The lack of political conditions to make economic changes that meet the interests of the nation and ensure the governance of the current power holders is committed because the government Dilma Rousseff has shown not have political force, does not have enough power and have no leadership to propose the nation a national development project that contributes to reverse the current situation. Time works against the government Dilma Rousseff whose tendency is to worsen the current situation and drop in acceptance of his government by the Brazilian population. All this set of factors can contribute to growth the movement for impeachment of Dilma Rousseff. Given this perspective, the Brazilian nation have to build a new alternative power with the creation of a new party that is the antithesis of the parties that held power after the military regime and demonstrate they are unable to promote economic and social development of country for the benefit of the vast majority of its population, and many of them are complicit with systemic corruption that advances in all instances of national power.
Urges the construction of a new alternative of political power in brazil
1. 1
URGES THE CONSTRUCTION OF A NEW ALTERNATIVE OF POLITICAL
POWER IN BRAZIL
Fernando Alcoforado *
The victory of Syriza in the last elections in Greece signals in the direction that it is
possible to reverse the situation experienced by the people of the world to be governed
by the financial capital holders who imposed his will on a global scale since 1990 when
it was implemented the neoliberal model in almost all countries of the world. The
posture assumed by the new Greek leaders differs from the position of Brazilian
governments since 1990 during the Fernando Collor, Itamar Franco, Fernando Henrique
Cardoso, Lula and Dilma Rousseff governments that accepted the cowardly way the
charges of domestic and international financial capital to enter the neoliberal model in
Brazil that contributed to cause real devastation in the Brazilian economy from 1990 to
2014 set: 1) the insignificant economic growth; 2) the lack of inflation, especially in the
Dilma Rousseff government; 3) the existing bottlenecks in economic and social
infrastructure; 4) the de-industrialization of the Brazilian economy; 5) the
denationalization of the Brazilian economy; 6) in the explosion of internal and external
public debt; 7) the worsening of the financial crisis of the public sector; 8) the failure of
government social policy; 9) increasing regional inequalities; and 10) the worsening
state of the environment.
It should be noted that neoliberalism has as its basic principles: 1) Minimum
participation of the state in the direction of the national economy; 2) state-owned
enterprises privatization policy; 3) no government intervention in the labor market; 4)
free movement of international capital and emphasis on globalization; 5) opening the
economy to the entry of multinationals; 5) adoption of measures against economic
protectionism; 6) reducing bureaucracy of the State with the adoption of laws and more
simplified economic rules to facilitate the functioning of the economy; 7) decrease in
the size of government to make it more efficient; 8) non-interference of the state in the
prices of products and services to be determined by the market based on the law of
supply and demand; 9) control of inflation by the State through monetary policies based
on inflation targets; 10) adoption by the state of the floating exchange policy; and, 11)
obtaining fiscal surplus for payment of the public debt. The down Brazil's economic
growth and the disproportionate increase in federal debt, especially during the Cardoso
government, Lula and Dilma Rousseff demonstrate the infeasibility of the neoliberal
model implemented in the country.
The economic program of Syriza, party winner of the last elections in Greece, has been
known for several months having as objectives to end the austerity policies imposed by
the IMF, European Central Bank and European Commission based on neoliberal
prescription, renegotiate the debt and promote national economic growth. The new
Greek government, led by Alexis Tsipras, Syriza leader winner of the last elections,
announced at the meeting of the Cabinet his first moves: 1) to stop the privatization of
the port of Piraeus and Thessaloniki and the DEI electricity company; 2) to increase the
minimum wage; 3) to reintegrate thousands of civil servants; and 4) to increase pensions
of the poorest pensioners. Tsipras promised not to create more than 10 ministries. In his
opening speech, he formally reaffirmed its commitment to negotiate debt relief, he
wants to find "a just, viable and mutually useful solution" with Greece's creditors. The
amount of debt is equivalent to 175% of gross domestic product (GDP), about 300
billion euros. The creditors, rather than a relief, admit discuss their rescheduling. Alexis
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Tsipras, leader of Syriza, elected prime minister, stressed that the Greek people wanted
"radical changes" and stressed that the fight against unemployment, which affects 25%
of the workforce, would be the priority of its action.
Very rarely, PT (Worker Party) and the parties that support the government Dilma
Rousseff will act the way they acted the new Greek leaders because they do not meet
the political conditions to carry out the economic and social changes that contribute to
overcome the current crisis and meet the nation's interests. The lack of political
conditions to adopt the economic changes required at the moment was materialized in
the submission of President Dilma Rousseff to national and international financial
capital with the choice of her economic team and the adoption of the economic policy of
austerity following the neoliberal prescription that led to Greece to economic and social
disaster. The lack of economic changes to make political conditions was also
materialized with the buying of votes of legislators in Congress proved by Mensalão
process during the Lula government and, more recently, with systemic corruption
involving Petrobras.
The lack of political conditions will worsen in the near future jeopardizing the
governance of the current power holders with continued poor performance of the
Brazilian economy which will result in the loss of family income, profits of
entrepreneurs and government revenues even with the adoption of the tax tightening
announced by the Brazilian government. Social, governance will be kept in check
because the worsening performance of the Brazilian economy with growth prospects
zero or negative in 2015 and 2016 will result increased unemployment and the
consequent increase in social tensions which the multiplication of strikes and social
movements in defense of their interests. The lack of political conditions to make
economic changes that meet the interests of the nation and ensure the governance of the
current power holders is also committed facing two major crises such as the collapse of
the water supply, especially in the states of São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais,
and the blackouts in electricity supply in the country which will affect further the
performance of the Brazilian economy in 2015 and 2016 and could cause public anger
against the rulers of Brazil that reaches unbearable levels.
The lack of political conditions to make economic changes that meet the interests of the
nation and ensure the governance of the current power holders is also committed
because the government Dilma Rousseff has shown not have political force, does not
have enough power and have no leadership to propose the nation a national
development project that contributes to reverse the current situation. Time works
against the government Dilma Rousseff whose tendency is to worsen the current
situation and drop in acceptance of his government by the Brazilian population. All this
set of factors can contribute to growth the movement for impeachment of Dilma
Rousseff. Given this perspective, the Brazilian nation have to build a new alternative
power with the creation of a new party that is the antithesis of the parties that held
power after the military regime and demonstrate they are unable to promote economic
and social development of country for the benefit of the vast majority of its population,
and many of them are complicit with systemic corruption that advances in all instances
of national power.
The new party to be constituted in Brazil should join the social democratic model along
the lines of the Scandinavian countries which allowed economic, social and political
advances with the state, even at the service of capital, acting as a mediator of conflicts
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between the interests of capital and Civil Society. In Brazil, the resulting social
democracy of the Scandinavian model improvement operate with a tripod structured
based on a neutral State, civil society organizations active and Productive Sector (state
and private) efficient and effective. The neutral state would seek to reconcile the
interests of the productive sector (state and private) with Civil Society mediating their
conflicts in several instances of executive and legislative powers that, when not
achieved consensus, the final decision would be up to the people who decide
democratically by plebiscite and / or referendum.
A government in Brazil under the leadership of a social democratic party with the above
requirements should adopt a national development project of selective opening of the
Brazilian economy contemplating the immediate adoption of the renegotiation of
external debt payment and public domestic debt in order to reduce the burden to raise
public savings for investment. Should be adopted in the short term an economic policy
that prioritizes: 1) the drastic reduction of public spending costing; 2) the input flow
control and of capital outflow to prevent foreign currency evasion and restrict access of
speculative capital in the country; 3) the sharp reduction in interest rates to encourage
investment in productive activities; 4) selective import of raw materials and essential
products from overseas to reduce expenditures in currency of the country; 5) the
adoption of a fixed exchange rate policy to replace the floating exchange rate policy in
place to protect the domestic industry and control inflation; 6) the reintroduction of
market reserve in areas considered strategic for national development; 7) the re-
nationalization of privatized state enterprises considered strategic to national
development; and 8) the adoption of a tax policy that can provide the resources that the
state would need to invest in education, health, social security and infrastructure sectors,
among others and encumber as little as possible the population and the productive
sectors.
It can be seen from the above, that the national development project of social
democratic basis would cause Brazil to take on the direction of your destination, unlike
the neoliberal project in place that makes the future of the country is dictated by market
forces all they committed to international capital.
*Fernando Alcoforado , member of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor of Territorial
Planning and Regional Development from the University of Barcelona, a university professor and
consultant in strategic planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is
the author of Globalização (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1997), De Collor a FHC- O Brasil e a Nova
(Des)ordem Mundial (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1998), Um Projeto para o Brasil (Editora Nobel, São
Paulo, 2000), Os condicionantes do desenvolvimento do Estado da Bahia (Tese de doutorado.
Universidade de Barcelona, http://www.tesisenred.net/handle/10803/1944, 2003), Globalização e
Desenvolvimento (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 2006), Bahia- Desenvolvimento do Século XVI ao Século XX
e Objetivos Estratégicos na Era Contemporânea (EGBA, Salvador, 2008), The Necessary Conditions of
the Economic and Social Development-The Case of the State of Bahia (VDM Verlag Dr. Muller
Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG, Saarbrücken, Germany, 2010), Aquecimento Global e Catástrofe
Planetária (P&A Gráfica e Editora, Salvador, 2010), Amazônia Sustentável- Para o progresso do Brasil e
combate ao aquecimento global (Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, São Paulo, 2011)
and Os Fatores Condicionantes do Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2012),
among others.