Daily i-forex-report-by epic research 26 feb 2013
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Daily i-forex-report-by epic research 26 feb 2013 Daily i-forex-report-by epic research 26 feb 2013 Document Transcript

  • DAILY I FOREX REPORT 26TH FEBRUARY 2013WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
  • HEADLINES  Dollar Sets New Two-Year High, S&P 500 Aiming Lower  Yen Falls on Reports Abe to Nominate Kuroda to BOJ Governor Post TRADING TIPS  Australian Dollar Sold as HSBC Reveals  BUY EURUSD ABOVE Disappointing China PMI Data 1.3255 tgs 1.3275/1.3295 sl 1.3225 Yen Falls on BOJ Nominee Reports, Euro Eyes Italian Election  BUY USDJPY ABOVE The Japanese Yen came under heavy 94.30 tgt 94.50/94.70 selling pressure overnight, sliding as much 1.1 percent on average against its SL 94.00 leading counterparts, amid rumors that Premier Shinzo Abe will nominate Asian Development Bank President Haruhiko  SELL GBPUSD BELOW Kuroda to take over as the Governor of the Bank of Japan. Kuroda is viewed as 1.5160 tgt a relatively dovish choice, and with him at the helm the central bank will be 1.5140/1.5120 SL expected to push forward with 1.5190 aggressive stimulus to realize Abe’s anti-deflation crusade. The Nikkei led Asian shares higher on the news, amplifying pressure on the safety-linked Japanese currency.WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
  •  HOURLY EURUSD CHART HOURLY EURUSD CHART ANALYSISOPEN: 1.3191HIGH: 1.3250LOW: 1.3182CLOSE: 1.3245  EURUSD LOOKS UPWARD  TREND : BULLISH  STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS  MACD =>-.0007(BULLISH SIGNAL)  RSI => 65(BULLISH SIGNAL)
  • HOURLY USDJPY CHART  HOURLY USDJPY CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 94.23HIGH: 94.30LOW: 93.77CLOSE: 93.86  USDJPY LOOKS UPWARD  TREND: BULLISH  STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS  MACD => -0.02( BULLISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>52(BULLISH SIGNAL)
  •  HOURLY GBPUSD CHART HOURLY GBPUSD CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 1.5095HIGH: 1.5163LOW: 1.5054CLOSE: 1.5138  GBPUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND: BULLISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD => .0002( BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI => 41(BEARIISH SIGNAL)
  • HOURLY EURGBP CHART HOURLY EURGBP CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 0.8738HIGH: 0.8752LOW: 0.8710CLOSE: 0.8744  EURGBP LOOKS UPWARDS  TREND: BULLISH  STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS  MACD =>-.0001(BULLISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>65(BULLISH SIGNAL)www.epicresearch.co + 91 9752199966
  • HOURLY USDINDEX CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 81.6130HIGH: 81.6420LOW: 81.3140CLOSE: 81.3300  USDINDEX LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND: BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD =>0.217(BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>55(BEARISH SIGNAL)
  • ECONOMIC CALENDERDate Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes CNY HSBC Flash Mon 01:45 Manufacturing PMI Medium 50.4 52.2 52.3Feb 25 (FEB) GBP BBA Loans for 09:30 Medium 32288 34000 33440 House Purchase (JAN) EUR Italy to Sell 2014 10:00 Bonds and 2021, 2026 Medium I/L Bonds USD Chicago Fed Nat 13:30 Medium 0.02 Activity Index (JAN) EUR Italian Voting 14:00 Ends, Exit Polls to be High Released USD Dallas Fed 15:30 Manufacturing Activity Low 3.0 5.5 (FEB) RBA Assistant Governor Debelle 21:15 Low Addresses Business School AUD APEC Finance TueFeb 26 and Central Bank Medium Deputies Meeting USD Feds Lockhart 00:00 Speaks on Economy in Low Tennessee GBP Hometrack Housing Survey (YoY) Low -0.3% (FEB) GBP Hometrack Housing Survey (MoM) Low 0.0% (FEB) NZD Reserve Bank of New Zealand 2-Year 02:00 High 2.3% Inflation Expectation (1Q) JPY Small Business 05:00 Medium 44.3 Confidence (FEB) GBP CBI Reported 11:00 Low 16 17 Sales (FEB) USD House Price 14:00 Purchase Index (QoQ) Medium 1.1% (4Q) USD House Price Index 14:00 Medium 0.6% 0.6% (MoM) (DEC) USD S&P/Case-Shiller 14:00 US Home Price Index Low 7.00% 3.64% (YoY) (4Q)
  • USD S&P/Case-Shiller 14:00 US Home Price Index Low 135.67 (4Q) USD S&P/Case-Shiller 14:00 Home Price Index Low 145.82 (DEC) USD S&P/Case-Shiller 14:00 Composite-20 (YoY) Low 6.6% 5.52% (DEC) USD S&P/CS 20 City 14:00 Low 0.6% 0.63% s.a. (MoM) (DEC) USD Feds Bernanke 15:00 Testifies at Senate High Banking Committee USD Consumer 15:00 High 62 58.6 Confidence (FEB) USD New Home Sales 15:00 Medium 3.0% -7.3% (MoM) (JAN) USD Richmond Fed 15:00 Manufacturing Index Low -3 -12 (FEB) USD New Home Sales 15:00 Low 380K 369K (JAN) NZD Trade Balance 21:45 (New Zealand dollars) Medium 125M 486M (JAN) NZD Balance (YTD) 21:45 (New Zealand dollars) Medium -897M -1208M (JAN) NZD Net Migration s.a. 21:45 Low 0 (JAN) NZD Imports (New 21:45 Low 3.50B 3.58B Zealand dollars) (JAN) NZD Exports (New 21:45 Low 3.60B 4.07B Zealand dollars) (JAN) JPY Retail Trade (YoY) 23:50 Medium -1.6% 0.3% (JAN) JPY Large Retailers 23:50 Medium -0.8% 0.1% Sales (JAN) JPY Retail Trade 23:50 Low 0.8% 0.0% (MoM) (JAN) Wed AUD ConstructionFeb 27 00:30 Low 1.5% 1.7% Work Done (4Q) EUR German GfK 07:00 Consumer Confidence Medium 5.9 5.8 Survey (Mar) CHF UBS Consumption 07:00 Medium 1.34 Indicator (JAN) EUR German Import 07:00 Price Index (YoY) Low -0.4% 0.3% (JAN) EUR German Import 07:00 Price Index (MoM) Low 0.5% -0.5% (JAN)
  • CHF KOF Swiss08:00 Medium 1.00 1.05 Leading Indicator (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone M309:00 Low 3.2% 3.3% s.a. (YoY) (JAN) GBP Gross Domestic09:30 High 0.0% 0.0% Product (YoY) (4Q P) GBP Gross Domestic09:30 High -0.3% -0.3% Product (QoQ) (4Q P) GBP Total Business09:30 Investment (YoY) (4Q Medium 5.1% P) GBP Gross Fixed09:30 Capital Formation (4Q Low 0.2% -0.2% P) GBP Government09:30 Low 0.1% 0.8% Spending (4Q P)09:30 GBP Exports (4Q P) Low -0.6% 1.2% GBP Total Business09:30 Investment (QoQ) (4Q Low 3.8% P) GBP Private09:30 Low -0.1% 0.4% Consumption (4Q P) GBP Index of Services09:30 Low 0.0% 0.0% (MoM) (DEC) GBP Index of Services09:30 Low 0.1% 0.6% (3Mo3M) (DEC)09:30 GBP Imports (4Q P) Low 0.0% -0.4% EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Economic Confidence Medium 89.9 89.2 (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Services Confidence Low -8.8 -8.8 (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Industrial Confidence Low -13.1 -13.9 (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Consumer Confidence Low -23.6 -23.6 (FEB F) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Business Climate Low -1.02 -1.09 Indicator (FEB) USD MBA Mortgage12:00 Low -1.7% Applications (FEB 22) USD Durable Goods13:30 High -4.0% 4.6% Orders (JAN) USD Durables Ex13:30 Medium 0.3% 1.3% Transportation (JAN) USD Cap Goods Ship13:30 Low -0.8% 0.3% Nondef Ex Air (JAN)
  • USD Cap Goods 13:30 Orders Nondef Ex Air Low 0.2% 0.2% (JAN) USD Pending Home 15:00 Medium 4.9% Sales (YoY) (JAN) USD Pending Home 15:00 Low 2.0% -4.3% Sales (MoM) (JAN) USD DOE U.S. 15:30 Gasoline Inventories Low -2884K (FEB 22) USD DOE U.S. 15:30 Distillate Inventory Low -2277K (FEB 22) USD DOE U.S. Crude 15:30 Oil Inventories (FEB Low 4143K 22) USD DOE Cushing OK 15:30 Crude Inventory (FEB Low 417K 22) USD Feds Fisher Speaks on Economy 21:30 Low and Monetary Policy in New York NZD Building Permits 21:45 Low -2.0% 9.4% (MoM) (JAN) JPY Nomura/JMMA Manufacturing 23:15 Medium 47.7 Purchasing Manager Index (FEB) JPY Industrial 23:50 Production (YoY) (JAN Medium -4.8% -7.9% P) JPY Japan Buying 23:50 Foreign Stocks (Yen) Low -¥414.7B (FEB 22) JPY Japan Buying 23:50 Foreign Bonds (Yen) Low -¥620.6B (FEB 22) JPY Industrial 23:50 Production (MoM) (JAN Low 1.5% 2.4% P) JPY Foreign Buying 23:50 Japan Stocks (Yen) Low ¥197.9B (FEB 22) JPY Foreign Buying 23:50 Japan Bonds (Yen) Low -¥181.2B (FEB 22) Thu AUD HIA New Home 00:00 Medium 6.2%Feb 28 Sales (MoM) (JAN) NZD ANZ Business 00:00 Low 22.7 Confidence (FEB) NZD ANZ Activity 00:00 Low 31.4 Outlook (FEB) GBP GfK Consumer 00:01 Confidence Survey Medium -27 -26 (FEB) AUD Private Sector 00:30 Medium 3.6% Credit (YoY) (JAN)
  • AUD Private Capital00:30 Medium 3.7% 2.8% Expenditure (4Q) AUD Average Weekly00:30 Medium 0.3% 3.4% Wages (YoY) (Nov) AUD Private Sector00:30 Low 0.4% Credit (MoM) (JAN) AUD Average Weekly00:30 Low 1.0% 0.4% Wages (QoQ) (Nov) JPY BOJ Board MembeJPY Kiuchi01:30 Low Speaks to Business Leaders CNY MNI February01:35 Business Sentiment Low Indicator NZD Money Supply M302:00 Low 6.0% (YoY) (JAN) JPY Vehicle Production04:00 Low -17.2% (YoY) (JAN) JPY Housing Starts05:00 Medium 8.8% 10.0% (YoY) (JAN) JPY Annualized05:00 Medium 0.894M 0.880M Housing Starts (JAN) JPY Construction05:00 Low 4.8% Orders (YoY) (JAN) CHF Gross Domestic06:45 High 0.9% 1.4% Product (YoY) (4Q) CHF Gross Domestic06:45 Medium 0.0% 0.6% Product (QoQ) (4Q) EUR German08:55 Unemployment Change High 0K -16K (FEB) EUR German08:55 Unemployment Rate Medium 6.8% 6.8% s.a. (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Consumer Price Index High 2.0% 2.0% (YoY) (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Consumer Price Index - High 1.5% 1.5% Core (YoY) (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Consumer Price Index Medium -1.0% 0.4% (MoM) (JAN) CHF CPI - EU10:00 Harmonised (YoY) Medium -0.3% (JAN) CHF CPI - EU10:00 Harmonised (MoM) Medium 0.1% (JAN) EUR German13:00 Consumer Price Index High 1.7% 1.7% (YoY) (FEB P) EUR German13:00 Consumer Price Index - High 1.7% 1.9% EU Harmonised (YoY)
  • (FEB P) EUR German13:00 Consumer Price Index Medium 0.7% -0.5% (MoM) (FEB P) EUR German Consumer Price Index -13:00 Medium 0.7% -0.7% EU Harmonised (MoM) (FEB P) USD Gross Domestic13:30 Product Price Index High 0.6% 0.6% (4Q S) USD Gross Domestic13:30 Product (Annualized) High 0.5% -0.1% (4Q S) USD Personal13:30 Medium 2.3% 2.2% Consumption (4Q S) USD Initial Jobless13:30 Medium 360K 362K Claims (FEB 24) USD Core Personal Consumption13:30 Medium 0.9% 0.9% Expenditure (QoQ) (4Q S) CAD Current Account13:30 (BoP) (Canadian dollar) Medium -$18.9B (4Q) USD Continuing Claims13:30 Low 3140K 3148K (FEB 17) CAD Raw Materials13:30 Price Index (MoM) Low 0.9% -2.0% (JAN) CAD Industrial Product13:30 Low 0.2% 0.0% Price (MoM) (JAN) USD NAPM-Milwaukee14:00 Low 51.3 (FEB) USD Chicago14:45 Purchasing Manager Low 54.1 55.6 (FEB) USD EIA Natural Gas15:30 Storage Change (FEB Low -127 22) USD Kansas City Fed16:00 Low -2 Manf. Activity (FEB) NZD Terms of Trade21:45 Medium 1.4% -3.2% Index (QoQ) (4Q) AUD AiG Performance22:30 of Manufacturing Index Medium 40.2 (FEB) AUD RPData-Rismark23:00 Low House PX Actual (FEB) JPY National23:30 Consumer Price Index High -0.2% -0.1% (YoY) (JAN) JPY National Consumer Price Index23:30 Medium -0.7% -0.6% Ex Food, Energy (YoY) (JAN)
  • JPY National Consumer Price Index 23:30 Medium -0.2% -0.2% Ex-Fresh Food (YoY) (JAN) JPY Jobless Rate 23:30 Medium 4.2% 4.2% (JAN) JPY Household 23:30 Medium 0.4% -0.7% Spending (YoY) (JAN) JPY Tokyo Consumer 23:30 Price Index (YoY) Low -0.6% -0.6% (FEB) JPY Tokyo Consumer 23:30 Price Index Ex Food, Low -1.0% -0.9% Energy (YoY) (FEB) JPY Tokyo Consumer 23:30 Price Index Ex-Fresh Low -0.5% -0.5% Food (YoY) (FEB) JPY Job-To-Applicant 23:30 Low 0.83 0.82 Ratio (JAN) JPY Capital Spending 23:50 Medium -6.5% 2.4% excl Software (4Q) JPY Capital Spending 23:50 Medium -7.2% 2.2% (4Q) JPY Loans & Discounts 23:50 Low 1.0% Corp (YoY) (JAN) Fri JPY Official ReserveMar 1 Low $1267.3B Assets (FEB) CNY Manufacturing 01:00 High 50.5 50.4 PMI (FEB) USD Feds Evans 01:00 Low Speaks in Des Moines CNY HSBC 01:45 Manufacturing PMI Medium 52.3 (FEB) JPY Vehicle Sales 05:00 Low -12.9% (YoY) (FEB) AUD RBA Commodity 05:30 Low 90.3 Price Index (FEB) AUD RBA Commodity 05:30 Low -6.4% Index SDR (YoY) (FEB) GBP Nationwide House 07:00 Prices n.s.a. (YoY) Medium -0.2% 0.0% (FEB) EUR German Retail 07:00 Medium -1.7% -4.7% Sales (YoY) (JAN) GBP Nationwide House 07:00 Prices s.a. (MoM) Low 0.2% 0.5% (FEB) EUR German Retail 07:00 Low 0.9% -1.7% Sales (MoM) (JAN) CHF SVME-Purchasing 08:30 Medium 52.1 52.5 Managers Index (FEB)
  • EUR Italian Purchasing08:45 Manager Index Low 47.6 47.8 Manufacturing (FEB) EUR French Purchasing Manager08:50 Low 43.6 43.6 Index Manufacturing (FEB F) EUR German Purchasing Manager08:55 Medium 50.1 50.1 Index Manufacturing (FEB F) EUR Italian09:00 Unemployment Rate Medium 10.6% s.a. (4Q) EUR Italian09:00 Unemployment Rate Medium 11.2% s.a. (JAN P) EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager09:00 Medium 47.8 47.8 Index Manufacturing (FEB F) GBP Purchasing09:30 Manager Index Medium 51 50.8 Manufacturing (FEB) GBP Net Lending Sec.09:30 Medium 0.8B 1.0B on Dwellings (JAN) GBP Net Consumer09:30 Medium 0.2B 0.6B Credit (JAN) GBP Mortgage09:30 Medium 56.5K 55.8K Approvals (JAN) GBP M4 Money Supply09:30 Low -1.0% (YoY) (JAN) GBP M4 Money Supply09:30 Low 0.7% (MoM) (JAN) GBP M4 Ex IOFCs 3M09:30 Low 3.8% Annualised (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Unemployment Rate Medium 11.8% 11.7% (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Consumer Price Index Medium 1.9% 2.0% Estimate (YoY) (FEB) EUR Italian Annual11:00 Gross Domestic Medium -2.2% 0.4% Product (2012) CAD Quarterly Gross13:30 Domestic Product High 0.7% 0.6% Annualized (4Q) CAD Gross Domestic13:30 High 1.3% Product (YoY) (DEC) USD Personal13:30 Medium 0.2% 0.2% Spending (JAN) USD Personal Income13:30 Medium -2.0% 2.6% (JAN) USD Personal Consumption13:30 Medium 1.3% 1.4% Expenditure Core (YoY) (JAN)
  • CAD Gross Domestic13:30 Medium -0.1% 0.3% Product (MoM) (DEC) USD Personal Consumption13:30 Low 1.2% 1.3% Expenditure Deflator (YoY) (JAN) USD Personal Consumption13:30 Low 0.1% 0.0% Expenditure Deflator (MoM) (JAN) USD Personal Consumption13:30 Low 0.1% 0.0% Expenditure Core (MoM) (JAN) USD Markit US PMI13:58 Medium Final (FEB) USD U. of Michigan14:55 Medium 76.3 76.3 Confidence (FEB F) USD ISM15:00 High 52.5 53.1 Manufacturing (FEB) USD ISM Prices Paid15:00 Medium 57 56.5 (FEB) USD Construction15:00 Medium 0.5% 0.9% Spending (MoM) (JAN) USD Total Vehicle22:00 Low 15.05M 15.23M Sales (FEB) USD Domestic Vehicle22:00 Low 11.90M 12.08M Sales (FEB)
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