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CapX 2020
Transmission Plan:
Realizing the Vision




        Doug Jaeger
Vice President, Transmission
        June 20, 2006
Background
             CapX 2020
               Formed Spring 2004
               Now eight utility core
               members with additional
               investor participants
               Focused on serving
               growing load in our
               service territories:
               generation outlet,
               reliability, market
               efficiency
               Collaborative efforts have
               achieved legislative and
               regulatory reform for cost
               recovery in MN and SD
CapX 2020 Utilities Serve Minnesota
and the Immediate Region

  North Dakota
                                 Minnesota

                                               Michigan

                 8,000 MW new generation
                 to serve 6,300 MW load
                 forecasted through 2020
                 including 2400 MW of wind

South Dakota
                                         Wisconsin


                     Iowa
Conservative Load Growth Estimates
     Based on Historical Trends


Historical
                            Electricity Demand
growth from    MW
2000-2004:
              14,300
2.64%
              13,300
CapX
              12,300
growth
              11,300
2009-2020:
2.49%         10,300
               9,300
               8,300
               7,300
                   1980   1985   1990   1995     2000
Modeling Resulted in Sequenced List of
          Transmission Projects for Development
Process
                                      System Modeling
 Three different
 generation scenarios
 were modeled
 Required
 transmission
 assessed for each
                                              Project Group 1
 scenario
 Many facilities
 common for all three
 scenarios
 Established sequence
 for Project Groups
 Capital cost of all
 projects estimated to
 be $3 billion plus
Projects

                                               Expected In-
                                                 Service
                Project Group
Group I
 S.E. Twin Cities-Rochester-LaCrosse / 345kV      2011
 Bemidji-North Central MN / 230 kV                2011
 Fargo-St. Cloud/Monticello area / 345kV          2012
 Brookings, S.D.-SE Twin Cities / 345 kV          2012
Group II – Around the Twin Cities
 New 345 KV transmission loop around           2014 to 2020
 the Twin Cities
Group III – Remote Generation Outlet
 As needed and generation projects developed   2014 to 2020
CapX 2020 Group 1 Projects
General Route Corridors
“Only the Beginning”
Public Policy Response to CapX


2005: Minnesota Legislation
— Improved investment recovery model
— Streamlined permitting process by moving
   siting to the PUC
2006: South Dakota Legislation
— Improved investment recovery model
   (mirrored MN)
2007: North Dakota Bill
— Seek improved investment recovery
Implementation Plan
     Q2 2006        Q3 2006           Q4 2006       Q1 2007       Q2 2007        Q3 2007      Q4 2007


Regulatory Filings – Project Group 1
         File Notice Plans       Implement NPs
         File Notice Plans        Implement NPs

        Prepare Group 1 CON                File Group 1 CON          Hearings   Resolution // CON Issued
        Prepare Group 1 CON                File Group 1 CON          Hearings   Resolution CON Issued

                              Route Development (separate but coordinated efforts)
                              Route Development (separate but coordinated efforts)



Communications – Project Group 1
                             2A. Implement NP
     1. NP Filing            2A. Implement NP
     1. NP Filing

                                2B. Public Engagement for Route Development
                                2B. Public Engagement for Route Development
Xcel Energy Has a Robust Plan
  to Invest in Transmission

We have a transmission        There are high
expansion plan                expectations that we will
                              deliver
  Regional 345kV system
                              An execution model has
  Design and project
                              been established
  sequence driven by time
  critical needs              There is participant
                              consensus to move
These assets must be built
                              ahead
in order to serve the
region’s customers reliably
Collaborative efforts have
achieved legislative and
regulatory reform for cost
recovery in Minnesota and
South Dakota (ND pending)

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xel_062006_CapX

  • 1. CapX 2020 Transmission Plan: Realizing the Vision Doug Jaeger Vice President, Transmission June 20, 2006
  • 2. Background CapX 2020 Formed Spring 2004 Now eight utility core members with additional investor participants Focused on serving growing load in our service territories: generation outlet, reliability, market efficiency Collaborative efforts have achieved legislative and regulatory reform for cost recovery in MN and SD
  • 3. CapX 2020 Utilities Serve Minnesota and the Immediate Region North Dakota Minnesota Michigan 8,000 MW new generation to serve 6,300 MW load forecasted through 2020 including 2400 MW of wind South Dakota Wisconsin Iowa
  • 4. Conservative Load Growth Estimates Based on Historical Trends Historical Electricity Demand growth from MW 2000-2004: 14,300 2.64% 13,300 CapX 12,300 growth 11,300 2009-2020: 2.49% 10,300 9,300 8,300 7,300 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
  • 5. Modeling Resulted in Sequenced List of Transmission Projects for Development Process System Modeling Three different generation scenarios were modeled Required transmission assessed for each Project Group 1 scenario Many facilities common for all three scenarios Established sequence for Project Groups Capital cost of all projects estimated to be $3 billion plus
  • 6. Projects Expected In- Service Project Group Group I S.E. Twin Cities-Rochester-LaCrosse / 345kV 2011 Bemidji-North Central MN / 230 kV 2011 Fargo-St. Cloud/Monticello area / 345kV 2012 Brookings, S.D.-SE Twin Cities / 345 kV 2012 Group II – Around the Twin Cities New 345 KV transmission loop around 2014 to 2020 the Twin Cities Group III – Remote Generation Outlet As needed and generation projects developed 2014 to 2020
  • 7. CapX 2020 Group 1 Projects General Route Corridors
  • 9. Public Policy Response to CapX 2005: Minnesota Legislation — Improved investment recovery model — Streamlined permitting process by moving siting to the PUC 2006: South Dakota Legislation — Improved investment recovery model (mirrored MN) 2007: North Dakota Bill — Seek improved investment recovery
  • 10. Implementation Plan Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Regulatory Filings – Project Group 1 File Notice Plans Implement NPs File Notice Plans Implement NPs Prepare Group 1 CON File Group 1 CON Hearings Resolution // CON Issued Prepare Group 1 CON File Group 1 CON Hearings Resolution CON Issued Route Development (separate but coordinated efforts) Route Development (separate but coordinated efforts) Communications – Project Group 1 2A. Implement NP 1. NP Filing 2A. Implement NP 1. NP Filing 2B. Public Engagement for Route Development 2B. Public Engagement for Route Development
  • 11. Xcel Energy Has a Robust Plan to Invest in Transmission We have a transmission There are high expansion plan expectations that we will deliver Regional 345kV system An execution model has Design and project been established sequence driven by time critical needs There is participant consensus to move These assets must be built ahead in order to serve the region’s customers reliably Collaborative efforts have achieved legislative and regulatory reform for cost recovery in Minnesota and South Dakota (ND pending)