s Law 2016 ?  $1,000 $3,900 $5,000 Cost ? 600 10 2 Speed (mhz) ? 12g 400k 128k Hard Drive ? 128m 128k 16k RAM 2016 2...
Moore’s Law 2016 $9 $1,000 $3,900 $5,000 Cost 650,199 600 10 2 Speed (mhz) 12,191g 12g 400k 128k Hard Drive 104,032mb 128m...
Trend 2:  The Law of the Photon  <ul><li>What is fast? Dialup modems: 56K, T-1 </li></ul><ul><li>Cable Modems:  10 megabit...
Trend 3: Internet Revolution <ul><li>Richter Scale up to 10.0; revolution is a 10.5  </li></ul><ul><li>On-line education, ...
Trend 4:  Age of Infowhelm <ul><li>3,000 Books published  daily </li></ul><ul><li>Deterioration of current information </l...
Trend 5: Biotechnology <ul><li>Use of biological processes to develop products or create technological solutions to proble...
Trend 6:  Nanotechnology <ul><li>Component stereo systems </li></ul><ul><li>Boom boxes </li></ul><ul><li>Miniaturization <...
Time for a Question <ul><li>What does all of this have to do with me as a future school administrator? </li></ul>
http://www.thomaslfriedman.com
Flatteners <ul><li>Collapse of Berlin Wall </li></ul><ul><li>Netscape </li></ul><ul><li>Workflow software </li></ul><ul><l...
 
http://www.danpink.com
http://flickr.com/photos/webbysworld/331123807 /
<ul><ul><li>87%  of all youth ages 12 through 17 or  21 million teens  use the Internet  </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Of tho...
<ul><ul><li>50%  of high school students “talk” in chat rooms or use instant messaging with Internet strangers  </li></ul>...
http://nsba.org/ Weekly Activities of Online  Teens and Tweens
112 Million
200 Million Accounts
3 Billion Songs Downloaded
68.5 Million Videos
2 Billion Images
 
<ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Six Key Elements of 21st Century Learning </li></ul></ul></ul></ul></ul><ul><li>Core subjects:  NC...
Every student must be: <ul><ul><ul><li>A critical thinker </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>A problem solver </li></ul><...
How Do We Seek Knowledge Now? 2 Billion
http://flickr.com/photos/malias/160044163/ Portable Knowledge and Skills
http://flickr.com/photos/cheeseroc/2202100903/ Assessment will be different.
http://flickr.com/photos/joeshlabotnik/2143212474/ Change
http://flickr.com/photos/julipan/201373369/
 
How might we as leaders work in these future schools?
http://flickr.com/photos/skistz/398429879/ What’s in Your Toolbox?
http://flickr.com/photos/lxsocon/2104419152/
http://flickr.com/photos/smith/13928463/
http://www.ntigroup.com
 
 
 
 
http://flickr.com/photos/thinkpublic/897135376/ RSS – Really Simple Syndication
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
What will Leadership for the 21st Century Look Like?
Its About Headware not Hardware (Jukes, 1996) http://flickr.com/photos/linnybinnypix/448776281/
http://flickr.com/photos/cpstorm/167418602/
http://flickr.com/photos/spyndle/474122586 /
http://flickr.com/photos/photomonkey/12746989/ Data Driven
http://flickr.com/photos/rudiriet/109718350/ Support
http://flickr.com/photos/shuttercat7/332019996/ Risk
http://flickr.com/photos/tetanus/304131171/ Infrastructure
http://flickr.com/photos/nabeel/244009512/ Expectations
http://flickr.com/photos/kk/23390123/ Security
http://flickr.com/photos/piotrzurek/473448196/ Leadership will be at all levels of our schools and not based solely on pos...
http://flickr.com/photos/28481088@N00/2198193461/ Guides
Impact for School Administrators <ul><li>Quarterbacks  </li></ul><ul><li>Crystal ball </li></ul><ul><li>New Educational Pa...
Summary Quotes <ul><li>“Change is a law of life….those who look to the past or present are certain to miss the future.”  J...
Technology Savvy Leaders <ul><li>Blue Whales </li></ul><ul><li>Committed Sardines </li></ul>
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Leed6820 Class1

  1. 1. Gates to Google to Who Knows Where Else
  2. 2. Need to Change Mindsets <ul><li>“ What can be more palpably absurd than the prospect held out of locomotives traveling twice as fast as stagecoaches?” </li></ul><ul><li>This “telephone” has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value.” </li></ul>
  3. 3. Mindsets cont’d. <ul><li>“ The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty, a fad, a passing fancy.” </li></ul><ul><li>“ While television may be theoretically feasible, commercially or financially I consider it an impossibility, a development of which we need waste little time dreaming.” </li></ul>
  4. 4. Mindsets, cont’d. <ul><li>“ There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will.” </li></ul><ul><li>“ No one will want to put a telephone in their car!” </li></ul><ul><li>Paradigm Paralysis </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Joel Barker </li></ul></ul>
  5. 5. Exponential Trends <ul><li>Trend 1: Moore’s Law </li></ul><ul><li>Suggests that the processing power and speed of any electronic calculating device doubles every 12 months, while at the same time the price for the technology declines by 50%. </li></ul><ul><li>Exponential growth versus linear growth. </li></ul><ul><li>Doubling: 1-2-4-8-16-32….15 years/1,000 </li></ul><ul><li>Tripling: 1-3-9-27-81-243…15 years/20,000 </li></ul>
  6. 6. Example of Moore’s Law ? $900 $3,900 $5,000 Cost ? 1600 10 2 Speed (mhz) ? 60g 400k 128k Hard Drive ? 256m 128k 16k RAM 2016 2005 1984 1979 YEAR
  7. 7. Moore’s Law cont’d. <ul><li>“Twice the power for half the price” </li></ul><ul><li>2016 </li></ul>
  8. 8. Moore’s Law 2016 ? $1,000 $3,900 $5,000 Cost ? 600 10 2 Speed (mhz) ? 12g 400k 128k Hard Drive ? 128m 128k 16k RAM 2016 2001 1984 1979 YEAR
  9. 9. Moore’s Law 2016 $9 $1,000 $3,900 $5,000 Cost 650,199 600 10 2 Speed (mhz) 12,191g 12g 400k 128k Hard Drive 104,032mb 128m 128k 16k RAM 2016 2001 1984 1979 YEAR
  10. 10. Trend 2: The Law of the Photon <ul><li>What is fast? Dialup modems: 56K, T-1 </li></ul><ul><li>Cable Modems: 10 megabits per second </li></ul><ul><li>CD Rom capacity </li></ul><ul><li>Fiber Optics: 10 gigabits per second </li></ul><ul><li>What’s next? 10 trillion bits per second </li></ul><ul><li>Continuing Bandwidth speed and capacity </li></ul>
  11. 11. Trend 3: Internet Revolution <ul><li>Richter Scale up to 10.0; revolution is a 10.5 </li></ul><ul><li>On-line education, anytime, anywhere </li></ul><ul><li>Homes on-line </li></ul>
  12. 12. Trend 4: Age of Infowhelm <ul><li>3,000 Books published daily </li></ul><ul><li>Deterioration of current information </li></ul><ul><li>New knowledge generated every year: </li></ul><ul><li>1.5 Exabytes: </li></ul><ul><li>1,000,000,000,000,000,000 </li></ul>
  13. 13. Trend 5: Biotechnology <ul><li>Use of biological processes to develop products or create technological solutions to problems </li></ul><ul><li>Human Genome Project </li></ul><ul><li>Cloning </li></ul><ul><li>What’s next? </li></ul>
  14. 14. Trend 6: Nanotechnology <ul><li>Component stereo systems </li></ul><ul><li>Boom boxes </li></ul><ul><li>Miniaturization </li></ul><ul><li>Virtual Reality </li></ul><ul><li>Biofeedback </li></ul>
  15. 15. Time for a Question <ul><li>What does all of this have to do with me as a future school administrator? </li></ul>
  16. 16. http://www.thomaslfriedman.com
  17. 17. Flatteners <ul><li>Collapse of Berlin Wall </li></ul><ul><li>Netscape </li></ul><ul><li>Workflow software </li></ul><ul><li>Open sourcing </li></ul><ul><li>Outsourcing </li></ul><ul><li>Offshoring </li></ul><ul><li>Supply chaining </li></ul>
  18. 19. http://www.danpink.com
  19. 20. http://flickr.com/photos/webbysworld/331123807 /
  20. 21. <ul><ul><li>87% of all youth ages 12 through 17 or 21 million teens use the Internet </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Of those, 78% ( 16 million ) report using the Internet at school . Nineteen percent (4 million) keep a blog and 38% read blogs </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>49% of high school students have posted personal information on their Web pages such as name, age, or address – that could help a stranger identify or locate them </li></ul></ul>Did you know… Source: NASSP Board Position Statement on Internet Safety
  21. 22. <ul><ul><li>50% of high school students “talk” in chat rooms or use instant messaging with Internet strangers </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>65% of high school students admit to unsafe, inappropriate, or illegal activities online </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>23% of students know someone who has been bullied online. </li></ul></ul>Did you know… Source: NASSP Board Position Statement on Internet Safety
  22. 23. http://nsba.org/ Weekly Activities of Online Teens and Tweens
  23. 24. 112 Million
  24. 25. 200 Million Accounts
  25. 26. 3 Billion Songs Downloaded
  26. 27. 68.5 Million Videos
  27. 28. 2 Billion Images
  28. 30. <ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Six Key Elements of 21st Century Learning </li></ul></ul></ul></ul></ul><ul><li>Core subjects: NCLB-identified core subjects. 21st century content: emerging content areas such as global awareness; financial, economic, business, and entrepreneurial literacy; civic literacy; health and wellness awareness. </li></ul><ul><li>Learning and thinking skills: critical thinking and problem-solving skills, communication, creativity and innovation, collaboration, contextual learning, information and media literacy. </li></ul><ul><li>ICT literacy: using technology in the context of learning so students know how to learn. </li></ul><ul><li>Life skills: leadership, ethics, accountability, personal responsibility, self-direction, and so on. </li></ul><ul><li>21st century assessments: Authentic assessments that measure all five areas of learning. </li></ul><ul><li>www.21stcenturyskills.org </li></ul>
  29. 31. Every student must be: <ul><ul><ul><li>A critical thinker </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>A problem solver </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>An innovator </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>An effective communicator </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>An effective collaborator </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>A self-directed learner </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Information and media literate </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Globally aware </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Civically engaged </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Financially and economically literate </li></ul></ul></ul>Source: Partnership for 21 st Century Skills
  30. 32. How Do We Seek Knowledge Now? 2 Billion
  31. 33. http://flickr.com/photos/malias/160044163/ Portable Knowledge and Skills
  32. 34. http://flickr.com/photos/cheeseroc/2202100903/ Assessment will be different.
  33. 35. http://flickr.com/photos/joeshlabotnik/2143212474/ Change
  34. 36. http://flickr.com/photos/julipan/201373369/
  35. 38. How might we as leaders work in these future schools?
  36. 39. http://flickr.com/photos/skistz/398429879/ What’s in Your Toolbox?
  37. 40. http://flickr.com/photos/lxsocon/2104419152/
  38. 41. http://flickr.com/photos/smith/13928463/
  39. 42. http://www.ntigroup.com
  40. 47. http://flickr.com/photos/thinkpublic/897135376/ RSS – Really Simple Syndication
  41. 55. What will Leadership for the 21st Century Look Like?
  42. 56. Its About Headware not Hardware (Jukes, 1996) http://flickr.com/photos/linnybinnypix/448776281/
  43. 57. http://flickr.com/photos/cpstorm/167418602/
  44. 58. http://flickr.com/photos/spyndle/474122586 /
  45. 59. http://flickr.com/photos/photomonkey/12746989/ Data Driven
  46. 60. http://flickr.com/photos/rudiriet/109718350/ Support
  47. 61. http://flickr.com/photos/shuttercat7/332019996/ Risk
  48. 62. http://flickr.com/photos/tetanus/304131171/ Infrastructure
  49. 63. http://flickr.com/photos/nabeel/244009512/ Expectations
  50. 64. http://flickr.com/photos/kk/23390123/ Security
  51. 65. http://flickr.com/photos/piotrzurek/473448196/ Leadership will be at all levels of our schools and not based solely on position but rather on knowledge.
  52. 66. http://flickr.com/photos/28481088@N00/2198193461/ Guides
  53. 67. Impact for School Administrators <ul><li>Quarterbacks </li></ul><ul><li>Crystal ball </li></ul><ul><li>New Educational Paradigm </li></ul><ul><li>Thornburg: “What’s our job? ..to prepare kids for their future rather than our past or present.” </li></ul>
  54. 68. Summary Quotes <ul><li>“Change is a law of life….those who look to the past or present are certain to miss the future.” John Kennedy </li></ul><ul><li>“Power can be contained in a boiler, but mastery exists only in the brain: in other words, that it is ideas, not locomotives that move the world. Let us not mistake the horse for the rider.” Victor Hugo </li></ul>
  55. 69. Technology Savvy Leaders <ul><li>Blue Whales </li></ul><ul><li>Committed Sardines </li></ul>
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