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Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
Fa Report Test Sens
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Fa Report Test Sens

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Sensitivity Analysis of the Project

Sensitivity Analysis of the Project

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  • 1. Decrease in Sales Volume (20%) Product Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Zest Cola 240,000,000 304,000,000 800,000,000 1,360,000,000 2,160,000,000 Zest White 180,000,000 228,000,000 600,000,000 1,020,000,000 1,620,000,000 Zest Orange 180,000,000 228,000,000 600,000,000 1,020,000,000 1,620,000,000 Zest Appachino 180,000,000 228,000,000 600,000,000 1,020,000,000 1,620,000,000 Zest Lem 120,000,000 152,000,000 400,000,000 680,000,000 1,080,000,000 Zest Ice 180,000,000 228,000,000 600,000,000 1,020,000,000 1,620,000,000 Zest Fruitpunch 120,000,000 152,000,000 400,000,000 680,000,000 1,080,000,000 Zest Minwa 100,000,000 104,000,000 340,000,000 440,000,000 800,000,000 Zest Voltage 13,600,000 18,400,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 TOTAL 1,313,600,000 1,642,400,000 4,380,000,000 7,300,000,000 11,680,000,000
  • 2. Individual Revenue Generation
  • 3. Individual Production in Units (Bottles) Product Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Zest Cola 9,600,000 12,160,000 32,000,000 54,400,000 86,400,000 Zest White 7,200,000 9,120,000 24,000,000 40,800,000 64,800,000 Zest Orange 7,200,000 9,120,000 24,000,000 40,800,000 64,800,000 Zest Appachino 7,200,000 9,120,000 24,000,000 40,800,000 64,800,000 Zest Lem 4,800,000 6,080,000 16,000,000 27,200,000 43,200,000 Zest Ice 7,200,000 9,120,000 24,000,000 40,800,000 64,800,000 Zest Fruitpunch 4,800,000 6,080,000 16,000,000 27,200,000 43,200,000 Zest Minwa 3,921,569 4,078,431 13,333,334 17,254,902 31,372,549 Zest Voltage 151,111 204,445 444,445 666,666 888,889 TOTAL 52,072,680 65,082,876 173,777,778 289,921,568 464,261,438
  • 4. Individual Cost of Selling Year 1 Cost Zest Cola Zest White Zest Orange Zest Appachino Zest Lem Zest Ice Zest Fruitpunch Zest Minwa Zest Voltage Total Raw Material Cost* 197,516,800 148,137,600 148,137,600 148,137,600 98,758,400 148,137,600 98,758,400 102,117,647 16,659,200 Total Labour Cost** 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 Factory Overheads*** 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,783,000 2,434,150 Cost of Goods Manufacture d 202,498,838 153,119,638 153,119,638 153,119,638 103,740,438 153,119,638 103,740,438 107,448,535 21,641,238 Finished Goods (Opening) 30,862,000 15,431,000 15,431,000 15,431,000 30,862,000 15,431,000 30,862,000 21,274,510 5,553,067 Finished Goods (Ending) (43,206,800) (15,431,000) (15,431,000) (15,431,000) (37,034,400) (24,689,600) (37,034,400) (38,294,118) (10,412,000) Total Cost of Goods Sold 190,154,038 153,119,638 153,119,638 153,119,638 97,568,038 143,861,038 97,568,038 90,428,927 16,782,305
  • 5. Individual Cost of Selling Year 2 Cost Zest Cola Zest White Zest Orange Zest Appachino Zest Lem Zest Ice Zest Fruitpunch Zest Minwa Zest Voltage Total Raw Material Cost* 172,827,200 123,448,000 123,448,000 123,448,000 98,758,400 123,448,000 98,758,400 102,117,647 13,882,666 Total Labour Cost** 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 Factory Overheads*** 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,543,000 2,511,000 Cost of Goods Manufacture d 176,750,200 127,371,000 127,371,000 127,371,000 102,681,400 127,371,000 102,681,400 106,072,647 17,805,666 Finished Goods (Opening) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Finished Goods (Ending) (30,862,000) (15,431,000) (15,431,000) (15,431,000) (30,862,000) (15,431,000) (30,862,000) (21,274,510) (5,553,067) Total Cost of Goods Sold 145,888,200 111,940,000 111,940,000 111,940,000 71,819,400 111,940,000 71,819,400 84,798,137 12,252,599
  • 6. Individual Cost of Selling Year 3 Cost Zest Cola Zest White Zest Orange Zest Appachino Zest Lem Zest Ice Zest Fruitpunch Zest Minwa Zest Voltage Total Raw Material Cost* 469,102,400 360,468,160 360,468,160 360,468,160 271,585,600 360,468,160 271,585,600 272,313,726 22,212,266 Total Labour Cost** 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 Factory Overheads*** 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,735,000 2,372,670 Cost of Goods Manufacture d 474,022,958 365,388,718 365,388,718 365,388,718 276,506,158 365,388,718 276,506,158 277,596,614 27,132,824 Finished Goods (Opening) 30,862,000 15,431,000 15,431,000 15,431,000 37,034,400 24,689,600 37,034,400 38,294,118 10,412,000 Finished Goods (Ending) (43,206,800) (3,086,200) (3,086,200) (3,086,200) (6,172,400) (3,086,200) (6,172,400) (1,234,480) (3,470,667) Total Cost of Goods Sold 461,678,158 377,733,518 377,733,518 377,733,518 307,368,158 386,992,118 307,368,158 314,656,252 34,074,157
  • 7. Individual Cost of Selling Year 4 Cost Zest Cola Zest White Zest Orange Zest Appachino Zest Lem Zest Ice Zest Fruitpunch Zest Minwa Zest Voltage Total Raw Material Cost* 864,136,000 617,240,000 617,240,000 617,240,000 444,412,800 617,240,000 444,412,800 391,450,980 41,648,000 Total Labour Cost** 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 Factory Overheads*** 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,696,000 2,323,491 Cost of Goods Manufacture d 869,007,379 622,111,379 622,111,379 622,111,379 449,284,179 622,111,379 449,284,179 396,694,868 46,519,379 Finished Goods (Opening) 12,344,800 3,086,200 3,086,200 3,086,200 6,172,400 3,086,200 6,172,400 1,234,480 3,470,667 Finished Goods (Ending) (43,206,800) (1,543,100) (1,543,100) (1,543,100) (37,034,400) (1,543,100) (37,034,400) (3,394,820) (20,824,000) Total Cost of Goods Sold 838,145,379 623,654,479 623,654,479 623,654,479 418,422,179 623,654,479 418,422,179 394,534,528 29,166,046
  • 8. Individual Cost of Selling Year 5 Cost Zest Cola Zest White Zest Orange Zest Appachino Zest Lem Zest Ice Zest Fruitpunch Zest Minwa Zest Voltage Total Raw Material Cost* 1,357,928,000 987,584,000 987,584,000 987,584,000 641,929,600 987,584,000 641,929,600 646,745,098 49,977,600 Total Labour Cost** 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 1,412,000 Factory Overheads** * 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,696,000 2,323,491 Cost of Goods Manufacture d 1,362,799,379 992,455,379 992,455,379 992,455,379 646,800,979 992,455,379 646,800,979 651,988,986 54,848,979 Finished Goods (Opening) 43,206,800 1,543,100 1,543,100 1,543,100 37,034,400 1,543,100 37,034,400 3,394,820 20,824,000 Finished Goods (Ending) (74,068,800) 0 0 0 (6,172,400) 0 (6,172,400) (308,620) (13,882,667)
  • 9. Total Cost of Goods Sold 1,331,937,379 993,998,479 993,998,479 993,998,479 677,662,979 993,998,479 677,662,979 655,075,186 61,790,312
  • 10. Increase in Cost of Labour (25%) Individual Cost of Selling Year 1 Cost Zest Cola Zest White Zest Orange Zest Appachino Zest Lem Zest Ice Zest Fruitpunch Zest Minwa Zest Voltage Total Raw Material Cost* 216,034,000 154,310,000 154,310,000 154,310,000 123,448,000 154,310,000 123,448,000 127,647,059 17,353,333 Total Labour Cost** 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 Factory Overheads*** 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,511,000 2,543,000 2,511,000 Cost of Goods Manufacture d 220,310,000 158,586,000 158,586,000 158,586,000 127,724,000 158,586,000 127,724,000 131,955,059 21,629,333 Finished Goods (Opening) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Finished Goods (Ending) (30,862,000 ) (15,431,000 ) (15,431,000 ) (15,431,000) (30,862,000 ) (15,431,000 ) (30,862,000) (21,274,510 ) (5,553,067) Total Cost of Goods Sold 189,448,000 143,155,000 143,155,000 143,155,000 96,862,000 143,155,000 96,862,000 110,680,549 16,076,266
  • 11. Individual Cost of Selling Year 2 Cost Zest Cola Zest White Zest Orange Zest Appachino Zest Lem Zest Ice Zest Fruitpunch Zest Minwa Zest Voltage Total Raw Material Cost* 246,896,000 185,172,000 185,172,000 185,172,000 123,448,000 185,172,000 123,448,000 127,647,059 20,824,000 Total Labour Cost** 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 Factory Overheads*** 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,434,150 2,783,000 2,434,150 Cost of Goods Manufacture d 251,095,150 189,371,150 189,371,150 189,371,150 127,647,150 189,371,150 127,647,150 132,195,059 25,023,150 Finished Goods (Opening) 30,862,000 15,431,000 15,431,000 15,431,000 30,862,000 15,431,000 30,862,000 21,274,510 5,553,067 Finished Goods (Ending) (43,206,800) (15,431,000 ) (15,431,000 ) (15,431,000) (37,034,400 ) (24,689,600 ) (37,034,400) (38,294,118 ) (10,412,000) Total Cost of Goods Sold 238,750,350 189,371,150 189,371,150 189,371,150 121,474,750 180,112,550 121,474,750 115,175,451 20,164,217
  • 12. Individual Cost of Selling Year 3 Cost Zest Cola Zest White Zest Orange Zest Appachino Zest Lem Zest Ice Zest Fruitpunch Zest Minwa Zest Voltage Total Raw Material Cost* 586,378,000 450,585,20 0 450,585,200 450,585,200 339,482,00 0 450,585,20 0 339,482,000 340,392,15 7 27,765,333 Total Labour Cost** 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 Factory Overheads*** 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,372,670 2,735,000 2,372,670 Cost of Goods Manufacture d 590,515,670 454,722,87 0 454,722,870 454,722,870 343,619,67 0 454,722,87 0 343,619,670 344,892,15 7 31,903,003 Finished Goods (Opening) 30,862,000 15,431,000 15,431,000 15,431,000 37,034,400 24,689,600 37,034,400 38,294,118 10,412,000 Finished Goods (Ending) (43,206,800) (3,086,200) (3,086,200) (3,086,200) (6,172,400) (3,086,200) (6,172,400) (1,234,480) (3,470,667) Total Cost of Goods Sold 578,170,870 467,067,67 0 467,067,670 467,067,670 374,481,67 0 476,326,27 0 374,481,670 381,951,79 5 38,844,336
  • 13. Individual Cost of Selling Year 4 Cost Zest Cola Zest White Zest Orange Zest Appachino Zest Lem Zest Ice Zest Fruitpunch Zest Minwa Zest Voltage Total Raw Material Cost* 1,080,170,000 771,550,000 771,550,000 771,550,000 555,516,000 771,550,000 555,516,000 489,313,725 52,060,000 Total Labour Cost** 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 Factory Overheads*** 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,696,000 2,323,491 Cost of Goods Manufacture d 1,084,258,491 775,638,491 775,638,491 775,638,491 559,604,491 775,638,491 559,604,491 493,774,725 56,148,491 Finished Goods (Opening) 12,344,800 3,086,200 3,086,200 3,086,200 6,172,400 3,086,200 6,172,400 1,234,480 3,470,667 Finished Goods (Ending) (43,206,800) (1,543,100) (1,543,100) (1,543,100) (37,034,400 ) (1,543,100) (37,034,400) (3,394,820) (20,824,000) Total Cost of Goods Sold 1,053,396,491 777,181,591 777,181,591 777,181,591 528,742,491 777,181,591 528,742,491 491,614,385 38,795,158
  • 14. Individual Cost of Selling Year 5 Cost Zest Cola Zest White Zest Orange Zest Appachino Zest Lem Zest Ice Zest Fruitpunch Zest Minwa Zest Voltage Total Raw Material Cost* 1,697,410,000 1,234,480,000 1,234,480,000 1,234,480,000 802,412,000 1,234,480,000 802,412,000 808,431,373 62,472,000 Total Labour Cost** 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 1,765,000 Factory Overheads** * 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,323,491 2,696,000 2,323,491 Cost of Goods Manufacture d 1,701,498,491 1,238,568,491 1,238,568,491 1,238,568,491 806,500,491 1,238,568,491 806,500,491 812,892,373 66,560,491 Finished Goods (Opening) 43,206,800 1,543,100 1,543,100 1,543,100 37,034,400 1,543,100 37,034,400 3,394,820 20,824,000 Finished Goods (Ending) (74,068,800) 0 0 0 (6,172,400) 0 (6,172,400) (308,620) (13,882,667)
  • 15. Total Cost of Goods Sold 1,670,636,491 1,240,111,591 1,240,111,591 1,240,111,591 837,362,491 1,240,111,591 837,362,491 815,978,573 73,501,824 Presented Value of Inflows Year Cash Inflows PV Cash Inflows 1 345,196,305 277,061,372.32 2 424,125,652 273,221,093.77 3 1,292,817,698 668,446,750.92 4 2,426,952,215 1,007,164,932.42 5 4,320,297,180 1,439,006,762.48 Total 3,664,900,912 Net Present Value = PV of Inflows - PV of Outflows 3,489,900,912 IRR = 175,000,000 = 345,196,305 + 424,125,652 + 1,292,817,698 + 2,426,952,215 + 4,320,297,180 (1 + i) (1+i)2 (1+i)3 (1+i)4 (1+i)5 IRR = 263.16%
  • 16. Pay Back Period 175,000,000 0.51 345,196,305 (170,196,305) 424,125,652 (594,321,957) 1,292,817,698 (1,887,139,655) 2,426,952,215 (4,314,091,870) 4,320,297,180 (8,634,389,050) Discounted Pay Back Period 0.63 345,196,305 277,061,372.32 (102,061,372.32) 424,125,652 273,221,093.77 (375,282,466.08) 1,292,817,698 668,446,750.92 (1,043,729,217.00) 2,426,952,215 1,007,164,932.42 (2,050,894,149.43) 4,320,297,180 1,439,006,762.48 (3,489,900,911.91) Pay Back Period (175,000,000) 345,196,305 424,125,652 1,292,817,698 2,426,952,215 4,320,297,180 = Years Before full Recovery + Unrecovered amount of Beginning of the Year Cash Flow of the Year = 0.507 Years Discounted Pay Back Period (175,000,000) 277,061,372 273,221,094 668,446,751 1,007,164,932 1,439,006,762 = Years Before full Recovery + Unrecovered amount of Beginning of the Year Cash Flow of the Year
  • 17. = 0.632 Years
  • 18. Presented Value of Inflows Year Cash Inflows PV Cash Inflows 1 342,686,475 275,046,933.19 2 437,006,280 281,518,774.54 3 1,291,069,739 667,542,974.99 4 2,432,518,549 1,009,474,914.62 5 4,325,863,513 1,440,860,799.48 Total 3,674,444,397 Net Present Value = PV of Inflows - PV of Outflows 3,499,444,397 IRR = 175,000,000 = 342,686,475 + 437,006,280 + 1,291,069,739 + 2,432,518,549 + 4,325,863,513 (1 + i) (1+i)2 (1+i)3 (1+i)4 (1+i)5 IRR = 263.47%
  • 19. Pay Back Period 175,000,000 0.51 342,686,475 (167,686,475) 437,006,280 (604,692,755) 1,291,069,739 (1,895,762,494) 2,432,518,549 (4,328,281,043) 4,325,863,513 (8,654,144,556) Discounted Pay Back Period 0.64 342,686,475 275,046,933.19 (100,046,933.19) 437,006,280 281,518,774.54 (381,565,707.73) 1,291,069,739 667,542,974.99 (1,049,108,682.73) 2,432,518,549 1,009,474,914.62 (2,058,583,597.35) 4,325,863,513 1,440,860,799.48 (3,499,444,396.83) Pay Back Period (175,000,000) 342,686,475 437,006,280 1,291,069,739 2,432,518,549 4,325,863,513 = Years Before full Recovery + Unrecovered amount of Beginning of the Year Cash Flow of the Year = 0.511 Years Discounted Pay Back Period (175,000,000) 275,046,933 281,518,775 667,542,975 1,009,474,915 1,440,860,799 = Years Before full Recovery + Unrecovered amount of Beginning of the Year Cash Flow of the Year
  • 20. = 0.636 Years
  • 21. Presented Value of Inflows Year Cash Inflows PV Cash Inflows 1 377,403,119 302,911,197.35 2 492,979,728 317,576,783.80 3 1,455,223,777 752,418,231.20 4 2,741,216,811 1,137,582,119.31 5 4,824,734,690 1,607,025,062.59 Total 4,117,513,394 Net Present Value = PV of Inflows - PV of Outflows 3,942,513,394 IRR = 175,000,000 = 377,403,119 + 492,979,728 + 1,455,223,777 + 2,741,216,811 + 4,824,734,690 (1 + i) (1+i)2 (1+i)3 (1+i)4 (1+i)5 IRR = 284.96%
  • 22. Pay Back Period 175,000,000 0.46 377,403,119 (202,403,119) 492,979,728 (695,382,847) 1,455,223,777 (2,150,606,624) 2,741,216,811 (4,891,823,435) 4,824,734,690 (9,716,558,125) Discounted Pay Back Period 0.58 377,403,119 302,911,197.35 (127,911,197.35) 492,979,728 317,576,783.80 (445,487,981.15) 1,455,223,777 752,418,231.20 (1,197,906,212.35) 2,741,216,811 1,137,582,119.31 (2,335,488,331.66) 4,824,734,690 1,607,025,062.59 (3,942,513,394.25) Pay Back Period (175,000,000) 377,403,119 492,979,728 1,455,223,777 2,741,216,811 4,824,734,690 = Years Before full Recovery + Unrecovered amount of Beginning of the Year Cash Flow of the Year = 0.464 Years Discounted Pay Back Period (175,000,000) 302,911,197 317,576,784 752,418,231 1,137,582,119 1,607,025,063 = Years Before full Recovery + Unrecovered amount of Beginning of the Year Cash Flow of the Year
  • 23. = 0.578 Years
  • 24. Pay Back Period 175,000,000 0.51 342,686,475 (167,686,475) 437,006,280 (604,692,755) 1,291,069,739 (1,895,762,494) 2,432,518,549 (4,328,281,043) 4,325,863,513 (8,654,144,556) Discounted Pay Back Period 0.64 342,686,475 275,046,933.47 (100,046,933.47) 437,006,280 281,518,774.54 (381,565,708.02) 1,291,069,739 667,542,974.99 (1,049,108,683.01) 2,432,518,549 1,009,474,914.62 (2,058,583,597.63) 4,325,863,513 1,440,860,799.48 (3,499,444,397.11) Pay Back Period (175,000,000) 342,686,475 437,006,280 1,291,069,739 2,432,518,549 4,325,863,513 = Years Before full Recovery + Unrecovered amount of Beginning of the Year Cash Flow of the Year = 0.511 Years Discounted Pay Back Period (175,000,000) 275,046,933 281,518,775 667,542,975 1,009,474,915 1,440,860,799 = Years Before full Recovery + Unrecovered amount of Beginning of the Year Cash Flow of the Year
  • 25. = 0.636 Years Presented Value of Inflows Year Cash Inflows PV Cash Inflows 1 327,881,688 263,164,318.83 2 421,434,384 271,487,382.79 3 1,279,786,663 661,709,101.14 4 2,369,897,025 983,487,504.32 5 3,844,581,771 1,280,555,234.19 Total 3,460,403,541 Net Present Value = PV of Inflows - PV of Outflows 3,285,403,541 IRR = 175,000,000 = 327,881,688 + 421,434,384 + 1,279,786,663 + 2,369,897,025 + 3,844,581,771 (1 + i) (1+i)2 (1+i)3 (1+i)4 (1+i)5 IRR = 256.21%
  • 26. Pay Back Period 175,000,000 0.53 327,881,688 (152,881,688) 421,434,384 (574,316,072) 1,279,786,663 (1,854,102,735) 2,369,897,025 (4,223,999,760) 3,844,581,771 (8,068,581,531) Discounted Pay Back Period 0.66 327,881,688 263,164,318.83 (88,164,318.83) 421,434,384 271,487,382.79 (359,651,701.63) 1,279,786,663 661,709,101.14 (1,021,360,802.77) 2,369,897,025 983,487,504.32 (2,004,848,307.09) 3,844,581,771 1,280,555,234.19 (3,285,403,541.28) Pay Back Period (175,000,000) 327,881,688 421,434,384 1,279,786,663 2,369,897,025 3,844,581,771 = Years Before full Recovery + Unrecovered amount of Beginning of the Year Cash Flow of the Year = 0.534 Years Discounted Pay Back Period (175,000,000) 263,164,319 271,487,383 661,709,101 983,487,504 1,280,555,234 = Years Before full Recovery + Unrecovered amount of Beginning of the Year Cash Flow of the Year
  • 27. = 0.665 Years

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