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Solar in Minnesota: Great Potential
 

Solar in Minnesota: Great Potential

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    Solar in Minnesota: Great Potential Solar in Minnesota: Great Potential Presentation Transcript

    • Solar in Minnesota:Great Promise
      John Farrell
      Institute for Local Self-Reliance
      Presentation to Solar Minnesota
      Minneapolis| April 25, 2011
    • @ the Institute for Local Self-Reliance
      Who We Are
      Community Banking
      Initiative
      Energy Self-Reliant States
    • Overview
      State of Solar in Minnesota
      Opportunities for Cost Reductions
      The Value of Solar
      Policy Matters
    • A Small but Growing Market
      Installed Capacity: 4 MW
      Installed in 2010: 1.8 MW – 45%
      Photo credit: CERTs
    • Minnesota Solar = Expensive?
      From page 19 of the brilliant report,
      Tracking the Sun III: The Installed Cost of Photovoltaics in the U.S. from 1998-2009 (large pdf).
    • Cost of Solar != Market Size
      Solar PV Costs - Does State Market Size Matter? | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/4ypjblp
    • Opportunities for Cost Reductions
      40% PRICE DROP!
      4 years
      German solar market 2006 -> 2010 grew from 2.7 GW -> 16 GW
    • Opportunities for Cost Reductions
      $4.11 per Watt!
      German solar market 2006 -> 2010 grew from 2.7 GW -> 16 GW
    • Opportunities for Cost Reductions
      $ per Watt
      $5.09
      $4.67
      $5.65
      $5.50
      $5.20
      $5.50
      $5.39
      $5.70
      $4.78
      $4.80
      Installed Cost for Residential Solar PV Group Purchase
    • Opportunities for Cost Reductions
      60% drop in PV cost
      5 years
      Solar PV Balance of System | Rocky Mountain Institute - http://tinyurl.com/3dazuo8
    • The Value of Distributed Solar
      Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
    • The Value of Distributed Solar
      Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
    • The Value of Solar
      Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
    • The Value of Solar
      Solving Solar's Variability with More Solar | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/65b5nyh
    • RPS Policies with Solar/DG Provisions
      www.dsireusa.org/ April 2011
      WA: double credit for DG
      NH: 0.3% solar- electric x 2014
      OR: 20 MW solar PV x 2020;
      double credit for PV
      MI: triple credit for solar- electric
      MA: 400 MW PV x 2020
      NY: 0.4788% customer- sited x 2015
      OH: 0.5% solar-electric x 2025
      NJ: 5,316 GWh solar- electric x 2026
      NV: 1.5% solar x 2025;
      2.4 - 2.45 multiplier for PV
      CO: 3.0% DG x 2020
      1.5% customer-sited x 2020
      IL: 1.5% PVx 2025
      PA: 0.5% PV x 2021
      WV: various multipliers
      UT: 2.4 multiplier
      for solar-electric
      DE: 3.5% PV x 2026;
      triple credit for PV
      DC
      MO: 0.3% solar-electric x 2021
      NC: 0.2% solarx 2018
      AZ: 4.5% DG x 2025
      MD: 2% PV x 2022
      DC: 0.4% solar x 2020
      NM: 4% solar-electric x 2020 0.6% DG x 2020
      TX: double credit for non-wind(non-wind goal: 500 MW)
      16 states + DC have an RPS with solar/DG provisions
      Renewable portfolio standard with solar / distributed generation (DG) provision
      Renewable portfolio goal with solar / distributed generation provision
      Solar water heating counts toward solar provision
      Policy Matters: State Laws
    • Policy Matters: State Laws
    • Policy Matters: Local Rules
      Poor Solar Permitting Rules Increase Residential Solar Prices
      by Up To 20 Percent | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5ts5b2k
    • Policy Matters: Local Rules
      Poor Solar Permitting Rules Increase Residential Solar Prices
      by Up To 20 Percent | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5ts5b2k
    • Policy Matters: Local Rules
      Assessment of Mpls-St. Paul permitting:
      Permit pricing is about 2x higher than ideal… ~$500 in Minneapolis and ~$800 in St Paul…Minneapolis has a terrific submittal guidelines …St. Paul does not.
      [Minneapolis] clearly states their expectations: I.E what you need to submit to succeed and obtain a permit.
    • Policy Matters
      Ontario's Buy Local Renewable Energy Policy: An Update | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3o4th8d
    • Policy Matters
      Solar Could Save Minnesota Schools Millions | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5sv8ond
    • Summary
      Minnesota’s small market has high costs
      Promising cost reduction potential
      Policy needed
      State standard
      CLEAN Contract (feed-in tariff)
      Local permitting
      Solar is Contagious | Energy Self-Reliant States- http://tinyurl.com/444c2og
    • Solar is Contagious
      1%
      Solar is Contagious | Energy Self-Reliant States- http://tinyurl.com/444c2og
    • Thank you!
      John Farrell
      energyselfreliantstates.org
      jfarrell@ilsr.org
      http://twitter.com/johnffarrell