Before 2015 - during the MDGsRespecting the rights of poor countries and peopleBrussels. 23 June 2009

Millennium Declaration MinusFormulation errors: Mainly donor and state-drivenConceptual errors: technocratic and does not address structural causes of poverty , ignores the ‘how” Normative errors: human rights blind and Goal 8 has no targets – lacks emphasis on justiceErrors of omission: Regressed on gender and ignored inequality, governance/political economy issues, climate change, security and financial architectureExecution errors: Perverse incentives, neglects growth & wealth creation

2000-2009 MDG Scorecard..…The single most durable set of global development commitments by governments – withstood 9/11 and its aftermathProvided a strong human development and poverty focus to all global processes – Monterrey, Paris, Accra, Doha, G8 and now G20Regional bodies embrace MDGs – AU, SAARC, Asean, EU Influenced national planning not only in most poor countries but also several middle income countries like Brazil and Indonesia Counterpoint to Washington consensus

2000-9 MDG Scorecard….40 countries have had their debts cancelled – big increase in poverty-focussed public expenditureAid levels have steadily increased – 30% higher than 1992 peak

MDG Outcomes have been very significantOver 300 million people come out of poverty since 2000 3 million fewer children die - total goes below 10 million per year for the first time> 30 million more children in school2 million people living with HIV have ARV accessTB, malaria and access to water: big advances

On most Goals, over 40 developing countries are on trackMany very poor countries are on track on several GoalsRwandaTanzaniaMaliZambiaMozambiqueGhanaBangladeshNepal

Rwanda

Tanzania

Mali

Zambia

Mozambique

Ghana

Bangladesh

Nepal

Key challenges: 2009-15Economic crisis on top of food and climate crisis creates a cloud of uncertaintyMaternal mortality, child nutrition, environment/sanitation are laggingQuality and next level issues, from aid to educationGet trade element of Goal 8 unstuck

MDG Achievement – a matter of political choiceTotal amount given as bail outs in the last year is estimated at $18 trillion – cumulative aid in the last 49 years is 1% of thatTotal spent on arms in 2008 $1.46 trillion – aid was about $120 billionResources lost through corruption by leaders of poor countries, often colluding with western governments and corporations, and mindless wars could have more than achieved MDGs

October 16-18, 2009Stand Up and Take Action

Sept 2010 MDG Review: Agreeing the 2010-15 Action PlanDe-aid the MDGs : this will reduce the need to project gloom and doomMove the action to the local: Improve data and analysis at all levels – disaggregated, high frequency, and available in a simple form first to poor communities and local govtsGet serious about reporting: From local to national to global

Sept 2010 MDG Review: Agreeing the 2010-15 Action PlanFacilitate lesson learning: Where have we had the greatest successes and why? Sub-national, national and sub-regionalBreakthrough Strategies: Based on the above, agree plans at different levels for 2010-15Sao Paolo to Shanghai: Recognise new axis of power

MDG Progress - Poverty

MDG Progress - Education

MDG Progress – Child Health

Why are these countries more on track?Leadership from the topGlobal MDGs adapted to National GoalsClear Plan, Policies & StrategiesMDGs prioritised in the allocation of domestic and external resources in the budgetHigh focus on improving delivery mechanisms for the poor

Why are some countries more on track?e. Greater accountability and transparency at all levels – more citizen engagementMore media and public debate International donors line up behind national priorities

Gap between rich and poor is growing