Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment: Onshore Wind

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Slides regarding Onshore Wind at the Eversheds event: Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment in Renewable Energy - 2nd July 2012

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Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment: Onshore Wind

  1. 1. Onshore wind Bronwyn SuttonSenior Renewable Energy Consultant 2 July 2012
  2. 2. SgurrEnergy today• Leading engineering consultancy• Formed in 2002• Joined Wood Group in 2010• Global network of offices• 100+ experienced personnel• People and technology focused• Company wide triple BSI accreditation & UKAS ISO/IEC accreditation for wind farm power curve analysis
  3. 3. What do we do? Products SgurrEnergy personnel hold unparalleled knowledge to ensure successful renewable energy project delivery Wind Offshore Wind Wave & Tidal Solar Bio-energy Hydro
  4. 4. Our network of local offices
  5. 5. Global track recordWe have consulted on over 65,000 MW of renewable energy in over 40countries covering both project development and due diligence Europe Asia Africa • Belgium • China • Angola • Bulgaria • India • Kenya • Estonia • Israel • South Africa • France • Korea Oceania • Germany • Mongolia • Greece • Australia • Pakistan • New Zealand • Ireland • Philippines • Italy • Sri Lanka • Malta • Turkey • Netherlands • United Arab Emirates • Norway • Vietnam • Poland • Portugal North America • Russia • Canada • Romania • Mexico • Slovakia • USA • Spain South America • Sweden • Brazil • UK • Chile • Ukraine • Galapagos Islands (Ecuador)
  6. 6. 2010 How bad was it really?
  7. 7. 2010
  8. 8. 2010• Variation in wind speed across the UK in 2010• Showing % deviation from the long term (20 year) average• West worse affected than the East.• 1% deviation in wind ≈ 2% deviation in power.
  9. 9. Interannual Variation 125%• Variation expected year to year Annual Wind Speed Normalised to 15 year Long-term Wind Speed 120%• Short term 115% measurements need 110% to be corrected to 105% long term forecasts 100% 95% 90% 85% 80% 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year UK 15 year average Scotland England Wales
  10. 10. Interannual variation• Reference data sources – representative and consistent• Correction methods• Minimising uncertainty
  11. 11. SgurrEnergy Performance• Recent (2011) comparison of 37 organisations – all doing the same energy yield prediction on the same data• SgurrEnergy is number 27 hereP90 values
  12. 12. New Entrants
  13. 13. New Entrants 8 WTG product range (MW) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 WTG Manufacturer
  14. 14. Bankability - organisation• Track record• Reputation• Who will go the distance?
  15. 15. Bankability – wind turbines• Track record• Certification• Product evolution• Quality assurance• Contractual backup Photograph courtesy of www.siemens.com
  16. 16. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
  17. 17. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
  18. 18. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium• 11 x 7.5MW• 126m rotor• 135m hub• 198m tip• 2009
  19. 19. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium• 11 x 7.5MW• 126m rotor• 135m hub• 198m tip• 2009
  20. 20. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium Just 2 hours drive from Calais!
  21. 21. Any questions?Email: bronwyn.sutton@sgurrenergy.comTel: 0141 227 1700225 Bath Street, Glasgow,G2 4GZsgurrenergy.com
  22. 22. Development ProcessRisk and Pitfalls – how to avoid them Richard Mardon
  23. 23. Who Are We?• Founded in 2010• Backed by ESB Novusmodus, PE fund of ESB (Ireland)• Development partnership with Savills• Four consents already ~ 16 MW (8 WTGs)• Personally, 25yrs experience in power/ infrastructure, 12yrs in wind. Past MD of Your Energy ~ 200MW consented/built
  24. 24. State of Play of UK Onshore Wind • 4,900 MW operational (325 projects) • 1,500 MW in construction (52) • 4,300 MW consented / not built (262) • 7,400 MW in planning (328) • 2020 targets ~ 10-13GW (DECC Roadmap) Ø Ops + Constr. = 6.4 GW Ø Ops + Constr. + 50% Cons. = 8.6 GW Ø Ops + Constr. + 50% Cons. + 25% Plan. = 10.4 GW
  25. 25. UK onshore wind farm development Some Common Mantras… • There are some things you can control and a lot of things you cannot • There is no such thing as a perfect project • Time / speed is of the essence • Without local support (Parish / Ward Cllr.) you have an uphill struggle • Wind speed is critical! (7m/s+)
  26. 26. A to Z of wind farm developmentAviation Jockeys (Horses) ResidencesBats Keen Landowner SafetyCultural Heritage Landscape TelecomsDesignations MOD UndergroundEcology Noise ViabilityFauna Ornithology WindGrid Politics X-RoadsHydrology Quangos YuppiesInfrasound Zoology!
  27. 27. Major No-Go Areas – Parks / Airports 6
  28. 28. A to Z of wind farm developmentAviation Jockeys (Horses) ResidencesBats Keen Landowner SafetyCultural Heritage Landscape TelecomsDesignations MOD UndergroundEcology Noise ViabilityFauna Ornithology WindGrid Politics X-RoadsHydrology Quangos YuppiesInfrasound Zoology!
  29. 29. Geographical Information SystemsGIS Mapping• Wind Speed• Land Designations• Proximity Buffers
  30. 30. A to Z of wind farm developmentAviation Jockeys (Horses) ResidencesBats Keen Landowner SafetyCultural Heritage Landscape TelecomsDesignations MOD UndergroundEcology Noise ViabilityFauna Ornithology WindGrid Politics X-RoadsHydrology Quangos YuppiesInfrasound Zoology
  31. 31. Nearly there – willing landowner? 10
  32. 32. A to Z of wind farm developmentAviation Jockeys (Horses) ResidencesBats Keen Landowner SafetyCultural Heritage Landscape TelecomsDesignations MOD UndergroundEcology Noise ViabilityFauna Ornithology WindGrid Politics X-RoadsHydrology Quangos YuppiesInfrasound Zoology
  33. 33. Detailed Micro-siting / Design 12
  34. 34. Preliminary Layout 13
  35. 35. A to Z of wind farm developmentAviation Jockeys (Horses) ResidencesBats Keen Landowner SafetyCultural Heritage Landscape TelecomsDesignations MOD UndergroundEcology Noise ViabilityFauna Ornithology WindGrid Politics X-RoadsHydrology Quangos YuppiesInfrasound Zoology
  36. 36. Then 12 months of studies…. 15
  37. 37. Before you face the chamber… ….25% success rate 16
  38. 38. You tick all the boxes – what next? • With a recommendation for approval then planning appeal >75% success • Local consultation vital – Parish / Ward • Projects < 5MW ~ 80% success rate • Local “benefits” – jobs, community benefit (£5k/MW) and direct power sales • Brownfield / developed land sites 17
  39. 39. Thanks – any questions?richardmardon@airvolutionenergy.com

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