The Anticipatory Web

The Anticipatory Web
Phil Wolff, principal investigatorTachyon Communications LaboratoryThe Internet Operating System InstituteHudson University

The RealTime Web Is Too Slow
No time to answer tweets before events overtake them
The response window is now 13% smaller than the window of detection

We need faster than now
We need it yesterday if we’re going to cope with social network overload
Our human capital is at risk if we fail to keep up

From Predictive Analytics to…
With the wiring of social media available through open APIs, we now have enormous quantities of data

Predictive Blog Posting
Post now what you’re going to say tomorrow
Enabled by HyperActivityStrea.ms

Predictive Tweeting
Tomorrow’s tweet today
Based on your tastes and relationships, retweet on your behalf

Predictive Commenting
First to reply reframes the issue
Reply before the post is finished

Predictive Friending/Following
For the contacts, friends, colleagues, and fans you will need, before you need them
Friend on the Forecast

Predictive Breakups
Social carrying costs are high
Probabilistic Valuation of Discounted Future Net Contribution To Personal Happiness
Dump before PVDFNCTPH falls

Predictive Gameplay
Dodge Bullets (and swords, spells, crashes, etc.)
Prediction Systems Create “Unfair” Advantage
Large economic value
Larger military value

Predictive Voicemail
Leaving messages before you call
Options:
Predictive drunk dialing
Preemptive message deletion

Challenges
Engineering for Speed, Scale, Scope
Game theoretical side effects as many parties use the Anticipatory Web

Now is Not Soon Enough!
For more research:
@evanwolf
Tachyons.HudsonU.edu
Phil Wolff, principal investigatorTachyon Communications LaboratoryThe Internet Operating System InstituteHudson University

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The Anticipatory Web

by Phil Wolff on Feb 28, 2011

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The Anticipatory Web — Presentation Transcript