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Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment: Onshore Wind

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Slides regarding Onshore Wind at the Eversheds event: Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment in Renewable Energy - 2nd July 2012

Slides regarding Onshore Wind at the Eversheds event: Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment in Renewable Energy - 2nd July 2012

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  • 1. Onshore wind Bronwyn SuttonSenior Renewable Energy Consultant 2 July 2012
  • 2. SgurrEnergy today• Leading engineering consultancy• Formed in 2002• Joined Wood Group in 2010• Global network of offices• 100+ experienced personnel• People and technology focused• Company wide triple BSI accreditation & UKAS ISO/IEC accreditation for wind farm power curve analysis
  • 3. What do we do? Products SgurrEnergy personnel hold unparalleled knowledge to ensure successful renewable energy project delivery Wind Offshore Wind Wave & Tidal Solar Bio-energy Hydro
  • 4. Our network of local offices
  • 5. Global track recordWe have consulted on over 65,000 MW of renewable energy in over 40countries covering both project development and due diligence Europe Asia Africa • Belgium • China • Angola • Bulgaria • India • Kenya • Estonia • Israel • South Africa • France • Korea Oceania • Germany • Mongolia • Greece • Australia • Pakistan • New Zealand • Ireland • Philippines • Italy • Sri Lanka • Malta • Turkey • Netherlands • United Arab Emirates • Norway • Vietnam • Poland • Portugal North America • Russia • Canada • Romania • Mexico • Slovakia • USA • Spain South America • Sweden • Brazil • UK • Chile • Ukraine • Galapagos Islands (Ecuador)
  • 6. 2010 How bad was it really?
  • 7. 2010
  • 8. 2010• Variation in wind speed across the UK in 2010• Showing % deviation from the long term (20 year) average• West worse affected than the East.• 1% deviation in wind ≈ 2% deviation in power.
  • 9. Interannual Variation 125%• Variation expected year to year Annual Wind Speed Normalised to 15 year Long-term Wind Speed 120%• Short term 115% measurements need 110% to be corrected to 105% long term forecasts 100% 95% 90% 85% 80% 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year UK 15 year average Scotland England Wales
  • 10. Interannual variation• Reference data sources – representative and consistent• Correction methods• Minimising uncertainty
  • 11. SgurrEnergy Performance• Recent (2011) comparison of 37 organisations – all doing the same energy yield prediction on the same data• SgurrEnergy is number 27 hereP90 values
  • 12. New Entrants
  • 13. New Entrants 8 WTG product range (MW) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 WTG Manufacturer
  • 14. Bankability - organisation• Track record• Reputation• Who will go the distance?
  • 15. Bankability – wind turbines• Track record• Certification• Product evolution• Quality assurance• Contractual backup Photograph courtesy of www.siemens.com
  • 16. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
  • 17. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
  • 18. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium• 11 x 7.5MW• 126m rotor• 135m hub• 198m tip• 2009
  • 19. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium• 11 x 7.5MW• 126m rotor• 135m hub• 198m tip• 2009
  • 20. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium Just 2 hours drive from Calais!
  • 21. Any questions?Email: bronwyn.sutton@sgurrenergy.comTel: 0141 227 1700225 Bath Street, Glasgow,G2 4GZsgurrenergy.com
  • 22. Development ProcessRisk and Pitfalls – how to avoid them Richard Mardon
  • 23. Who Are We?• Founded in 2010• Backed by ESB Novusmodus, PE fund of ESB (Ireland)• Development partnership with Savills• Four consents already ~ 16 MW (8 WTGs)• Personally, 25yrs experience in power/ infrastructure, 12yrs in wind. Past MD of Your Energy ~ 200MW consented/built
  • 24. State of Play of UK Onshore Wind • 4,900 MW operational (325 projects) • 1,500 MW in construction (52) • 4,300 MW consented / not built (262) • 7,400 MW in planning (328) • 2020 targets ~ 10-13GW (DECC Roadmap) Ø Ops + Constr. = 6.4 GW Ø Ops + Constr. + 50% Cons. = 8.6 GW Ø Ops + Constr. + 50% Cons. + 25% Plan. = 10.4 GW
  • 25. UK onshore wind farm development Some Common Mantras… • There are some things you can control and a lot of things you cannot • There is no such thing as a perfect project • Time / speed is of the essence • Without local support (Parish / Ward Cllr.) you have an uphill struggle • Wind speed is critical! (7m/s+)
  • 26. A to Z of wind farm developmentAviation Jockeys (Horses) ResidencesBats Keen Landowner SafetyCultural Heritage Landscape TelecomsDesignations MOD UndergroundEcology Noise ViabilityFauna Ornithology WindGrid Politics X-RoadsHydrology Quangos YuppiesInfrasound Zoology!
  • 27. Major No-Go Areas – Parks / Airports 6
  • 28. A to Z of wind farm developmentAviation Jockeys (Horses) ResidencesBats Keen Landowner SafetyCultural Heritage Landscape TelecomsDesignations MOD UndergroundEcology Noise ViabilityFauna Ornithology WindGrid Politics X-RoadsHydrology Quangos YuppiesInfrasound Zoology!
  • 29. Geographical Information SystemsGIS Mapping• Wind Speed• Land Designations• Proximity Buffers
  • 30. A to Z of wind farm developmentAviation Jockeys (Horses) ResidencesBats Keen Landowner SafetyCultural Heritage Landscape TelecomsDesignations MOD UndergroundEcology Noise ViabilityFauna Ornithology WindGrid Politics X-RoadsHydrology Quangos YuppiesInfrasound Zoology
  • 31. Nearly there – willing landowner? 10
  • 32. A to Z of wind farm developmentAviation Jockeys (Horses) ResidencesBats Keen Landowner SafetyCultural Heritage Landscape TelecomsDesignations MOD UndergroundEcology Noise ViabilityFauna Ornithology WindGrid Politics X-RoadsHydrology Quangos YuppiesInfrasound Zoology
  • 33. Detailed Micro-siting / Design 12
  • 34. Preliminary Layout 13
  • 35. A to Z of wind farm developmentAviation Jockeys (Horses) ResidencesBats Keen Landowner SafetyCultural Heritage Landscape TelecomsDesignations MOD UndergroundEcology Noise ViabilityFauna Ornithology WindGrid Politics X-RoadsHydrology Quangos YuppiesInfrasound Zoology
  • 36. Then 12 months of studies…. 15
  • 37. Before you face the chamber… ….25% success rate 16
  • 38. You tick all the boxes – what next? • With a recommendation for approval then planning appeal >75% success • Local consultation vital – Parish / Ward • Projects < 5MW ~ 80% success rate • Local “benefits” – jobs, community benefit (£5k/MW) and direct power sales • Brownfield / developed land sites 17
  • 39. Thanks – any questions?richardmardon@airvolutionenergy.com

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