The Missing Piece in Clean Local Energy

The Missing Piece Image credit Shel Silverstein of America’s Clean Local Energy Transformation John Farrell, Senior ResearcherPresentation to Biocycle Conference on Oct. 29, 2012

How Much of Missouri’s Power from Rooftop Solar? ?% Residential and Commercial roofs

How Much of Missouri’s Power from Rooftop Solar? 21% Residential and Commercial roofs

How Much Power from Local, Rooftop Solar? 23% 21% 18% 24% 19% 19% 21% 24% 21% 23% 25% 22% 15% 14% 23% 23% 20% 12% 18% 24% 51% 21% 18% 20% 26% 38%52% 41% 17% 19% 11% 24% 25% 21% 19% 28% 23% 49% 28% 19% 26% 24% 22% 20% 31% 23% 35% Potential Percent of Electricity 23% from Rooftop Solar PV 42% 0 to 10% 10 to 25% 25 to 50% 49% Residential and Commercial roofs 50 to 100%

How Much Power from Local Wind? 116% 109% 297% 780% 27,000% 28,000% 311% 3200% 543% 912% 12% 35,000% 116% 14,000% 478% 3% 5200% 14% 1% 2% 97% 14,000% 541% 223% 11% 269%52% 2900% 726% 2% 25% 9% 9700% 1500% 2% 3% 2% 95% 4100% 300% 8900% 4% 0% 2% 1% 10% 2500% Potential Percent of Electricity from Onshore Wind Power 0% 0 to 10% 0% 10 to 25% 25 to 50% 50 to 100% 0% 100 meters, 30% c.f. or better 100% or more

How Much Power from Local Renewables? 32 states - 100%+ 9 states - 50%+ Potential Percent of Electricity from Renewables 0 to 10% 10 to 25% 25 to 50% 50 to 100% 100% or more

Transformation Yesterday Tomorrow Centralized Power Clean, local power Solar PV power plant Storage Storage Transmission network Storage Storage House Local CHP plant Distribution network House with domestic CHP Wind powerFactory Commercial plant building

10¢ •prevent blackouts 5¢ •reduce pollution •create jobs 0¢ 0¢ $4/Watt •on-site/near demand •lower transmission losses -5¢ •reduce dist. system stress •hedge against fuel prices •avoided cost -10¢ -15¢ 4¢ How the utility values distributed-20¢ -20¢ Cost of solar Energy value generation Grid benefits Social benefits Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh

10¢ •prevent blackouts 5¢ •reduce pollution •create jobs 0¢ 0¢ •on-site/near demand •lower transmission losses -5¢ •reduce dist. system stress •hedge against fuel prices •avoided cost -10¢ 8.5¢ But it’s -15¢ 4¢ worth-20¢ -20¢ more Cost of solar Energy value Grid benefits Social benefits Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh

10¢ and more •prevent blackouts 5¢ •reduce pollution •create jobs 0¢ •on-site/near demand 0¢ •lower transmission losses 12.4¢ -5¢ •reduce dist. system stress •hedge against fuel prices •avoided cost -10¢ 8.5¢ -15¢ 4¢-20¢ -20¢ Cost of solar Energy value Grid benefits Social benefits Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh

It’s Real$0.15$0.12$0.09$0.06 Local capacity value$0.03 7¢ Avoided transmission access Environmental Avoided transmission losses $0 Brown energy replacement Palo Alto, CA, municipal utility Feed-In Tariff for PV in Palo Alto, Calif. Imminent: http://tinyurl.com/72sxgsb

It’s Real$0.15 }$0.12 6¢ per kWh$0.09 in addition to electricity$0.06 Local capacity value$0.03 7¢ Avoided transmission access Environmental Avoided transmission losses $0 Brown energy replacement Palo Alto, CA, municipal utility Feed-In Tariff for PV in Palo Alto, Calif. Imminent: http://tinyurl.com/72sxgsb

Jobs per Megawatt Solar PV Wind CoalNatural Gas 0 2 4 6 8 10 Construction, manufacturing, and installation Ongoing maintenance and fuel Putting Renewables to Work: How Many Jobs Can the Clean Energy Industry Create? (UC Berkeley)

Local Economic Impact Not local Up to 3.4x higher Local ownership Economic Development Impacts of Community Wind Projects: A Review and Empirical Evaluation (NREL)

Not local -44% +77% net approval LocalOwnership +33% 0 25 50 75 100 very negative negative neutral positive very positiveAttitude towards increased use of local wind energy

Jobs Clean, Local Energy Votes MoneyPhoto credits: (wind) Flickr user ali_pk, (solar, above) Ian-S, (solar, below) MN CERTS, (money) Flickr user epSos.de

Image credit Shel Silverstein

http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2010/12/02/3081889.htm

Biogas or Biomass CHPhttp://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2010/12/02/3081889.htm

What’s Missing?Renewable energy policy 17% Solar/wind electricity 10%

Current RE policy 17% Solar/wind electricity 10% Geothermal electricity Micro hydropower

Current RE policy 17% Solar/wind electricity 10% Geothermal electricity Micro hydropower Ground-source geothermal Solar heat (e.g. hot water)

Current RE policy 17% Solar/wind electricity 10% Geothermal electricity Micro hydropower Ground-source geothermal Solar heat (e.g. hot water) Biomass CHP Biogas Heat

Current RE policy 17% Solar/wind electricity 10% Geothermal electricity Micro hydropower Ground-source geothermal 100% Solar heat (e.g. hot water) 100% Biomass CHP Biogas Heat Biogas Fuel Cells Renewable NG

States with Renewable Heat Policies An Overview of Renewable Heating in the United States: Policy and Market Trends

States with Renewable Heat Policies (that offset non-electricity) An Overview of Renewable Heating in the United States: Policy and Market Trends

Biogas Policies Biogas Energy CLEAN Contracts (Feed-In Tariffs) Electricity, Heat, and CogenerationEnhanced Renewable Electricity Standards Pipeline Renewable Renewable Natural Natural Gas Gas Standards Biogas: Rethinking the Midwest’s Potential

What’s Missing?Biogas and Biomass for: Flexible electricity Renewable heat Look for success: Germany, Denmark

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The Missing Piece in Clean Local Energy

by John Farrell on Oct 31, 2012

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