D2,3.thailand grp-presentation

16 March, 2010 Beijing, China THAILAND REGIONAL AND PROVINCIAL PRODUCT National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND

Thailand
513,115 Sq.Km.
7 regions
Northern : 17 provinces
North eastern : 19 provinces
Southern : 14 provinces
Eastern : 8 provinces
Western :6 provinces
Central : 6 provinces
Bangkok Metropolis and vicinities : 6 provinces
76 provinces
National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND

Gross Provincial Product : GPP
National accounts for the country 3 approaches : Production, Expenditure and Income
GDP estimation via the production approach is necessary for the country.
Top-down approach is used to disaggregate VA of each activity of the country level to regional / provincial level.
GPP estimation normally bases on 2 methods

First method
Use only for agricultural sector
Because of basic data is relatively perfect
Production, price are available in provincial level
But intermediate cost structures are available in regional level
Compute VA of each agricultural commodity at regional level and then disaggregate to provincial level
VA region i = GO region i - IC region i
VA province j = VA region i x Prod. ratio ij

Second method
Use for all commodities in other sector
No have data on production, price and intermediate consumption at regional and provincial level
VA of each commodity at the country level are disaggregated to each province by proportion of relative production indicators to the country
VA province k = VA country x Prod. Ratio k

GPP & GRP presentation
ISIC rev. 3 has been used
16 economic sectors
( exclude: Extra-territorial organization)
Current prices
Constant prices at 1986 prices
GRP i = sum of GPP in region i
Population and per capita GPP are presented
13 months lag for dissemination

Problem
It’s not technically perfect
Because of
Not reflect prices in difference region / province
IC is same proportion in every region / province
Accounting system can not be completed due to unadequate data
Many activities do not have a clear boundary, producing places and marketing spots are far away from each other.
Transportation : mobile from one boundary to another, railroad
Electricity generating, marine fishery, mining in the sea
Mobile phone

Bottom-up approach
In order to get the economic situation in each area correctly.
Since 2004: NESDB encourage each province (exclude BKK) to do GPP for themselves.
NESDB provide GPP concept and compilation methodology to local agency’s staff.
Little by little of quality of GPP-Bottom up are observed.
NESDB still publicizes GPP officially (Top down).
GPP statistics of each province can be utilized for his own provinces in term of primary economic report.

Problem of Bottom-up approach
Incomplete of data collection
Hard to get data in some activity eg. Trade: head office locate at BKK , the branch which in another province no have accounting data
Very often changing the local staff who are responsible for GPP compilation
Budgetary constraint

Thank you
www.nesdb.go.th

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D2,3.thailand grp-presentation

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D2,3.thailand grp-presentation — Presentation Transcript