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Changing Patterns Of Global Terrorism
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Changing Patterns Of Global Terrorism

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  • 1. Changing Patterns of Global Terrorism Faheem Ul Hasan
  • 2. Aim
    To Provide an Overview of the Tactical
    Changes and Emerging Trends in Trans-
    National Terrorism
    To Offer Some Perspective on the Way Ahead
  • 3. Global Trends
    Demographics
    Urbanization
    Education
    Migration
    Secular vs. Religious Values
  • 4. Area Of Concern
    Global
    The Diaspora Connection
    Self-Radicalization
    Tactical Devolution
    Pakistan
    Afghanistan
    South Asia Emerging as the Global Epicentre of Terrorism
  • 5. Strategic Trends
    Al – Qaeda in a Strategic Cul de Sac yet Posing a Credible Threat to Global Security
    • An Incomplete Ideological Battle Compounding the Problem
    • Lack of Effective Trans-National Cooperation Creating an Advantageous Situation for the Terrorist Organizations.
    • The Deepening Problem in the Global South:
    Need to Address Core Issues
  • 6. Changes In Tactics
    Bomb Blasts Increasingly Being Replaced by Operations involving Small Arms e.g. Mumbai CST Attack 26/11/2009
    • New Innovations in Training and Organization
  • 7. Changes In Tactics (Cont’d)
    Small Groups and Sleeper Cells Increasingly
    Gaining Prominence.
    The Lone Wolf Making a Comeback?
    Decentralized Organizational Structure – The Case of JMB
    New Innovations in Training: The Use of Char areas for training
    Training Terrorists to Earn an Alternative Livelihood!
    An Evolving Crime – Terror Nexus
  • 8. The Emerging Threat Scenarios
    The Looming Threat to Critical Infrastructure:
    Rawalpindi Water Supply
    The Threat from Internet Radicalization: The Case of South East Asia
    Fighting the Flow of Money: The Challenge from Terrorist Financing
    JMB Financing – Bona Fide Investments
    The Question of Nuclear Security
    Terrorist or Insurgent – Where to Draw the Line?
  • 9. The Emerging Threat Scenarios
    The Deepening Threat of Radicalization Across Societies
    The Increasing Threat from Extremist Groups in the Context of South Asia
    The Problem of Integration in an Increasingly Globalizing World
    The Rise of The Radical Elements Across Different Societies: The Mainstream Becoming Smaller
  • 10. Getting The Message Across: Strategic Communication
    Terrorist Organizations Globally Adopting a
    Multi-Platform Strategy
    Use of Leaflets and other Print Methods
    Increased Presence on the Internet
    Use of Chat Groups
    Using Social Networking Sites and the Use of
    New Media
    The Terrorist TV Network – The Example of As
    Sahab
  • 11. What Lies Ahead?
    Need to Address Radicalization and
    Extremism at a National and International
    Level
    Not Adequate to Fight Terrorism the Tactic
    The Need to Fashion an Adequate Strategy to
    Fight the Ideological Battle
    Understanding What Makes a Terrorist Group
    Tick
  • 12. What Lies Ahead? (Cont’d)
    CT is not a the Task of the Governments
    Alone
    Need to Engage Different Stakeholders
    The Role of the Theologians
    Media Playing a More Proactive Role
    Importance of Building Social Resilience
    Against Terrorism
    A Carefully Calibrated Multi Pronged Strategy
  • 13. Questions and Comments