Driving Future Growth         Blackberry Innovation Forum     DubaiNovember 16th 2011       Rohit TalwarCEO - Fast Future ...
Driving Future GrowthBusiness     ICT        New Trends    Horizon   Ideas and                     Approach
DiscussionWhat is the singlebiggest change inthe outside world,the marketplace ortechnology that hashad the greatestimpact...
Emerging Trends and            Developments• Which of the following  business or technology  trends and developments  coul...
Organisations Need to Work on     3 Horizons in Parallel1-12 Months   1-3 Years   3-10 YearsOperational   Drive for    Cre...
Growth is not Guaranteed…
…Thinking is Back in Fashion
Transformational Change?   It’s Only Just Begun
The World in 2015
Demographic Destinies 2 billion more people in 40 years –Demographics is Driving Economics         448   739 691          ...
Life Redefined –        Lifespans are IncreasingUnder 50’s have 90%chance of living to 100.Aubrey de Grey suggestswe could...
BCG’S 2011 Global Challengers and Emeriti: Origin Countries35   333025          202015             1410                   ...
Service is the ‘Killer App’
Tackling Complexity• Process• Organisation• Information /  Systems• Regulatory• Human
Think Like the Customer e.g. Open Innovation
New Business Thinkinge.g. Ultra-Quick Construction
Auctions£3088   £8791.50   £81
Access vs. Ownership
TMT – Convergence and ImmersionTelephony                                     Connectivity•   Voice                        ...
What I Want – When I Want
Rising Broadband Penetration
Grid Computing
Cybersecurity
Holographic DevicesImage source: livetradingnews.com
Next Generation Interfaces
AR at Copenhagen Airport
Haptics / Holograms / Interactive Surfaces
Intelligent Interfaces Offer Seamless Human-              Computer Interaction
Immersive Environments
Optical ComputingQuantum Computing
Intelligent Brain-Computer Interface
New Analytics and a New Knowledge Infrastructure
Emerging Trends and            Developments• Which business or  technology trends and  developments could  create the bigg...
Where are the Opportunities?
Securing the FutureWhat criticalactions can youtake to future proofyour business?
Lead or Follow?
Focus on Growth Industries
Rising Infrastructure Spending• CIBC projects up to $35  trillion in public works  by 2030 (1)• Annual spend:   – North Am...
Airport Expansion by 2020       China from ~150 to 244       India from ~100 to 150
Opening Up Education
Green Transport Revolution
Extending the Experience
The Slide@T3Changi Airport - Singapore
Virtual Grocery Shopping –    Tesco South Korea
Tablet Equipped Shopping Carts
3D Printing  $1Tn+
Make Time and Space for Change
Be Sticky and Magnetic
Create Tolerance of Uncertainty Encourage Experimentation
Broad Scans and Deep Dives
Embrace Networks and    Associations
Conclusions – Playing to Win• Think Service• Focus on Growth Markets• Be Visible
Securing the FutureWhat criticalactions can youtake to future proofyour business?
About Fast Future
Fast Future•   Research, consulting, speaking, leadership•   5-20 year horizon - focus on ideas, developments,    people, ...
Hotels 2020: Beyond       Segmentation Objectives• Identify change drivers and  key success characteristics  for the globa...
Rohit Talwar•   Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research.•   Award winning speaker on future insights and strat...
Designing Your Future      Key Trends, Challenges and Choices Facing          Association and Nonprofit Leaders• 50 key tr...
Our Services                                    Bespoke research; Identification &                                    Anal...
Example Projects•   Public and private client research e.g. :     – Convention 2020 – the Future of Business Events     – ...
Example Clients
Image SourcesPage1. http://travel.bf-1.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/taj-mahal.jpg3. http://www.wadefinancial.co.uk/wp-co...
Image Sources17. http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2292/2338002596_4c08dc0b07.jpg18. http://images.gizmag.com/gallery_lrg/ark...
Image Sources39.   http://teamaltman.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/industry-and-data.jpg      http://www.technologylodgin...
Rohit Talwar  Driving Future  Growth - Blackberry Innovation Forum - Dubai - November 16th  2011 - presentation master
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Rohit Talwar Driving Future Growth - Blackberry Innovation Forum - Dubai - November 16th 2011 - presentation master

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Rohit Talwar’s Keynote presentation to Research in Motion’s Blackberry Innovation Forum – for clients and business partners from across the Middle East.

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Rohit Talwar Driving Future Growth - Blackberry Innovation Forum - Dubai - November 16th 2011 - presentation master

  1. 1. Driving Future Growth Blackberry Innovation Forum DubaiNovember 16th 2011 Rohit TalwarCEO - Fast Future Research www.fastfuture.com rohit@fastfuture.com Twitter @fastfuture
  2. 2. Driving Future GrowthBusiness ICT New Trends Horizon Ideas and Approach
  3. 3. DiscussionWhat is the singlebiggest change inthe outside world,the marketplace ortechnology that hashad the greatestimpact on yourbusiness in the lastfive years?
  4. 4. Emerging Trends and Developments• Which of the following business or technology trends and developments could create the biggest opportunities and challenges for your business?• How might they affect you?
  5. 5. Organisations Need to Work on 3 Horizons in Parallel1-12 Months 1-3 Years 3-10 YearsOperational Drive for CreatingExcellence Growth the Future
  6. 6. Growth is not Guaranteed…
  7. 7. …Thinking is Back in Fashion
  8. 8. Transformational Change? It’s Only Just Begun
  9. 9. The World in 2015
  10. 10. Demographic Destinies 2 billion more people in 40 years –Demographics is Driving Economics 448 739 691 5231 344 1998 4157 729 1030 585 2010 2050 Source : United Nations
  11. 11. Life Redefined – Lifespans are IncreasingUnder 50’s have 90%chance of living to 100.Aubrey de Grey suggestswe could live to 500 or 1000What are the health,housing, consumption andresource implications?What kind of opportunitieswill be created?
  12. 12. BCG’S 2011 Global Challengers and Emeriti: Origin Countries35 333025 202015 1410 8 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 Source: Boston Consulting Group, January 2011
  13. 13. Service is the ‘Killer App’
  14. 14. Tackling Complexity• Process• Organisation• Information / Systems• Regulatory• Human
  15. 15. Think Like the Customer e.g. Open Innovation
  16. 16. New Business Thinkinge.g. Ultra-Quick Construction
  17. 17. Auctions£3088 £8791.50 £81
  18. 18. Access vs. Ownership
  19. 19. TMT – Convergence and ImmersionTelephony Connectivity• Voice • Cellular• Messaging • Up to 14 bands• SIM card • WLAN/BT• Phonebook • GPS• Ring Tones • NFC• Security • FMData/ MultimediaEnterprise • Camera 8-16M • Camcorder• 100Mbps • 24M Color Display• Email • Memory (160GB)• IMS • Multiformat A/V• Browsing • HD Video/TV out• VPN • Games• PIM• Ecommerce Software (50-100M Tps) • Protocols • DRM• Payments • Middleware • Applications • User Interface • Minimize fragmentation
  20. 20. What I Want – When I Want
  21. 21. Rising Broadband Penetration
  22. 22. Grid Computing
  23. 23. Cybersecurity
  24. 24. Holographic DevicesImage source: livetradingnews.com
  25. 25. Next Generation Interfaces
  26. 26. AR at Copenhagen Airport
  27. 27. Haptics / Holograms / Interactive Surfaces
  28. 28. Intelligent Interfaces Offer Seamless Human- Computer Interaction
  29. 29. Immersive Environments
  30. 30. Optical ComputingQuantum Computing
  31. 31. Intelligent Brain-Computer Interface
  32. 32. New Analytics and a New Knowledge Infrastructure
  33. 33. Emerging Trends and Developments• Which business or technology trends and developments could create the biggest opportunities and challenges for your business?• How might they affect you?
  34. 34. Where are the Opportunities?
  35. 35. Securing the FutureWhat criticalactions can youtake to future proofyour business?
  36. 36. Lead or Follow?
  37. 37. Focus on Growth Industries
  38. 38. Rising Infrastructure Spending• CIBC projects up to $35 trillion in public works by 2030 (1)• Annual spend: – North America $180Bn – Europe $205Bn – Asia $400Bn – Africa $10BnGreen Buildings - $600Bn by 2015
  39. 39. Airport Expansion by 2020 China from ~150 to 244 India from ~100 to 150
  40. 40. Opening Up Education
  41. 41. Green Transport Revolution
  42. 42. Extending the Experience
  43. 43. The Slide@T3Changi Airport - Singapore
  44. 44. Virtual Grocery Shopping – Tesco South Korea
  45. 45. Tablet Equipped Shopping Carts
  46. 46. 3D Printing $1Tn+
  47. 47. Make Time and Space for Change
  48. 48. Be Sticky and Magnetic
  49. 49. Create Tolerance of Uncertainty Encourage Experimentation
  50. 50. Broad Scans and Deep Dives
  51. 51. Embrace Networks and Associations
  52. 52. Conclusions – Playing to Win• Think Service• Focus on Growth Markets• Be Visible
  53. 53. Securing the FutureWhat criticalactions can youtake to future proofyour business?
  54. 54. About Fast Future
  55. 55. Fast Future• Research, consulting, speaking, leadership• 5-20 year horizon - focus on ideas, developments, people, trends and forces shaping the future• Clients – Industry Associations – ICCA, ASAE, PCMA, MPI – Corporates - GE, Nokia, Pepsi, IBM, Intel, Samsung, GSK, SAP, Orange, O2, E&Y, KPMG, Amadeus, Sabre, Travelport, Travelex, ING, Santander, Barclays, Citibank, DeutscheBank – Governments - Dubai, Finland, Nigeria, Singapore, UK, US – Convention Bureaus – Seoul, Sydney, London, San Francisco, Toronto, Abu Dhabi, Durban, Athens, Slovenia, Copenhagen – Convention Centres – Melbourne, Adelaide, Qatar, QEIICC – Hotels - Accor Group, Preferred, – Intercontinental – Congrex, Kenes – Aeroports de Paris / Schiphol Group
  56. 56. Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation Objectives• Identify change drivers and key success characteristics for the globally branded hotel sector over the next decade• Examine the implications for: – Hotel strategy – Brand portfolio – Business models – Customer targeting – Innovation
  57. 57. Rohit Talwar• Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research.• Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic innovation – addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on 5 continents• Author of Designing Your Future – Published 08/2008• Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10 Global Future Thinkers• Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic consultancy projects for clients in telecommunications, technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism, environment, food and government sectors• Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM, ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis, OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell, Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore.• To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email rohit@fastfuture.com
  58. 58. Designing Your Future Key Trends, Challenges and Choices Facing Association and Nonprofit Leaders• 50 key trends• 100 emerging trends• 10 major patterns of change• Key challenges and choices for leaders• Strategic decision making framework• Scenarios for 2012• Key futures tools and techniques• Published August 2008• Price £49.95 / €54.95/ $69.95• Email invoice request to rohit@fastfuture.com
  59. 59. Our Services Bespoke research; Identification & Analysis of Future Trends, Drivers & Shocks Public Speaking, In- Company Briefings, Accelerated Scenario Seminars and Planning, Timelining & Workshops Future MappingPersonal Futuring forLeaders and Leadership Expert Consultations &Teams Futures Think Tanks Identification of Design & Facilitation of Opportunities for Innovation, Incubation Innovation and Strategic & Venturing Programmes Strategy Creation & Investment Development of Implementation Roadmaps
  60. 60. Example Projects• Public and private client research e.g. : – Convention 2020 – the Future of Business Events – Future Convention Cities Initiative – Maximising Long-term Economic Impact of Events – One Step Beyond – Future trends and challenges for the events industry – Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation – Future Hotel Strategies – The Future of Travel and Tourism in the Middle East – a Vision to 2020 – Future of Travel and Tourism Investment in Saudi Arabia – Aviation and Airports e.g. Aviation 2030 – Scenario Projects – Migration 2030, Future of Narcotics, Chemical Sector, Family 2030 – Scenarios for the global economy for 2030 and the implications for migration – Designing Your Future (Published August 2008) – book written for the American Society of Association Executives & The Center for Association Leadership – Global Economies – e.g. The Future of China – the Path to 2020 – The Shape of Jobs to Come – Emerging Science and Technology Sectors and Careers – Winning in India and China• Strategic advice to industry players• Confidential advisory and coaching services to CEOs and top teams• Public speaking at public conferences and in-company events• Future thinking workshops and retreats
  61. 61. Example Clients
  62. 62. Image SourcesPage1. http://travel.bf-1.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/taj-mahal.jpg3. http://www.wadefinancial.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/5-Big-Questions.jpg4. http://oldblog.1choice4yourstore.com/uploaded_images/question2-724662.jpg5. http://www.inspiredevelopment.co.uk/_inc/images/home-r1.jpg6. Left to right - http://www.guy-sports.com/fun_pictures/truck_art_pepsis_lg.jpg – http://www.automotive-insight.net/aston-martin-cars/pics/aston%20martin.jpg – http://www.kgwings.com/hawkeye/hawkeye05.jpg7. http://www.piperreport.com/archives/Images/Medicare%20PFFS%20Plans.jpg8. http://www.einstein.yu.edu/iphs/images/think_tank.jpg9. http://creativeclass.typepad.com/thecreativityexchange/images/2007/12/01/global.jpg10. http://www.etftrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/1_fullsize.jpg – http://blog.engglib2.upd.edu.ph/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/newsweek4.jpg – http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4b3799e6-5e04-11df-8153-00144feab49a.html#axzz1LCUOTVNv – http://batonrouge.myhomecareblog.com/files/2011/07/active_seniors4.jpg – http://www.imperial-consultants.co.uk/files/biopharmaceuticals.jpg – http://www.nanotechnologyinvesting.us/images/nanotechnology-480.jpg – http://cdn.lightgalleries.net/4bd5ec0d18599/images/Cocoon_05-2.jpg – http://www.lostateminor.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vertical_farming_1.jpg – http://takemetoyourleader.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/010101.jpg11. http://www.un.org/esa/population/unpop.htm12. http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/aubrey_de_grey_says_we_can_avoid_aging.html13. http://www.bcg.com/documents/file70055.pdf14. http://www.tensator.com/blog/post/2011/01/31/London-Luton-Airport-Introduces-Two-New-Staff-Members-Holly-and- Graham.aspx15. http://freshpeel.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/Future_of_Work.jpg16. http://encefalus.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/complexity.gif 64
  63. 63. Image Sources17. http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2292/2338002596_4c08dc0b07.jpg18. http://images.gizmag.com/gallery_lrg/arkhotelchangsha.png19. www.madbid.com20. http://www.greensharecar.com.au/http://www.petervaldivia.com/technology/networks/image/internet-world.jpg19. http://howardlindzon.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/global-financial-system2.jpg21. http://images.gizmag.com/gallery_lrg/arkhotelchangsha.png22. http://www.cellphoneanswers.info/best-free-blackberry-apps/23. http://tech.mn/files/2011/03/broadband_pipe.jpg24. http://jerryfahrni.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/cloud_cartoon.jpg25. http://www.howtoarchives.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/cyber-security-defense.jpg26. http://www.livetradingnews.com/wp-content/uploads/hp_3d_laptop.jpg27. http://www.dexigner.com/news/22673 http://www.livetradingnews.com/wp-content/uploads/hp_3d_laptop.jpg http://blog.core-ed.net/derekarchives/NokiaFanPhone.jpg28. http://www.argophilia.com/news/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/copenhagen-airport-app.jpg29. http://www.tuvie.com/wp-content/uploads/your-life-in-2020-frog-design1.jpg http://www.flickr.com/photos/lukedebruijn/3991431571/ http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_LYLNQSJkOcM/TMOyFH7Hv3I/AAAAAAAAACE/ISxznCcG6gw/s1600/SkinputImg1.jpg30. http://fluid.media.mit.edu/projects.php?action=details&id=5331. http://www.futuretechnology500.com/index.php/future-virtual-reality/32. http://trendsupdates.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/molecular-transistor.jpg http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/images/quantumcomputer.jpg35. http://rdn-consulting.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2007/12/brain-chip.jpg37. http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_9SlYS77Pdxg/SeqgR0hQBMI/AAAAAAAACDk/PLTRR4KWo-o/s400/entrepreneur2.gif38. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/- EJhAZaiyA8E/TfRRHfKzDMI/AAAAAAAAAGo/JmTQLz1z0xc/s320/6a00d8341c65c453ef010536d4981b970c-800wi.jpg 65
  64. 64. Image Sources39. http://teamaltman.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/industry-and-data.jpg http://www.technologylodging.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/food-biotechnology.jpg http://picturesofcar.blogspot.com/2009/07/future-concept-car-pictures.html40. http://www.ljlindhurst.com/images/highway.jpg41. http://www.surfersvillage.com/gal/pictures/1215airplanes.jpg42. http://www.patelsmith.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/village-classroom-1.jpg43. http://solar.calfinder.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/electric-car-station.jpg http://www.topcarpictures.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/2009-brabus-tesla-roadster.jpg44. http://www.instablogsimages.com/images/2007/10/09/design-concept-of-vertical-farming_5810.jpg http://www.globalairportcities.com/images/stories/news2011/September/6dcinema.jpg45. http://www.fastcodesign.com/1662241/wheeeeeee-slides-made-for-adults-in-dire-need-of-fun-video46. http://trendshq.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/South-Korea-Virtual-Supermarket-on-Subway.jpg47. http://images.gizmag.com/gallery_lrg/smart-cart-sk-telecom-1.jpg48. http://www.psfk.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/pic-rapid-prototyping-and-jewelry.png http://www.fastcompany.com/1781551/prototype-of-worlds-first-3-d-printed-car-unveiled http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/10/on-demand-3d-printing-cut-waste-increase-efficiency.php49. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/bigphotos/images/090305-daylight-saving-time-facts-history_big.jpg50. http://www.ripleys.com/assets/img/upload/bions/magnet_man.jpg51. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_MuWNJtJ8XS4/RwrvXTT4e4I/AAAAAAAABJc/pMnDJx06ZQA/s400/DuaneMichels.Uncertainty88.jpg http://embunpagi2009.files.wordpress.com/2009/02/seedling1.jpg52. http://www.codeproject.com/KB/grid/DrawingRadarDisplayWithCS/Radar1.jpg http://www.realmscuba.com/Logos/Dive%20Course/group%20underwater.jpg53. http://www.masternewmedia.org/images/social_network_id469214_size440.jpg http://i36.tinypic.com/vrxzll.jpg54. http://www.oytun.co.uk/wp-content/themes/mimbo2/images//innovation.jpg55. http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_9SlYS77Pdxg/SeqgR0hQBMI/AAAAAAAACDk/PLTRR4KWo-o/s400/entrepreneur2.gif 66
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