YO U R V I S I O N , O U R F U T U R EG EORGE WASHINGTON R EGION S CENARIO P LANNING S T U DY G ENERAL O VERVIEW P R E S E N TAT I O N
Project Background Study AreaBuilding on the LRTP: “The combination of inadequate revenue for transportation improvements & local land use policies that promote decentralized growth are threatening the sustainability of our region ” region.”Region at a Cross-Roads: • Rapid & decentralized growth • Significant land available for development • Regional vs. local interests • Inadequate revenue to meet stated needs
Yo u r V i s i o n , O u r F u t u r eWhat’s the big idea? The study provide residents, business leaders, & elected officials throughout the George Washington Region with the opportunity to explore and debate regional growth visions, their trade-offs, and alternative futures.End Game:E dG The scenario planning study will be a useful resource as local governments update their adopted plans and ordinances. It will also be one input for developing FAMPO’s next Long Rang Transportation Plan.
Who is Involved?Local Jurisdictions State & Federal Government • Caroline County • Virginia Department of Transportation • King George County • Virginia Dept. of Rail & Public Transportation • Stafford County • Virginia National Defense Industrial Authority • Spotsylvania County • National Park Service • City of Fredericksburg • Individual Military Installations in the Region y g • Town of Bowling Green • Town of Port Royal Special Interests • Committee of 500Regional Agencies & Institutions • Fredericksburg Ch b of C F d i k b Chamber f Commerce • Fredericksburg Regional Alliance • Caroline County Chamber of Commerce • Mary Washington University • Military Affairs Council • Military Affairs Council y • Fredericksburg Green Drinks • FAMPO • Friends of the Rappahannock • GWRC • Fredericksburg Clean and Green Commission • Tri-County Soil & Water Conservation District • Stafford County Historical Commission • Hanover Caroline Hanover-Caroline Soil & Water Conservation District • Spotsylvania First Impressions Commission • Central Virginia Housing Coalition • Local Business Leaders • Local Development Interests • Stafford Regional Airport
Scenario Planning Overview Study AreaRole in the Project: • Scenario planning provides a forum, process, S i l i id f set of tools, and measurable outcomes so the region might contemplate alternative growth futures. • Allows stakeholders the opportunity to measure results and evaluate the trade-offs associated with competing scenarios scenarios.Beyond the Project: • Scenario planning tools are being developed for each jurisdiction in the region. • Becomes a resource / tool for local government planning initiatives.
Partnerships for Developing Scenarios Study AreaGeneral Approach: • It was important that the scenarios reflect the region’s rich history, environmental assets, military presence, and geography within the super region between Washington, D.C. and Richmond. Ri h d • Scenarios were developed in partnership with local governments and key stakeholders (i.e., community-based regionalism)Four-Part Partnering Strategy: • On-Line Citizen Survey • Focus Group Meetings • Citi Citizen W k h Workshops • Project Steering Committee
Development Scenario Summaries Study AreaFortune Telling Exercise: Four different development scenarios were prepared to measure and evaluate the trade-offs associated with alternative growth patterns. This information will be used for preparing a preferred development scenario i th region. d l t i in the iRegional Growth Principles: • Mobility • Environment • Genuine Communities • Regional Collaboration • Maximizing Efficiency in Public Infrastructure • Quality-of-Life
Scenarios-at-a-Glance Study AreaDecentralized Growth: Contemplates how the region develops if the dispersed pattern of development were to continue. New growth would take the form of single use, low-density g y development that is generally isolated, or not well-connected.Common FC Features: • Greenfield development patterns • O t Outward expansion of public utilities d i f bli tiliti • Transportation investments that favor single-occupant automobile users • Region remains a bedroom community to Washington D.C. or Richmond
Scenarios-at-a-Glance Study AreaGreen Print Initiative: Contemplates how the region develops if new growth is directed away from identified environmentally-sensitive lands and resources. This scenario complements the GWRC Green Infrastructure Report currently under development.Common FC Features: • Preserve large, contiguous natural areas • P t t cultural resources (e.g. battlefield Protects lt l ( b ttl fi ld areas) & working farms • Follows low impact development principles • Potential need for TDR or PDR program & conservation easement grants
Scenarios-at-a-Glance Study AreaCompact Development Centers: Contemplates how the region develops if new growth is focused into compact, walkable communities with nearby opportunities to live, work, shop, and be entertained. This scenarios considers the concept of UDAs for the region.Common FC Features: • Concentrated development areas • L d preservation outside th Land ti t id the development areas • Variety of development types & intensities • More travel options within & between centers
Scenarios-at-a-Glance Study AreaGreater Jobs / Housing Balance: Contemplates how the region develops if more employment is attracted to the region. This was the citizens’ scenario from round one of the public outreach activities held for the project.Common FC Features: • Follows development patterns in the compact development scenario p p • Reduces average commute times for home-work trip • H pothetical scenario, could become Hypothetical scenario co ld the topic for a more detailed study
Development Scenario Report Card Study AreaGeneral Approach: • Six Regional Growth Principles were identified from general themes / issues identified during the planning process for Y f Your Vision, O F t Vi i Our Future. • Performance measures for each growth principle were created t quantify and i i l t d to tif d explain the differences between the scenarios. • Summary statistics were created using CommunityViz software and the FAMPO Regional Travel Demand Model.
Development Scenario Report Card Study AreaMobility Principle:
Development Scenario Report Card Study AreaMobility Principle:
Development Scenario Report Card Study AreaEnvironmental Principle:
Development Scenario Report Card Study AreaGenuine Communities Principle:
Development Scenario Report Card Study AreaRegional Collaboration Principle:
Development Scenario Report Card Study AreaMaximizing Efficiencies in Public Infrastructure:
Development Scenario Report Card Study AreaQuality-of-Life Principle:
Development Scenario Report Card Study AreaSummary Matrix: • Compares all performance C ll f measures side-by-side; assuming equal weighting for ll f all variables. i bl • Initial Rank Order: 1. Jobs-Housing Balance 2. Compact Development 3. Green Print Initiative 4. Decentralized Growth
Stakeholder Awareness & Input Study Area• Information is being shared with stakeholder groups in the region using a series of outreach meetings & an on-line citizen survey on line survey.• Your input will be shared with the project steering committee as it moves forward with creating a preferred development scenario for the region. region
How Do I Stay Involved? Study Area j• Project Website www.fampo.gwregion.org/regionallandusescenarioplanning.html• Citizen Survey www.yourvisionourfuturesurvey.com www yourvisionourfuturesurvey com• Questions Ms. Marti Donley, FAMPO (540) 373-2890 373 2890
YO U R V I S I O N , O U R F U T U R EG EORGE WASHINGTON R EGION S CENARIO P LANNING S T U DY G ENERAL O VERVIEW P R E S E N TAT I O N C A R O L I N E C O U N T Y C H A M B E R O F C O M M E R C E M A R C H 2 2 , 2 0 1 1