Is Your Utility Ready for a Solar Rooftop Revolution?

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A summary of ILSR's reports on the local solar opportunity as unsubsidized solar becomes competitive with retail electricity prices in nearly every state.

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Is Your Utility Ready for a Solar Rooftop Revolution?

  1. 1. Is Your Utility Ready?New Report Says Local Solar CouldPower 10% of Country in 10 Years John Farrell, Senior Researcher
  2. 2. We Need to Get Ready for a Solar Rooftop Revolution Solar Power is Growing Incredibly Fast ...And the Price is Dropping Rapidly5,000 30¢ 25¢ So la3,750 re le c 20¢ tr installed ic i ty megawatts2,500 15¢ y G r id e le c t r ic i t 10¢1,250 5¢ 0 0¢ 1995 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
  3. 3. Right now... solar power supplies just 0.1% of our electricity 2012 4,400 MW
  4. 4. If the trend continues... unsubsidized solar power could(Within supply 10% of our electricity,10 years) at lower prices. 2022 300,000 MW
  5. 5. (Within10 years)Solar Could Power Millions of Homes and Businesses ...at a lower price than electricity from the utility 38 million LOW PRICE GUARANTEE 21 million 3 million 2012 2017 2022
  6. 6. In a decade, solar becomes competitive inalmost every state
  7. 7. Distributed Solar Potential at Parity with Utility Prices (megawatts of residential and commercial solar) 2012 3,5001,200 Percent of Sales 56 1-5% 5-10% 500 10% or more
  8. 8. Distributed Solar Potential at Parity with Utility Prices (megawatts of residential and commercial solar) 360 1140 1200 2022 700 20 580 2600 4400 1100 7200 4000 970 12,000 800 11,000 780 2900 11,000 72001800 2400 2300 5500 10,000 5100 140026,000 4800 11,000 990 19008200 4100 6800 3600 12,000 11,000 7300 5000 2800 1800 7000 5100 8500 16,000 7100 32,000 Percent of Sales 590 1-5% 30,000 5-10% 750 10% or more
  9. 9. U.S. Year Residential Commercial 2012 14,800 5,500Solar 2013 20,500 13,200Parity 2014 2015 33,200 52,400 23,100 27,300Potential 2016 75,000 33,000 2017 107,000 41,000 2018 130,000 53,700 2019 152,000 63,700 2020 175,000 80,800 2021 182,000 106,000Installed today: 4,000 MW 2022 190,000 122,000 Megawatts
  10. 10. Year Residential Commercial Solar Parity Potential 10% of U.S. electricity sales Installed today:0.1% of electricity sales 2022 190,000 122,000 Megawatts
  11. 11. How will we get there? www.ilsr.org/roofop-revolution/

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