Solar in Minnesota: Great Potential
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Solar in Minnesota: Great Potential

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Solar in Minnesota: Great Potential Solar in Minnesota: Great Potential Presentation Transcript

  • Solar in Minnesota:Great Promise
    John Farrell
    Institute for Local Self-Reliance
    Presentation to Solar Minnesota
    Minneapolis| April 25, 2011
  • @ the Institute for Local Self-Reliance
    Who We Are
    Community Banking
    Initiative
    Energy Self-Reliant States
  • Overview
    State of Solar in Minnesota
    Opportunities for Cost Reductions
    The Value of Solar
    Policy Matters
  • A Small but Growing Market
    Installed Capacity: 4 MW
    Installed in 2010: 1.8 MW – 45%
    Photo credit: CERTs
  • Minnesota Solar = Expensive?
    From page 19 of the brilliant report,
    Tracking the Sun III: The Installed Cost of Photovoltaics in the U.S. from 1998-2009 (large pdf).
  • Cost of Solar != Market Size
    Solar PV Costs - Does State Market Size Matter? | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/4ypjblp
  • Opportunities for Cost Reductions
    40% PRICE DROP!
    4 years
    German solar market 2006 -> 2010 grew from 2.7 GW -> 16 GW
  • Opportunities for Cost Reductions
    $4.11 per Watt!
    German solar market 2006 -> 2010 grew from 2.7 GW -> 16 GW
  • Opportunities for Cost Reductions
    $ per Watt
    $5.09
    $4.67
    $5.65
    $5.50
    $5.20
    $5.50
    $5.39
    $5.70
    $4.78
    $4.80
    Installed Cost for Residential Solar PV Group Purchase
  • Opportunities for Cost Reductions
    60% drop in PV cost
    5 years
    Solar PV Balance of System | Rocky Mountain Institute - http://tinyurl.com/3dazuo8
  • The Value of Distributed Solar
    Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
  • The Value of Distributed Solar
    Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
  • The Value of Solar
    Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
  • The Value of Solar
    Solving Solar's Variability with More Solar | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/65b5nyh
  • RPS Policies with Solar/DG Provisions
    www.dsireusa.org/ April 2011
    WA: double credit for DG
    NH: 0.3% solar- electric x 2014
    OR: 20 MW solar PV x 2020;
    double credit for PV
    MI: triple credit for solar- electric
    MA: 400 MW PV x 2020
    NY: 0.4788% customer- sited x 2015
    OH: 0.5% solar-electric x 2025
    NJ: 5,316 GWh solar- electric x 2026
    NV: 1.5% solar x 2025;
    2.4 - 2.45 multiplier for PV
    CO: 3.0% DG x 2020
    1.5% customer-sited x 2020
    IL: 1.5% PVx 2025
    PA: 0.5% PV x 2021
    WV: various multipliers
    UT: 2.4 multiplier
    for solar-electric
    DE: 3.5% PV x 2026;
    triple credit for PV
    DC
    MO: 0.3% solar-electric x 2021
    NC: 0.2% solarx 2018
    AZ: 4.5% DG x 2025
    MD: 2% PV x 2022
    DC: 0.4% solar x 2020
    NM: 4% solar-electric x 2020 0.6% DG x 2020
    TX: double credit for non-wind(non-wind goal: 500 MW)
    16 states + DC have an RPS with solar/DG provisions
    Renewable portfolio standard with solar / distributed generation (DG) provision
    Renewable portfolio goal with solar / distributed generation provision
    Solar water heating counts toward solar provision
    Policy Matters: State Laws
  • Policy Matters: State Laws
  • Policy Matters: Local Rules
    Poor Solar Permitting Rules Increase Residential Solar Prices
    by Up To 20 Percent | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5ts5b2k
  • Policy Matters: Local Rules
    Poor Solar Permitting Rules Increase Residential Solar Prices
    by Up To 20 Percent | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5ts5b2k
  • Policy Matters: Local Rules
    Assessment of Mpls-St. Paul permitting:
    Permit pricing is about 2x higher than ideal… ~$500 in Minneapolis and ~$800 in St Paul…Minneapolis has a terrific submittal guidelines …St. Paul does not.
    [Minneapolis] clearly states their expectations: I.E what you need to submit to succeed and obtain a permit.
  • Policy Matters
    Ontario's Buy Local Renewable Energy Policy: An Update | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3o4th8d
  • Policy Matters
    Solar Could Save Minnesota Schools Millions | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5sv8ond
  • Summary
    Minnesota’s small market has high costs
    Promising cost reduction potential
    Policy needed
    State standard
    CLEAN Contract (feed-in tariff)
    Local permitting
    Solar is Contagious | Energy Self-Reliant States- http://tinyurl.com/444c2og
  • Solar is Contagious
    1%
    Solar is Contagious | Energy Self-Reliant States- http://tinyurl.com/444c2og
  • Thank you!
    John Farrell
    energyselfreliantstates.org
    jfarrell@ilsr.org
    http://twitter.com/johnffarrell