Hawaiian Sunblock: Solar Facing Unexpected Barriers Despite Low Cost
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Hawaiian Sunblock: Solar Facing Unexpected Barriers Despite Low Cost

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A presentation outlining the unexpected barriers to solar power despite its low cost in Hawaii; based on the report of the same name by ILSR Senior Researcher John Farrell.

A presentation outlining the unexpected barriers to solar power despite its low cost in Hawaii; based on the report of the same name by ILSR Senior Researcher John Farrell.

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Hawaiian Sunblock: Solar Facing Unexpected Barriers Despite Low Cost Hawaiian Sunblock: Solar Facing Unexpected Barriers Despite Low Cost Presentation Transcript

  • Hawaiian Sunblock Solar Facing Unexpected Barriers Despite Low Cost ILSR Senior Researcher John FarrellDownload the full report: http://bit.ly/HawaiiSunblock
  • 100 mil. Hawaii’s Just the Start 94.7 mil. 70 GW 81.1 mil. 61 75 mil. GW U.S. population at grid parity 51 Residential solar potential at parity (GW) 59.8 mil. 51.4 mil. 50 mil. 45.1 mil. 35 GW 35 29 25 25 mil. 22 mil. 22 mil. 12 12 3.1 mil. 3.1 mil. 0 mil. 0 mil. 0 mil. 0 GW 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 San Diego, New York, So. Cal, Southwest, East Coast, Midwest
  • Hawaii’s Solar Crossover in 2010...$0.50$0.40$0.30 $ per kWh$0.20$0.10 $0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Avg. Residential Electricity Price Levelized Cost of Solar Power
  • ...Driven by Oil Prices40¢ $110 Electricity Fuel Source30¢ $83 Oil 83%20¢ $5510¢ $28 0¢ $0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Avg. Residential Price (¢/kWh) Oil Price ($ per barrel)
  • Strong Solar Growth150 145 MW12090 85 MW60 45 MW30 26 MW 14 MW 5 MW 0 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 proj. Hawaii Installed Solar Capacity
  • Fast Payback Hawaii Residential Solar108 8.9 years6 6.2 years4 3.1 years20 No incentives Fed. tax credit only Fed. & state credits
  • Fast Payback Hawaii Commercial Solar108 7.6 years64 3 years20 0.8 years No incentives Fed. tax credit only Fed. & state credits
  • “It’s not like the gates of heaven open up when solar becomes cheaper” Isaac Moriwake, Earthjustice
  • UNEXPECTED BARRIER $3,500 Electric Upgrade 1 in 4
  • UNEXPECTED BARRIER unsuitable roofs* 3 in 4 *due to shading, orientation, renting, etc
  • UNEXPECTED BARRIER $40,000 Interconnection Study 9 of 10
  • UNEXPECTED BARRIER Permit Overload40-50% of building permits in Honolulu
  • UNEXPECTED BARRIER “15% Rule”
  • A Start to Solutions80 MW CLEAN ProgramLifting the 15% Rule CapReducing State Incentives
  • A Start to Solutions Contract price 80 MW CLEANSystem size or location (per kWh) (Feed-In Tariff) Program < 20 kW $0.218 20 to 500 kW $0.189 20-year, fixed price contracts 500 kW to 5 MW $0.197
  • A Start to Solutions
  • A Start to Solutions40% 35% 35% 30%30% 25% 25% 20% Proposed State Tax20% Credit Changes 20% 20%10%0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 Homestead Other small solar
  • 100 mil. Hawaii’s Just the Start 94.7 mil. 70 GW 81.1 mil. 61 75 mil. GW U.S. population at grid parity 51 Residential solar potential at parity (GW) 59.8 mil. 51.4 mil. 50 mil. 45.1 mil. 35 GW 35 29 25 25 mil. 22 mil. 22 mil. 12 12 3.1 mil. 3.1 mil. 0 mil. 0 mil. 0 mil. 0 GW 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 San Diego, New York, So. Cal, Southwest, East Coast, Midwest
  • Download the full reporthttp://bit.ly/HawaiiSunblock