The Anticipatory Web
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The Anticipatory Web

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The time frames for responding to the real time web are so short we need new tools to beat the clock. We need the Anticipatory Web. Predictive analytics are a start but we must use available ...

The time frames for responding to the real time web are so short we need new tools to beat the clock. We need the Anticipatory Web. Predictive analytics are a start but we must use available technologies to act preemptively, faster than instantly. Think Thiotimoline fast.

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The Anticipatory Web The Anticipatory Web Presentation Transcript

  • The Anticipatory Web
    Phil Wolff, principal investigatorTachyon Communications LaboratoryThe Internet Operating System InstituteHudson University
  • The RealTime Web Is Too Slow
    No time to answer tweets before events overtake them
    The response window is now 13% smaller than the window of detection
  • We need faster than now
    We need it yesterday if we’re going to cope with social network overload
    Our human capital is at risk if we fail to keep up
    View slide
  • From Predictive Analytics to…
    With the wiring of social media available through open APIs, we now have enormous quantities of data
    View slide
  • Predictive Blog Posting
    Post now what you’re going to say tomorrow
    Enabled by HyperActivityStrea.ms
  • Predictive Tweeting
    Tomorrow’s tweet today
    Based on your tastes and relationships, retweet on your behalf
  • Predictive Commenting
    First to reply reframes the issue
    Reply before the post is finished
  • Predictive Friending/Following
    For the contacts, friends, colleagues, and fans you will need, before you need them
    Friend on the Forecast
  • Predictive Breakups
    Social carrying costs are high
    Probabilistic Valuation of Discounted Future Net Contribution To Personal Happiness
    Dump before PVDFNCTPH falls
  • Predictive Gameplay
    Dodge Bullets (and swords, spells, crashes, etc.)
    Prediction Systems Create “Unfair” Advantage
    Large economic value
    Larger military value
  • Predictive Voicemail
    Leaving messages before you call
    Options:
    Predictive drunk dialing
    Preemptive message deletion
  • Challenges
    Engineering for Speed, Scale, Scope
    Game theoretical side effects as many parties use the Anticipatory Web
  • Now is Not Soon Enough!
    For more research:
    @evanwolf
    Tachyons.HudsonU.edu
    Phil Wolff, principal investigatorTachyon Communications LaboratoryThe Internet Operating System InstituteHudson University