Rohit Talwar - Shaping the New Decade - CEED Slovenia 20 05 11
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Rohit Talwar - Shaping the New Decade - CEED Slovenia 20 05 11

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Rohit Talwar - Keynote Presentation to Entrepreneurs across Central and Eastern Europe at the USAID sponsored CEED conference in Slovenia 20 05 11

Rohit Talwar - Keynote Presentation to Entrepreneurs across Central and Eastern Europe at the USAID sponsored CEED conference in Slovenia 20 05 11

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  • 1. Shaping the New Decade5th Regional CEED Conference Bled - Slovenia May 20th 2011 Rohit Talwar CEO - Fast Futurerohit@fastfuture.comwww.fastfuture.com
  • 2. Growth is not Guaranteed
  • 3. Thinking is Back in Fashion
  • 4. Transformational Change? It’s Only Just Begun
  • 5. 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 0 1 2 3 4 Serbia Latvia Estonia Ireland Romania Slovakia Lithuania Hungary Poland Bulgaria Slovenia Sweden Cyprus Finland Austria Czech Rep.Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, January 2011 Netherlands Denmark France UK Belgium Spain Portugal Germany Greece Italy 2011-2030 Annual GDP Growth (%)
  • 6. Global Competitiveness Index 2010–2011 Rankings. GCI 2010 - 2011 rank Country/Economy GCI 2009 - 2010 rank 2 Sweden 4 5 Germany 7 7 Finland 6 45 Slovenia 37 49 Montenegro 62 67 Romania 64 71 Bulgaria 75 79 Macedonia 84 89 Ukraine 82 94 Moldova n/a 96 Serbia 93 Source: WEF, 2010-2011
  • 7. Global Competitiveness Index 2010–2011 rankings GCI 2010 - 2011 rank Country/Economy GCI 2009 - 2010 rank 2 Sweden 4 5 Germany 7 7 Finland 6 8 Netherlands 10 9 Denmark 5 12 United Kingdom 13 15 France 16 18 Austria 17 19 Belgium 18 20 Luxembourg 21 29 Ireland 25 33 Estonia 35 36 Czech Republic 31 Source: WEF, 2010-2011 http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2010-11.pdf
  • 8. Global Competitiveness Index 2010–2011 rankings GCI 2010 - 2011 rank Country/Economy GCI 2009 - 2010 rank 39 Poland 45 40 Cyprus 34 42 Spain 33 45 Slovenia 37 46 Portugal 43 47 Lithuania 53 48 Italy 48 49 Montenegro 62 50 Malta 52 52 Hungary 56 60 Slovakia 47 67 Romania 64 70 Latvia 68 71 Bulgaria 75 Source: WEF, 2010-2011 http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2010-11.pdf
  • 9. Global Competitiveness Index 2010– 2011 rankings GCI 2010 - 2011 rank Country/Economy GCI 2009 - 2010 rank 79 Macedonia 84 83 Greece 71 96 Serbia 93 Source: WEF, 2010-2011 http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2010-11.pdf
  • 10. Innovation Score 2011-2011: WEF Ranking Country WEF Innovation Score 2 Switzerland 5.60 3 Finland 5.56 5 Sweden 5.45 34 Slovenia 3.73 45 Montenegro 3.48 87 Romania 2.94 88 Serbia 2.93 92 Bulgaria 2.91 97 Macedonia 2.88 Source: World Economic Forum, 2010-2011
  • 11. Innovation Score 2011-2011: WEF - Global Comparison6543210 Source: WEF, 2010-2011
  • 12. Ease of Doing Business2011 Ranking 2010 Ranking Country Number of reforms for 20111 1 Singapore 02 2 Hong Kong 23 3 New Zealand 14 4 UK 238 36 Macedonia 242 43 Slovenia 351 51 Bulgaria 256 54 Romania 266 65 Montenegro 389 90 Serbia 1119 118 Kosovo 0Source: World Bank ‘Doing Business,’ 2011
  • 13. Marketing Innovation - Zemantahttp://blog.tmcnet.com/blog/tom-keating/images/zemanta-movable-type2.jpg
  • 14. Marketing Innovation - Zemanta• “Web users now spend half their time visiting content, far outpacing time spent with search, communications and commerce” - Online Publishers Association• Zemanta is a revolutionary new platform for accelerating on-line content production for any web user.• Any user-created text (a blog post, article or web page) is directly “read” by Zemanta, which recognizes all contextual content. Zemanta then combs the web for the most relevant images, smart links, keywords and text, instantly serving these results to the user to enrich and inform their content.• Zemanta can be deployed on all major content publishing platforms and web browsers through a simple plug-in.• Every 300 words, Zemanta analyzes the content of your post and, in a sidebar, recommends relevant articles, blog posts, images from Flickr, and videos from YouTube. Clicking on a blog or article adds a link to it with the title, to the body of your piece. Images and videos get pasted in with a credit to the original source. http://www.zemanta.com/ http://venturebeat.com/2008/06/02/zemanta-can-enhance-the-way-you-blog/
  • 15. Marketing Innovation - Zemanta• The founders have been thinking global from the beginning. They didn`t start looking for confirmation at home, just the opposite, they went international right away.• They started developing a product, that would satisfy global target markets and make foreign seed and risk investors enthusiastic. The solution, they were developing, didn´t grow from passion or from inner inspiration, but as a combination of rational, pragmatic thinking, viability, youthful enthusiasm, a wish to succeed and understanding the needs of those, they were trying to draw in their business cycle - customers.• Zemantas founders hope this added edge will attract bloggers worldwide to use the free service. As of February 2009, CEO Spetic says, some 27,000 bloggers around the world (roughly 85% from the U.S.) had used the tool to "Zemify" upwards of 440,000 blog postings, which in turn have generated 26.5 million page views. The number of its users has almost doubled in the past three months, the company says. http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/apr2009/gb2009047_098106_page_2.htm
  • 16. Marketing Innovation - Zemanta• Zemanta has mapped out two ways to make money, but neither is yet proven. The first involves sponsored links, similar to the ones that have made billions of dollars for Google. Within a few months, when bloggers use Zemanta to spiff up their postings with related content, the tool also will suggest paid links pertinent to the subject matter.• The second planned source of revenue, on the other hand, does afford bloggers a way to make some money through so-called associate referrals. If bloggers include links in their postings to products or services offered by online retailers—and if readers follow the links and buy something—the merchant will pay a finders fee to Zemanta and the blogger.• The company already has inked one such deal with Amazon, whose "associates" program pays between 4% and 15% of a products purchase price for referrals. In February, Zemanta opened a two-person New York sales office to persuade more such merchants to sign up.• Mr Spetic is confident enough of Zemantas business model that he predicts the company will break even by the end of 2010. http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/apr2009/gb2009047_098106_page_2.htm
  • 17. Marketing Innovation – Red Orbit
  • 18. Marketing Innovation – redorbit• Andraž Štalec is chief executive officer of the leading Slovene search engine marketing company, Red Orbit (www.red-orbit.com).• With its innovative approach to search marketing, Red Orbit offers high quality services, which enables their clients better use of the web as a communication tool.• Their services include search engine optimization, PPC campaign management, online identity management and internet marketing consultations. With these services their partners attract a bigger number of active buyers, establish their brand and enlarge advantage from other companies.• Red Orbit also offers press release optimization and PPC campaign management and social media marketing.• "We give our customers an opportunity to place them on the first page of search engines and reduce the cost of internet marketing up to 50%" says Red Orbit’s CEO.• Ljubljana university incubator accepted innovative start-up Red Orbit as their new member. As they said, Red Orbit is one of the most perspective and innovative start-ups in Slovenia. With their perspective idea, vision and potential they are expected to become one of the mayor players in the Slovenian Internet industry. http://www.pr.com/press-release/88189 http://www.prlog.org/10140822-red-orbit-educates-young-slovenian-businessmen.html
  • 19. Slovenia Business Innovation • Visionect was Slovenia’s Nominee for the Mobile Premier Awards 2010 – ‘The best grassroots startup innovation chosen by their peers in partnership with MobileMonday, the global community of mobile professionals. The nominees were chosen by participating MobileMonday chapters from over 250 participating startups’(1) • ‘Visionect was established as a company developing applications based on electronic paper and soon became the leading company providing solutions and products based on electronic paper in Slovenia. Our primary focus is on creating solutions for wireless devices with extremely low energy consumption. Combining the strong hardware and software research and development backgrounds, Visionect Electronics offers high-end experties in the areas of electronic paper applications, embedded systems, customized application, electronics design and development.’(2)(1) Mobile Premier Awards in Innovation Nominees, 18/01/2010, Mobile Premier Awards, http://www.mobilepremierawards.com/blog/tag/slovenia/ (17/05/2011)(2) Visionect Profile, 29/03/2010), dotopen, http://dotopen.com/organizations/view/visionect-d-o-o, (17/05/2011)
  • 20. Innovation in the Tourism Sector Terme Snovik Grand Hotel Primus Maya Adrenaline Park
  • 21. Innovation in Slovenian Tourism • On May 18th 2009 it was announced that The Bank of Tourism Potentials in Slovenia(BTPS) is to receive an award from the World Tourism Organisation for special and innovative achievements in the field of tourism. The BTPS has also been ranked as an example of good practice in the European Year of Creativity and Innovation. • The World Tourism Organisation (UNWTO) introduced the Ulysses award seven years ago in order to draw attention to special and innovative achievements in tourism every year. This year one of the three special jury awards in the public institutions category will go to the Slovenian Tourist Board (STB) for the Bank of Tourism Potentials in Slovenia (BTPS), a project which is implemented as a partnership by Turistica (the Faculty of Tourism Studies at the University of Primorska) and the Tourism Directorate at the Ministry of the Economy. • The BTPS was founded in December 2006 at the proposal of Turistica. The leader of the project is Dejan Križaj, a lecturer and researcher at Turistica. The BTPS has also been supported by the Tourism Directorate at the Ministry of the Economy and the STB. The project is aimed at increasing the innovative potential of Slovenian tourism.http://www.slovenia.info/en/TTA/Slovenia-wins-UNWTO-award-for-innovation-in-the-European-Year-of-Creativity-and-Innovation.htm?e_casopis=2787&lng=2
  • 22. Innovation in Slovenian Tourism • The main function of the BTPS is to promote the controlled flow of information on promising ideas and opportunities in order to bring together the right people and the right resources to realise new ideas and opportunities in Slovenian tourism. • And the Ulysses award is not the only thing the BTPS has won: recognition for the project has also come from the European Union, which will officially present the Bank of Tourism Potentials in Slovenia in the European Year of Creativity and Innovation and classify it as an example of good practice. http://www.btps.si/img/en/btps_logo.gif http://profile.ak.facebook.com/object3/1359/ 27/n47660342868_4816.jpghttp://www.slovenia.info/en/TTA/Slovenia-wins-UNWTO-award-for-innovation-in-the-European-Year-of-Creativity-and-Innovation.htm?e_casopis=2787&lng=2
  • 23. Tourism related Innovation• To become internationally competitive, Slovenian tourism has in the past been concerned with the development of new tourism infrastructure. Those efforts have been rewarded, as the World Economic Forum ranked Slovenia at the 36th place out of 130 countries in the 2008 edition of its Travel & Tourism Competitiveness report. According to Marjan Hribar, Director General of Slovenian Directorate for Tourism, it is now time to put an emphasis on developing and managing Slovenian tourism in a sustainable manner.• The first steps towards sustainability have already been taken. Last year, the newly built Grand Hotel Primus on Ptuj became Slovenia’s first certified energy efficient hotel. Furthermore, Terme Snovik, a spa resort near Kamnik, was awarded with the EU Flower Eco Label in February and thus represents the first EU Eco labelled accommodation facility in Slovenia. Last but not least, Terme Olimia, a spa resort in Podčetrtek, initiated collaboration with local artisans and chefs by offering their guests holiday packages that contain typical heritage products and tasting of traditional meals. http://www.sloveniatimes.com/en/inside.cp2?uid=7EEBBF4A-4D64-E162-E72D- B0F30E06758E&linkid=news&cid=839A4F2D-F008-C37A-2CC9-4314C8A807ED
  • 24. Tourism Innovation: Maya Adrenaline Park• 60% of Slovenia is forested and 70% of all forests are in private ownership.• Despite this and owing to the relatively small nature of most forests, they were not seen as a tourism generator.• In 1998 the Maya outdoor centre was established in the Tolmin region, attracting 900 guests.• In an expansion drive in 2004, Maya leased an area of forest from the local community and established an ‘adrenaline park’ – a high ropes and platform course set 10m above the forest floor in the trees themselves.• An agency from Germany was employed in helping to sustainably plan the EUR 100,000 adrenaline park.• Maya, including the country’s first adrenaline park attracted some 6500 guests in 2006, 45% of which came from the U.K and generated some EUR 200,000 in profit.• Another improvement to the running of the business regards transport. Traditionally hard to reach, a complimentary bus runs daily from Ljubljana. www.inno-forest.org
  • 25. Look for Obvious Gaps Mobexpert (Romania)
  • 26. Case Study: Romania• Dan Sucu is founder and chief executive of Mobexpert, a Romanian furniture retailing chain that has 1,800 employees and stores in three countries across the region.• Mr Sucu set up Mobexpert in 1993 after realising nobody was satisfying Romanian businesses’ hunger for stylish, modern office furniture.• The company now has revenues of €170m (£140m, $203m) and superstores in Romania and Bulgaria, with a nascent operation in Serbia.• It sells furniture imported from all over the world as well as pieces produced by Mr Sucu’s four factories in Romania. His market position appears secure: when Ikea finally arrived, his nearest store experienced a 40 per cent increase in volumes.• Each year, Mobexpert Group is investing more than 2 million EUR in utilities, advanced technologies and new production systems. Source: FT ‘International Business Insight,’ June 2010 http://media.ft.com/cms/4ce51cf8-7e13-11df-8478- 00144feabdc0,dwp_uuid=dc1b8396-76f5-11df-ba79-00144feabdc0.pdf
  • 27. Visaris Vision C – Universal Digital X-ray Machine (Serbia)
  • 28. Serbia: Business Innovation• A collaboration ‘between the USAID Serbia Competitiveness Project, the Best Technological Innovation Competition (sponsored by the Ministry of Science and Technological Development), and Junior Achievement Serbia began in February 2010 with the creation of a new competition category "Best High School Innovation", and a special award for "Best Social Innovation" within the Best Technological Innovation Competition.’(1)• Although obviously not a business the two competition winners came up with innovative and practical ideas that have real commercial potential. – Team ‘SNIT2’ is composed of 6 students and proposes to develop specialized fitness center equipment which enables the collection and reuse of energy generated during a workout.(2) – Team "Life’" (student company from Agricultural school PKB in Belgrade) is composed of 4 students and proposes to design and sell lamps from recycled material.”(3)(1) Best Technological Innovation Competition, 12/01/2011, Junior Achievement Serbia, http://www.ja-serbia.org/en/news/best-technological- innovation-competition, (17/05/2011)(2) ibid(3) ibid
  • 29. Serbia Business Innovation cont. • The Annual AUREA Awards (http://www.energy-lite.com/en/index.php#) are presented to the most innovative area for investment in Serbia. This years nominees are (1) – "Biotoksinomer" - A device for a water quality control, – "Electronics" - combine for picking raspberries and blackberries, – "Energoobnova" - biomass power plant, – "Ledlight" - Street LED lighting, – "MAZ-203 CNG BIK - City low-floor bus with natural gas, – "Onion Slicer" - industrial automated machines for cutting vegetables, – "Pethouse" - A mobile device for grinding of used PET plastic bottles; and – Faculty of Technology Leskovac-continuous reactor for biodiesel. • Last year’s winner was Visaris, who produced a universal digital x-ray machine ‘Vision C’(2) – ‘Vision C is a state-of-the-art, universal, auto-positioning digital radiography system capable of handling virtually all radiography examinations with a single, full-size flat panel detector. Fully programmable, automated robotic system with intelligent motion and positioning control Vision C seamlessly transforms from the functionality of a vertical bucky stand to a table system for optimal exam efficiency. Immobile and traumatised patients are easily imaged in several directions without moving on a fully transparent elevating table’(3)(1) Aurea 2011 Shortlist, EnergyLite Electronics, http://www.energy-lite.com/en/component/content/article/13-naslovna-vest/61-aurea2011, (17/05/2011)(2) Visaris won 2010 Aurea award - Investment of the year in Serbia declared, 23/03/2010, www.eKapija.com, http://www.ekapija.com/website/sr/page/301990_en, (17/05/2011)(3) Vision C Universal Digital Radiography, Visaris, http://www.visaris.com/index.asp?j=en&item=178, (17/05/2011)
  • 30. Demographic Destinies 2 billion more people in 40 years –Demographics is Driving Economics 448 739 691 5231 344 1998 4157 729 1030 585 2010 2050 Source : United Nations
  • 31. Life Redefined – Lifespans are IncreasingUnder 50’s have 90%chance of living to 100.Aubrey de Grey suggestswe could live to 500 or 1000What are the health,housing, consumption andresource implications?What kind of opportunitieswill be created?
  • 32. BCG’S 2011 Global Challengers and Emeriti: Origin Countries35 333025 202015 1410 8 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 Source: Boston Consulting Group, January 2011
  • 33. Background Note Work in 2020 • Gartner research analysts recently convened to discuss the changing nature of work and table some predictions for the coming decade. Their consensus view was that chaotic, distributed and ad-hoc teams of people, along with blurred organizational boundaries, would become the norm for most modes of work. • “De-routinization” of work. “Non-routine” activities that cannot be automated, such as innovation, leadership and sales, will dominate employment: By 2015, 40 percent or more of an organization’s work will be “non-routine,” up from 25 percent in 2010. • Work swarms. Rather than traditional teams of people familiar with each other, ad-hoc groups or “work swarms,” with no previous experience of working with each other, will become a commonplace team structure. Gartner’s “work swarms” concept sounds similar to the Noded philosophy, which describes how groups of individuals, often but not necessarily geographically distant, come together to form temporary or recurring project teams.Source: Gartner, cited in gigaom, Nov 2010 http://gigaom.com/collaboration/the-future-of-work-10-ways-that-the-world-of-work-will-change-in-the-2010s/
  • 34. Background Note Work in 2020 • Weak links. Weak links are the cues people can pick up from people who know the people they have to work with. Exploiting our own networks will help us to develop the ties that are required for participating in wider “work swarm” opportunities. • Working with the collective. Being able to influence the complex ecosystem of suppliers, partners, clients and customers will increasingly become a core competence. • Work sketch-ups. Informality will define most “non-routine” work activities; the process models for these activities will be simple “sketch-ups,” created on the fly. • Spontaneous work. Seeking new opportunities and creating projects around them is likely to be an opportunistic, rather than strategic, activity. • Simulation and experimentation. The culture of Google’s “perpetual beta” is likely to spread to other industries, with rapid prototyping taking place in very public environments.Source: Gartner, cited in gigaom, Nov 2010 http://gigaom.com/collaboration/the-future-of-work-10-ways-that-the-world-of-work-will-change-in-the-2010s/
  • 35. Background Note Work in 2020 • Pattern sensitivity. Extrapolating from history and experience will become less reliable; the ability to detect and parse patterns and trends in society will provide better insights. • Hyperconnected. With formal and informal work diffused across organizational boundaries, the support mechanisms for workers (healthcare, HR, IT) will need to evolve to support fuzzier, ad-hoc relationships between people and departments. • My place. The boundaries between home and work life are already blurred. Balancing almost 24/7 availability against burning out will become a critical skill.Source: Gartner, cited in gigaom, Nov 2010 http://gigaom.com/collaboration/the-future-of-work-10-ways-that-the-world-of-work-will-change-in-the-2010s/
  • 36. New Industry Models and Mindsets
  • 37. Swoopo - The $17,739 iPad
  • 38. Access vs. Ownership
  • 39. Think Like the Customer e.g. Open Innovation
  • 40. Learning Investments
  • 41. TMT – Convergence and ImmersionTelephony Connectivity• Voice • Cellular• Messaging • Up to 14 bands• SIM card • WLAN/BT• Phonebook • GPS• Ring Tones • NFC• Security • FMData/ MultimediaEnterprise • Camera 8-16M• 100Mbps • Camcorder• Email • 24M Color Display• IMS • Memory (160GB)• Browsing • Multiformat A/V • HD Video/TV out• VPN • Games• PIM• Ecommerce Software (50-100M Tps) • Protocols • DRM• Payments • Middleware • Applications • User Interface • Minimize fragmentation
  • 42. What I Want – When I Want
  • 43. New Analytics and a New Knowledge Infrastructure
  • 44. Background Note Data Growth • A recent IDC report suggested that “The digital universe is expected to gain further momentum over the next decade, increasing 44-fold to 35 trillion gigabytes by the year 2020.” (1). • Taken together, these are increasingly characterized as ‘big data’ and can be seen to represent the amalgam of customer and commercial data from public, proprietary and purchased sources. It’s this confluence that has led the Aspen Institute in its 2009 InfoTech09 report to suggest “ as all these systems begin to interconnect with each other and as powerful new software tools and techniques are invented to analyze the data for valuable inferences, a radically new kind of “knowledge infrastructure” is materializing.” (2) • Should this trend continue, it will take us into an era of super-abundance of ‘big-data’. Source (1): EMC, May 2010 http://www.emc.com/collateral/demos/microsites/idc-digital-universe/iview.htm Source (2): Aspen Institute, 2009 http://www.aspeninstitute.org/sites/default/files/content/docs/pubs/InfoTech09.pdf
  • 45. Internet of Things
  • 46. Background Note Internet of Things • The ‘internet of Things’ is a term used to describe a growing set of related technologies that allow real-world, physical objects to be connected to, and networked across, the internet. This enables an object to share real time sensor data about both the conditions of the environment it is in as well as its own status. A 2010 McKinsey article suggests it will enable the development of two core activities - “information and analysis” (covering tracking behavior; analysis of the environment and sensor-driven decision making) and "automation and control” (1). • This could open up new options across the fields of machine-to-machine communication and be used to deal with complex, data-heavy issues such as city traffic, pollution reduction and energy management. • Some argue the true transformative value will only emerge when data collected from multiple sources (and perhaps for different purposes) can be combined to create new real time business intelligence. Source (1): McKinsey, 2010 http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/The_Internet_of_Things_2538 Source (2): Web of Things, February 2011 http://www.webofthings.com/2011/02/04/lift11-talk-transcript/
  • 47. Background Note Ambient Intelligence (2011-20) • Effectively, ambient intelligence is about creating electronic environments that are sensitive and responsive to the presence of people. This implies embedding intelligence and an IP address in everything from the paint on our walls to the windows and curtains and the furniture we sit on. There are already diverse applications using ambient technology on the market, but one crucial sticking point is that few of them are fully integrated into wireless communication systems. European researchers have been addressing this outstanding issue. • The idea is to integrate sensor networks into wireless communication systems and to ‘capture’ the user‘s environment, perhaps using a mobile phone as a gateway, and then transmit this context to a service platform to deliver a personalised service and act on situations, says Laurent Herault, project coordinator of a research scheme developing new ways of capturing ambient intelligence in post-3G mobile communication systems through wireless sensor networks. Source: Science Daily, January 2008 http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/01/080112080851.htm
  • 48. Augmented Reality /Interactive Data Eyeglasses
  • 49. Background Note Augmented Reality Expansion (2011-2020) • Augmented Reality Expansion: Augmented reality involves using visors, mobile phones and heads up devices to overlay digital information onto physical world objects e.g. buildings. This could give them what futurist Ian Pearson calls a dual architecture. 55% of Internet experts surveyed by Pew believe that by 2020 many lives will be touched by the use of augmented reality or spent interacting in artificial spaces. SixthSense is a wearable gestural interface prototype that augments the physical world around us with digital information and lets us use natural hand gestures to interact with that information. (Canwest News Service) Source: Canwest News Service 2009 http://www.canada.com/Technology/Mobile+phone+main+tool+2020+survey/1078449/story.html
  • 50. Background Note Interactive Data Eyeglasses (2011 onwards) • Interactive Data Eyeglasses: A team of scientists at the Fraunhofer Institute for Photonic Microsystems IPMS in Dresden, Germany, is working on a device that incorporates eye tracking to influence the content presented to the viewer. Without having to use any other devices to enter instructions, the wearer can display new content, scroll through a menu or shift picture elements simply by moving her eyes or fixing on certain points in the image. (ZDNet) Source: ZDNet, June 2009 http://blogs.zdnet.com/emergingtech/?p=1580
  • 51. Haptics / Holograms / Interactive Surfaces
  • 52. Background Note Haptics technology (2010-20) • Haptics Technology: Haptics technology interfaces via touch by applying forces, vibrations, and/or motions to the user (effectively mechanical stimulation). Computerized image analysis is used to extract information from images. It can be used in medical applications to determine the size of organs or to build 3-D models of organs before surgery. For example, a PhD candidate at Uppsala University, Sweden, has developed new technology to make it easier to diagnose and plan the treatment of cancer. He used haptics technology to develop new interactive methods, where the mouse and keyboard are replaced by a pen-like three-dimensional mouse that enables the user to feel the virtual organs.‘ (Uppsala University, Sweden) Sources: Uppsala University, Sweden, February 2008 http://www.primidi.com/Feeling_organs_via_a_display_screen
  • 53. Background Note Touchable Holographs (2011 onwards) • Touchable Holographs: A ‘touchable holograph‘ display has been developed at the University of Tokyo. It adds tactile feedback to 3D images hovering in space in front of a concave mirror using an ultrasound device positioned below the LCD and mirror. (ZDNet) Source: ZDNet, June 2009 http://blogs.zdnet.com/emergingtech/?p=1580
  • 54. Background Note Interactive Surfaces (2011 onwards) • Interactive Surfaces • 2010 onwards • Even skin has become an interactive surface, with scientists able to create a system that allows users to use their own hands and arms as touchscreens by detecting the various ultralow-frequency sounds produced when tapping different parts of the skin. Skinput uses microchip-sized projectors to allow for interactive elements rendered on the user’s forearm and hand. Source: ZDNet, March 2010 http://blogs.zdnet.com/emergingtech/?p=2146
  • 55. Future Growth Industries
  • 56. Green Buildings - $600Bn by 2015 Source: PR Log, December 2010
  • 57. Background Note Green Buildings • Green building is the practice of increasing the efficiency with which buildings and their sites use and harvest energy, water, and materials; reducing building impacts on human health and the environment, through better siting, design, construction, operation, maintenance, and the complete building life cycle. • The US Green Building Council defines Green Building Design as: To significantly reduce or eliminate the negative impact of buildings on the environment and on the building occupants. Green building design and construction practices address: sustainable site planning, safeguarding water and water efficiency, energy efficiency, conservation of materials and resources, and indoor environmental quality. Source: CT Energy, retrieved April 2011 http://www.ctenergyinfo.com/greenbuildings.htm
  • 58. Rising Infrastructure Spending• CIBC projects up to $35 trillion in public works by 2030 (1)• Annual spend: – North America $180Bn – Europe $205Bn – Asia $400Bn – Africa $10Bn
  • 59. Airport Expansion by 2020 China from ~150 to 244 India from ~100 to 150
  • 60. Opening Up Education
  • 61. Transforming Healthcare
  • 62. Green Transport Revolution
  • 63. New Energy Solutions
  • 64. Reinventing Retail
  • 65. Nanomaterials - $100Bn
  • 66. European Smart Grid - $200Bn+
  • 67. Background Note Smart Grid Market • Smart grids updates traditional power grids by carrying electricity using digital technology. • Smart grids essentially take an electricity grid and deliver to it communications and computer technology, so that suppliers can deliver electricity to consumers in a wider range of conditions, while also accommodating wind and solar power sources. Source: TMC Net, retrieved April 2011 http://smart-grid.tmcnet.com/
  • 68. Bio-pharma - $319Bn by 2020Source: PwC, ABLE, 2010
  • 69. Background Note Bio-Pharmaceuticals • Biopharmaceuticals are products which are derived using living organisms to produce or modify the structure and/or functioning of plants or animals with a medical or diagnostic use. Source: Pharmaceutical Technology, retrieved April 2011 http://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/glossary/biopharmaceuticals.html
  • 70. Industrial Biotech - $659Bn by 2020 Source: Economist, June 2010
  • 71. Background Note Industrial Biotech • Industrial Biotechnology is the application of biotechnology for the environmentally-friendly production and processing of chemicals, pharmaceuticals, materials and bio-energy. It is widely regarded as the solution to find alternatives for the diminishing amount of fossil resources such as oil and natural gas. • Industrial Biotechnology is also referred to as "White" Biotechnology, symbolising its role in providing clean and sustainable processes. Source: Era IB, retrieved April 2011 http://www.era-ib.net/default.asp?cid=31
  • 72. 3D Printing - $1Tn+?
  • 73. How Should we Respond?
  • 74. 1 – Go Where the Money is
  • 75. 2. Create Advisory Groups
  • 76. 3. Be Visible – Awards, Web,Networks and Associations
  • 77. 4 - Be Magnetic
  • 78. 5 – Service is the Killer App
  • 79. Conclusions – Playing to Win• Think Customer• Focus on Growth Markets• Be Visible
  • 80. Designing Your Future Key Trends, Challenges and Choices Facing Association and Nonprofit Leaders• 50 key trends• 100 emerging trends• 10 major patterns of change• Key challenges and choices for leaders• Strategic decision making framework• Scenarios for 2012• Key futures tools and techniques• Published August 2008• Price £49.95 / €54.95/ $69.95• Email invoice request to rohit@fastfuture.com
  • 81. Rohit Talwar• Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research.• Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic innovation – addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on 5 continents• Author of Designing Your Future – Published 08/2008• Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10 Global Future Thinkers• Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic consultancy projects for clients in telecommunications, technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism, environment, food and government sectors• Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM, ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis, OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell, Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore.• To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email rohit@fastfuture.com
  • 82. Our Services Bespoke research; Identification & Analysis of Future Trends, Drivers & Shocks Public Speaking, In- Company Briefings, Accelerated Scenario Seminars and Workshops Planning, Timelining & Future MappingPersonal Futuring for Leadersand Leadership Teams Expert Consultations & Futures Think Tanks Identification of Design & Facilitation of Opportunities for Innovation, Incubation & Innovation and Strategic Venturing Programmes Investment Strategy Creation & Development of Implementation Roadmaps
  • 83. Example Projects• Public and private client research e.g. : – Innovation in the Health Sector – The Shape of Jobs to Come – Department for Business, Innovation and Skills – Designing Your Future (Published August 2008) – book written for the American Society of Association Executives & The Center for Association Leadership – Travel and tourism e.g. The Future of Travel and Tourism in the Middle East – a Vision to 2020 (Underway) – Future of Travel and Tourism Investment in Saudi Arabia (Underway) – Scenarios for the global economy for 2030 and the implications for migration (underway) – Global Economies – e.g. The Future of China – the Path to 2020 – Winning in India and China – Aviation and Airports e.g. Aviation 2030 – Meetings, conferences , exhibitions and events – e.g. One Step Beyond – Future trends and challenges for the events industry• Strategic advice to industry players• Confidential advisory and coaching services to CEOs and top teams• Public speaking at public conferences and in-company events• Future thinking workshops and retreats
  • 84. Our Clients