Facing the Future          Kennedys Partners Retreat             December 2nd 2011       Rohit Talwar CEO - Fast Future Re...
ContentsPresentation               p3About Fast Future          p 50Image Sources              p 58
Driving Future GrowthMacro    Business /   GrowthTrends   IT Trends    Markets
Organisations Need to Work on     3 Horizons in Parallel1-12 Months   1-3 Years   3-10 YearsOperational   Drive for    Cre...
Growth is not Guaranteed…
…Thinking is Back in Fashion
Transformational Change?   It’s Only Just Begun
The World in 2020
Demographic Destinies 2 billion more people in 40 years –Demographics is Driving Economics         448   739 691          ...
Life Redefined –        Lifespans are IncreasingUnder 50’s have 90%chance of living to 100.Aubrey de Grey suggestswe could...
BCG’S 2011 Global Challengers and Emeriti: Origin Countries35   333025          202015             1410                   ...
Service is the ‘Killer App’
Tackling Complexity• Process• Organisation• Information /  Systems• Regulatory• Human
Complex Systems
Chaordic Systems
Mess
Think Like the Customer e.g. Open Innovation
New Business Thinkinge.g. Ultra-Quick Construction
New Business Models - Auctions £3088    £8791.50    £81
Access vs. Ownership
TMT – Convergence and ImmersionTelephony                                     Connectivity•   Voice                        ...
Next Generation Interfaces
Haptics / Holograms / Interactive Surfaces
Focus on Growth Industries
Rising Infrastructure Spending• CIBC projects up to $35  trillion in public works  by 2030 (1)• Annual spend:   – North Am...
Airport Expansion by 2020       China from ~150 to 244       India from ~100 to 150
Opening Up Education
Green Transport Revolution
Reinventing Retail
Smart Grid - $500Bn+
Industrial Biotech - $650Bn+ by 2020      Source: Economist, June 2010
NBIC Convergence
Extending the Experience
The Slide@T3Changi Airport - Singapore
Virtual Grocery Shopping –    Tesco South Korea
Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation
3D Printing  $1Tn+
What Client Strategies are       Emerging?
Where are the Opportunities?• Networks• Development• Innovation• Business Models
How can Leaders Respond?
Lead or Follow?
Make Time and Space for Change
Be Sticky and Magnetic
Create Tolerance of Uncertainty Encourage Experimentation
Broad Scans and Deep Dives
Embrace Networks and    Associations
Encourage Curiosity
Conclusions – Winners• Forward Looking• Experimental• Tolerant of Uncertainty
About Fast Future
Fast Future –                    Core Services• Live Events - Speeches, briefings and workshops for executive  management ...
Fast Future•   Research, consulting, speaking, leadership•   5-20 year horizon - focus on ideas, developments, people,    ...
Rohit Talwar•   Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research.•   Award winning speaker on future insights and strat...
Designing Your Future               Key Trends, Challenges and Choices•   50 key trends•   100 emerging trends•   10 major...
Our Services                                   Bespoke research; Identification &                                   Analys...
Example Projects•   Public and private client research e.g. :     – Development of Market Scenarios, emerging trends and s...
Example Clients
Image Sources p1Page1.   http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/01016/BUSH-BINOCULARS_1016553i.jpg3.   http://www.wad...
Image Sources p216. http://www.petervaldivia.com/technology/networks/image/internet-world.jpg17. http://howardlindzon.com/...
Image Sources p331.   http://smartgrid.epri.com/App_Themes/Default/Images/smart_grid_network_image.gif32.   http://www.cel...
Image Sources p446.   Left to Right      http://www.codeproject.com/KB/grid/DrawingRadarDisplayWithCS/Radar1.jpg      http...
Rohit Talwar - Facing the Future - Kennedys Partners Retreat - December 2nd  2011
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Rohit Talwar - Facing the Future - Kennedys Partners Retreat - December 2nd 2011

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Rohit Talwar's presentation 'Facing the Future', given to Kennedys Partners Retreat, 2nd December 2011.

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Rohit Talwar - Facing the Future - Kennedys Partners Retreat - December 2nd 2011

  1. 1. Facing the Future Kennedys Partners Retreat December 2nd 2011 Rohit Talwar CEO - Fast Future Researchwww.fastfuture.com rohit@fastfuture.com Twitter @fastfuture
  2. 2. ContentsPresentation p3About Fast Future p 50Image Sources p 58
  3. 3. Driving Future GrowthMacro Business / GrowthTrends IT Trends Markets
  4. 4. Organisations Need to Work on 3 Horizons in Parallel1-12 Months 1-3 Years 3-10 YearsOperational Drive for CreatingExcellence Growth the Future
  5. 5. Growth is not Guaranteed…
  6. 6. …Thinking is Back in Fashion
  7. 7. Transformational Change? It’s Only Just Begun
  8. 8. The World in 2020
  9. 9. Demographic Destinies 2 billion more people in 40 years –Demographics is Driving Economics 448 739 691 5231 344 1998 4157 729 1030 585 2010 2050 Source : United Nations
  10. 10. Life Redefined – Lifespans are IncreasingUnder 50’s have 90%chance of living to 100.Aubrey de Grey suggestswe could live to 500 or 1000What are the health,housing, consumption andresource implications?What kind of opportunitieswill be created?
  11. 11. BCG’S 2011 Global Challengers and Emeriti: Origin Countries35 333025 202015 1410 8 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 Source: Boston Consulting Group, January 2011
  12. 12. Service is the ‘Killer App’
  13. 13. Tackling Complexity• Process• Organisation• Information / Systems• Regulatory• Human
  14. 14. Complex Systems
  15. 15. Chaordic Systems
  16. 16. Mess
  17. 17. Think Like the Customer e.g. Open Innovation
  18. 18. New Business Thinkinge.g. Ultra-Quick Construction
  19. 19. New Business Models - Auctions £3088 £8791.50 £81
  20. 20. Access vs. Ownership
  21. 21. TMT – Convergence and ImmersionTelephony Connectivity• Voice • Cellular• Messaging • Up to 14 bands• SIM card • WLAN/BT• Phonebook • GPS• Ring Tones • NFC• Security • FMData/ MultimediaEnterprise • Camera 8-16M • Camcorder• 100Mbps • 24M Color Display• Email • Memory (160GB)• IMS • Multiformat A/V• Browsing • HD Video/TV out• VPN • Games• PIM• Ecommerce Software (50-100M Tps) • Protocols • DRM• Payments • Middleware • Applications • User Interface • Minimize fragmentation
  22. 22. Next Generation Interfaces
  23. 23. Haptics / Holograms / Interactive Surfaces
  24. 24. Focus on Growth Industries
  25. 25. Rising Infrastructure Spending• CIBC projects up to $35 trillion in public works by 2030 (1)• Annual spend: – North America $180Bn – Europe $205Bn – Asia $400Bn – Africa $10BnGreen Buildings - $600Bn by 2015
  26. 26. Airport Expansion by 2020 China from ~150 to 244 India from ~100 to 150
  27. 27. Opening Up Education
  28. 28. Green Transport Revolution
  29. 29. Reinventing Retail
  30. 30. Smart Grid - $500Bn+
  31. 31. Industrial Biotech - $650Bn+ by 2020 Source: Economist, June 2010
  32. 32. NBIC Convergence
  33. 33. Extending the Experience
  34. 34. The Slide@T3Changi Airport - Singapore
  35. 35. Virtual Grocery Shopping – Tesco South Korea
  36. 36. Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation
  37. 37. 3D Printing $1Tn+
  38. 38. What Client Strategies are Emerging?
  39. 39. Where are the Opportunities?• Networks• Development• Innovation• Business Models
  40. 40. How can Leaders Respond?
  41. 41. Lead or Follow?
  42. 42. Make Time and Space for Change
  43. 43. Be Sticky and Magnetic
  44. 44. Create Tolerance of Uncertainty Encourage Experimentation
  45. 45. Broad Scans and Deep Dives
  46. 46. Embrace Networks and Associations
  47. 47. Encourage Curiosity
  48. 48. Conclusions – Winners• Forward Looking• Experimental• Tolerant of Uncertainty
  49. 49. About Fast Future
  50. 50. Fast Future – Core Services• Live Events - Speeches, briefings and workshops for executive management and boards of governments, investment funds, development agencies , companies, airlines, airports, hotels, venues, CVB’s and associations• Future Insights - Customised research on emerging trends, future scenarios, technologies and new markets• Immersion - ‘Deep dives’ on future trends, market developments, emerging issues and technology advances• Strategy - Development of strategies and business plans• Innovation - Creation of business models and innovation plans• Engagement - Consultancy and workshop facilitation
  51. 51. Fast Future• Research, consulting, speaking, leadership• 5-20 year horizon - focus on ideas, developments, people, trends and forces shaping the future• Clients – ING, ABN Amro, Laing O’Rourke – Marks and Spencer – Airports - Aeroports de Paris / Schiphol Group – Vancouver Airport Services – Industry Associations – ICCA, ASAE, PCMA, MPI – Corporates - GE, Nokia, Pepsi, IBM, Intel, Orange, O2, Siemens, Samsung, GSK, SAPE&Y, KPMG, Amadeus, Sabre, Travelport, Travelex, ING, Santander, Barclays, Citibank, DeutscheBank – Governments - Dubai, Finland, Nigeria, Singapore, UK, US – Convention Bureaus – Seoul, Sydney, London, San Francisco, Toronto, Abu Dhabi, Durban, Athens, Slovenia, Copenhagen – Convention Centres – Melbourne, Adelaide, Qatar, QEIICC – Hotels - Accor Group, Preferred, – Intercontinental – PCO’s - Congrex, Kenes
  52. 52. Rohit Talwar• Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research.• Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic innovation – addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on 5 continents• Author of Designing Your Future• Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10 Global Future Thinkers• Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic consultancy projects for clients in telecommunications, technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism, environment, food and government sectors• Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM, ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis, OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell, Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore.• To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email rohit@fastfuture.com
  53. 53. Designing Your Future Key Trends, Challenges and Choices• 50 key trends• 100 emerging trends• 10 major patterns of change• Key challenges and choices for leaders• Strategic decision making framework• Scenarios for 2012• Key futures tools and techniques• Published August 2008• Price £49.95 / €54.95/ $69.95• Email invoice request to rohit@fastfuture.com
  54. 54. Our Services Bespoke research; Identification & Analysis of Future Trends, Drivers & Shocks Public Speaking, In- Company Briefings, Accelerated Scenario Seminars and Planning, Timelining & Workshops Future MappingPersonal Futuring forLeaders and Leadership Expert Consultations &Teams Futures Think Tanks Identification of Design & Facilitation of Opportunities for Innovation, Incubation Innovation and Strategic & Venturing Strategy Creation & Investment Programmes Development of Implementation Roadmaps
  55. 55. Example Projects• Public and private client research e.g. : – Development of Market Scenarios, emerging trends and strategies for key clients – Government and OECD Scenario Projects – e.g. Migration 2030, Future of Narcotics, Chemical Sector, Family 2030 – Scenarios for the global economy for 2030 and the implications for migration – Designing Your Future (Published August 2008) – book written for the American Society of Association Executives & The Center for Association Leadership – Global Economies – e.g. The Future of China – the Path to 2020 – The Shape of Jobs to Come – Emerging Science and Technology Sectors and Careers – Winning in India and China – The Future of Human Resources – Exploiting the Future Potential of Social Media in UK Small to Medium Enterprises – Convention 2020 – the Future of Business Events – Future Convention Cities Initiative – Maximising Long-term Economic Impact of Events – One Step Beyond – Future trends and challenges for the events industry – Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation – Future Hotel Strategies – The Future of Travel and Tourism in the Middle East – a Vision to 2020 – Future of Travel and Tourism Investment in Saudi Arabia – Aviation and Airports e.g. Aviation 2030
  56. 56. Example Clients
  57. 57. Image Sources p1Page1. http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/01016/BUSH-BINOCULARS_1016553i.jpg3. http://www.wadefinancial.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/5-Big-Questions.jpg4. Left to Right http://www.guy-sports.com/fun_pictures/truck_art_pepsis_lg.jpg http://www.automotive-insight.net/aston-martin-cars/pics/aston%20martin.jpg http://www.kgwings.com/hawkeye/hawkeye05.jpg5. http://www.piperreport.com/archives/Images/Medicare%20PFFS%20Plans.jpg6. http://www.einstein.yu.edu/iphs/images/think_tank.jpg7. http://creativeclass.typepad.com/thecreativityexchange/images/2007/12/01/global.jpg8. Clockwise http://www.etftrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/1_fullsize.jpg http://blog.engglib2.upd.edu.ph/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/newsweek4.jpg http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4b3799e6-5e04-11df-8153-00144feab49a.html#axzz1LCUOTVNv http://batonrouge.myhomecareblog.com/files/2011/07/active_seniors4.jpg http://www.imperial-consultants.co.uk/files/biopharmaceuticals.jpg http://www.nanotechnologyinvesting.us/images/nanotechnology-480.jpg http://cdn.lightgalleries.net/4bd5ec0d18599/images/Cocoon_05-2.jpg http://takemetoyourleader.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/010101.jpg http://www.lostateminor.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vertical_farming_1.jpg12. http://www.tensator.com/blog/post/2011/01/31/London-Luton-Airport-Introduces-Two-New-Staff-Members-Holly-and- Graham.aspx13. http://freshpeel.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/Future_of_Work.jpg14. http://encefalus.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/complexity.gif15. http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2292/2338002596_4c08dc0b07.jpg
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  59. 59. Image Sources p331. http://smartgrid.epri.com/App_Themes/Default/Images/smart_grid_network_image.gif32. http://www.celsias.com/media/uploads/admin/biofuel_1.jpg33. http://hplusmagazine.com/sites/default/files/images/articles/jan10/nano-info1.jpg34, Left to Right http://www.instablogsimages.com/images/2007/10/09/design-concept-of-vertical-farming_5810.jpg http://www.globalairportcities.com/images/stories/news2011/September/6dcinema.jpg35. http://www.fastcodesign.com/1662241/wheeeeeee-slides-made-for-adults-in-dire-need-of-fun-video36. http://trendshq.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/South-Korea-Virtual-Supermarket-on-Subway.jpg37. Left to Right http://protomag.com/statics/SU_06_jgrow_rtms_3697_a_sq.jpg http://www.shockmd.com/wp-content/tms12.jpg38. Left to Right http://www.psfk.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/pic-rapid-prototyping-and-jewelry.png http://www.fastcompany.com/1781551/prototype-of-worlds-first-3-d-printed-car-unveiled http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/10/on-demand-3d-printing-cut-waste-increase-efficiency.php39. http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_9SlYS77Pdxg/SeqgR0hQBMI/AAAAAAAACDk/PLTRR4KWo-o/s400/entrepreneur2.gif40. http://www.visualphotos.com/photo/2x4524045/businesswoman_on_ladder_looking_through_binoculars_bld005521.jpg42. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/- EJhAZaiyA8E/TfRRHfKzDMI/AAAAAAAAAGo/JmTQLz1z0xc/s320/6a00d8341c65c453ef010536d4981b970c-800wi.jpg43. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/bigphotos/images/090305-daylight-saving-time-facts-history_big.jpg44. http://www.ripleys.com/assets/img/upload/bions/magnet_man.jpg45. Left to Right http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_MuWNJtJ8XS4/RwrvXTT4e4I/AAAAAAAABJc/pMnDJx06ZQA/s400/DuaneMichels.Uncertainty88.j pg http://embunpagi2009.files.wordpress.com/2009/02/seedling1.jpg
  60. 60. Image Sources p446. Left to Right http://www.codeproject.com/KB/grid/DrawingRadarDisplayWithCS/Radar1.jpg http://www.realmscuba.com/Logos/Dive%20Course/group%20underwater.jpg47. Outside In http://www.masternewmedia.org/images/social_network_id469214_size440.jpg http://i36.tinypic.com/vrxzll.jpg48. http://www.insidefurniture.com/.a/6a00d834519a9e69e2010536a3c860970b-800wi49. http://www.oytun.co.uk/wp-content/themes/mimbo2/images//innovation.jpg
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