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Big Data in Politics: How Did We Get Here & Where Are We Going?

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Big data is transforming politics, creating new opportunities to contact individual voters with messages specifically designed to motivate them in particular. How did we get here? How does data-driven …

Big data is transforming politics, creating new opportunities to contact individual voters with messages specifically designed to motivate them in particular. How did we get here? How does data-driven voter targeting work? What are the implications for democracy?

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  • 1. Big Data in Politics: How Did We Get Here & Where Are We Going? Colin Delany, Epolitics.com March 6, 2014
  • 2. Colin Delany  Former political staffer (Texas)  Founder/editor Epolitics.com   Online communications consultant Political advocate
  • 3. Colin Delany Ebook author: “How to Use the Internet to Win in 2014” Columnist for Campaigns & Elections Magazine Contributing Editor, Digital Politics Radio
  • 4. Political Data: History [We've been using data w/o knowing it]  1970's/80's – direct mail, phones  2002/2004: Republican microtargeting  2006: Catalist founded (Dems)  2008 Obama: grassroots & online  2008-2012: cookie targeting & other new tech  2012 Obama:data integration, TV targeting  2013: Dems take down-ballot  2014: Parabellum Labs, Dem national rollout
  • 5. Political Data: Essentials Essential political data tools:  Voter file  Data manipulation software  Voter models  Ways to put data into action NOTE: commercial marketers are way ahead of political marketers
  • 6. Political Data: Essentials What you can do with data  Overall: target communications  Online advertising  Field organizing/canvassing  Direct mail/TV In theory, data lets you hit the right person with the right message at the right time. 
  • 7. Political Data: Essentials Key concept: data = listening
  • 8. Political Data: Essentials Data sources:  Voter file  Commercial data  Field data (canvassing, phone bank responses) Behavioral data (history of interactions with the campaign)   Online behavior
  • 9. Political Data: Limits Limits on political data:  Legal framework  Data quality  Infrequency of voting = small data set  Match rates  Diminishing marginal returns  Need for niche content
  • 10. Political Data & Democracy Is political data good or bad for democracy?  Does it have a corrosive effect?  Is it manipulative?  Or, could it lead to a more-engaged electorate?
  • 11. Thank You Colin Delany Epolitics.com cpd@epolitics.com @epolitics +1 202 422 4682
  • 12. Big Data: la nueva tendencia para conocer al elector Bruce Willsie, Labels & Lists Chris Wegrzyn, Blue Labs, @wegbert Matt McMillan, Buzzmaker, @wearebuzzmaker Colin Delany, Epolitics.com, @epolitics (moderator) Hashtag: #VAC14