Ten More Years of Skype: Happy 10th Anniversary, Skype

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Skype launched the mid-2003. What happens to Skype between its tenth birthday in 2013 (now) and 2023, ten years from now? Assuming things go mostly well for Skype... this is an optimistic scenario, with Skype responding well to external opportunities and threats, building new strengths, minimizing its weaknesses.

Curveballs:
- More China.
- More Africa.
- More regulation.
- More mobile.
- More wearables, augmented reality, virtual reality, 3D printing.
- More technologies that let anyone build their own Skype-like network (WebRTC, Open Peer in 2013, for instance)

Black Swans I left out:
- Major economic disruptions or restructuring
- Microsoft is no longer a healthy, growing company
- US, Europe, & China less stable, perhaps with war in their homelands.
- The Internet and web become ill and stop growing (perhaps abandoned when severely damaged in cyberwar or made irrelevant as something better comes along)
- People talk less digitally (plague drives people to face-to-face interaction).

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Ten More Years of Skype: Happy 10th Anniversary, Skype

  1. 1 Thursday, 29 August 2013 is Skype's 10th Birthday. Happy Birthday, Skype! Thursday, 29 August 2013 is Skype's 10th Birthday. Happy Birthday, Skype! Thursday, August 29, 13
  2. 10 More Years of Skype 29 August 2013 2 Thursday, August 29, 13
  3. 2013 Skype for XBox Rocks 50% of Xboxes ship with Kynect. Games have Skype teamspeak. Players Skype. Bing sells Skype click-to-call ads Highest sales conversion rates of any ad format. Skype hires 100 for buildout. New High: 75 Million Concurrent Users 3 Skype in Browsers WebRTC slows desktop downloads, boosts usage Skype comes with Windows Twice as many people keep Skype running Thursday, August 29, 13
  4. Layed Off telco workers protest at Skype HQ 2014 Skype for Google Glasses Skype for iBans First generation Augmented Reality Chat Skype Rooms SharePoint cloud conferencing for teams, customers 500K Teachers in skype.edu community 4 Skype powers casual gaming, outstrips Skype’s XBox chat Zynga players talk and play Skype for Kindle Amazon Prime includes Skype Premium Thursday, August 29, 13
  5. Big Copyright Sues To Block Skype File Transfers 2015 Siri for Skype, Skype for Cars Hands-free Skyping; Assistant; 3rd Party Bot Store 14K Apps for Skype Cloud Platform Apple Buys TokBox from Telefónica, adds to iChat 5 Skypecasts Reborn Competes with YouTube Live, Hangouts and Apple SmallBiz Premium Hosted telephony for 3 Million Small Companies 1K at Skype DevCon Thursday, August 29, 13
  6. Google+ & YouTube Live Chat Now Global 2016 Skype for Gigabit "4K" HD Resolution in Group Broadcasts Sign In With Skype Log in to millions of sites with your Skype credentials. Same as your Microsoft ID. 100K Apps for Skype Cloud 6 Audit:19% ofSkypeaccountsare bots President Clinton skypes Congress from peace talks Thursday, August 29, 13
  7. 2017 Skype Wins MS Brand Infighting Mobile phones, Enterprise telephony, all IM and Mail get Skype lovemarks New High: 120 Million Concurrent Users 7 Anonymousships torrent of Skype user directory "Basking" (Bing for random Skype sex hookups) challenges smurfy brandSkype lie detector evidence admitted for use in court 3D Augmented Reality Emoji for Skype Thursday, August 29, 13
  8. 2018 Pay With Skype Microsoft vs. PayPal $6 Billion Revenue 8 Ballmer Comes Back More Calling Minutes from Skype mobile than Desktops Skype Prime Resurfaces Get paid for your time in Skype sessions. Hire someone for live services. Partners with 300 labor markets. Skype returns to CES TVs, Cars, Home Security, Wearables Registry reserves Skype names for newborns Thursday, August 29, 13
  9. 2019Half of All TVs come with Skype & Webcam 9 Skype settles patent suit for $500 Million Skype & Nuance Add Live Machine Translation to Skype Calls ¥1.2MM bid wins Secret Skype Emoticon Auction for Charity 11 Languages at Launch 100 Million OfficeWorkers have Never Used a Desk Phone Thursday, August 29, 13
  10. 20211 Billion Active Users 10 Skype sponsors Olympic fencing headcam video Former Skype CEO Tony Bates CEO of MSFT Skype's Tencent QQ Partnership Pays Off Skype QQ serves 50% of Chinese Internet Manned Mars mission Skypes home Russia Revokes Skype Ban, Taxes Internet Skype hires Putin’s widow and Pussy Riot survivors as spokespeople Thursday, August 29, 13
  11. 20201 Billion Active Users 11 Skype brings Emergency Calling Everywhere Across borders, to the Redeveloped World. Voice, Video, Text, In-Game, Gestural, 120 languages. Dispatch traffic doubles. Print Your Own Skype Device Open libraries let you 3D Print gear with connectivity, cameras, and microphones Cochlear Skype Microsoft Research tests Skype client device surgically implanted in inner ear Thursday, August 29, 13
  12. 20221 Billion Active Users 12 Devices Start More Conversations Than People Machine To Machine communications use Skype secure messaging infrastructure to avoid surveillance, taxes Fifth Smartphone Wave Brings Skype Africawide Mobile operators bundle Skype with 200 million $10 Android phones. Thursday, August 29, 13
  13. 2023Skype at 20 Parties like it's 2013 13 • 1.3 Billion Active Users • 9.1 Trillion Calls Made • 50% of Calls With Live Machine Translation • 100 Million Augmented Reality Users • 200 Million Quantified Self Users • Africa is Skype's #1 Market • China #2 Market • 150 Million Concurrent Sessions • $1 Billion Cloud Platform Services • $2 Billion Workplace Communication • $3 Billion Premium Consumer • $5 Billion Advertising & Live CRM Thursday, August 29, 13
  14. "Skype""Skype" Trivial Pursuit 2100 Telepathy Edition answer to “What did the Koreas use to negotiate the 2032 Olympic Games that led to unification?” What's a Dollar?? 14 Trivial Pursuit 2100 Telepathy Edition answer to “What did the Koreas use to negotiate the 2032 Olympic Games that led to unification?” What's a Dollar?? Thursday, August 29, 13
  15. 2112 "Skype""Skype" Trivial Pursuit 2100 Telepathy Edition answer to “What did the Koreas use to negotiate the 2032 Olympic Games that led to unification?” What's a Dollar?? 14 Trivial Pursuit 2100 Telepathy Edition answer to “What did the Koreas use to negotiate the 2032 Olympic Games that led to unification?” What's a Dollar?? Thursday, August 29, 13
  16. 10 More Years of Skype 2012 15 Thursday, August 29, 13
  17. 2012 16 Phil Wolff pwolff@dijest.com @evanwolf @skypejournal @skype4vampires http://about.me/evanwolf http://linkedin.com/in/philwolff skype:evanwolf +1-510-444-8234 Thursday, August 29, 13

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